{"id":92266,"date":"2025-11-15T00:18:20","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T23:18:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92266"},"modified":"2025-11-14T09:33:44","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T08:33:44","slug":"abdrew-korybko-dalsi-faze-nemeckeho-vysetrovani-nord-streamu-by-mohla-dale-zhorsit-vztahy-s-polskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/15\/abdrew-korybko-dalsi-faze-nemeckeho-vysetrovani-nord-streamu-by-mohla-dale-zhorsit-vztahy-s-polskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Abdrew Korybko: Dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Nord Streamu by mohla d\u00e1le zhor\u0161it vztahy s Polskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed vyd\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho podez\u0159el\u00e9ho do N\u011bmecka It\u00e1li\u00ed by mohlo v\u00e9st k medializovan\u00e9mu (a p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b zpolitizovan\u00e9mu) procesu, kter\u00fd by Polsko obvinil z tohoto bezprecedentn\u00edho \u00fatoku na spojence NATO.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Wall Street Journal ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnil podrobn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Nord Streamu, kter\u00e9 rozd\u011bluje Evropu kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c. Podstatou je, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 stopy, kter\u00e9 je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159edem napl\u00e1novan\u00fdm fale\u0161n\u00fdm z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00fdm \u00fatokem, jak se\u00a0<\/span>zde argumentovalo\u00a0<\/span><\/a>po\u010d\u00e1tkem roku 2023, ji\u017e zhor\u0161ilo vztahy s Polskem pot\u00e9, co jeden z jeho soudc\u016f\u00a0<\/span>odm\u00edtl vydat\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ukrajinsk\u00e9ho podez\u0159el\u00e9ho. Brzy by mohlo zhor\u0161it i vztahy s Ukrajinou, pokud It\u00e1lie brzy\u00a0<\/span>vyd\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00edho\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a bude n\u00e1sledovat medializovan\u00fd (a p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b zpolitizovan\u00fd) proces.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Nord Streamu postavilo N\u011bmecko do dilematu, proto\u017ee mus\u00ed n\u011bkoho obvinit z jednoho z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00edch\/teroristick\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed, p\u0159esto se neodva\u017euje pod\u00edvat na americkou stopu,\u00a0<\/span>na kterou na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2023 upozornil Pulitzerovou cenou ocen\u011bn\u00fd novin\u00e1\u0159 Seymour Hersh\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Obvin\u011bn\u00ed z orchestrov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto \u00fatoku by riskovalo sank\u010dn\u00ed cla ze strany Trumpa a mohlo by ho p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit, aby schv\u00e1lil postupn\u00fd p\u0159esun \u010d\u00e1sti infrastruktury EUCOM z N\u011bmecka do sousedn\u00edho rivalsk\u00e9ho Polska.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto ohledu ukrajinsk\u00e1 stopa vhodn\u011b zapl\u00e9t\u00e1 i Polsko, co\u017e po\u0161kozuje jeho reputaci. P\u0159edstava, \u017ee tento spojenec NATO sehr\u00e1l by\u0165 jen pasivn\u00ed roli p\u0159i usnad\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fatoku t\u0159et\u00ed zem\u011b proti \u201espole\u010dn\u00e9mu\u201c \u010dlenovi, nato\u017e aby se po odm\u00edtnut\u00ed vyd\u00e1n\u00ed jednoho z podez\u0159el\u00fdch sna\u017eil v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 ututlat, by mohla m\u00edt re\u00e1ln\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. N\u011bmecko by nap\u0159\u00edklad mohlo v hypotetick\u00e9 krizi s Ruskem p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit ostatn\u00ed spojence, aby Polsko nepodporovali, a dokonce by ho z toho mohlo obvinit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejen to, ale polsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1vrh\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, aby N\u011bmecko dotovalo sv\u016fj zbrojn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl jako formu reparac\u00ed za druhou sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, by mohl b\u00fdt odm\u00edtnut pod z\u00e1minkou, \u017ee dlouhodob\u00e9 \u0161kody, kter\u00e9 Polsko pomohlo Ukrajin\u011b zp\u016fsobit N\u011bmecku, se rovnaj\u00ed tomu, co N\u011bmecko mohlo dotovat, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se \u017e\u00e1dost zam\u00edtla. Zhor\u0161en\u00e9 bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy by pak mohly pos\u00edlit konzervativn\u00ed opozici, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 N\u011bmecko t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 stejn\u011b nelib\u011b jako Rusko, p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edmi parlamentn\u00edmi volbami na podzim 2027.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nahrazen\u00ed vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u011b-globalistick\u00e9 koalice, \u010deho\u017e by mohlo b\u00fdt dosa\u017eeno spojen\u00edm s populisticko-nacionalistickou opozic\u00ed po\u00a0<\/span>spln\u011bn\u00ed jej\u00edho po\u017eadavku\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na rezignaci vysok\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f strany, by pos\u00edlilo\u00a0<\/span>hrozbu, kterou Polsko p\u0159edstavuje pro n\u011bmeck\u00fd vliv v regionu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Je to proto, \u017ee pravice by ovl\u00e1dla prezidentsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad a parlament, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se prolomila patov\u00e1 situace, kter\u00e1 existuje od doby, kdy se sou\u010dasn\u00e1 koalice dostala k moci v prosinci 2023, a umo\u017enila by efektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed politik.<\/span><\/p>\n

K tomuto v\u00fdsledku by mohlo doj\u00edt i bez medializovan\u00e9ho n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho procesu, kter\u00fd by usv\u011bd\u010dil Polsko z \u00fatoku na Nord Stream, ale pokud k n\u011bmu dojde, bude to mnohem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. V takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by se ji\u017e tak rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 jednota EU a NATO mohla d\u00e1le oslabit, co\u017e by mohlo omezit spolupr\u00e1ci proti Rusku prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vojensk\u00e9ho Schengenu \u201c a dal\u0161\u00edch vznikaj\u00edc\u00edch multilater\u00e1ln\u00edch r\u00e1mc\u016f. Uprost\u0159ed jejich vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0<\/span><\/a>hromad\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>zbrojen\u00ed\u00a0<\/a><\/span>by se mezi nimi mohlo rozvinout tak\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dilema\u00a0<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozorovatel\u00e9 by si m\u011bli uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee je to mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u00fdhradn\u011b d\u00edky tomu, \u017ee N\u011bmecko odm\u00edtlo vy\u0161et\u0159ovat americkou stopu v \u00fatoku na Nord Stream a m\u00edsto toho se rozhodlo prozkoumat ukrajinskou stopu, do kter\u00e9 je zapojeno i Polsko. Ve\u0159ejnost po\u017eaduje, aby byl n\u011bkdo obvin\u011bn z n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen zp\u016fsoben\u00e9ho odpojen\u00edm N\u011bmecka od levn\u00e9ho a spolehliv\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho plynu. Elita\u00a0<\/span>se\u00a0<\/span><\/a>proto rozhodla svalit vinu na n\u011b, ale nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda si promyslela d\u016fsledky, kter\u00fdch se tato anal\u00fdza dot\u00fdk\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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Potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed vyd\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho podez\u0159el\u00e9ho do N\u011bmecka It\u00e1li\u00ed by mohlo v\u00e9st k medializovan\u00e9mu (a p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b zpolitizovan\u00e9mu)…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92267,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,84,415,31,1398,814],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92266\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}