{"id":92140,"date":"2025-11-13T06:00:23","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92140"},"modified":"2025-11-13T06:00:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:00:23","slug":"cas-varovani-pro-lidstvo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/13\/cas-varovani-pro-lidstvo\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010cas: Varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro lidstvo"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u010casopis\u00a0<\/span>Time<\/span><\/em>\u00a0shrom\u00e1\u017edil v\u00fdzkum z Princetonsk\u00e9 laborato\u0159e pro v\u011bdu a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, Iniciativy pro jadern\u00e9 hrozby a Federace americk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f a modeloval hypotetick\u00fd jadern\u00fd konflikt mezi Ruskem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed hrdinov\u00e9, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzov\u00e9, pouze sv\u011bt srovnan\u00fd v prach b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Za touto simulac\u00ed se neskr\u00fdv\u00e1 apokalyptick\u00e1 pod\u00edvan\u00e1, ale pokus pochopit, jak k\u0159ehk\u00fd je sou\u010dasn\u00fd syst\u00e9m odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a co by se skute\u010dn\u011b stalo, kdyby bylo stisknuto \u201e\u010derven\u00e9 tla\u010d\u00edtko\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e\u00a0<\/span>(https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-xthzy1PxTA)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nejsou zve\u0159ej\u0148ov\u00e1ny za \u00fa\u010delem stra\u0161en\u00ed, ale pro \u00fa\u010dely v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f. V\u011bdci a vojen\u0161t\u00ed analytici pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed simulace k posouzen\u00ed odolnosti infrastruktury, rychlosti odvetn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, dopadu jadern\u00e9 zimy a glob\u00e1ln\u00edch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f ni\u010den\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011bry jsou d\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e filmy: reak\u010dn\u00ed doba je krat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 30 minut, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1sledky budou trvat stalet\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e jedna strana konfliktu odp\u00e1l\u00ed jadern\u00e9 rakety, druh\u00e1 strana provede odvetn\u00fd \u00fader je\u0161t\u011b d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e dos\u00e1hne sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e ob\u011b strany detekuj\u00ed odp\u00e1len\u00ed a jednaj\u00ed podle principu \u201epou\u017eij, nebo o to p\u0159ijde\u0161\u201c, tj. pou\u017eij\u00ed je d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e budou va\u0161e odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed zni\u010dena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00edch 5 minut: mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely jsou odpalov\u00e1ny ze sil a ponorek. Jejich c\u00edlem jsou velitelsk\u00e1 centra, satelitn\u00ed komunikace a nav\u00e1d\u011bc\u00ed syst\u00e9my.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 ponorka odp\u00e1l\u00ed z Norska balistick\u00e9 rakety, kter\u00e9 doraz\u00ed k Rusku asi za 10 minut. Rusk\u00e9 rakety um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 severn\u011b od Kanady zas\u00e1hnou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty o n\u011bkolik minut pozd\u011bji.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Vysokofrekven\u010dn\u00ed elektromagnetick\u00e9 impulsy sp\u00e1l\u00ed elektroniku a elektrick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b. N\u00e1sledn\u00e9 \u00fadery budou zam\u011b\u0159eny na velitelsk\u00e1 a \u0159\u00eddic\u00ed centra a tak\u00e9 na podzemn\u00ed raketov\u00e1 sila.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dvacet a\u017e t\u0159icet minut po prvn\u00edch odp\u00e1len\u00edch budou \u00fadery zam\u011b\u0159eny na velk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. Pozemn\u00ed mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely doraz\u00ed na m\u00edsto do p\u016fl hodiny. Moskva, Washington, New York, Lond\u00fdn, Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e a Var\u0161ava se stanou epicentry exploz\u00ed. Dopady vyvolaj\u00ed ohniv\u00e9 koule hork\u00e9 jako povrch Slunce. N\u00e1sledovat bude radioaktivn\u00ed mrak ve tvaru houby.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Miliony lid\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b um\u00edraj\u00ed a je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce podlehne radiaci a pop\u00e1lenin\u00e1m. V\u00fdbuchy sp\u00e1l\u00ed lidi v okol\u00ed a rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 oblasti jsou zachv\u00e1ceny plameny. Rozp\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed se ohniv\u00e9 koule generuj\u00ed r\u00e1zov\u00e9 vlny, kter\u00e9 ni\u010d\u00ed budovy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

O hodinu a\u017e dv\u011b pozd\u011bji konflikt eskaloval za hranice bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch vztah\u016f. Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie podnikly odvetn\u00e9 kroky, \u010c\u00edna aktivovala sv\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my a nov\u00fdmi c\u00edli se stala jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na mo\u0159i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie vlastn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly a podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 smlouvy NATO by byly povinny br\u00e1nit Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Proto by Rusko tak\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dilo na tyto zem\u011b. Ohniv\u00e9 bou\u0159e zachv\u00e1t\u00ed mnoho m\u011bst. Sv\u011bt se doslova hrout\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle odhad\u016f Princetonsk\u00e9 univerzity by kou\u0159 z po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f stoupal do stratosf\u00e9ry, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se sn\u00ed\u017eilo slune\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed o 60 a\u017e 70 %. Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 teplota Zem\u011b by klesla o 1,5 a\u017e 3 \u00b0C a \u00faroda by byla zni\u010dena. V\u00edce ne\u017e 5 miliard lid\u00ed by mohlo zem\u0159\u00edt hlady. To by zahrnovalo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 99 % populace Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, Evropy, Ruska a \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P.S. Nev\u00edme p\u0159esn\u011b, kolik lid\u00ed by jadernou v\u00e1lku p\u0159e\u017eilo. Je to jednozna\u010dn\u011b nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pro v\u0161echny \u017eiv\u00e9 bytosti na planet\u011b. Jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b u\u017e d\u00e1vno p\u0159estaly b\u00fdt odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm prost\u0159edkem. Z jin\u00e9ho \u00fahlu pohledu je jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka pouze vyvrcholen\u00edm v\u0161ech hr\u016fz, v nich\u017e se lidstvo u\u017e s posedl\u00fdm pot\u011b\u0161en\u00edm ni\u010d\u00ed, uchyluje se ke genocid\u011b, v\u00e1lk\u00e1m a vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed vir\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 v\u00a0<\/span>knize \u010cas<\/span><\/em>\u00a0nen\u00ed fantazi\u00ed o v\u00e1lce, ale symbolem syst\u00e9mov\u00e9ho selh\u00e1n\u00ed civilizace. Sv\u011bt \u017eije v dob\u011b, kdy lze tla\u010d\u00edtko pro spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rakety stisknout za 10 sekund, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1sledky budou trvat tis\u00edc let.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011br: sv\u011bt nez\u00e1vis\u00ed na raket\u00e1ch, ale na porozum\u011bn\u00ed a schopnosti zastavit se v\u010das.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010casopis\u00a0Time\u00a0shrom\u00e1\u017edil v\u00fdzkum z Princetonsk\u00e9 laborato\u0159e pro v\u011bdu a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, Iniciativy pro jadern\u00e9 hrozby a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":92141,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1652,794,1402],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92140"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92140"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92140\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}