{"id":92123,"date":"2025-11-13T00:32:43","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T23:32:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92123"},"modified":"2025-11-12T17:07:41","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T16:07:41","slug":"petr-koenig-co-kdyby-rusko-vstoupilo-do-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/13\/petr-koenig-co-kdyby-rusko-vstoupilo-do-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr Koenig: \u201eCo kdyby\u201c Rusko vstoupilo do NATO?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kdysi d\u00e1vno, ne tak d\u00e1vno, cht\u011bl\u00a0<\/span>Vladimir Putin<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0vstoupit do NATO. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed v roce 2000\u00a0<\/span>projevil<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0z\u00e1jem o to, aby se Rusko stalo sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00a0<\/span>rozhovoru pro BBC v b\u0159eznu 2000<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, kdy\u017e byl Putin, tehdej\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed prezident, dot\u00e1z\u00e1n, zda by Rusko mohlo vstoupit do NATO, odpov\u011bd\u011bl:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePro\u010d ne? Takovou mo\u017enost nevylu\u010duji.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pozd\u011bji t\u00e9ho\u017e roku Putin z\u0159ejm\u011b nadnesl tuto my\u0161lenku tehdej\u0161\u00edmu americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi\u00a0<\/span>Billu Clintonovi<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a \u0159ekl n\u011bco v tom smyslu:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZva\u017eme mo\u017enost, kdy by se Rusko mohlo p\u0159ipojit k NATO.\u201c<\/span><\/em>
\nA \u200b\u200bClinton odpov\u011bd\u011bl:<\/span><\/em>
\n\u201ePro\u010d ne?\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Aby t\u00e9ma potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho \u010dlenstv\u00ed bylo je\u0161t\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, Putin tuto ot\u00e1zku nadnesl i tehdej\u0161\u00edmu gener\u00e1ln\u00edmu tajemn\u00edkovi NATO\u00a0<\/span>George Robertsonovi<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Podle Robertsona Putin dokonce trval na tom, aby bylo Rusko pozv\u00e1no do NATO, proto\u017ee se domn\u00edval, \u017ee Rusko je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 na to, aby bylo za\u0159azeno na \u010dekac\u00ed listinu jako jin\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nakonec Putinovi bylo \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee to takhle fungovat nebude, \u017ee zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 se chce p\u0159ipojit, mus\u00ed podat form\u00e1ln\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak v\u0161ichni v\u00edme, Rusko se do NATO nevstoupilo. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee se Putin c\u00edtil \u201eodm\u00edtnut\u201c, proto\u017ee by \u2013 stejn\u011b jako jin\u00e9 \u201emen\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b\u201c \u2013 musel podat \u017e\u00e1dost. Cht\u011bl, aby s n\u00edm bylo zach\u00e1zeno jako s \u201erovnocenn\u00fdm\u201c partnerem, a\u0165 u\u017e to znamenalo cokoli. Mo\u017en\u00e1 m\u011bl pocit, \u017ee si Rusko zaslou\u017e\u00ed, aby s n\u00edm bylo zach\u00e1zeno \u201erovn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e s rovn\u00fdmi\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

No, to se nevyda\u0159ilo \u2013 a nejen z toho mal\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu. Kreml a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i samotn\u00fd prezident Putin si za\u010dali uv\u011bdomovat, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>se NATO roz\u0161i\u0159uje st\u00e1le d\u00e1le na v\u00fdchod<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, a to navzdory slib\u016fm, kter\u00e9 Spojenci dali v roce 1990, kdy\u017e se diskutovalo o znovusjednocen\u00ed N\u011bmecka.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNATO se nepohne ani o p\u00ed\u010f v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Berl\u00edna,\u201c \u0159ekl tehdej\u0161\u00ed americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>James Baker<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0tehdej\u0161\u00edmu sov\u011btsk\u00e9mu v\u016fdci\u00a0<\/span>Michailovi Gorba\u010dovovi<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0v \u00fanoru 1990 .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli nebyl seps\u00e1n p\u00edsemn\u011b, takov\u00fd politick\u00fd \u00fastn\u00ed z\u00e1vazek m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vn\u00ed platnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na za\u010d\u00e1tku prvn\u00ed dek\u00e1dy nov\u00e9ho tis\u00edcilet\u00ed za\u010dal prezident Putin vn\u00edmat pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed expanzi NATO na v\u00fdchod \u2013 navzdory slibu dan\u00e9mu v roce 1990 \u2013 jako rostouc\u00ed hrozbu pro bezpe\u010dnost Ruska. Rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slo\u017eky, od kter\u00fdch Putin dost\u00e1val tehdy stejn\u011b jako nyn\u00ed zna\u010dnou podporu, ji\u017e pova\u017eovaly \u010dlenstv\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00ed alianci za\u00a0<\/span>zradu Ruska<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odstoupen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>USA od Smlouvy ABM (Smlouvy o protibalistick\u00fdch raket\u00e1ch) v roce 2002<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0d\u00e1le prohloubilo ruskou ned\u016fv\u011bru k Z\u00e1padu. Ve\u0161ker\u00e1 zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bra byla ztracena s\u00a0<\/span>oran\u017eovou revoluc\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b v roce 2005<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, kterou evidentn\u011b inicioval a \u017eivil Z\u00e1pad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozd\u011bji p\u0159i\u0161el v \u00fanoru 2014 p\u0159evrat na Ukrajin\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0podporovan\u00fd Z\u00e1padem (USA)\u00a0\u2013 za\u010d\u00e1tek sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho konfliktu mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem \u2013 doprov\u00e1zen\u00fd st\u00e1le bli\u017e\u0161\u00edm pohybem vojsk NATO t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 k Moskv\u011b. Nyn\u00ed (neofici\u00e1ln\u011b) v Kyjev\u011b. A zbytek je pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed historie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b si lze polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku:\u00a0<\/span>Co kdyby Rusko vstoupilo do NATO kolem roku 2000?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Prezident Putin je chytr\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00edk. Pouze \u201ezkoumal p\u016fdu\u201c, kdy\u017e oslovil prezidenta Billa Clintona a zjevn\u011b vedl s gener\u00e1ln\u00edm tajemn\u00edkem NATO v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o vstupu do NATO?<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo ho to skute\u010dn\u011b zaj\u00edmalo, proto\u017ee p\u0159edv\u00eddal, co se nakonec stane \u2013 poru\u0161en\u00ed slibu Jamese Bakera z roku 1990 a st\u00e1l\u00e9 expanze na v\u00fdchod a obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed Ruska NATO \u2013 a doufal, \u017ee jako \u010dlen, jak \u0159ekl, siln\u00fd a \u201erovnopr\u00e1vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c \u010dlen, bude schopen tento krok zastavit?<\/span><\/p>\n

A kdyby o rusk\u00e9 \u017e\u00e1dosti nakonec rozhodovalo NATO \u2013 p\u0159ijali by ji gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 NATO? P\u0159ijalo by nakonec Rusko \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO, v hnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se v\u016f\u010di Rusku st\u00e1valo st\u00e1le agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm?<\/span><\/p>\n

To je pochybn\u00e9, proto\u017ee s\u00a0<\/span>p\u00e1dem Berl\u00ednsk\u00e9 zdi<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0NATO ofici\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159estalo b\u00fdt nezbytnou obrannou silou pro Evropu proti mo\u017en\u00e9 (domn\u011bl\u00e9) agresi ze strany Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu nebo Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO nikdy nebylo koncipov\u00e1no jako \u201eobrann\u00e1 s\u00edla\u201c, ale jako\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1stroj agrese<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 prim\u00e1rn\u011b proti Sov\u011btsk\u00e9mu svazu a pozd\u011bji Rusku. Stejn\u011b jako ob\u011b sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem bylo dob\u00fdt Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz\/Rusko, jeho bohatstv\u00ed, jeho rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed. I dnes to z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem NATO: v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku ovl\u00e1dnout a dob\u00fdt Rusko \u2013 a\u0165 se d\u011bje cokoli. A t\u00edm zni\u010dit Evropu, po\u010d\u00ednaje\u00a0<\/span>neofa\u0161istick\u00fdm, t\u011b\u017ece ozbrojen\u00fdm N\u011bmeckem<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a Franci\u00ed, kter\u00e9 t\u011bsn\u011b jdou v n\u011bmeck\u00fdch stop\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

To se nestane. Ale tento nekone\u010dn\u00fd pokus by mohl znovu zni\u010dit Evropu, jeliko\u017e potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201ehork\u00e1\u201c t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u2013 konven\u010dn\u00ed nebo jadern\u00e1 \u2013 by se s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed znovu odehr\u00e1la na\u00a0<\/span>evropsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poj\u010fme se tedy trochu hloub\u011bji pono\u0159it do ot\u00e1zky \u201eCo kdyby…\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edstavme si, \u017ee by v okam\u017eiku slabosti nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 NATO \u0159ekli \u201eano\u201c \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ruska \u2013 kde by dnes byl sv\u011bt?<\/span>
\nByl by ovl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span>supermocnou, nep\u0159edstavitelnou vojenskou silou pod jednou st\u0159echou<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0?\u00a0<\/span>Jednosv\u011btovou diktaturou<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00e1 by sou\u010dasn\u00fd globalismus zhor\u0161ila na pokraj glob\u00e1ln\u00edho kolapsu?<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo by se Rusko stalo \u010dlenem NATO, kter\u00fd by NATO transformoval v\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 v podstat\u011b by nahradilo zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 modr\u00e9 p\u0159ilby OSN a ud\u011blalo by v\u00edc?<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo by Rusko rozd\u011blilo NATO na V\u00fdchod a Z\u00e1pad \u2013 rovnov\u00e1hu, bez z\u00e1jmu o vz\u00e1jemn\u00fd boj, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o spolupr\u00e1ci? Prom\u011bnilo by to NATO v\u00a0<\/span>neozbrojenou \u201eligu n\u00e1rod\u016f\u201c<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0usiluj\u00edc\u00ed o m\u00edr m\u00edsto v\u00e1lky?<\/span><\/p>\n

Dnes m\u00e1me\u00a0<\/span>NATO a Z\u00e1pad proti sob\u011b, s glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem, Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou, \u0160anghajskou organizac\u00ed pro spolupr\u00e1ci (SCO), BRICS+ a cel\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Z\u00e1pad, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavuje 15 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 populace, stoj\u00ed proti glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu Jihu, kter\u00fd tvo\u0159\u00ed 85 % populace a v sou\u010dasnosti m\u00e1 zhruba stejnou ekonomickou s\u00edlu \u2013 oba p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 % k celosv\u011btov\u00e9mu HDP.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale co finance?<\/span>
\nKdo ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 sv\u011btov\u00e9 finance: banky, centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky, Banka pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed platby (BIS), m\u011bsta Lond\u00fdn, Curych a Vatik\u00e1n?<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozlo\u017eila by\u00a0<\/span>aliance NATO-Rusko<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0NATO a finan\u010dn\u00ed giganty, kte\u0159\u00ed tahaj\u00ed za nitky za organizacemi a institucemi, kter\u00e9 vid\u00edme a kter\u00fdch se boj\u00edme?<\/span>
\nA \u017eili bychom v bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b? Nebo bychom k n\u011bmu sm\u011b\u0159ovali?<\/span><\/p>\n

Finan\u010dn\u00ed rovnost<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, zalo\u017een\u00e1 na suver\u00e9nn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00fdkonnosti, je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm prvkem pro transformaci sv\u011bta v \u0161achovnici rovnopr\u00e1vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch lid\u00ed \u2013 s men\u0161\u00ed chudobou, spravedliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostmi a v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm prostorem pro r\u016fst zalo\u017een\u00fd na m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohou toho<\/strong>\u00a0dnes \u2013 Rusko mimo NATO s \u010c\u00ednou a glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem \u2013 dos\u00e1hnout?<\/span><\/p>\n

Teze a antiteze.<\/span><\/strong>
\nV\u00e1ha a protiv\u00e1ha.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Co kdy\u017e\u2026?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdysi d\u00e1vno, ne tak d\u00e1vno, cht\u011bl\u00a0Vladimir Putin\u00a0vstoupit do NATO. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22073,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92123"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92123\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}