{"id":92118,"date":"2025-11-13T00:30:51","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T23:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=92118"},"modified":"2025-11-12T16:54:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T15:54:57","slug":"brian-berletic-americke-plany-na-blokadu-ciny-nabyvaji-na-podoby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/13\/brian-berletic-americke-plany-na-blokadu-ciny-nabyvaji-na-podoby\/","title":{"rendered":"Brian Berletic: Americk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na blok\u00e1du \u010c\u00edny nab\u00fdvaj\u00ed na podoby"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To, co bylo kdysi teoretickou diskus\u00ed v americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u010dasopisech o blokov\u00e1n\u00ed dod\u00e1vek ropy do \u010c\u00edny, se nyn\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u00edce m\u011bn\u00ed v hmatatelnou, v\u00edcevrstvou strategii zam\u011b\u0159enou na omezen\u00ed Pekingu a zachov\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dominance USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2018\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/digital-commons.usnwc.edu\/cgi\/viewcontent.cgi?article=1735&amp;context=nwc-review\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/digital-commons.usnwc.edu\/cgi\/viewcontent.cgi?article=1735&amp;context=nwc-review\"><span dir=\"auto\">publikoval<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u010dasopis\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">US Naval War College Review<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u010dl\u00e1nek s n\u00e1zvem \u201eN\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ropn\u00e1 blok\u00e1da proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b \u2013 takticky l\u00e1kav\u00e1, ale strategicky chybn\u00e1\u201c. Byl to jen jeden z mnoha \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech, kter\u00e9 se zab\u00fdvaly detaily zaveden\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy jako sou\u010d\u00e1sti \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed a zadr\u017een\u00ed \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na prvn\u00ed pohled se zd\u00e1, \u017ee dokument nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 zva\u017eovali a pot\u00e9 odm\u00edtli my\u0161lenku blok\u00e1dy \u010c\u00edny. Dokument v\u0161ak pouze vyjmenoval \u0159adu p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek, kter\u00e9 v roce 2018 st\u00e1ly v cest\u011b takov\u00e9 strategii \u2013 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek, kter\u00e9 by bylo nutn\u00e9 odstranit, aby se strategie stala proveditelnou v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m nebo st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici od t\u00e9 doby systematicky odstra\u0148uj\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed studie \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch z\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho institutu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0(\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/magazines\/proceedings\/2025\/november\/when-logistics-decided-victory-battle-leyte-gulf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/magazines\/proceedings\/2025\/november\/when-logistics-decided-victory-battle-leyte-gulf\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/magazines\/proceedings\/2025\/november\/united-states-needs-global-war-plan-china\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/magazines\/proceedings\/2025\/november\/united-states-needs-global-war-plan-china\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0) \u2013 nejen aktualizuj\u00ed a zdokonaluj\u00ed vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed strategii pro teoretickou konfrontaci a zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010c\u00edny, ale tak\u00e9 nasti\u0148uj\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n, kter\u00fd se ji\u017e formuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kontinuita agendy od studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a od jej\u00edho konce sledovaly USA jedin\u00fd prim\u00e1rn\u00ed c\u00edl zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky: zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonie po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. \u010cl\u00e1nek\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">v New York Times<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0z roku 1992 s n\u00e1zvem \u201eStrategick\u00fd pl\u00e1n USA vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed toho, aby se nevyvinuli rivalov\u00e9\u201c jasn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee USA budou aktivn\u011b br\u00e1nit jak\u00e9koli zemi \u2013 nebo alianci \u2013 v zpochyb\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 nadvl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V posledn\u00edch letech to znamenalo zejm\u00e9na zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed o\u017eiven\u00ed Ruska a vzestupu \u010c\u00edny. To zahrnuje i obklopen\u00ed obou zem\u00ed \u201eoblaky konfliktu\u201c \u2013 bu\u010f zni\u010den\u00edm sousedn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f politickou subverz\u00ed, nebo jejich pohlcen\u00edm USA, aby se staly \u201eberanidly\u201c proti Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina je nejextr\u00e9mn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem. Ale Filip\u00edny a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 provincie Tchaj-wan se ve washingtonsk\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu tak\u00e9 transformuj\u00ed do podobn\u00fdch vazeb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA se nav\u00edc sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit st\u00e1t\u016fm mimo jejich sf\u00e9ru vlivu v p\u0159ipojen\u00ed se k multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmu sv\u011btov\u00e9mu \u0159\u00e1du navrhovan\u00e9mu Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato strategie n\u00e1tlaku, destabilizace, politick\u00e9ho p\u0159evzet\u00ed moci, z\u00e1stupn\u00fdch v\u00e1lek a p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je nam\u00ed\u0159ena proti samotn\u00e9mu Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b, jejich soused\u016fm a st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji i proti st\u00e1t\u016fm daleko za hranicemi jejich regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA prokazuj\u00ed jasn\u00fd a neochv\u011bjn\u00fd z\u00e1vazek k v\u00edcevrstv\u00e9 strategii zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, n\u00e1tlaku a konfrontace \u2013 nejen s c\u00edlem p\u0159ipravit se na konflikt, ale vytvo\u0159it konflikt, kter\u00fd bude pro USA \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd, s jedin\u00fdm c\u00edlem udr\u017eet glob\u00e1ln\u00ed americkou hegemonii.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Siln\u00e9 a slab\u00e9 str\u00e1nky americk\u00e9 hegemonie<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tuto strategii umo\u017e\u0148uje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jejich mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u201espojensk\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b\u201c. Tyto vazalsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty host\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a funguj\u00ed jako roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9, ekonomick\u00e9 a st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji i vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 moci. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed \u201espojenci\u201c \u010dasto sleduj\u00ed americk\u00e9 c\u00edle na vlastn\u00ed \u00fakor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina je nejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem: zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 ohro\u017euje svou vlastn\u00ed existenci v\u00e1lkou proti Rusku podporovanou USA \u2013 jak to sami ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili v dokumentu RAND z roku 2019: \u201eroz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u010dkoli v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b nebo USA podporovan\u00e9 hromad\u011bn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy na Filip\u00edn\u00e1ch \u010di Tchaj-wanu odhaluje z\u00e1sadn\u00ed slabinu USA \u2013 nedostate\u010dnou produkci zbran\u00ed ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem nebo \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 USA tuto slabinu kompenzuj\u00ed geopolitickou agilitou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To zahrnuje:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Schopnost sv\u00e1zat c\u00edlov\u00fd st\u00e1t v konfliktu, zat\u00edmco USA p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed zdroje do jin\u00fdch ohnisek konfliktu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed logistick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Schopnost destabilizovat partnersk\u00e9 zem\u011b Ruska a \u010c\u00edny ekonomick\u00fdmi nebo politick\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, proti nim\u017e rusk\u00e9 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 protistrategie jen m\u00e1lo zmohou.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u00fapln\u00e1 kontrola nad glob\u00e1ln\u00edm informa\u010dn\u00edm prostorem usnad\u0148uje politickou subverzi.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy by byly pro Rusko nebo \u010c\u00ednu tak\u00e9 obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b \u010deln\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Rusk\u00e1 energie jako testovac\u00ed prost\u0159edek pro \u010d\u00ednskou blok\u00e1du<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francie ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1mila zabaven\u00ed lodi, o kter\u00e9 se v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotily\u201c \u2013 tedy lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ignoruj\u00ed americk\u00e9 sankce a p\u0159epravuj\u00ed ruskou ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je jeden z prvn\u00edch krok\u016f k mo\u017en\u00e9 \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed blok\u00e1d\u011b rusk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek energie \u2013 a mohl by b\u00fdt testem pro budouc\u00ed blok\u00e1du \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00edsto zah\u00e1jen\u00ed n\u00e1hl\u00e9 blok\u00e1dy by USA postupn\u011b zvy\u0161ovaly tlak na zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed cenov\u00fdch \u0161ok\u016f a zvykly by si ve\u0159ejnost na rostouc\u00ed intervence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Reakce Ruska a multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta na tyto rostouc\u00ed \u00fatoky na lodn\u00ed dopravu ur\u010d\u00ed, zda USA v tomto kurzu budou pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159\u00edpravy na \u010d\u00ednskou blok\u00e1du ji\u017e prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v pln\u00e9m proudu.<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokument z roku 2018 popisuje z\u00e1vislost \u010c\u00edny na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprav\u011b:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00e9 ropy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Doprava prob\u00edh\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b p\u0159es Malack\u00fd pr\u016fliv a n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch \u00fazk\u00fdch m\u00edst.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo dok\u00e1\u017ee tato \u00fazk\u00e1 hrdla kontrolovat a dostat se mimo dosah \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Text rovn\u011b\u017e odhalil, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna chce obej\u00edt \u00fazk\u00e1 hrdla, nap\u0159\u00edklad potrub\u00edm p\u0159es Myanmar. Dokument navrhuje:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">zablokovat termin\u00e1l ropovodu,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">vyhl\u00e1sit \u201evylu\u010dovac\u00ed m\u00edstnost\u201c,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">nebo vy\u0159adit termin\u00e1l z provozu leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak reagovaly USA?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Na ropovod za\u00fato\u010dili nep\u0159\u00edmo \u2013 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ozbrojen\u00fdch skupin v Myanmaru podporovan\u00fdch USA.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od t\u00e9 doby do\u0161lo k n\u011bkolika \u00fatok\u016fm na potrubn\u00ed infrastrukturu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tot\u00e9\u017e se stane:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Proti CPEC v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu (\u00fatoky separatist\u016f podporovan\u00fdch USA v letech 2021, 2024, 2025)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Proti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm infrastrukturn\u00edm projekt\u016fm v Thajsku (opozice podporovan\u00e1 USA zastavuje \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed projekty)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zpr\u00e1va tak\u00e9 ozna\u010dila Rusko za nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edho energetick\u00e9ho partnera \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2192 USA proto vedou z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku proti Rusku \u2013 s c\u00edlem zni\u010dit ruskou produkci energie a od\u0159\u00edznout \u010c\u00ednu od n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00fd pl\u00e1n: Blok\u00e1da + P\u0159\u00edprava na v\u00e1lku + Zmocn\u011bnci<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od roku 2018 maj\u00ed USA:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">byly vytvo\u0159eny podm\u00ednky pro n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna je obklopena Myanmarem, P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, Thajskem, Nep\u00e1lem a Tchaj-wanem,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 a japonsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly byly modernizov\u00e1ny,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko bylo napadeno vojensky i ekonomicky.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco Washington r\u00e9toricky hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201eodstoupen\u00ed\u201c, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 periferie je ve skute\u010dnosti d\u00e1le militarizov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Berleti\u010de by \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd akt\u00e9r v Pekingu ani v Moskv\u011b nem\u011bl b\u00fdt tak naivn\u00ed, aby si slov v\u00e1\u017eil v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010din\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA systematicky odstra\u0148ovaly p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, kter\u00e9 v roce 2018 st\u00e1le st\u00e1ly v cest\u011b blok\u00e1d\u011b \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ropn\u00e1 blok\u00e1da \u2013 nebo \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 uz\u00e1v\u011bra \u010c\u00edny \u2013 ji\u017e nen\u00ed teoretickou my\u0161lenkou, ale strategi\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se ji\u017e realizuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/journal-neo.su\/2025\/11\/10\/us-plans-for-china-blockade-continue-taking-shape\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To, co bylo kdysi teoretickou diskus\u00ed v americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u010dasopisech o blokov\u00e1n\u00ed dod\u00e1vek ropy do&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":34588,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,569,30,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92118"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92118"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92118\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92119,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92118\/revisions\/92119"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34588"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}