{"id":91741,"date":"2025-11-08T05:36:42","date_gmt":"2025-11-08T04:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91741"},"modified":"2025-11-08T05:36:42","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T04:36:42","slug":"michael-svatos-necekana-slabina-ukrajiny-ktera-rusum-jak-se-zda-neunikla-a-povede-k-jejich-rychlemu-vitezstvi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/08\/michael-svatos-necekana-slabina-ukrajiny-ktera-rusum-jak-se-zda-neunikla-a-povede-k-jejich-rychlemu-vitezstvi\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Ne\u010dekan\u00e1 slabina Ukrajiny, kter\u00e1 Rus\u016fm, jak se zd\u00e1, neunikla, a povede k jejich rychl\u00e9mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Anal\u00fdza + dopln\u011bn\u00ed v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho po\u0159adu na TV Bure\u0161<\/h3>\n

V\u010dera jsem byl hostem na TV Bure\u0161. Proto\u017ee Josef Sk\u00e1la se po\u0159adu ne\u00fa\u010dastnil, a omluvil se, musel jsem tro\u0161ku improvizovat, abych zaplnil \u010das po\u0159adu. D\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed.\u00a0Po\u0159ad najdete zde<\/a>.\u00a0Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze je dopln\u011bn\u00edm posledn\u00edch anal\u00fdz o rusk\u00e9m gener\u00e1lu San\u010dikovi a o jeho postupu na Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed, a tak\u00e9 v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho po\u0159adu. Za zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 jste mi kladli, d\u011bkuji.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da stoj\u00ed rozta\u017eena v \u0161irok\u00e9m oblouku 10km ji\u017en\u011b p\u0159ede dv\u011bma desetitis\u00edcov\u00fdmi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi m\u011bsty Pokrovske, (77km z\u00e1padn\u011b od oble\u017een\u00e9ho m\u011bsta Pokrovsk, opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina JIH, gener\u00e1l San\u010dik, jeho severn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo), a Me\u017eov\u00e1, (20km z\u00e1padn\u011b od oble\u017een\u00e9ho m\u011bsta Pokrovsk, opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina ST\u0158ED, gener\u00e1l Solod\u010duk, jeho v\u00fdchodn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo), a kupodivu jsou ob\u011b tato m\u011bsta a prostor mezi nimi pro celkovou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny mnohem d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e ob\u011b velk\u00e9 aglomerace Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad, a Kramatorsk-Slovjansk. Tuto zaj\u00edmavou skute\u010dnost\u00a0v\u010dera p\u0159iznal jeden z komand\u00fdr\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9 110. samostatn\u00e9 mechanizovan\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy, vystupuj\u00edc\u00ed pod bojov\u00fdm jm\u00e9nem \u201cDantes\u201d<\/a>. A podle n\u011bj v prostoru mezi ob\u011bma t\u011bmito dv\u011bma mal\u00fdmi m\u011bsty Pokrovske a Me\u017eov\u00e1, \u0161irok\u00e9m 50km, vedou v\u0161echna d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 elektrick\u00e1 veden\u00ed, plynov\u00e1 potrub\u00ed, \u017eeleznice, i dobr\u00e9 silnice, kter\u00e9 jsou nutn\u00e9 pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed cel\u00e9 charkovsk\u00e9, a i zbytku don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti, kterou m\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b Ukrajina pod kontrolou.<\/p>\n

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Na map\u011b vid\u00edte elektrickou rozvodnou s\u00ed\u0165 Ukrajiny. Ukrajina m\u00e1 tu zvl\u00e1\u0161tnost, \u017ee elekt\u0159ina se mus\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e1d\u011bt z v\u00fdchodn\u00edho b\u0159ehu na z\u00e1padn\u00ed, a pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Charkova a aglomerace Slovjansk-Pokrovsk mus\u00ed b\u00fdt zna\u010dn\u00e1 , \u010d\u00e1st elekt\u0159iny vedena hlavn\u00edm veden\u00edm, a to proch\u00e1z\u00ed m\u011bste\u010dky Pokrovske a Me\u017eov\u00e1, ob\u011b ve \u017elut\u00e9m kole\u010dku. \u010cerven\u00e1 kole\u010dka jsou rusk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 a dronov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na rozvodn\u00e9 trafostanice od za\u010d\u00e1tku srpna do konce z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Na t\u00e9to druh\u00e9 map\u011b vid\u00edte plynov\u00e1 potrub\u00ed Ukrajiny. A z nich je patrno, \u017ee cel\u00e1 ji\u017en\u00ed v\u011btev proch\u00e1z\u00ed op\u011bt kousek severn\u011b od m\u011bst Pokrovske a M\u011b\u017eov\u00e1. \u010cerven\u00e1 oblast je m\u00edsto, kde Rusko \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na ukrajinskou t\u011b\u017ebu plynu, a vy\u0159adilo ji z \u010dinnosti. Ukrajina tak mus\u00ed nyn\u00ed plyn dov\u00e1\u017eet ze zem\u00ed EU. Op\u011bt plat\u00ed, \u017ee ovl\u00e1dnut\u00edm prostoru Pokrovske \u2013 Me\u017eov\u00e1 Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st ukrajinsk\u00e9ho tranzitn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed plynem.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Z\u00a0Me\u017eov\u00e9<\/a>\u00a0je to po dobr\u00fdch cest\u00e1ch p\u0159\u00edmo z\u00e1padn\u00edm sm\u011brem na\u00a0Pavlograd<\/a>, (100 000 obyvatel, mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 m\u011bsto), 65km, a z n\u011bj dal\u0161\u00edch 50km z\u00e1padn\u00edm sm\u011brem do velkom\u011bsta Dn\u011bpropetrovsk.\u00a0 Z\u00a0Pokrovske<\/a>\u00a0je to 70 km do velkom\u011bsta Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed na Dn\u011bpru. Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce, v\u010dera op\u011bt, na Pavlograd, Dn\u011bpropetrovsk a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00ed raketami, a drony Geranium-2. Jakmile se k m\u011bst\u016fm p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed z v\u00fdchodn\u00edho sm\u011bru na 50km tyto \u00fatoky zintenzivn\u00ed, a jakmile na 20km,\u00a0drony na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech, klouzav\u00fdmi bombami, a drony FPV vy\u017eenou v\u011bt\u0161inu jejich obyvatel<\/a>. T\u00edm zasad\u00ed n\u011bkdy v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce smrtelnou r\u00e1nu ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomice, a schopnosti financovat v\u00e1lku. Jen m\u011bsto\u00a0Dn\u011bpropetrovsk nyn\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje 5.1% HDP Ukrajiny. Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed 3%<\/a>. Celkem tak s p\u0159ilehl\u00fdmi venkovsk\u00fdmi oblastmi don\u011bck\u00e9, pavlogradsk\u00e9, a z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti,\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 vy\u0159ad\u00ed asi 12 a\u017e 16% sou\u010dasn\u00e9 ekonomiky Ukrajiny<\/a>. A to p\u0159edstavuje ztr\u00e1tu p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu v roce 2026 v celkov\u00e9 sum\u011b 7.5 a\u017e 10.1 miliardy USD. Ukrajina p\u0159itom bude pot\u0159ebovat p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok doslova ka\u017ed\u00fd dolar, nebo h\u0159ivnu.\u00a0U\u017e nyn\u00ed, bez zapo\u010dten\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f, kterou Rusov\u00e9 zp\u016fsob\u00ed likvidac\u00ed ekonomiky t\u011bchto t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bst, bude Ukrajina pot\u0159ebovat p\u0159es 60 miliard USD ro\u010dn\u011b finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoci od EU, aby uhradila v\u0161echny civiln\u00ed v\u00fddaje placen\u00e9 ze sv\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, a dal\u0161\u00ed tzv. vojensk\u00e9 dary ve v\u00fd\u0161i 20 a\u017e 40 miliard USD v technice, munici, a ve zbran\u00edch<\/a>. Jakmile Rusov\u00e9 zlikviduj\u00ed ekonomiku t\u011bchto t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bst, bude muset b\u00fdt EU uhrazeno dal\u0161\u00edch 7 a\u017e 10 miliard ro\u010dn\u011b. A nav\u00edc se asi 2 a\u017e 3 miliony Ukrajinc\u016f stanou b\u011b\u017eenci, a budou muset b\u00fdt n\u011bkde ubytov\u00e1ni a n\u011bjak \u017eiveni.<\/p>\n

Jak vypad\u00e1 takov\u00e9 vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed tak\u0159ka v\u0161ech obyvatel z m\u011bsta Pokrovske najdete\u00a0na \u0164ik-Tok zde<\/a>,\u00a0video srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 stav m\u011bste\u010dka p\u0159ed t\u00edm, ne\u017e se k n\u011bmu letos v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eili na dolet sv\u00fdch dron\u016f FPV a na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech, a jak stejn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti m\u011bsta za jedin\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc dopadly.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Anal\u00fdza + dopln\u011bn\u00ed v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho po\u0159adu na TV Bure\u0161 V\u010dera jsem byl hostem na TV Bure\u0161….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91742,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,22,26,7678],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91741"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91741\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}