{"id":9166,"date":"2022-03-16T11:28:25","date_gmt":"2022-03-16T10:28:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=9166"},"modified":"2022-03-16T11:34:55","modified_gmt":"2022-03-16T10:34:55","slug":"lezeni-po-zebricku-eskalace-v-ekonomicke-valce-s-ruskem-zde-je-jaderna-varianta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/03\/16\/lezeni-po-zebricku-eskalace-v-ekonomicke-valce-s-ruskem-zde-je-jaderna-varianta\/","title":{"rendered":"Lezen\u00ed po \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace v ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce s Ruskem… Zde je jadern\u00e1 varianta"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Eskala\u010dn\u00ed \u017eeb\u0159\u00edk je koncept, kter\u00fd popisuje, jak se m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it z\u00e1va\u017enost vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Na vrcholu \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace je tot\u00e1ln\u00ed jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee existuje mnoho zem\u00ed s jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, pouze Rusko a \u010c\u00edna maj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b sofistikovan\u00fd arzen\u00e1l na to, aby se postavily USA a\u017e na vrchol eskala\u010dn\u00edho \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku.<\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, USA nemohou dos\u00e1hnout eskala\u010dn\u00ed dominance proti Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b, proto\u017ee tyto zem\u011b mohou kompenzovat jakoukoli eskalaci a\u017e po tot\u00e1ln\u00ed jadernou v\u00e1lku \u2013 vrchol eskala\u010dn\u00edho \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku.<\/p>\n

Z tohoto d\u016fvodu jsou tyto zem\u011b dr\u017eeny p\u0159ed vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdm kinetick\u00fdm konfliktem.<\/p>\n

To je tak\u00e9 d\u016fvod, pro\u010d americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nev\u00e1h\u00e1 bombardovat zem\u011b jako Libye, Ir\u00e1k, S\u00fdrie nebo Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n.\u00a0Nem\u00e1 se \u010deho b\u00e1t, proto\u017ee v\u00ed, \u017ee tyto zem\u011b nemohou po eskala\u010dn\u00edm \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku vy\u0161plhat p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysoko.<\/p>\n

Tento koncept je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00fd ve vojensk\u00fdch konfliktech.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u00e1 dynamika v\u0161ak existuje v ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce a vl\u00e1dy (a investo\u0159i ji ch\u00e1pou mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b).<\/p>\n

V d\u016fsledku toho se ani USA ani Rusko nenechaj\u00ed odradit a \u0161plhaj\u00ed po ekonomick\u00e9m \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace a sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ke st\u00e1le bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed katastrof\u011b.<\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka eskalovala<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Po rusk\u00e9 invazi na Ukrajinu zah\u00e1jila vl\u00e1da USA a EU bezprecedentn\u00ed ekonomickou v\u00e1lku…ani\u017e by se starala o to, jak to v\u0161echno skon\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Rusko nen\u00ed mal\u00e1, slab\u00e1 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 se nem\u016f\u017ee br\u00e1nit.<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli si to mnoz\u00ed neuv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, Rusko se m\u016f\u017ee vy\u0161plhat na vrchol \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku ekonomick\u00e9 eskalace.\u00a0Zde je d\u016fvod…<\/p>\n

Rusko je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem zemn\u00edho plynu, d\u0159eva, p\u0161enice, hnojiv a palladia (kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 slo\u017eka automobil\u016f).<\/p>\n

Je druh\u00fdm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvozcem ropy a hlin\u00edku a t\u0159et\u00edm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvozcem niklu a uhl\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Rusko je v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm producentem a zpracovatelem uranu pro jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny.\u00a0Obohacen\u00fd uran z Ruska a jeho spojenc\u016f poh\u00e1n\u00ed 20 % dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed v USA.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b \u010c\u00edny Rusko produkuje v\u00edce zlata ne\u017e kter\u00e1koli jin\u00e1 zem\u011b, v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 produkce.<\/p>\n

Toto je jen hrstka p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.\u00a0Existuje mnoho strategick\u00fdch komodit, kter\u00fdm Rusko dominuje.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Rusko nen\u00ed jen ropn\u00fd a plynov\u00fd magn\u00e1t, ale tak\u00e9 komoditn\u00ed magn\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Evropa nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt bez rusk\u00fdch surovin<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Odebr\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch komodit ze sv\u011btov\u00fdch trh\u016f by vedlo k v\u0161eobecn\u00e9mu cenov\u00e9mu \u0161oku, kter\u00fd by zdecimoval finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy, banky a prakticky ka\u017ed\u00fd sektor ekonomiky.\u00a0Krom\u011b toho m\u00e1 Rusko tak\u00e9 ekonomickou jadernou mo\u017enost, kter\u00e1 by mohla p\u0159es noc vyhodit do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Rusko m\u00e1 silnou ruku.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako v kinetick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce m\u016f\u017ee Rusko vyhov\u011bt USA, aby ekonomickou v\u00e1lku p\u0159ivedly na vrchol \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace.<\/p>\n

Ale na rozd\u00edl od kinetick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky nelze ani jednu stranu odradit.\u00a0Naopak se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nevyhnuteln\u00e9, \u017ee se v\u011bci odsud vystup\u0148uj\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se situace stane neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b nebezpe\u010dnou.<\/p>\n

Kde jsme te\u010f?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

USA uvalily sankce na ruskou centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banku a zak\u00e1zaly jak\u00e9mukoli Ameri\u010danovi kontaktovat ji, ministerstvo financ\u00ed nebo Fond n\u00e1rodn\u00edho majetku.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1dy USA a Evropy zmrazily rusk\u00e9 dolarov\u00e9 a eurov\u00e9 rezervy \u2013 nahromad\u011bn\u00e9 \u00faspory zem\u011b \u2013 v hodnot\u011b asi 300 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 banky byly vyhozeny ze syst\u00e9mu SWIFT pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed p\u0159evody pen\u011bz.<\/p>\n

Mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed opustilo Rusko a zak\u00e1zalo rusk\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm pou\u017e\u00edvat jejich platformy.<\/p>\n

Visa, MasterCard a American Express od\u0159\u00edzly Rusko od sv\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da zak\u00e1zala ve\u0161ker\u00fd dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy.<\/p>\n

Na opl\u00e1tku Rusko na tyto kroky reagovalo vlastn\u00edmi obrann\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi a eskalacemi.<\/p>\n

Moskva zak\u00e1zala v\u00fdvoz raketov\u00fdch motor\u016f do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0Jeden \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk \u0159ekl: \u201eV situaci, jako je tato, nem\u016f\u017eeme Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm dodat nejlep\u0161\u00ed raketov\u00e9 motory na sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0Nechte je l\u00e9tat s n\u011b\u010d\u00edm jin\u00fdm, s jejich ko\u0161\u0165aty.\u201c<\/p>\n

Rusko a \u010c\u00edna maj\u00ed \u017eiv\u00e9 alternativy ke SWIFT, aby usnadnily mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed transakce a omezily dopad vylou\u010den\u00ed ze SWIFT.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 banky za\u010daly vyd\u00e1vat kreditn\u00ed a debetn\u00ed karty propojen\u00e9 s \u010d\u00ednskou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed platebn\u00ed s\u00edt\u00ed UnionPay.<\/p>\n

Rusko uvedlo, \u017ee bude obchodovat s \u010c\u00ednou, Indi\u00ed, \u00cdr\u00e1nem, Tureckem a dal\u0161\u00edmi zem\u011bmi sp\u00ed\u0161e v m\u00edstn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch ne\u017e v americk\u00fdch dolarech, \u010d\u00edm\u017e do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry neutralizuje dopad sankc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V mo\u017en\u00e1 nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm eskala\u010dn\u00edm opat\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da dovolila, aby byl ve\u0161ker\u00fd zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dluh, kter\u00fd p\u0159evzala od nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed \u2013 odhadem p\u0159es 400 miliard dolar\u016f \u2013 p\u0159em\u011bn\u011bn na rubly.<\/p>\n

M\u00edsto spl\u00e1cen\u00ed sv\u00fdch v\u011b\u0159itel\u016f v USA a Evrop\u011b v dolarech a eurech u z\u00e1padn\u00edch bank mohou nyn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti spl\u00e1cet sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dluhy t\u00edm, \u017ee jm\u00e9nem sv\u00fdch v\u011b\u0159itel\u016f ukl\u00e1daj\u00ed rubly do rusk\u00fdch bank, kter\u00e9 jsou pro n\u011b kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm nedostupn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Tento krok donut\u00ed USA a EU bu\u010f zm\u00edrnit sankce, aby umo\u017enily splacen\u00ed odhadovan\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho dluhu ve v\u00fd\u0161i 400 miliard dolar\u016f, nebo zp\u016fsobit masivn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty z\u00e1padn\u00edm bank\u00e1m a dal\u0161\u00edm v\u011b\u0159itel\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Toto je tedy sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav.<\/p>\n

Stoj\u00ed za zm\u00ednku, \u017ee Evropa st\u00e1le plat\u00ed za ruskou energii a Moskva ji dod\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Rusko a USA nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u0161plhaj\u00ed po \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku ekonomick\u00e9 eskalace, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 ze stran nevykazuje zn\u00e1mky zpomalen\u00ed.\u00a0Od vrcholu n\u00e1s v\u0161ak d\u011bl\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b p\u00e1r ni\u010div\u00fdch krok\u016f.<\/p>\n

Co bude d\u00e1l?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Putin ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1mil nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1kaz v\u00fdvozu ur\u010dit\u00fdch komodit do ur\u010dit\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, podrobnosti budou brzy ozn\u00e1meny.\u00a0Vzhledem k dominanci Ruska na komoditn\u00edch trz\u00edch bude m\u00edt takov\u00fd krok velk\u00fd v\u00fdznam.<\/p>\n

Logick\u00fdm dal\u0161\u00edm krokem, kter\u00fd by Rusko mohlo ud\u011blat, kdy\u017e USA a EU zp\u0159\u00edsn\u00ed sv\u00e9 sankce, by bylo donutit Evropu platit za dovoz energie v rublech.<\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed kupci by nejprve museli za sv\u00e1 eura nakoupit rubly a pak je pou\u017e\u00edt k platb\u011b za rusk\u00fd plyn, ropu a dal\u0161\u00ed exporty.\u00a0Takov\u00fd krok by svrhl cel\u00fd re\u017eim sankc\u00ed, proto\u017ee Evropan\u00e9 by byli nuceni vyjedn\u00e1vat se sankcionovanou centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bankou Ruska nebo by byli od\u0159\u00edznuti od kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch komodit.<\/p>\n

Evropan\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou alternativu k rusk\u00e9 energii a nem\u011bli by jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e vyhov\u011bt.<\/p>\n

Moskva by mohla vyu\u017e\u00edt svou ekonomickou jadernou mo\u017enost, pokud USA skute\u010dn\u011b dotla\u010d\u00ed Rusko do bodu, kdy nebude m\u00edt co ztratit.\u00a0To by znamenalo po\u017eadovat platbu za ropu a dal\u0161\u00ed komodity ve zlat\u011b.\u00a0Rusko jako dominantn\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d na komoditn\u00edch trz\u00edch by si to mohlo diktovat.<\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd krok by poslal cenu zlata raketov\u011b nahoru a p\u0159es noc by vyhodil do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed cel\u00fd z\u00e1padn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m.\u00a0Tak\u00e9 dolar a euro by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b utrp\u011bly obrovskou ztr\u00e1tu kupn\u00ed s\u00edly, proto\u017ee by se komodity p\u0159em\u011bnily na zlato.<\/p>\n

To je rusk\u00e1 finan\u010dn\u00ed jadern\u00e1 mo\u017enost, a pokud budou USA pokra\u010dovat ve stoup\u00e1n\u00ed po \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace, nakonec tam Rusko p\u0159ivedou.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e ani jedna strana neustoup\u00ed, eskalace se zd\u00e1 nevyhnuteln\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Pozn\u00e1mka redakce: Vl\u00e1da USA se p\u0159em\u00e1h\u00e1 t\u00edm, \u017ee se vm\u011b\u0161uje do v\u0161ech kout\u016f sv\u011bta.\u00a0To v\u0161e je financov\u00e1no masivn\u00edm tiskem pen\u011bz.\u00a0P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krize by v\u0161ak mohla celou \u0161ar\u00e1du brzy ukon\u010dit.<\/p>\n

Pravdou je, \u017ee jsme na pokraji glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 krize, kter\u00e1 by mohla zast\u00ednit v\u0161e, co bylo p\u0159edt\u00edm.\u00a0A v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed nebude p\u0159ipravena na to, co p\u0159ijde.\u00a0To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d autor bestseller\u016f Doug Casey a jeho t\u00fdm pr\u00e1v\u011b vydali bezplatnou zpr\u00e1vu, kter\u00e1 podrobn\u011b popisuje, jak p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt ekonomickou krizi.\u00a0Kliknut\u00edm\u00a0sem st\u00e1hnete soubor PDF<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ: LEZEN\u00cd PO ESKALA\u010cN\u00cdM \u017dEB\u0158\u00cd\u010cKU V HOSPOD\u00c1\u0158SK\u00c9 V\u00c1LCE S RUSKEM\u2026 ZDE JE JADERN\u00c1 MO\u017dNOST<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Eskala\u010dn\u00ed \u017eeb\u0159\u00edk je koncept, kter\u00fd popisuje, jak se m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it z\u00e1va\u017enost vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu. Na vrcholu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9167,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2059,22,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9166"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9166"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9166\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9168,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9166\/revisions\/9168"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9167"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}