{"id":91641,"date":"2025-11-07T00:34:26","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T23:34:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91641"},"modified":"2025-11-06T17:32:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T16:32:23","slug":"nekolik-byvalych-zpravodajskych-dustojniku-vydava-nalehava-varovani-usa-slepe-smeruji-k-treti-svetove-valce-kvuli-venezuele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/07\/nekolik-byvalych-zpravodajskych-dustojniku-vydava-nalehava-varovani-usa-slepe-smeruji-k-treti-svetove-valce-kvuli-venezuele\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bkolik b\u00fdval\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 nal\u00e9hav\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed: USA slep\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed k t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce \u2013 kv\u016fli Venezuele"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">VIP MEMO: Co by p\u0159inesla vlekl\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ve Venezuele<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">POPLACHOV\u00c9 MEMORANDUM PRO:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Prezidenta<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">OD:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0VETER\u00c1N\u016eM ZPR\u00c1VY PROFESION\u00c1L\u016eM PRO ZDRAV\u00c9 ROZUM\u00cd (VIPS)<\/span><br \/>\n<strong><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0158EDM\u011aT:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Co by p\u0159inesla vlekl\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ve Venezuele<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1\u017een\u00fd pane prezidente Trumpe,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jsme hluboce znepokojeni t\u00edm, kam se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ve sv\u00e9 politice v\u016f\u010di Venezuele, a nal\u00e9hav\u011b v\u00e1s \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1me, abyste od zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity po\u017eadovali jasn\u00e9, nefiltrovan\u00e9 a \u201epravdiv\u00e9\u201c anal\u00fdzy a tak\u00e9 mo\u017enosti tajn\u00fdch akc\u00ed ve Venezuele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nevyprovokovan\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch akc\u00ed proti latinskoamerick\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b, by\u0165 oslaben\u00e9 roky americk\u00fdmi sankcemi vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edmi \u201emaxim\u00e1ln\u00ed tlak\u201c, z rozmaru riskuje po\u017e\u00e1r, kter\u00fd by mohl do konfliktu vt\u00e1hnout Rusko, a nenab\u00edz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou pravd\u011bpodobnost ustaven\u00ed legitimn\u00ed, proamerick\u00e9 n\u00e1stupnick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jsme sv\u011bdky klasick\u00e9 bou\u0159e politizace, kter\u00e1 se schyluje ve zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunit\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsme zasv\u011btili svou kari\u00e9ru, v d\u016fsledku zjevn\u00e9ho tlaku na to, abychom v\u00e1m dali \u201espr\u00e1vnou\u201c odpov\u011b\u010f \u2013 vym\u00fd\u0161len\u00edm nebo zveli\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm z\u00e1minky pro p\u0159\u00edmou vojenskou intervenci ve Venezuele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed odm\u00edt\u00e1 n\u00e1zory, kter\u00e9 se neshoduj\u00ed s jeho vlastn\u00edmi, a \u017ee veden\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb propustilo vedouc\u00ed analytiky, jejich\u017e utajovan\u00e9 a poctiv\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy vyvr\u00e1tily nepodlo\u017een\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, \u017ee venezuelsk\u00fd prezident Nicol\u00e1s Maduro ovl\u00e1dal gang Tren de Aragua a zneu\u017e\u00edval ho k \u00fatok\u016fm na Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, utlumila ochotu sb\u011bratel\u016f a analytik\u016f poskytovat v\u00e1m nezaujat\u00e9, neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed a p\u0159esn\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">U\u017e jsme to vid\u011bli \u2013 b\u011bhem \u010detn\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch a zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch debakl\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b vykonstruovan\u00fdch tvrzen\u00ed o zbran\u00edch hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed v Ir\u00e1ku. A pamatujeme si katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky pro zemi a jej\u00ed v\u016fdce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Existuje prostor pro debatu o opodstatn\u011bnosti n\u011bkter\u00fdch sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Venezuele. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Madur\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup k volb\u00e1m byl pr\u00e1vem zpochyb\u0148ov\u00e1n. Americk\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di zm\u011bn\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ineslo zvolen\u00ed zesnul\u00e9ho prezidenta Ch\u00e1veze v roce 1999, je v\u0161ak po v\u011bt\u0161inu t\u011bchto 26 let ne\u00fanavn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pod veden\u00edm prezident\u016f obou stran uvalila sankce s c\u00edlem ochromit ekonomiku zem\u011b; identifikovala, vycvi\u010dila a financovala odp\u016frce, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed se uch\u00fdlili k podobn\u00e9mu n\u00e1sil\u00ed, jak\u00e9 obvi\u0148ujeme vl\u00e1du; a \u2013 co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u2013 podpo\u0159ila n\u011bkolik ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch pokus\u016f o svr\u017een\u00ed vl\u00e1d Ch\u00e1veze a Madura (s r\u016fznou m\u00edrou zapojen\u00ed), v\u010detn\u011b zjevn\u00e9ho pokusu o atent\u00e1t na Madura, k n\u011bmu\u017e do\u0161lo v\u010dera ve\u010der.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fsledky byly pro z\u00e1jmy USA zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Maduro byl lep\u0161\u00ed v mobilizaci podpory v ulic\u00edch ne\u017e v \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed ekonomiky, ale americk\u00e9 sankce \u2013 zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na zni\u010den\u00ed ropn\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd tvo\u0159\u00ed 90 procent st\u00e1tn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f \u2013 byly drtivou hnac\u00ed silou exodu milion\u016f Venezuelan\u016f do sousedn\u00edch zem\u00ed a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">V\u0161eobecn\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 americk\u00fdmi sankcemi a v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b i strach z americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f sice p\u0159i\u017eivuje zoufalstv\u00ed mezi n\u011bkter\u00fdmi venezuelsk\u00fdmi ob\u010dany \u2013 kte\u0159\u00ed by m\u00edr uv\u00edtali i za cenu p\u0159evratu \u2013 ale politika Washingtonu ve skute\u010dnosti sjednotila Madur\u016fv v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed t\u00fdm.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Vojen\u0161t\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci, proti nim\u017e se USA zjevn\u011b spol\u00e9haj\u00ed, se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed toho, co s nimi americk\u00fd justi\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m a n\u00e1stupnick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ud\u011blaj\u00ed. Klasifikace Madurovy vl\u00e1dy jako \u0161\u00e9fa \u201eCartel de los Soles\u201c, jeho\u017e existence nen\u00ed prok\u00e1z\u00e1na, a jako \u201enarkoteroristy\u201c \u2013 prezidenta zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 neprodukuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 drogy a nem\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edmou \u00fa\u010dast na jejich p\u0159eprav\u011b \u2013 je pro arm\u00e1du d\u016fkazem, \u017ee Washington by nakonec mohl vykonstruovat jak\u00e1koli \u201efakta\u201c, aby je tak\u00e9 pron\u00e1sledoval.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Opozi\u010dn\u00ed koalice si v posledn\u00edch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch vedla dob\u0159e, ale frakce obl\u00edben\u00e1 USA a jej\u00ed v\u016fdci ji tak hluboce rozd\u011blili, \u017ee je extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se jim poda\u0159ilo sjednotit n\u00e1rod a vl\u00e1du. Jejich r\u00e9torika se vyzna\u010duje prodemokratick\u00fdmi slogany, ale t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ichni seri\u00f3zn\u00ed analytici vid\u00ed jen m\u00e1lo d\u016fkaz\u016f o tom, \u017ee by m\u011bli discipl\u00ednu odolat siln\u00fdm poku\u0161en\u00edm nespoutan\u00e9 moci \u2013 a pomsty.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 politika \u201emaxim\u00e1ln\u00edho tlaku\u201c a ch\u0159est\u00e1n\u00ed zbran\u011bmi v Karibiku z n\u00e1s d\u011blaj\u00ed tyrany v cel\u00e9 Latinsk\u00e9 Americe, ne-li ve sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 jako hegemona, kter\u00fd se zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee jednat bezohledn\u011b a beztrestn\u011b v tom, co pova\u017euje za sv\u016fj dvorek.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Vl\u00e1da neposkytla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee zni\u010den\u00e9 motorov\u00e9 \u010dluny p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eely drogy do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, a\u010dkoli v\u011bt\u0161ina d\u016fkaz\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ne. A\u010dkoli se n\u011bkter\u00e9 latinskoamerick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy netaj\u00ed svou nechut\u00ed k Madurovi, styd\u00ed se za to, \u017ee se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty uchyluj\u00ed pouze k obu\u0161ku, v\u010detn\u011b hrozeb vojensk\u00fdmi \u00fadery, bez jak\u00e9koli v\u011brohodn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nebo \u00fastupky. Znaj\u00ed historii l\u00e9pe ne\u017e my: to, co d\u011bl\u00e1me jejich soused\u016fm, bude d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji v na\u0161em arzen\u00e1lu proti nim \u2013 pokud by se n\u011bkdy odv\u00e1\u017eili n\u00e1m odporovat. Tento strach plod\u00ed fale\u0161n\u00e9 spojence.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hrozby p\u0159evrat\u016f a vojensk\u00fdch intervenc\u00ed jsou nejv\u00edce kontraproduktivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u00e1m d\u016fstojn\u00edci americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb \u0159eknou, \u017ee maj\u00ed v ter\u00e9nu lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed mohou Madura bleskovou operac\u00ed un\u00e9st nebo zavra\u017edit, ale doporu\u010dujeme v\u00e1m po\u017eadovat d\u016fkazy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">CIA z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dila poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Johna Boltona, \u017ee vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l je p\u0159ipraven k nasazen\u00ed, kdy\u017e ho v dubnu 2019 vyzval americk\u00fd prezident Juan Guaid\u00f3, aby povstali a dokon\u010dili \u201ez\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dnou f\u00e1zi\u201c Madurova svr\u017een\u00ed. Bylo to obrovsk\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Caracas a v\u0161echna vojensk\u00e1 velitelstv\u00ed jsou Madurov\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, tak\u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee prov\u00e1d\u00ed \u010dist\u00fd n\u00e1bor p\u0159\u00edmo pod jeho nosem, mus\u00ed prok\u00e1zat, \u017ee to skute\u010dn\u011b d\u011bl\u00e1.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Historie USA v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe nav\u00edc ukazuje, \u017ee p\u0159evraty iniciovan\u00e9 a podporovan\u00e9 USA nevedou ke stabilit\u011b, demokracii ani lidsk\u00fdm pr\u00e1v\u016fm. Tot\u00e9\u017e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt z\u0159ejm\u00e9, kdy\u017e je svr\u017een\u00ed provedeno americk\u00fdmi speci\u00e1ln\u00edmi jednotkami a je dosazena loutka.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vyhl\u00eddkou je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00e1lka \u2013 rozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed a\/nebo \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00e1\u201c v\u00e1lka \u2013 s Venezuelou a jej\u00edmi zahrani\u010dn\u00edmi podporovateli. Domn\u00edv\u00e1me se, \u017ee Rusko a mo\u017en\u00e1 i \u010c\u00edna by se c\u00edtily nuceny zv\u00fd\u0161it svou vojenskou podporu v reakci na raketov\u00fd, leteck\u00fd nebo dokonce dronov\u00fd \u00fatok na suver\u00e9nn\u00ed venezuelsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a vojenskou a civiln\u00ed infrastrukturu. Eskalace by byla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nevyhnuteln\u00e1.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed nejsou imunn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di protilodn\u00edm pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edm st\u0159el\u00e1m. Pokud by jen jedna z nich prorazila impozantn\u00ed protivzdu\u0161nou obranu n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, mo\u017en\u00e1 byste se museli rozhodnout, zda zah\u00e1jit dal\u0161\u00ed nerozumnou a pom\u00fdlenou operaci typu Z\u00e1toky svin\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory tomu, co v\u00e1m ostatn\u00ed \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, by to byl velmi \u0161patn\u00fd n\u00e1pad. Douf\u00e1me, \u017ee si uv\u011bdomujete, \u017ee v roce 1961 nebyli analytici CIA po\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1ni o poskytnut\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b takov\u00e9ho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho hodnocen\u00ed, jak\u00e9 bychom podle v\u00e1s nyn\u00ed m\u011bli od zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity ohledn\u011b Venezuely po\u017eadovat.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Tehdej\u0161\u00ed \u0159editel CIA Allen Dulles t\u00edm, \u017ee analytiky CIA dr\u017eel v nev\u011bdomosti, oklamal prezidenta Kennedyho tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee kub\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid svrhne Castra, jakmile se Dullesova nest\u00e1rl\u00e1 banda dostane na b\u0159eh. O \u010dty\u0159icet let pozd\u011bji jeden z poradc\u016f George W. Bushe p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka v Ir\u00e1ku bude \u201eproch\u00e1zka r\u016f\u017eov\u00fdm sadem\u201c.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed jednotky by zavedly americk\u00e9 mu\u017ee a \u017eeny do nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kde by se ozbrojen\u011b postavily lidov\u00e9mu odporu, a do dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u011b politick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, na kterou nejsou dob\u0159e p\u0159ipraveny. Americk\u00e9 s\u00edly jsou dobr\u00e9 v ni\u010den\u00ed vl\u00e1d a struktur, ale ne v budov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch. Na\u0161e jednotky by utrp\u011bly t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a byly by pon\u00ed\u017eeny \u2013 a podle na\u0161eho n\u00e1zoru by op\u011bt selhaly.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ch\u00e1peme, \u017ee jednotlivci ve va\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed pro v\u00e1s \u201evyhr\u00e1t jeden\u201c a t\u00edm pos\u00edlit svou vlastn\u00ed politickou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale 26 let ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 politiky v\u016f\u010di Venezuele nen\u00ed pevn\u00fdm z\u00e1kladem pro je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed chyby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">PRO STR\u00c1\u017dN\u00cd SKUPINU <\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">VETER\u00c1NSK\u00ddCH ZPRAVODAJSK\u00ddCH SLU\u017dEB PRO ZDRAVOTN\u00cd P\u0158\u00cdJMY (VIPS)<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">[Podeps\u00e1no osobami uveden\u00fdmi na seznamu]<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/consortiumnews.com\/2025\/11\/05\/vips-memo-what-wider-war-in-venezuela-would-bring\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>VIP MEMO: Co by p\u0159inesla vlekl\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ve Venezuele POPLACHOV\u00c9 MEMORANDUM PRO:\u00a0Prezidenta OD:\u00a0VETER\u00c1N\u016eM ZPR\u00c1VY PROFESION\u00c1L\u016eM&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,37,40,181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}