{"id":91549,"date":"2025-11-06T00:26:40","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T23:26:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91549"},"modified":"2025-11-05T13:34:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T12:34:08","slug":"andrew-korybko-jaky-je-skutecny-duvod-proc-chce-the-economist-aby-evropa-utratila-za-ukrajinu-o-400-miliard-dolaru-vice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/06\/andrew-korybko-jaky-je-skutecny-duvod-proc-chce-the-economist-aby-evropa-utratila-za-ukrajinu-o-400-miliard-dolaru-vice\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Jak\u00fd je skute\u010dn\u00fd d\u016fvod, pro\u010d chce The Economist, aby Evropa utratila za Ukrajinu o 400 miliard dolar\u016f v\u00edce?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"available-content\">\n<div class=\"body markup\" dir=\"auto\">\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je federalizace EU, nikoli politick\u00e1 fantazie o por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska, jej\u00ed\u017e dokon\u010den\u00ed vy\u017eaduje dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i roky z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a nejm\u00e9n\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch 400 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/MePdg\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010casopis The Economist\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">argumentoval, \u017ee EU a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed by m\u011bly v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u010dty\u0159ech letech uspokojit odhadovan\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed pot\u0159eby Ukrajiny ve v\u00fd\u0161i 390 miliard dolar\u016f. Podle jejich slov \u201edal\u0161\u00ed p\u016fl desetilet\u00ed [\u00fadajn\u011b se zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sko-finan\u010dn\u00ed situace Ruska] by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b spustilo hospod\u00e1\u0159skou a bankovn\u00ed krizi v Rusku\u201c, zat\u00edmco \u201ejak\u00e9koli dlouhodob\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed pro Ukrajinu by Evrop\u011b pomohlo vybudovat finan\u010dn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslovou s\u00edlu, kterou pot\u0159ebuje k obran\u011b.\u201c To by st\u00e1lo pouze 0,4 % HDP na \u010dlena NATO (bez USA).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tak\u00e9 \u0161\u00ed\u0159ili obavy, \u017ee \u201eAlternativou by bylo, kdyby Ukrajina prohr\u00e1la v\u00e1lku a stala se zaho\u0159kl\u00fdm, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b selh\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edm st\u00e1tem, jeho\u017e arm\u00e1du a obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl by mohl pan Putin zneu\u017e\u00edvat jako sou\u010d\u00e1st nov\u00e9, o\u017eiven\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 hrozby.\u201c I kdy\u017e je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se Ukrajina n\u011bkdy spojila s Ruskem, aby ohrozila jak\u00fdkoli st\u00e1t NATO, Ukrajina by mohla ze sv\u00e9 prohry obvinit Polsko, na\u010de\u017e by Ukrajina mohla podpo\u0159it teroristicko-separatistickou kampa\u0148 v Polsku vedenou jej\u00ed ultranacionalistickou diasporou, jak bylo varov\u00e1no\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/osama-bin-sikorskis-incitement-to\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bez ohledu na to, co si o v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i mysl\u00edte, pointou je, \u017ee The Economist pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 typick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup cukru a bi\u010de ve snaze p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit sv\u00e9 elitn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 publikum, \u017ee pro n\u011b bude levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zaplatit odhadovan\u00fd \u00fa\u010det Ukrajiny ve v\u00fd\u0161i 390 miliard dolar\u016f v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u010dty\u0159ech letech, ne\u017e to neud\u011blat. Bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed kontext se t\u00fdk\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-us-plans-to-wage-an-intensified\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky USA\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">proti Rusku v r\u00e1mci Trumpovy nov\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e9 strategie, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je p\u0159iv\u00e9st Kreml k bankrotu a pot\u00e9 vyvolat nepokoje doma.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby bylo jasno, citov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to strategie neznamen\u00e1 jej\u00ed schv\u00e1len\u00ed, pouze m\u00e1 uk\u00e1zat, pro\u010d si The Economist mysl\u00ed, \u017ee by jeho publikum mohlo b\u00fdt nyn\u00ed vn\u00edmav\u00e9 k jej\u00ed l\u00e1kavosti. V tomto ohledu bude t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit lidi, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u016fl desetilet\u00ed mus\u00ed Ukrajinu dotovat v takov\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e, co\u017e by mohlo znamenat vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed dan\u011b a \u0161krty v soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u00edch. Koneckonc\u016f, 100\u2013110 miliard dolar\u016f utracen\u00fdch letos (\u201edosud nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stka\u201c) Rusko nezatla\u010dilo zp\u011bt, tak\u017ee stejn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1stka v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u010dty\u0159ech letech ho pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tak\u00e9 nezatla\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusk\u00fd rozpo\u010det je dostate\u010dn\u011b velk\u00fd na to, aby v t\u00e9to dob\u011b konflikt nad\u00e1le financoval, tak\u017ee n\u00e1vrh den\u00edku The Economist by pouze zachoval status quo, m\u00edsto aby ho zm\u011bnil ve prosp\u011bch Z\u00e1padu. Dynamika by se mohla je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce posunout ve prosp\u011bch Ruska, jak The Economist otev\u0159en\u011b varoval ke sv\u00e9 cti, \u201epokud Rusko m\u016f\u017ee z\u00edskat finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky z \u010c\u00edny\u201c. V takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by EU pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b byla nucena \u201ez\u00edskat\u201c ekvivalentn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stku od vlastn\u00ed populace, aby alespo\u0148 zachovala status quo, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se jej\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e zhor\u0161ila bez jasn\u00e9ho konce v dohledu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak napsal The Economist: \u201eKolektivn\u00ed emise dluhopis\u016f EU by vytvo\u0159ila v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed fond spole\u010dn\u00e9ho dluhu, prohloubila by jednotn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd kapit\u00e1lov\u00fd trh a pos\u00edlila roli eura jako rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny. V\u00edcelet\u00fd horizont pro n\u00e1kup zbran\u00ed by Evrop\u011b pomohl napl\u00e1novat budov\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00edho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu.\u201c To je v souladu s hodnocen\u00edm z \u010dervence 2024, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-eus-planned-transformation-into-a-military-union-is-a-federalist-power-play\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pl\u00e1novan\u00e1 transformace EU na vojenskou unii je federalistickou hrou o moc\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u201c. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je tedy federalizace EU, nikoli por\u00e1\u017eka Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento vhled umo\u017e\u0148uje pochopit, pro\u010d elity EU \u2013\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/how-far-will-the-german-elite-go\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zejm\u00e9na v N\u011bmecku, kter\u00e9 je v\u016fdcem EU\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u2013 dodr\u017eovaly americk\u00e9 protirusk\u00e9 sankce na vlastn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. V\u00fdm\u011bnou za neutralizaci potenci\u00e1lu eura konkurovat dolaru bylo elit\u00e1m EU dovoleno urychlit federalizaci bloku a upevnit si tak svou moc, co\u017e USA schv\u00e1lily pot\u00e9, co ji\u017e nepova\u017eovaly\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/von-der-leyen-just-subordinated-the\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">nyn\u00ed pod\u0159\u00edzenou EU\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">za latentn\u00ed hrozbu. K dokon\u010den\u00ed tohoto procesu jsou nyn\u00ed zapot\u0159eb\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i roky z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a nejm\u00e9n\u011b ~400 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-the-real-reason-why-the-economist\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"158\" height=\"158\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 158px) 100vw, 158px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je federalizace EU, nikoli politick\u00e1 fantazie o por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska, jej\u00ed\u017e dokon\u010den\u00ed vy\u017eaduje dal\u0161\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91550,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,45,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91549"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91549\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91550"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}