{"id":91428,"date":"2025-11-05T00:18:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T23:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91428"},"modified":"2025-11-04T10:32:02","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T09:32:02","slug":"andrew-korybko-zapad-predstavuje-pro-rusko-nove-vyzvy-podel-cele-jeho-jizni-periferie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/05\/andrew-korybko-zapad-predstavuje-pro-rusko-nove-vyzvy-podel-cele-jeho-jizni-periferie\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Z\u00e1pad p\u0159edstavuje pro Rusko nov\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 jeho ji\u017en\u00ed periferie"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, pro\u010d s t\u00edm rusk\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed partne\u0159i v\u016fbec souhlas\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov minul\u00fd t\u00fdden\u00a0<\/span>varoval\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee \u201eNATO a EU buduj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed dialogy a r\u00e1mce interakce se St\u0159edn\u00ed Asi\u00ed a Ji\u017en\u00edm Kavkazem. Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee v tom n\u011bkdo vid\u00ed skryt\u00e9 \u00famysly, s v\u00fdjimkou p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f, kdy se Z\u00e1pad, jak jsme nyn\u00ed sv\u011bdky, sna\u017e\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt t\u011bchto vazeb k odtr\u017een\u00ed t\u011bchto zem\u00ed od Rusk\u00e9 federace, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e k nav\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00ed vz\u00e1jemn\u011b prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce.\u201c Toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ed\u00a0<\/span>Trumpov\u00fdm setk\u00e1n\u00edm s l\u00eddry St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ve Washingtonu, kter\u00e9 se bude konat p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u00fdden.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160ir\u0161\u00ed kontext se t\u00fdk\u00e1 \u201eTrumpovy cesty k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu m\u00edru a prosperit\u011b\u201c (\u00a0<\/span>TRIPP\u00a0<\/span><\/a>), kterou USA v srpnu zprost\u0159edkovaly mezi Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u00fdsledkem bude, \u017ee \u010dlensk\u00e1 zem\u011b NATO Turecko vnese v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vliv do v\u0161ech st\u00e1t\u016f pod\u00e9l ji\u017en\u00ed periferie Ruska. I kdyby \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd prezident Ilham Alijev souhlasil s t\u00edm, \u017ee nedovol\u00ed, aby byl TRIPP pou\u017eit k vojensk\u00fdm \u00fa\u010del\u016fm uprost\u0159ed sv\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span>za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00edho sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s Putinem, st\u00e1le to tyto dva regiony mnohem \u00fa\u017eeji propoj\u00ed se Z\u00e1padem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d s t\u00edm rusk\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed partne\u0159i souhlas\u00ed. Koneckonc\u016f maj\u00ed pravomoc a mohli by proto odm\u00edtnout nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 kroky Z\u00e1padu, ale ani jeden z nich tak neu\u010dinil. Naopak, arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd a \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd v\u016fdce nechali USA zprost\u0159edkovat pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z\u00e1sadn\u00ed dohodu mezi nimi, zat\u00edmco jejich st\u0159edoasijsk\u00e9 prot\u011bj\u0161ky se chystaj\u00ed tam vykonat pou\u0165. Programov\u00fd \u0159editel\u00a0<\/span>klubu Valdai\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Timofej Borda\u010dev se na tuto ot\u00e1zku pokusil odpov\u011bd\u011bt\u00a0<\/span>pro RT\u00a0<\/span><\/a>za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u010dervence:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRusko v\u00ed, \u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00edch spor\u016f silou je obvykle proti jeho vlastn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm. Nem\u016f\u017ee v\u0161ak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee soused\u00e9 vn\u00edmaj\u00ed Moskvu stejn\u011b. Ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty nevyhnuteln\u011b posuzuj\u00ed Rusko podle jeho historie, rozsahu a moci \u2013 a velmoc se v\u017edycky m\u016f\u017ee nechat zl\u00e1kat jednoduch\u00fdmi \u0159e\u0161en\u00edmi\u2026 Ru\u0161t\u00ed soused\u00e9 maj\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00e9 hranice v mnoha sm\u011brech a neust\u00e1l\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch pozic. Je jen p\u0159irozen\u00e9, \u017ee hledaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1tele jinde, aby uti\u0161ili sv\u00e9 obavy.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/h2>\n

Velmoci mus\u00ed ch\u00e1pat obavy sv\u00fdch soused\u016f, ale nesm\u00ed se jim vzd\u00e1t. Rusko by se nem\u011blo vzd\u00e1t sv\u00e9ho vlivu ani o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee za to bude milov\u00e1no. M\u00edsto toho by se m\u011blo vypo\u0159\u00e1dat s d\u016fsledky sv\u00e9 velikosti a moci a strach ze soused\u016f pova\u017eovat za sou\u010d\u00e1st ceny za to, \u017ee je obrem. To je \u00fakol, kter\u00fd stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed ruskou diplomaci\u00ed \u2013 a zkou\u0161ka jej\u00ed schopnosti vyva\u017eovat s\u00edlu se zodpov\u011bdnost\u00ed ve st\u00e1le nestabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Borda\u010dev v podstat\u011b uzn\u00e1v\u00e1 omezen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho vlivu pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 jeho ji\u017en\u00ed periferie, kter\u00e1 jsou zp\u016fsobena nejen vn\u00edman\u00fdm strachem z n\u011bj, o kter\u00e9m se zm\u00ednil v odvol\u00e1n\u00ed na\u00a0<\/span>konstruktivistickou \u0161kolu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, ale tak\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>operace\u00a0<\/a>. I kdy\u017e je skute\u010dn\u011b p\u016fsobiv\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko se v v\u00edce ne\u017e 3,5 roku trvaj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0improvizovan\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce\u00a0<\/a>se Z\u00e1padem dr\u017e\u00ed na uzd\u011b, jeho region\u00e1ln\u00ed partne\u0159i ho st\u00e1le mohou vn\u00edmat jako relativn\u011b oslaben\u00e9 a nov\u011b rozpt\u00fdlen\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

V souladu s t\u00edm, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b hn\u00e1ni v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdm strachem z Ruska, mohli teoreticky zhodnotit \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e sami, prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm konzultac\u00ed mezi sebou a\/nebo s pomoc\u00ed Z\u00e1padu \u2013 \u017ee se otev\u0159elo okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k maxim\u00e1ln\u00edmu \u201ezaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch pozic\u201c. TRIPP je logistick\u00fdm prost\u0159edkem k dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle, kter\u00fd by byl dopln\u011bn\u00a0<\/span>pl\u00e1novanou \u017eeleznic\u00ed PAKAFUZ\u00a0<\/span><\/a>mezi\u00a0<\/span>\u201ehlavn\u00edm spojencem mimo NATO\u201c P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asi\u00ed, pokud se\u00a0<\/span>afgh\u00e1nsko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vztahy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>n\u011bkdy zlep\u0161\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>jak si Trump p\u0159eje\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00fd Putin navrhl b\u011bhem\u00a0<\/span>druh\u00e9ho summitu Rusko-St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie\u00a0<\/span><\/a>za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u0159\u00edjna, ukazuje, \u017ee si jeho zem\u011b tyto nov\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy uv\u011bdomuje a je p\u0159ipravena konkurovat Z\u00e1padu. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b to nemus\u00ed sta\u010dit k preventivn\u00edmu odvr\u00e1cen\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch hrozeb, kter\u00e9 by mohly nastat v d\u016fsledku toho, \u017ee Turecko bude v \u010dele \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho vlivu do tohoto regionu. Nejbyst\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed mozky, jako je Borda\u010dev, by proto m\u011bly up\u0159ednostnit formulov\u00e1n\u00ed dopl\u0148kov\u00e9 politiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, pro\u010d s t\u00edm rusk\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed partne\u0159i v\u016fbec souhlas\u00ed. Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,10018,9006,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91428"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91428"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91428\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}