{"id":91350,"date":"2025-11-04T00:27:15","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T23:27:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91350"},"modified":"2025-11-03T18:40:24","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T17:40:24","slug":"larry-c-johnson-usa-nedokazou-zlomit-rusko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/11\/04\/larry-c-johnson-usa-nedokazou-zlomit-rusko\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry C. Johnson: USA nedok\u00e1\u017eou zlomit Rusko"},"content":{"rendered":"
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B\u011bhem m\u00e9 ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 cesty do Ruska se mezi m\u00fdmi partnery opakovalo t\u00e9ma, jak Z\u00e1pad nepochopil, \u017ee Rusko NEN\u00cd z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm obchodu\u2026 Rusko je sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00e9, pokud jde o v\u0161echny hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed zdroje. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee americk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 komunita (IC) si to pomalu za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 uv\u011bdomovat, a\u010dkoli v\u011bt\u0161ina IC nad\u00e1le fale\u0161n\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko trp\u00ed masivn\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami a \u010del\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9mu kolapsu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

CIA se uk\u00e1zala b\u00fdt nejv\u00edce pom\u00fdlenou ze v\u0161ech agentur seskupen\u00fdch pod z\u00e1\u0161titou IC. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto roku se CIA ocitla ve sporu s \u00da\u0159adem pro zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby a v\u00fdzkum (tak\u00e9 zn\u00e1m\u00fdm jako INR) ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Zpr\u00e1va NBC tento t\u00fdden zd\u016fraznila r\u016f\u017eov\u00fd obraz, kter\u00fd CIA vykreslila od n\u00e1stupu Trumpa do \u00fa\u0159adu:<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle dvou b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f byla hodnocen\u00ed CIA ohledn\u011b vyhl\u00eddek na nalezen\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di s rusk\u00fdm veden\u00edm n\u011bkdy optimistick\u00e1.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Na za\u010d\u00e1tku funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed administrativy si ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 vy\u017e\u00e1dali od analytik\u016f zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb \u0159adu utajovan\u00fdch hodnocen\u00ed a briefing\u016f k ukrajinsk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce, aby mohli ur\u010dit Putinovy \u200b\u200bc\u00edle na Ukrajin\u011b a posoudit jeho ochotu vyjedn\u00e1vat o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed lid\u00e9 obezn\u00e1men\u00ed s touto problematikou.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

V reakci na dotazy vl\u00e1dy analytici CIA vypracovali hodnocen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 podle n\u011bkolika lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy vid\u011bli, dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Trump by mohl naj\u00edt zp\u016fsoby, jak s Putinem vyjedn\u00e1vat.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pochvala INR, kter\u00fd provedli spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 posouzen\u00ed hned na za\u010d\u00e1tku:<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto roku vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila pochybnosti o ochot\u011b rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladimira Putina vyjedn\u00e1vat o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a distancovala se od optimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edho hodnocen\u00ed \u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby (CIA) ohledn\u011b mo\u017en\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f, uvedla \u0159ada sou\u010dasn\u00fdch i b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Analytici z \u00da\u0159adu pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby a v\u00fdzkum (INR) ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili tento opa\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1zor v hodnocen\u00edch a briefingech v m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch sch\u016fzce prezidenta Trumpa s jeho rusk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem v srpnu v Anchorage na Alja\u0161ce. Podle sou\u010dasn\u00fdch i b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f se tento odli\u0161n\u00fd n\u00e1zor objevil i v denn\u00edch briefingech prezidenta.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

A jak Trump reagoval na tuto studenou sprchu od INR? Podle \u010dl\u00e1nku Washington Post z b\u0159ezna z toho prezident Trump nebyl nad\u0161en\u00fd:<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e1 americk\u00e1 hodnocen\u00ed Putinovy \u200b\u200bne\u00fastupnosti z\u0159ejm\u011b Trumpa dr\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed, uvedl dal\u0161\u00ed zdroj obezn\u00e1men\u00fd s touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed. Trump a jeho poradci v posledn\u00edch dnech dokonce nastolili mo\u017enost zaveden\u00ed nov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdch sankc\u00ed proti Rusku, pokud by odm\u00edtlo souhlasit s ukon\u010den\u00edm v\u00e1lky. Neup\u0159esnili, co by tyto sankce znamenaly, a\u010dkoli Trump ve st\u0159edu prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee by mohly b\u00fdt \u201ezdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Jak kdysi poznamenal Yogi Berra: \u201eTohle je zase d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu.\u201c S\u00e1m jsem se kdysi stal ter\u010dem prezidentovy nelibosti kv\u016fli zpravodajsk\u00fdm anal\u00fdz\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 odporovaly p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu o preferovan\u00e9 politice, tak\u017ee se dok\u00e1\u017eu s tlakem na analytiky INR dob\u0159e s\u017e\u00edt. RBC-Ukrajina tento t\u00fdden poskytla dal\u0161\u00ed podrobnosti o pokusech INR j\u00edt proti p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edmu n\u00e1zoru ve Washingtonu:<\/span><\/p>\n

WSJ rovn\u011b\u017e informuje, \u017ee na ja\u0159e roku 2025 \u0161\u00e9f ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed analytik\u016fm b\u011bhem porady sd\u011blil, \u017ee prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed neshody podkop\u00e1vaj\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost INR mezi vl\u00e1dn\u00edmi \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edky. V \u010dervenci pak byli propu\u0161t\u011bni t\u0159i analytici ze skupiny Rusko-Eurasie a dal\u0161\u00ed analytik rezignoval.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Podle b\u00fdval\u00fdch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed zru\u0161ilo zpravodajsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad, kter\u00fd spolupracoval s experty ze soukrom\u00e9ho sektoru, a tak\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ad odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za zve\u0159ej\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed pro jejich sd\u00edlen\u00ed se spojenci. Ministerstvo tak\u00e9 slou\u010dilo skupiny INR pro Evropu a pro Rusko a Eurasii a n\u011bkolik evropsk\u00fdch analytik\u016f bylo bu\u010f propu\u0161t\u011bno, nebo p\u0159e\u0159azeno.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Existuje odhodlan\u00e1 skupina politik\u016f a analytik\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed trvaj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee USA a NATO mohou vyvinout na Vladimira Putina dostate\u010dn\u00fd tlak, aby ho donutily p\u0159ijmout p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a kyjev\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159\u00edznivci v Kongresu opakovan\u011b vyz\u00fdvali Trumpa, aby vyvinul tlak na Rusko prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dod\u00e1vek zbran\u00ed a sankc\u00ed a donutil tak Moskvu souhlasit s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm a m\u00edrov\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi. Ozn\u00e1men\u00edm sankc\u00ed proti rusk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem Trump poprv\u00e9 splnil svou hrozbu uvalen\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdch sankc\u00ed na Moskvu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Podle evropsk\u00fdch diplomat\u016f, b\u00fdval\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a expert\u016f by nov\u00e9 sankce proti Rusku, \u00fatoky dron\u016f ze strany Ukrajiny na rusk\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 a plyn\u00e1rensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a evropsk\u00e9 snahy o poskytnut\u00ed v\u00edce zbran\u00ed ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m v Kyjev\u011b mohly \u010dasem zm\u011bnit v\u00fdpo\u010dty Kremlu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

To se nestane. Je na\u010dase, aby se prezident Trump a jeho t\u00fdm n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti probudili a p\u0159ijali fakt, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad nem\u016f\u017ee nic ud\u011blat pro zm\u011bnu rusk\u00e9ho deklarovan\u00e9ho z\u00e1m\u011bru demilitarizovat a denacifikovat Ukrajinu\u2026 NIC! Jedin\u00e1 dohoda, kterou Rusko zv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, je ta, kterou Putin loni p\u0159edlo\u017eil rusk\u00e9mu ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed. 14. \u010dervna 2024 prezident Vladimir Putin prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Rusko ukon\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b pouze tehdy, pokud Kyjev vzd\u00e1 v\u0161echny \u010dty\u0159i oblasti \u2013 Don\u011bcku, Luhansku, Chersonu a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed \u2013 pod ruskou kontrolu a ofici\u00e1ln\u011b se z\u0159ekne jak\u00e9hokoli z\u00e1m\u011bru vstoupit do NATO. Putin po\u017eadoval, aby Ukrajina st\u00e1hla sv\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly z t\u011bchto oblast\u00ed v r\u00e1mci cel\u00fdch jejich administrativn\u00edch hranic (v\u010detn\u011b oblast\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti nejsou okupov\u00e1ny rusk\u00fdmi vojsky), form\u00e1ln\u011b potvrdila svou neutralitu a p\u0159ijala demilitarizaci. Trval tak\u00e9 na tom, aby z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b jako sou\u010d\u00e1st jak\u00e9koli dohody zru\u0161ily sankce proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho nezn\u00e1m\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu analytici CIA ignoruj\u00ed to, co Putin a zbytek jeho administrativy \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed u\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e rok. Tito pom\u00fdlen\u00ed analytici jsou v\u0161ak jen \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed probl\u00e9mu\u2026 Donald Trump a jeho t\u00fdm n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti se nad\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed iluze, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohou ovlivnit Rusko a donutit Putina, aby se pod\u0159\u00eddil Z\u00e1padu. To se nestane!<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u011bhem m\u00e9 ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 cesty do Ruska se mezi m\u00fdmi partnery opakovalo t\u00e9ma, jak Z\u00e1pad nepochopil,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91351,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2145,22,125,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91350"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91350"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91350\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}