{"id":91018,"date":"2025-10-31T00:24:28","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T23:24:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=91018"},"modified":"2025-10-30T10:55:49","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T09:55:49","slug":"andrew-korybko-usa-planuji-vest-intenzivnejsi-zastupnou-valku-proti-rusku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/31\/andrew-korybko-usa-planuji-vest-intenzivnejsi-zastupnou-valku-proti-rusku\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: USA pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed v\u00e9st intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku proti Rusku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ka\u017ed\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b Trumpovy nov\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e9 strategie proti Rusku m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 nev\u00fdhody.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trumpova\u00a0<\/span>posledn\u00ed eskalace\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v\u016f\u010di Rusku m\u011bla podobu uvalen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdch sankc\u00ed na dv\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, zru\u0161en\u00ed pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 sch\u016fzky s Putinem a nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee se nesejdou znovu, pokud to nebude kv\u016fli finalizaci dohody o Ukrajin\u011b. Wall Street Journal (WSJ) psal o d\u016fsledc\u00edch jeho zm\u011bny postoje\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a nazna\u010doval, \u017ee p\u0159edznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americkou z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku proti Rusku. Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek se stru\u010dn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na to, jakou formu by to mohlo m\u00edt a jak\u00e1 je pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fasp\u011bchu.<\/span><\/p>\n

WSJ se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee \u201erevoluce dron\u016f\u2026 znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 ze stran pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nedos\u00e1hne v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch \u00fazemn\u00edch krok\u016f\u201c, ale nezmi\u0148uje se, \u017ee je to tak\u00e9 zp\u016fsobeno pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed podporou NATO Ukrajin\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1kupu americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed blokem za plnou cenu za \u00fa\u010delem jejich transferu do Ukrajiny podle nov\u00e9ho sch\u00e9matu z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta. Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to faktick\u00e9 rovnov\u00e1hy dron\u016f a konven\u010dn\u00edch sil, kter\u00e1 je d\u00e1na nepostradatelnou podporou Ukrajiny ze strany NATO, je proto nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou USA, pokud cht\u011bj\u00ed \u010dasem oslabit s\u00edlu Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druhou \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b Trumpovy nov\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e9 strategie proti Rusku je striktn\u00ed vynucov\u00e1n\u00ed dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sankc\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o\u00a0<\/span><\/a>rusk\u00e9 indick\u00e9 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 partnery, kte\u0159\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b tvo\u0159\u00ed j\u00e1dro skupiny BRICS (Regional Indica India), s c\u00edlem v\u00fdrazn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit toky rusk\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f. C\u00edlem je p\u0159ipravit p\u016fdu pro socioekonomick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my v Rusku a z\u00e1rove\u0148 postupn\u011b naru\u0161ovat jeho status velmoci, pokud Indie, \u010c\u00edna a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b za\u010dnou dr\u017eet Rusko v odstupu, aby se vyhnuly drtiv\u00fdm sank\u010dn\u00edm cl\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b, posledn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st si klade za c\u00edl podn\u011bcovat nepokoje v Rusku zhor\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm jeho v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch socioekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 podpory dal\u0161\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti ropn\u00fdm rafineri\u00edm a dal\u0161\u00ed kritick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e v domn\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee rapidn\u011b se zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 obr\u00e1t\u00ed obyvatelstvo proti Putinovi. My\u0161lenka je takov\u00e1, \u017ee politick\u00fd tlak zdola by doplnil ekonomick\u00fd, politick\u00fd a vojensk\u00fd tlak ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed, aby ho donutil zmrazit frontu bez jak\u00fdchkoli \u00fastupk\u016f ze strany Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Trumpovy nov\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e9 strategie proti Rusku m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 nev\u00fdhody. Po\u010d\u00ednaje prvn\u00ed, finan\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e za udr\u017een\u00ed faktick\u00e9 rovnov\u00e1hy sil v t\u00e9to z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce dopad\u00e1 na Evropu, jej\u00ed\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by mohly d\u00e1t p\u0159ednost sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na americk\u00e9 zbran\u011b pro Ukrajinu ve prosp\u011bch dopln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1sob. Roste tak\u00e9 z\u00e1jem o up\u0159ednostn\u011bn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9ho vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho komplexu p\u0159ed americk\u00fdm. Nelze proto br\u00e1t jako samoz\u0159ejmost, \u017ee frontov\u00e9 linie budou trvat donekone\u010dna.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o druh\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad, zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>bylo vysv\u011btleno,\u00a0<\/span>pro\u010d se neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Indie a \u010c\u00edna zcela p\u0159estanou dov\u00e1\u017eet ruskou energii, a to proto, \u017ee prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen by po\u0161kodil jejich ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst v\u00edce ne\u017e sank\u010dn\u00ed americk\u00e1 cla. Ani jedna z nich se nechce Ruska zbavit s rizikem, \u017ee by jej\u00ed rival pos\u00edlil vazby s n\u00edm, co\u017e by pak mohlo b\u00fdt jejich \u00fakor. I kdy\u017e by se toky zahrani\u010dn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f Ruska mohly sn\u00ed\u017eit, jeho finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky mohou konflikt financovat je\u0161t\u011b minim\u00e1ln\u011b n\u011bkolik let, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se odd\u00e1lil dopad sankc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b, rusk\u00fd lid z\u016fstal klidn\u00fd b\u011bhem mnohem t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00edch dob druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a po rozpadu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu, ne\u017e jak\u00e9 by mohl za\u017e\u00edt v d\u016fsledku rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na jejich kritickou infrastrukturu, tak\u017ee se neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee by se zapojoval do v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f. Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slo\u017eky jsou tak\u00e9 dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9, aby se vypo\u0159\u00e1daly s \u010d\u00edmkoli, co by se mohlo v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vyvinout. Z t\u011bchto d\u016fvod\u016f pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 z\u00e1stupn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti Rusku s c\u00edlem vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, ale i tak by mohla zp\u016fsobit ur\u010dit\u00e9 \u0161kody.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b Trumpovy nov\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e9 strategie proti Rusku m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 nev\u00fdhody. Trumpova\u00a0posledn\u00ed eskalace\u00a0v\u016f\u010di Rusku…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91019,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,37,5808],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91018"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91018\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}