{"id":90992,"date":"2025-10-30T06:07:50","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T05:07:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90992"},"modified":"2025-10-30T06:07:50","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T05:07:50","slug":"michael-svatos-proc-putin-neuzavre-mir-a-valka-jeste-rok-potrva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/30\/michael-svatos-proc-putin-neuzavre-mir-a-valka-jeste-rok-potrva\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Pro\u010d Putin neuzav\u0159e m\u00edr, a v\u00e1lka je\u0161t\u011b rok potrv\u00e1?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
V\u010dera Putin\u016fv osobn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd posel Kirill Dmitriev vyhl\u00e1sil v Saudsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii<\/a>, kam se hbit\u011b p\u0159esunul z USA, kde jednal s Trumpov\u00fdmi m\u00edrov\u00fdmi vyjednava\u010di, \u017ee m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b by mohl nastat n\u011bkdy v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce. A dal t\u00edm slu\u0161n\u011b z\u0159eteln\u011b najevo, \u017ee Zelenskyj bu\u010f do t\u00e9 doby kapituluje a p\u0159ijme v\u0161echny Putinovy po\u017eadavky bez remc\u00e1n\u00ed \u201cen bloc\u201d, a nebo se v\u00e1lka prot\u00e1hne hodn\u011b do pozdn\u00edho podzimu 2026.<\/header>\n
\n

V Rusku se toti\u017e nejpozd\u011bji 26. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026 mus\u00ed konat parlamentn\u00ed volby<\/a>, a ty rozhodnou, kdo budou nov\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 450-ti k\u0159esel v tamn\u00ed Dum\u011b, a budou budou v n\u00ed usilovn\u011b \u201cdumat\u201d a\u017e do roku 2031. Putinova strana Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko zat\u00edm v Dum\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed 324 k\u0159esel ze 450, a to d\u00e1v\u00e1 Putinovi jistotu poklidn\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed, kdy jeho vize i z\u00e1kony proch\u00e1zej\u00ed legislativou stejn\u011b snadno jako n\u016f\u017e m\u00e1slem.<\/p>\n

Kdo denn\u011b sleduje Putina, nemohl si v n\u011bkolika posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech nev\u0161imnout, \u017ee Gosudar najednou v\u0161ude sebou nos\u00ed a na obdiv vystavuje \u201cSvat\u00e9 Ikony\u201d, kter\u00e9 rusk\u00fdm v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016fm na Ukrajin\u011b v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u201cprokazateln\u011b\u201d zachr\u00e1nily n\u011bjak\u00e9 ty \u017eivoty. Nebo, \u017ee najednou svol\u00e1v\u00e1 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 porady s nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi vojev\u016fdci sv\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u201cosvoboditelsk\u00fdch\u201d opera\u010dn\u00edch skupin do posv\u00e1tn\u00fdch kostel\u016f Ruska zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch hrdinstv\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojsk, kde nav\u00edc le\u017e\u00ed ti carov\u00e9 a carevny, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159eci celou Ukrajinu osvobodili, a k Rusku sv\u00fdmi v\u00e1lkami proti Turk\u016fm, \u0160v\u00e9d\u016fm i Pol\u00e1k\u016fm slavn\u011b p\u0159ipojili.<\/p>\n

Putin je politick\u00e1 li\u0161ka \u201cpar excellence\u201d v\u0161emi mastmi hned n\u011bkolikr\u00e1te \u201cBohem\u201d pomazan\u00e1, a naprosto nic v jeho jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed nikdy impulsivn\u00ed, nato\u017e nahodil\u00e9, \u010di ned\u016fkladn\u011b prokalkulovan\u00e9. Jako letit\u00fd \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd vysok\u00fd rozv\u011bd\u010d\u00edk i vlada\u0159 supervelmoci se dokonale nau\u010dil, \u017ee spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 ovlivn\u011bn\u00ed politick\u00fdch proces\u016f z\u00e1kulisn\u00edmi operacemi nebo ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi medi\u00e1ln\u00edmi procesy je extr\u00e9mn\u011b \u010dasov\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd proces, t\u00edm slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm v\u00edc se ekonomick\u00e1 i soci\u00e1ln\u00ed realita stav\u00ed zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00fdm kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm do cesty.\u00a0 (Jak jsou takov\u00e9to operace \u010dasov\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 a delik\u00e1tn\u00ed, kr\u00e1sn\u011b, a\u010dkoli s typickou ruskou vlastenecko-n\u00e1rodoveckou nads\u00e1zkou, kter\u00e1 od p\u00e1t\u00e9ho d\u00edlu siln\u011b kaz\u00ed jinak perfektn\u00ed dojem, ukazuje tento nov\u00fd rusk\u00fd vysoce-rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd osmid\u00edln\u00fd seri\u00e1l \u2013 zde na YouTube d\u00edly\u00a01 a\u017e 4<\/a>, a\u00a05 a\u017e 8<\/a>, \u2013\u00a0o vskutku geni\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0161\u00e9fovi Stalinovy zahrani\u010dn\u00ed rozv\u011bdky.)<\/p>\n

Putin m\u00e1 p\u0159ed parlamentn\u00edmi volbami, a ty, a nebo jeho v\u011bk a zdrav\u00ed, jsou u\u017e z\u0159ejm\u011b jedin\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, kter\u00e9 mohou naru\u0161it \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dnou etapu jeho vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed Rusku, a postupn\u00e9ho p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed sv\u011bta podle jeho viz\u00ed. \u201cHlavn\u00ed probl\u00e9m svobodn\u00fdch voleb p\u0159edstavuje skute\u010dnost, \u017ee nikdy dop\u0159edu nev\u00edte, jak dopadnou<\/em>.<\/a>\u201c, je zn\u00e1m\u00fd cit\u00e1t p\u0159ipisovan\u00fd Vja\u010deslavu Molotovovi, a nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 parlamentn\u00ed volby v roce 2026 maj\u00ed evidentn\u011b natolik slu\u0161n\u00fd potenci\u00e1l tento Molotovov\u016fv postul\u00e1t ztvrdit, \u017ee Putin u\u017e letos za\u010dal adaptovat svoji politiku, i chov\u00e1n\u00ed, aby potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm volebn\u00edm zm\u011bn\u00e1m ve slo\u017een\u00ed budouc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 Dumy zabr\u00e1nil.<\/p>\n

Putin je v z\u00e1sad\u011b velmi opatrn\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk, a nikdy se neriskuje, \u017ee by mohl neusp\u011bt. A to znamen\u00e1, ve vnit\u0159n\u00ed rusk\u00e9 politice v\u010das odstra\u0148ovat, nebo umen\u0161ovat, v\u0161echny potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozby. V roce 2023 po stabilizaci fronty po \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edv\u011b z p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00e9ho roku eliminoval a nebo zmen\u0161il vliv n\u011bkolika skupin potenci\u00e1ln\u011b ru\u0161iv\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch element\u016f. C\u00edlem jeho r\u016fzn\u011b odstup\u0148ovan\u00e9 elimina\u010dn\u00ed politiky se postupn\u011b stali:\u00a0 Jak \u201cvojen\u0161t\u00ed podnikatel\u00e9\u201d, kte\u0159\u00ed z\u00edskali p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fd vliv, a dostali pod kontrolou vlastn\u00ed relativn\u011b siln\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 formace \u2013 Prigo\u017ein a Kadyrov. Tak r\u016fzn\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed ortodoxn\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9, absolutn\u011b nech\u00e1paj\u00edc\u00ed realitu rusk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomiky, kterou mus\u00ed Rusko bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b akceptovat za mantinely sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f, aby m\u011blo \u0161anci usp\u011bt \u2013 Strelkov. Tak gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 p\u0159esp\u0159\u00edli\u0161 okat\u011b zv\u00fdraz\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd n\u00e1vrat sov\u011btsk\u00e9 minulosti prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v ukrajinsk\u00e9 SVO \u2013 Surovikin, a Lapin. Tak vlivov\u00e9 osoby disponuj\u00edc\u00ed nebezpe\u010dn\u011b rostouc\u00edm vlivov\u00fdm dosahem na rusk\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex \u2013 \u0160ojgu. Do t\u00e9to kategorie eliminac\u00ed sice pat\u0159\u00ed i trp\u011bliv\u00e9,\u00a0 pe\u010dliv\u00e9 a hlavn\u011b neust\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed odstra\u0148ovan\u00ed v\u0161ech potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch rusk\u00fdch liber\u00e1ln\u00edch politick\u00fdch dobrodruh\u016f a novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f \u2013 typicky Navalnyj. Ov\u0161em tento Putin\u016fv trend byl u\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou obecn\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fd, kde\u017eto p\u0159edchoz\u00ed nikoli, a\u010dkoli i ortodoxn\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 u\u017e tou dobou byli podrobeni ur\u010dit\u00e9 form\u011b \u201claskav\u00e9 eliminace v rukavi\u010dk\u00e1ch\u201d.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f Putin, evidentn\u011b pod vlivem rostouc\u00edch ztr\u00e1t, a ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f proti rusk\u00fdm rafineri\u00edm, nasm\u011broval sv\u00e9 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed zobrazov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011bji sm\u011brem ke tradi\u010dn\u00edmu\u00a0 rusk\u00e9mu vlastenectv\u00ed a nacionalismu, k rusk\u00e9mu ortodoxn\u00edmu n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, i k ochran\u011b tradi\u010dn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch rodinn\u00fdch hodnot. Tyto Putinovy projevy maj\u00ed jasn\u00fd c\u00edl, ukr\u00e1st hlavn\u00ed v\u011btry dosud nafukuj\u00edc\u00ed politick\u00e9 plachty v\u0161em rusk\u00fdm ortodoxn\u00edm nacionalist\u016fm. Ti trvale \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Putinovy chr\u00e1n\u011bnce Elv\u00edru Nabiullinovou, na n\u00ed\u017e svaluj\u00ed vysokou inflaci, ani\u017e sami ch\u00e1pou ekonomickou realitu. Na Valerije Gerasimova, na n\u011bj\u017e h\u00e1z\u00ed ostudn\u011b pomal\u00fd postup rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d Ukrajinou, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jejich jedin\u00e9 n\u00e1pady \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed rychl\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 mas\u00e1\u017e kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci, a po n\u00ed nemilosrdn\u00fd \u00fader mnohamilionov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy zmobilizovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch mlad\u00edk\u016f. A tyto sv\u00e9 vize prokl\u00e1daj\u00ed stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edmi se po\u017eadavky na vypuzen\u00ed v\u0161ech imigrant\u016f nerusk\u00e9ho p\u016fvodu, a z\u00e1sadn\u00ed revizi dosavadn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edv\u011btiv\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu k muslimsk\u00e9 v\u00ed\u0159e v Rusku. Pokud Lapin a dal\u0161\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 jemn\u011b odkazovali na sov\u011btskou minulost, pak sou\u010dasn\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 sn\u00ed o obnoven\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00edho rozsahu rusk\u00e9 carsk\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e, a snad jen o Polsko, a Finsko zat\u00edm nestoj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Putin tedy nem\u016f\u017ee do kon\u00e1n\u00ed parlamentn\u00edch voleb v roce 2026 uzav\u0159\u00edt m\u00edr, kter\u00fd by neznamenal absolutn\u00ed jasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, proto\u017ee ortodoxn\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 by mohli ve volb\u00e1ch usp\u011bt, a destabilizovat tak dosavadn\u00ed jednotu rusk\u00e9 Dumy. A jestli n\u011bco Putin vrcholn\u011b nesn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed, tak nejistotu.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u010dera Putin\u016fv osobn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd posel Kirill Dmitriev vyhl\u00e1sil v Saudsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, kam se hbit\u011b p\u0159esunul…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74261,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,102,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90992"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90992\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}