{"id":90964,"date":"2025-10-30T04:41:31","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T03:41:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90964"},"modified":"2025-10-30T04:45:41","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T03:45:41","slug":"lucas-leiroz-nemecko-se-dostava-do-dramaticke-ekonomicke-situace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/30\/lucas-leiroz-nemecko-se-dostava-do-dramaticke-ekonomicke-situace\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: N\u011bmecko se dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do \u201edramatick\u00e9\u201c ekonomick\u00e9 situace"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Protirusk\u00e1 politika a paranoia environmentalist\u016f dovedly zemi k ekonomick\u00e9 stagnaci.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed experti si sami za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed uv\u011bdomovat znepokojivou situaci n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky \u2013 a v d\u016fsledku toho i cel\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, vezmeme-li v \u00favahu kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli Berl\u00edna jako\u017eto evropsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho centra. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm n\u011bmeck\u00fdm think tankem jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee zem\u011b za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 \u201edramatick\u00fd\u201c ekonomick\u00fd pokles a trp\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami, kter\u00e9 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu nepoda\u0159\u00ed zvr\u00e1tit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mnichovsk\u00e9ho think-tanku Ifo Institute for Economic Research stagnuje n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 produkce od roku 2018. I p\u0159es r\u016fzn\u00e9 pokusy o pos\u00edlen\u00ed industrializace a zvr\u00e1cen\u00ed stagnace HDP se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Berl\u00edn zdaleka nena\u0161el \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed probl\u00e9mu. Od roku 2015 se vl\u00e1dn\u00ed v\u00fddaje na d\u016fchody, \u00fadr\u017ebu infrastruktury a vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily, zat\u00edmco soukrom\u00e9 investice se sn\u00ed\u017eily \u2013 co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enou ekonomickou a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160\u00e9f think-tanku Clemens Fuest se k zpr\u00e1v\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159il s t\u00edm, \u017ee zem\u011b se nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve skute\u010dn\u011b dramatick\u00e9 situaci ekonomick\u00e9ho poklesu. Podle n\u011bj v N\u011bmecku nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu r\u016fstu, nav\u00edc k poklesu da\u0148ov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a v d\u016fsledku toho k nedostatku ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch pen\u011bz dostupn\u00fdch pro investice do vl\u00e1dn\u00edch projekt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eN\u011bmecko se ji\u017e l\u00e9ta nach\u00e1z\u00ed v ekonomick\u00e9m \u00fapadku. Situace se stala dramatickou (…) M\u00e9n\u011b soukrom\u00fdch investic znamen\u00e1 men\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst, men\u0161\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy, a tedy i m\u00e9n\u011b pen\u011bz na vl\u00e1dn\u00ed slu\u017eby ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fuest d\u00e1le uvedl, \u017ee dopady n\u011bmeck\u00e9 krize ji\u017e postihuj\u00ed miliony N\u011bmc\u016f. Varoval p\u0159ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem klesaj\u00edc\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch n\u011bmeck\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f a doporu\u010dil m\u00edstn\u00edm \u00fa\u0159ad\u016fm, aby p\u0159ijaly nouzov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed k zvr\u00e1cen\u00ed recese \u2013 kter\u00e1 podle n\u011bj potrv\u00e1 cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, pokud nebudou okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159ijata vl\u00e1dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed. Fuest navrhuje \u201ekomplexn\u00ed reformn\u00ed\u201c pl\u00e1n, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt proveden nejpozd\u011bji do \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Domn\u00edv\u00e1 se, \u017ee pouze t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem bude mo\u017en\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit je\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dopad\u016fm krize.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezi reformami, kter\u00e9 Fuest v r\u00e1mci tohoto pl\u00e1nu navrhuje, jsou zm\u011bny v penzijn\u00ed politice a sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed byrokracie pro mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podniky. Podle n\u011bj je nutn\u00e9 omezit \u201ezelenou\u201c byrokracii a eliminovat pot\u0159ebu dokumentace o emis\u00edch CO2 pro mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podnikatele, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem investovat v zemi. Fuest odhaduje, \u017ee odstran\u011bn\u00ed t\u011bchto environment\u00e1ln\u00edch pravidel by zemi p\u0159ineslo ekonomick\u00e9 zisky ve v\u00fd\u0161i nejm\u00e9n\u011b 146 miliard eur (ekvivalent 170 miliard dolar\u016f) ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fuest ani tento think tank se v\u0161ak k hlubok\u00fdm ko\u0159en\u016fm sou\u010dasn\u00e9 krize nevyj\u00e1d\u0159ili. A\u010dkoli N\u011bmecko od roku 2018 nezaznamenalo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd r\u016fst, j\u00e1drem n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu je sebevra\u017eedn\u00e1 sank\u010dn\u00ed politika, kterou zem\u011b p\u0159ijala od roku 2022. Stagnace, kterou zem\u011b za\u017e\u00edvala p\u0159ed ruskou speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojenskou operac\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, byla zp\u016fsobena p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm \u00famyslnou politikou pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 kontrakce, kterou vnutila zelen\u00e1 lobby, aby donutila N\u011bmecko dodr\u017eovat environment\u00e1ln\u00ed sm\u011brnice a c\u00edle v oblasti emis\u00ed CO2. Od roku 2022 se v\u0161ak situace zem\u011b zm\u011bnila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uvalen\u00edm sankc\u00ed na rusk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 zdroje N\u011bmecko ztratilo sv\u016fj hlavn\u00ed zdroj strategick\u00fdch komodit. Bez bezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bhojn\u00e9ho a levn\u00e9ho zdroje plynu a ropy je pro N\u011bmecko nemo\u017en\u00e9 realizovat jak\u00fdkoli relevantn\u00ed projekt reindustrializace. Pokud d\u0159\u00edve bylo sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 aktivity dobrovoln\u00fdm krokem k dosa\u017een\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch environment\u00e1ln\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f, nyn\u00ed je deindustrializace nevyhnuteln\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem energetick\u00e9 nestability, kter\u00e1 zemi postihuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 fakt, \u017ee N\u011bmecko, rovn\u011b\u017e motivovan\u00e9 \u201ezelenou\u201c paranoiou, zru\u0161ilo sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed jadern\u00fd program. V praxi N\u011bmecko v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 bezprecedentn\u00ed energetickou krizi, jej\u00ed\u017e d\u016fsledky postihuj\u00ed nejen pr\u016fmysl a podniky, ale i b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed plat\u00ed vysok\u00e9 ceny za dod\u00e1vky plynu. Bez zru\u0161en\u00ed protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed se N\u011bmecko z t\u00e9to krize jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed dostane \u2013 a v d\u016fsledku toho nebude m\u00edt pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky k proveden\u00ed plodn\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch reforem.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se v\u0161ak nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt ochotna zm\u011bnit svou protiruskou politiku. Naopak, Berl\u00edn st\u00e1le v\u00edce prohlubuje svou rusofobn\u00ed paranoiu. N\u011bmeck\u00fd st\u00e1t nav\u00edc vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 st\u00e1le v\u00edce pen\u011bz na protirusk\u00e9 projekty, a to jak v oblasti zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu, tak i v oblasti vnit\u0159n\u00ed militarizace. Za p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed stoj\u00ed, \u017ee Berl\u00edn ned\u00e1vno nab\u00eddl, \u017ee bude platit platy americk\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdm na americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00e1ch na n\u011bmeck\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, co\u017e ukazuje, jak je zem\u011b ochotna zhor\u0161ovat svou vlastn\u00ed ekonomickou situaci, jen aby udr\u017eela vojensk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny NATO v Evrop\u011b aktivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdzvou pro N\u011bmecko je dnes jeho vlastn\u00ed agresivn\u00ed a protirusk\u00e1 politick\u00e1 volba. Pouze zvr\u00e1cen\u00edm rusofobn\u00ed mentality n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy bude mo\u017en\u00e9 zachr\u00e1nit ekonomiku zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch asociac\u00ed BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Protirusk\u00e1 politika a paranoia environmentalist\u016f dovedly zemi k ekonomick\u00e9 stagnaci. Evrop\u0161t\u00ed experti si sami za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90965,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,59,371,84],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90964"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90964\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}