{"id":90896,"date":"2025-10-29T06:06:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T05:06:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90896"},"modified":"2025-10-29T06:06:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T05:06:07","slug":"german-gorraiz-lopez-je-koridor-suwalki-a-kaliningrad-achillovou-patou-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/29\/german-gorraiz-lopez-je-koridor-suwalki-a-kaliningrad-achillovou-patou-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez: Je koridor Suwalki a Kaliningrad Achillovou patou NATO?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Otec argentinsk\u00e9 \u00fastavy Juan Bautista Alberdi ve sv\u00e9 knize\u00a0<\/span>Zlo\u010din v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/em>\u00a0z roku 1872 prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201ev\u00e1lky budou vz\u00e1cn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee odpov\u011bdnost za jejich n\u00e1sledky ponesou v\u0161ichni, kdo je \u017eiv\u00ed a podn\u011bcuj\u00ed.\u201c To t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o stolet\u00ed p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed konec jadern\u00e9 eskalace, kter\u00e1 dos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9ho vrcholu b\u011bhem kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize a vyvrcholila podpisem Dohody o pozastaven\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zkou\u0161ek Kennedym a Chru\u0161\u010dovem (1962) a zaveden\u00edm doktr\u00edny m\u00edrov\u00e9ho sou\u017eit\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po ukrajinsk\u00e9m konfliktu jsme v\u0161ak byli sv\u011bdky n\u00e1vratu studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi Ruskem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty (studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka 2.0), odstoupen\u00ed USA od Smlouvy o likvidaci raket st\u0159edn\u00edho a st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu (INF) a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 reaktivace jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Nelze vylou\u010dit ani t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Suvalsk\u00fd koridor, Achillova pata NATO. Suvalsk\u00fd koridor, zn\u00e1m\u00fd tak\u00e9 jako \u201eSuvalsk\u00e1 propast\u201c, je \u00fazk\u00fd p\u00e1s \u00fazem\u00ed dlouh\u00fd p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 65 a\u017e 100 km, kter\u00fd odd\u011bluje Polsko od Litvy. Tato oblast je na v\u00fdchod\u011b ohrani\u010dena B\u011bloruskem (rusk\u00fdm spojencem) a na z\u00e1pad\u011b ruskou enkl\u00e1vou Kaliningrad, co\u017e z n\u00ed \u010din\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd strategick\u00fd bod pro NATO. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hypotetick\u00e9ho konfliktu mezi Ruskem a NATO by rusk\u00e1 kontrola nad t\u00edmto koridorem mohla izolovat pobaltsk\u00e9 zem\u011b (Litvu, Loty\u0161sko a Estonsko) od zbytku Aliance a od\u0159\u00edznout tak jedinou pozemn\u00ed cestu pro posily z Polska a z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy. To by usnadnilo v\u00fdstavbu pozemn\u00edho mostu mezi Kaliningradem a B\u011bloruskem a pos\u00edlilo by tak ruskou pozici v Pobalt\u00ed. Region je \u0159\u00eddce os\u00eddlen\u00fd a zalesn\u011bn\u00fd, s kopci, jezery a \u0159ekami, kter\u00e9 br\u00e1n\u00ed rychl\u00e9mu postupu tank\u016f. Jeho omezen\u00e1 silni\u010dn\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 (zejm\u00e9na Via Baltica a \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed tra\u0165) jej v\u0161ak \u010din\u00ed zraniteln\u00fdm v\u016f\u010di rychl\u00fdm blok\u00e1d\u00e1m. Rusko se v minulosti pokou\u0161elo vyjednat extrateritori\u00e1ln\u00ed koridory, ale Polsko, Litva a EU to odm\u00edtly. V roce 2022 se zes\u00edlily obavy ze sankc\u00ed ovliv\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edch tranzit do Kaliningradu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stane se Kaliningrad epicentrem nov\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize? D\u00edky sv\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 poloze je Kaliningradsk\u00e1 oblast ide\u00e1ln\u00ed platformou pro elektronickou \u0161pion\u00e1\u017e a raketov\u00e9 baterie ur\u010den\u00e9 k monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed a neutralizaci mo\u017en\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, co\u017e z n\u00ed \u010din\u00ed c\u00edl preventivn\u00edho prvn\u00edho \u00faderu. B\u00fdval\u00fd vrchn\u00ed velitel NATO v Evrop\u011b James Stavridis tak v \u010dl\u00e1nku publikovan\u00e9m agenturou Bloomberg\u00a0<\/span>popisuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Kaliningrad jako \u201egeografick\u00fd kl\u00edn mezi Estonskem, Loty\u0161skem, Litvou a zbytkem NATO\u201c, co\u017e \u010din\u00ed nezbytn\u00fdm \u201ejeho neutralizaci v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu s Ruskem, aby Suvalsk\u00fd koridor, kter\u00fd vede pod\u00e9l litevsko-polsk\u00e9 hranice, nespadl pod kontrolu Moskvy\u201c. Pot\u00e9, co USA v kv\u011btnu 2016 zah\u00e1jily p\u00e1tou f\u00e1zi rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu protiraketov\u00e9 obrany (EuroDAM) a zprovoznily syst\u00e9m protiraketov\u00e9 obrany Aegis Ashore na rumunsk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b v Deveselu, pouh\u00fdch 600 km od Krymsk\u00e9ho poloostrova, Rusko p\u0159istoupilo k instalaci raket Iskander vybaven\u00fdch v\u00edce\u00fa\u010delov\u00fdmi hlavicemi a protiletadlov\u00fdch raket S-400 v Kaliningradu. Kaliningradsk\u00e1 oblast tak podle pozorovatel\u016f op\u011bt bude hr\u00e1t roli d\u011bla m\u00ed\u0159\u00edc\u00edho Evrop\u011b do hlavy, stejn\u011b jako p\u0159ed dvaceti lety.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00a0<\/span>poselstv\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0rusk\u00e9mu Feder\u00e1ln\u00edmu shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed Putin varoval NATO, \u017ee \u201eRusko by mohlo pou\u017e\u00edt i hypersonickou raketu Cirkon, kter\u00e1 s rychlost\u00ed Mach 8 a odpalovan\u00e1 z ponorek dok\u00e1\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout jak\u00e9hokoli americk\u00e9ho velitelsk\u00e9ho centra za p\u011bt minut, stejn\u011b jako \u0159\u00edzenou st\u0159elu Burevestnik a jadern\u00fd podvodn\u00ed dron Poseidon.\u201c Geopolitick\u00e1 posedlost NATO podman\u011bn\u00edm si Ruska v\u0161ak jen zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed jeho ho\u0159kost v\u016f\u010di Putinovi. Pokud se NATO pokus\u00ed uzav\u0159\u00edt Kaliningradu p\u0159\u00edstup k Baltsk\u00e9mu mo\u0159i, mohla by se opakovat raketov\u00e1 krize Kennedyho a Chru\u0161\u010dova (\u0159\u00edjen 1962), jej\u00edm\u017e epicentrem byl Kaliningrad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez<\/a> , politick\u00fd analytik<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

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Otec argentinsk\u00e9 \u00fastavy Juan Bautista Alberdi ve sv\u00e9 knize\u00a0Zlo\u010din v\u00e1lky\u00a0z roku 1872 prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201ev\u00e1lky…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90897,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2675,39,3097],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90896"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90896\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}