{"id":90727,"date":"2025-10-27T00:30:53","date_gmt":"2025-10-26T23:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90727"},"modified":"2025-10-26T16:37:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T15:37:15","slug":"strategie-indie-tvari-v-tvar-trumpovym-sankcim-vuci-rusku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/27\/strategie-indie-tvari-v-tvar-trumpovym-sankcim-vuci-rusku\/","title":{"rendered":"Strategie Indie tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 Trumpov\u00fdm sankc\u00edm v\u016f\u010di Rusku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed signalizuje tich\u00fd vzdor pokus\u016fm USA diktovat jeho ropnou a obchodn\u00ed politiku<\/h3>\n

Je stejn\u011b dob\u0159e, \u017ee se indick\u00fd premi\u00e9r Narendra Modi rozhodl vynechat dvoudenn\u00ed summit v\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f v Kuala Lumpuru od 26. do 28. \u0159\u00edjna. Modi se spokojil s virtu\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed na summitu ASEANu, co\u017e je vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako jeho zp\u016fsob, jak se vyhnout osobn\u00edmu bilater\u00e1ln\u00edmu setk\u00e1n\u00ed s americk\u00fdm prezidentem Donaldem Trumpem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se spekulovalo, kdyby k osobn\u00edmu setk\u00e1n\u00ed mezi nimi do\u0161lo, Trump\u016fv dvoustrann\u00fd tlak na Indii, aby zastavila dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy, by se stal trojstrann\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 taktice \u201eubli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a okouzlov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c Trump na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b ve\u0159ejn\u011b varuje Indii p\u0159ed dovozem ropy z Ruska a hroz\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi cly; na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b tweetuje lichotiv\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy Mod\u00edmu, ve kter\u00fdch ho prohla\u0161uje za dobr\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edtele a skv\u011bl\u00e9ho v\u016fdce, a telefonuje mu, aby ho pozdravil p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostech, jako jsou jeho narozeniny a sv\u00e1tek Diwali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Modi se Trumpov\u00fdm zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m a v\u00fdzv\u00e1m sna\u017e\u00ed okouzlit jeho n\u00e1zor. Modiho slovn\u00ed reakce mohou b\u00fdt p\u0159ehnan\u00e9, ale jeho \u010diny ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee by tyto zdvo\u0159ilosti donutily USA ustoupit od ubli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Indii prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm cel. K tomu m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt pouze tehdy, pokud se Modi odm\u00edtne podvolit Trumpovu tlaku, jak se zd\u00e1, \u017ee d\u011bl\u00e1, a nesetk\u00e1 se s Trumpem osobn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d se Modi ne\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed tohoto d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra, jsou oslavy Deepavali (neboli Diwali). Toto vysv\u011btlen\u00ed v\u0161ak p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1 jen m\u00e1lo lid\u00ed. Pozorovatel\u00e9 poukazuj\u00ed na to, \u017ee se Modi tak\u00e9 vyhnul summitu o Gaze v Egypt\u011b, zjevn\u011b proto, aby se vyhnul Trumpovu zahn\u00e1n\u00ed do kouta. Pov\u011b\u0159il ministra zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed S. D\u017eaj\u0161ankara, aby Indii na v\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00e9m summitu zastupoval, zat\u00edmco do Egypta vyslal sv\u00e9ho n\u00e1m\u011bstka ministra.<\/span><\/p>\n

Modi je \u00fadajn\u011b na\u0161tvan\u00fd na Trumpa za to, \u017ee v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00edce ne\u017e 50kr\u00e1t prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee zprost\u0159edkoval p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem po kr\u00e1tk\u00e9, ale ostr\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 patov\u00e9 situaci mezi ob\u011bma asijsk\u00fdmi sousedy v kv\u011btnu leto\u0161n\u00edho roku. Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed to opakovan\u011b pop\u0159elo. A co h\u016f\u0159, Trump nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011btkr\u00e1t prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee ho Modi ujistil o zastaven\u00ed n\u00e1kupu ropy z Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o Modiho slibu ohledn\u011b tohoto kroku, pod hrozbou dal\u0161\u00edho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel, byla vyvol\u00e1na sankcemi v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem Rosn\u011bf\u0165 a Lukoil. Letos se z Moskvy dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b 34 % indick\u00e9 spot\u0159eby ropy a tito dva rusk\u00ed ropn\u00ed giganti se na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch pod\u00edlej\u00ed 60 %. Krom\u011b recipro\u010dn\u00edho cla ve v\u00fd\u0161i 25 %, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e plat\u00ed od 30. \u010dervence, USA uvalily na Indii dal\u0161\u00ed sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed clo ve v\u00fd\u0161i 25 % za n\u00e1kup rusk\u00e9 ropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sankce donut\u00ed spole\u010dnost Reliance Industries, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho indick\u00e9ho odb\u011bratele rusk\u00e9 ropy, sn\u00ed\u017eit dovoz. Ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem, jako je Indian Oil, by mohlo b\u00fdt \u201edoporu\u010deno\u201c, aby se p\u0159idaly k tomuto p\u0159\u00edkladu, a\u010dkoli nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 dohody s Rosn\u011bft\u00ed a Lukoilem. Prozat\u00edm by mohly pokra\u010dovat v n\u00e1kupu od zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016f. Dal\u0161\u00ed spole\u010dnost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 utrp\u011bla r\u00e1nu americk\u00fdmi sankcemi, je Nayara Energy, jedna z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch indick\u00fdch rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed, v n\u00ed\u017e Rosn\u011bft dr\u017e\u00ed 49,13% pod\u00edl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sankce v\u016f\u010di Rosn\u011bfti a Lukoilu znamenaj\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli subjekt, americk\u00fd nebo zahrani\u010dn\u00ed, kter\u00fd s t\u011bmito spole\u010dnostmi obchoduje, riskuje masivn\u00ed sankce. Zpr\u00e1vy uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee spole\u010dnost Reliance Industries, kter\u00e1 od vypuknut\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b v roce 2022 nakoupila ropu v hodnot\u011b 35 milion\u016f dolar\u016f, bude muset za\u010d\u00edt postupn\u011b sni\u017eovat dovoz a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b do 21. listopadu zastavit ve\u0161ker\u00fd dovoz z Ruska. Ve sv\u00e9m p\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed spole\u010dnost\u00a0<\/span>uvedla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee p\u0159ezkoum\u00e1v\u00e1 dopad z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed na sv\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 dodavatele a odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem uprav\u00ed sv\u00e9 operace a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zachov\u00e1 dom\u00e1c\u00ed energetickou bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1vislost bude velmi tvrd\u011b zasa\u017eena, a\u010dkoli velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st ropy, dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 za zv\u00fdhodn\u011bn\u00e9 ceny a j\u00ed rafinovan\u00e9 (na benz\u00edn, naftu a leteck\u00e9 palivo pro turb\u00edny), byla s dobr\u00fdm ziskem vyv\u00e1\u017eena do USA a Evropy. Spole\u010dnost, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 s Rosn\u011bft\u00ed 25letou smlouvu na n\u00e1kup 25 milion\u016f tun ropy ro\u010dn\u011b, \u00fadajn\u011b dovezla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 50 % z 1,8 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b dod\u00e1van\u00fdch do Indie. Absence zlevn\u011bn\u00e9 ropy z Ruska by podle b\u00fdval\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed mohla znamenat ztr\u00e1tu 5 a\u017e 6 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b. Trump tento krok popsal jako\u00a0<\/span>\u201epostupn\u00fd proces\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a uvedl, \u017ee Indie do konce roku\u00a0sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy\u00a0<\/span>\u201et\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 na nulu\u201c .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1vy hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, \u017ee v n\u00e1vaznosti na sankce uvalen\u00e9 USA na Rosn\u011bf\u0165 a Lukoil pozastavuj\u00ed velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti n\u00e1kup\u00a0<\/span>\u201erusk\u00e9 ropy p\u0159epravovan\u00e9 po mo\u0159i\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovy pokusy o velk\u00fd tlak na Indii a \u010c\u00ednu, aby postupn\u011b sni\u017eovaly a ukon\u010dovaly dovoz ropy z Ruska, maj\u00ed za c\u00edl p\u0159im\u011bt Moskvu k podroben\u00ed se a donutit ji k dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho p\u0159\u00edkazu ohledn\u011b dohody s Ukrajinou. Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pod rostouc\u00edm tlakem USA a Evropy neustoup\u00ed. Putin tento t\u00fdden jasn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 sebe\u00factyhodn\u00e1 zem\u011b a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd sebe\u00factyhodn\u00fd lid nikdy nerozhoduje o ni\u010dem pod tlakem\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd postoj by m\u011bl platit i pro Indii. Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 ekonomickou a vojenskou s\u00edlu \u010c\u00edny a Ruska, aby odolalo tlaku USA za ur\u010ditou hranici. Putin ost\u0159e ozna\u010dil sankce v\u016f\u010di dv\u011bma velk\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem za\u00a0<\/span>\u201enep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd akt\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201ebude m\u00edt ur\u010dit\u00e9 d\u016fsledky\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u0158ekl v\u0161ak, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201evelmi neovlivn\u00ed na\u0161i ekonomickou stabilitu\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0Tot\u00e9\u017e nelze \u0159\u00edci o dopadu sankc\u00ed na indickou ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed opakovan\u011b zd\u016fraznilo, \u017ee energetick\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnost je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 a \u017ee indick\u00fd dovoz z Ruska je diktov\u00e1n jej\u00edm n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmem na zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed stabiln\u00edch cen a bezpe\u010dn\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek energie. Vl\u00e1da ozna\u010dila Trumpova cla za\u00a0<\/span>\u201enespravedliv\u00e1, neod\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00e1 a nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e1\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0T\u0159en\u00ed zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 cly zastavilo pokrok v obchodn\u00ed dohod\u011b mezi Indi\u00ed a USA, a\u010dkoli jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch pokra\u010duj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 z t\u011bchto rozhovor\u016f Indii hloub\u011bji zatahuj\u00ed do situace, kdy by Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed mohlo jen t\u011b\u017eko \u010delit obrovsk\u00e9mu tlaku vyv\u00edjen\u00e9mu ze strany USA. To je patrn\u00e9 v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b z toho, \u017ee Indie souhlasila se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm dovozu rusk\u00e9 ropy, a\u010dkoli neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed slovo o tom, \u017ee by se tak stalo v souladu s Trumpov\u00fdm po\u017eadavkem; a \u017ee po\u017e\u00e1dala ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, aby odeb\u00edraly v\u00edce ropy z USA. Za druh\u00e9, Indie \u00fadajn\u011b souhlasila s otev\u0159en\u00edm sv\u00e9ho zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho sektoru pro americkou produkci, co\u017e vl\u00e1da dosud necht\u011bla ud\u011blat, proto\u017ee vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed dovoz zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f by mohl po\u0161kodit indick\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento v\u00fdvoj t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se dvou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch sektor\u016f \u2013 energetiky a zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed \u2013 je p\u0159ipisov\u00e1n ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b Trumpova nov\u00e9ho zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edho vyslance Sergia Gora v Indii. Gorova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva z\u0159ejm\u011b zm\u00edrnila odpor Nov\u00e9ho Dill\u00ed k udr\u017een\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho kurzu dovozu rusk\u00e9 ropy a neotev\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho sektoru americk\u00e9 produkci. Gor byl v Indii p\u011bt dn\u00ed, od 10. do 15. \u0159\u00edjna. 11. \u0159\u00edjna se setkal s Modim, D\u017eaj\u0161ankarem, poradcem pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Ajitem Dovalem a ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed Vikramem Misrim. Jen z\u0159\u00eddka se najde diplomat, kter\u00e9mu se poda\u0159ilo v\u00e9st tak intenzivn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni se \u010dty\u0159mi nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi p\u0159edstaviteli vl\u00e1dy b\u011bhem jedin\u00e9ho dne. Velvyslanci mus\u00ed po sv\u00e9m vysl\u00e1n\u00ed do Dill\u00ed \u010dekat na p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch pov\u011b\u0159ovac\u00edch listin t\u00fddny, ne-li m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Gor je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nominovan\u00fdm velvyslancem v Indii a \u00fa\u0159adu se m\u00e1 ujmout a\u017e v nov\u00e9m roce, m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed roli jako Trump\u016fv zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec pro ji\u017en\u00ed a st\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, co\u017e mu ukl\u00e1d\u00e1 povinnost jednat s P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, Banglad\u00e9\u0161em, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nem a st\u00e1ty St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gor nen\u00ed kari\u00e9rn\u00ed diplomat. P\u016fsobil jako Trump\u016fv kampa\u0148ov\u00fd strat\u00e9g. Jeho jmenov\u00e1n\u00ed, kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9 p\u0159ijet\u00ed, kter\u00e9ho se mu dostalo v Nov\u00e9m Dill\u00ed, a pozitivn\u00ed n\u00e1lada s nad\u0161en\u00fdmi v\u00fdroky na obou stran\u00e1ch ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Trump to mysl\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, kdy\u017e chce, aby Indie dodr\u017eovala jeho podm\u00ednky, a\u0165 u\u017e v oblasti energetiky nebo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed. Mohlo by se jednat o p\u0159\u00edpad diplomacie vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed transak\u010dn\u00ed dohody pro geopolitick\u00e9 sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Indie a USA s d\u016fsledky pro region\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost. Gorovo setk\u00e1n\u00ed s indick\u00fdm ministrem obchodu nazna\u010duje, \u017ee po dosa\u017een\u00ed bod\u016f v oblasti energetiky a zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed by jeho dal\u0161\u00edm c\u00edlem mohlo b\u00fdt uzav\u0159en\u00ed dvoustrann\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody v listopadu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington postupn\u011b a ne\u00faprosn\u011b sni\u017euje tlak na Rusko, Indii a \u010c\u00ednu. To by mohlo m\u00edt nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 dopady na indickou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, jej\u00ed vztahy s Washingtonem, Moskvou a Pekingem a jej\u00ed roli v multilater\u00e1ln\u00edch f\u00f3rech, jako jsou \u0160OS a BRICS, a to krom\u011b probl\u00e9mov\u00e9ho sousedstv\u00ed, kde jsou USA v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem. To ov\u0161em za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Trump bude i nad\u00e1le diktovat pravidla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Shastriho Ramachandarana<\/span><\/strong> , vedouc\u00edho novin\u00e1\u0159e a koment\u00e1tora pro politick\u00e9 a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti a autora knihy Beyond Binaries: The World of India and China<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed signalizuje tich\u00fd vzdor pokus\u016fm USA diktovat jeho ropnou a obchodn\u00ed politiku Je stejn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90728,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,79,6415,310,22,125,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90727"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90727\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}