{"id":90394,"date":"2025-10-22T05:22:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T03:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90394"},"modified":"2025-10-22T05:26:39","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T03:26:39","slug":"budapestsky-gambit-trump-a-putin-prepisuji-pravidla-moci-kde-je-evropa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/22\/budapestsky-gambit-trump-a-putin-prepisuji-pravidla-moci-kde-je-evropa\/","title":{"rendered":"Budape\u0161\u0165sk\u00fd gambit: Trump a Putin p\u0159episuj\u00ed pravidla moci. Kde je Evropa?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Trump a Putin se setkaj\u00ed v Budape\u0161ti: summit pln\u00fd symboliky, kde je v s\u00e1zce mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e jen osud Ukrajiny. Za diplomatick\u00fdmi triky se znovu projedn\u00e1v\u00e1 rovnov\u00e1ha sil. Evropa se d\u00edv\u00e1 \u2013 ale bude i nad\u00e1le schopna ovliv\u0148ovat pravidla hry?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V Budape\u0161ti se d\u011bjiny kym\u00e1cej\u00ed mezi dv\u011bma cestami: k\u0159ehk\u00fdm vyrovn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00ed moci nebo posunem k nov\u00e9 \u00e9\u0159e konfrontace. To, co se v ma\u010farsk\u00e9m hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b va\u0159\u00ed, jde daleko za r\u00e1mec b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 diplomacie. Je to pokus, mo\u017en\u00e1 zoufal\u00fd, p\u0159ekreslit \u010derven\u00e9 linie glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 mimo multilater\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u00e1mec, v konfrontaci, kde imp\u00e9ria spolu hovo\u0159\u00ed tlumen\u00fdm t\u00f3nem a ostatn\u00ed naslouchaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dv\u011b a p\u016fl hodiny. Tak dlouho trval telefonick\u00fd rozhovor Donalda Trumpa a Vladimira Putina 16. \u0159\u00edjna \u2013 jejich osm\u00fd p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd kontakt od Trumpova n\u00e1vratu do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu. A oba mu\u017ei se ji\u017e p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed setk\u00e1n\u00ed, tentokr\u00e1t v Budape\u0161ti, na Trump\u016fv n\u00e1vrh. Putin okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159ijal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Symbol je n\u00e1padn\u00fd<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Poprv\u00e9 po letech vkro\u010d\u00ed rusk\u00fd prezident do hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta Evropsk\u00e9 unie a NATO \u2013 ale hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta, kter\u00e9 se ti\u0161e odchyluje od bruselsk\u00e9 ortodoxie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Viktora Orb\u00e1na je to mistrovsk\u00fd diplomatick\u00fd tah: p\u0159iv\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed dvou nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f a um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed Budape\u0161ti do st\u0159edu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161achovnice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Putina je to n\u00e1vrat do Evropy bez kapitulace. Pro Trumpa je to dal\u0161\u00ed man\u00e9vr v jeho snaze p\u0159etvo\u0159it mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d po sv\u00e9m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodn\u00e9. Tento maratonsk\u00fd hovor se uskute\u010dnil v p\u0159edve\u010der n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho ve Washingtonu. Zat\u00edmco Kyjev \u017eebr\u00e1 o dal\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b, Washington a Moskva se ji\u017e p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed pod\u00e1n\u00ed ruky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany hovo\u0159ily o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>velmi produktivn\u00edm<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c rozhovoru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za touto zdvo\u0159ilou formulkou se v\u0161ak skr\u00fdv\u00e1 nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd program. \u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je mo\u017en\u00e1 dod\u00e1vka raket Tomahawk Ukrajin\u011b. S doletem 2 500 kilometr\u016f by tyto zbran\u011b dostaly Moskvu na dost\u0159el. Pro Kreml je to \u010derven\u00e1 linie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee Putin pou\u017eije svou obvyklou diplomacii, sm\u011bs hrozeb a slib\u016f: varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edmou odvetou doprov\u00e1zen\u00e1 \u0159e\u010dmi o m\u00edru. Trump, kter\u00fd c\u00edt\u00ed novou \u201edohodu stolet\u00ed\u201c, bude tvrdit, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee konflikt ukon\u010dit \u201evz\u00e1jemn\u00fdm porozum\u011bn\u00edm\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale nejde jen o taktickou diskusi o Ukrajin\u011b. Tento summit by mohl p\u0159edefinovat samotnou architekturu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Objevuj\u00ed se dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Nejlep\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159<\/span><\/em>\u00a0: pragmatick\u00e1 dohoda \u2013 Washington zmraz\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 ambice, Moskva zastav\u00ed sv\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy a u\u010din\u00ed prvn\u00ed krok k m\u00edru. Trump by se pak uk\u00e1zal jako m\u00edrotvorce; Putin jako v\u00edt\u011bz, kter\u00fd donutil Ameriku vr\u00e1tit se k jednac\u00edmu stolu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159<\/span><\/em>\u00a0: selh\u00e1n\u00ed rozhovor\u016f a eskalace konfliktu \u2013 vedouc\u00ed k rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed bl\u00ed\u017ee k hranic\u00edm USA nebo k \u00fatok\u016fm na americk\u00e9 satelity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud Budape\u0161\u0165 sel\u017ee, sv\u011bt vstoup\u00ed do je\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze konfrontace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d Budape\u0161\u0165?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Proto\u017ee je to jedin\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto, kter\u00e9mu oba v\u016fdci d\u016fv\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed. Ma\u010farsko odstoupilo z Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho trestn\u00edho soudu, a t\u00edm se vyhnulo zatyka\u010di vis\u00edc\u00edmu na Putina.<\/span><\/p>\n

Viktor Orb\u00e1n, izolovan\u00fd v Evropsk\u00e9 unii, pot\u0159ebuje tuto diplomatickou p\u0159\u00edpravu p\u0159ed obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdmi volbami p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed jaro. V\u00edt\u00e1n\u00edm Trumpa a Putina mu nab\u00edz\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b to, co hled\u00e1: presti\u017e, viditelnost a nov\u00fd prostor k man\u00e9vrov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 u\u017e to skon\u010d\u00ed pr\u016flomem, nebo fiaskem, jedno je jist\u00e9: Evropa u\u017e nen\u00ed ar\u00e9nou \u2013 stala se publikem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 sc\u00e9na se nyn\u00ed odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi Washingtonem, Moskvou a Budape\u0161t\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed t\u00fddny uk\u00e1\u017eou, zda Trump a Putin p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pro m\u00edr… nebo p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed sv\u011bt na jeho dal\u0161\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A co v tom v\u0161em bude Evropa?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 t\u00e9to konfrontaci mezi mocnostmi se Evropa zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt odsouzena k bezmocnosti. Jako v\u011bze\u0148 sv\u00fdch vnit\u0159n\u00edch rozpor\u016f a strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti na Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech ji\u017e nem\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed hlas p\u0159i restrukturalizaci glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a sv\u00e9ho vlastn\u00edho regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u011bchto chv\u00edl\u00edch nejistoty se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 jej\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 budoucnost. Pokud se Evropsk\u00e1 unie chce vyhnout tomu, aby se stala pouhou kulisou pro ambice ostatn\u00edch, bude se muset znovu spojit s logikou moci \u2013 nejen vojenskou, ale i diplomatickou, normativn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslovou. V\u00fdzvou pro Brusel bude op\u011bt st\u00e1t se subjektem historie, a ne jen jej\u00edm sv\u011bdkem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ricardo Martins<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump a Putin se setkaj\u00ed v Budape\u0161ti: summit pln\u00fd symboliky, kde je v s\u00e1zce mnohem…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90395,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1976,41,439,102,276,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90394"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90394\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}