{"id":90266,"date":"2025-10-21T00:24:14","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T22:24:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=90266"},"modified":"2025-10-20T17:41:40","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T15:41:40","slug":"nova-studie-s-realnymi-daty-golfsky-proud-zustava-stabilni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/21\/nova-studie-s-realnymi-daty-golfsky-proud-zustava-stabilni\/","title":{"rendered":"Nov\u00e1 studie s re\u00e1ln\u00fdmi daty: Golfsk\u00fd proud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stabiln\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory neust\u00e1l\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm alarmist\u016f ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 studie vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e1 data ukazuje, \u017ee Golfsk\u00fd proud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stabiln\u00ed. V\u0161echny katastrofick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e zalo\u017een\u00e9 na chybn\u00fdch modelech t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se nov\u00e9 doby ledov\u00e9 v Evrop\u011b jsou proto pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b neplatn\u00e9.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici ka\u017ed\u00fd rok varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed kolapsem Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu, jak se tak\u00e9 naz\u00fdv\u00e1 Atlantsk\u00e1 meridion\u00e1ln\u00ed cirkulace (AMOC). Hysterick\u00e9 titulky ji\u017e ohla\u0161ovaly zk\u00e1zu Evropy v podob\u011b ledov\u00e9ho chladu, ne\u00farody a biblick\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00ed, pokud lidstvo kone\u010dn\u011b nezavede zdan\u011bn\u00ed CO2 a nesraz\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku na kolena politikou nulov\u00fdch \u010dist\u00fdch emis\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale jak se tak \u010dasto st\u00e1v\u00e1 ve sv\u011bt\u011b klimatick\u00e9 paniky, \u00fadajn\u00e9 katastrofick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e se hrout\u00ed, jakmile se m\u00edsto modelov\u00fdch fantazi\u00ed pou\u017eij\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1 data. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 recenzovan\u00e1 studie z \u010dasopisu Theoretical and Applied Climatology s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00704-025-05690-x\"><span dir=\"auto\">Stabilita atlantick\u00e9 meridion\u00e1ln\u00ed cirkulace s p\u0159evr\u00e1cen\u00edm odvozen\u00e1 ze zm\u011bny hladiny mo\u0159e korigovan\u00e9 poklesem<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c nyn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 soudn\u00e9ho dne d\u016fkladn\u011b vyvrac\u00ed: Golfsk\u00fd proud je stabiln\u00ed a nevykazuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky hroz\u00edc\u00edho kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed vys\u00edlac\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, korpor\u00e1tn\u00ed m\u00e9dia, aktivisti\u010dt\u00ed v\u011bdci a tv\u016frci politick\u00e9 agendy po l\u00e9ta vyu\u017e\u00edvali narativ o \u00fadajn\u011b sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9 hladin\u011b (AMOC) k tomu, aby strach vyu\u017eili jako politickou p\u00e1ku. Z\u00e1kladem tohoto neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho stra\u0161en\u00ed jsou p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm modelov\u00e9 studie, kter\u00e9 se navz\u00e1jem cituj\u00ed, ale nemaj\u00ed nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho se skute\u010dn\u011b nam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdmi \u00fadaji o oce\u00e1nech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A pr\u00e1v\u011b zde p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed na \u0159adu nov\u00e1 studie, kter\u00e1 m\u00edsto modelov\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 re\u00e1ln\u00e1 nam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 data. Autor, Alberto Boretti, analyzoval v\u00fdvoj hladiny mo\u0159e na obou stran\u00e1ch Atlantiku \u2013 od New Yorku po Brest ve Francii \u2013 po dobu v\u00edce ne\u017e \u0161esti desetilet\u00ed, od roku 1960 do roku 2024. Pro\u010d hladina mo\u0159e? Proto\u017ee slou\u017e\u00ed jako p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd, fyzik\u00e1ln\u011b relevantn\u00ed ukazatel s\u00edly Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu. Na rozd\u00edl od model\u016f zalo\u017een\u00fdch na p\u0159edpokladech jsou data o hladin\u011b mo\u0159e konkr\u00e9tn\u00edmi m\u011b\u0159en\u00edmi. A ta jsou jasn\u00e1: Od roku 1960 nedo\u0161lo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu zrychlen\u00e9mu rozd\u00edlu ve stoup\u00e1n\u00ed hladiny mo\u0159e mezi americk\u00fdm a evropsk\u00fdm atlantick\u00fdm pob\u0159e\u017e\u00edm. Jin\u00fdmi slovy: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd rozd\u00edl, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 oslaben\u00ed oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho proudu, kter\u00fd je tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd pro klimatick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Studie uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201eZanedbateln\u00fd rozd\u00edl v absolutn\u00edm vzestupu hladiny mo\u0159e mezi t\u011bmito lokalitami posiluje stabilitu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu (AMOC) v obdob\u00ed 1960 a\u017e 2024. Tyto v\u00fdsledky jsou v rozporu s tvrzen\u00edmi o jeho oslaben\u00ed.\u201c To vyvrac\u00ed \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159 klimatick\u00e9 hororov\u00e9 historky. Golfsk\u00fd proud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry stabiln\u00ed \u2013 navzdory rostouc\u00edm emis\u00edm CO2, navzdory industrializaci, navzdory \u00fadajn\u00e9 \u201eklimatick\u00e9 nouzov\u00e9 situaci\u201c, kter\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti neexistuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale o t\u00e9to studii neusly\u0161\u00edte nic v den\u00edku Tagesschau ani si o n\u00ed nep\u0159e\u010dtete v \u201eDer Spiegel\u201c. A to z velmi prost\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu: Tato studie neodpov\u00edd\u00e1 b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu narativu o \u00fadajn\u011b bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se konci sv\u011bta v d\u016fsledku \u201eklimatick\u00e9 apokalypsy zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 \u010dlov\u011bkem\u201c. Data z re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho sv\u011bta jsou pro \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 paniky irelevantn\u00ed \u2013 zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kdy\u017e nepotvrzuj\u00ed chybn\u00e9 modely. M\u00edsto toho samozvan\u00fd tisk pravdy nad\u00e1le \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed fale\u0161n\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, propagandu a stra\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Navzdory neust\u00e1l\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm alarmist\u016f ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 studie vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e1 data ukazuje, \u017ee Golfsk\u00fd proud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stabiln\u00ed&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90267,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[8110,873,2648],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90266\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}