{"id":89945,"date":"2025-10-16T00:14:18","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T22:14:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=89945"},"modified":"2025-10-15T11:01:45","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T09:01:45","slug":"byvaly-analytik-cia-trumpuv-mirovy-plan-pro-gazu-svatba-bez-nevesty-a-zenicha","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/16\/byvaly-analytik-cia-trumpuv-mirovy-plan-pro-gazu-svatba-bez-nevesty-a-zenicha\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA: Trump\u016fv m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro Gazu\u2026 Svatba bez nev\u011bsty a \u017eenicha"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Donald Trump dnes p\u0159edvedl velkolep\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159edstaven\u00ed, kdy\u017e podepsal sv\u016fj takzvan\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro Gazu \u2013 p\u0159ed \u0159adou evropsk\u00fdch, asijsk\u00fdch a arabsk\u00fdch hlav st\u00e1t\u016f a vl\u00e1d, kter\u00e9 sed\u011bly v zadn\u00edch \u0159ad\u00e1ch a sledovaly celou pod\u00edvanou. Ale kdo vlastn\u011b podepisuje m\u00edrovou dohodu, kdy\u017e nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomna ani jedna ze dvou znep\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdch stran? To je v\u00edc ne\u017e jen \u0161patn\u00fd vtip \u2013 je to podvod. Je pochopiteln\u00e9, \u017ee poh\u0159eb se m\u016f\u017ee konat bez t\u011bla, ale to, co se dnes odehr\u00e1lo v \u0160arm a\u0161-\u0160ajchu, se sp\u00ed\u0161e podobalo kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9 svatb\u011b bez nev\u011bsty a \u017eenicha. Ani jeden z nich se nedostavil \u2013 ani prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm videokonference.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Lze h\u00e1dat, pro\u010d se Bibi (Netanjahu) neuk\u00e1zal: v\u011bt\u0161ina p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00fdch teprve ned\u00e1vno ofici\u00e1ln\u011b uznala Palestinu jako st\u00e1t a Bibi si nep\u0159\u00e1l \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 fotografie, na kter\u00fdch by si s touto skupinou pot\u0159\u00e1sal rukou. Izrael\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 hebrejsk\u00e9mu tisku nad\u00e1le tvrdili, \u017ee palestinsk\u00fd st\u00e1t nikdy nevznikne.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ham\u00e1s je zase nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ze 14 palestinsk\u00fdch odbojov\u00fdch skupin. I kdyby Ham\u00e1s souhlasil s odzbrojen\u00edm \u2013 co\u017e od n\u011bj neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m \u2013 st\u00e1le by existovalo 13 dal\u0161\u00edch skupin, v\u010detn\u011b Palestinsk\u00e9ho isl\u00e1msk\u00e9ho d\u017eih\u00e1du (PIJ), Demokratick\u00e9 fronty pro osvobozen\u00ed Palestiny (DFLP) a Lidov\u00e9 fronty pro osvobozen\u00ed Palestiny (PFLP).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">F\u00e1ze I \u2013 v\u00fdm\u011bna rukojm\u00edch za v\u011bzn\u011bn\u00e9 Palestince \u2013 by m\u011bla b\u00fdt dokon\u010dena tento t\u00fdden. M\u00e1m podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee Ham\u00e1s nebude schopen vr\u00e1tit v\u0161echny ostatky, proto\u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed izrael\u0161t\u00ed rukojm\u00ed jsou poh\u0159beni pod troskami zp\u016fsoben\u00fdmi izraelsk\u00fdmi n\u00e1lety. Je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Bibi toho vyu\u017eije jako z\u00e1minku k obnoven\u00ed bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 v nad\u011bji, \u017ee donut\u00ed Palestince uprchnout z Gazy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nezn\u00e1mou prom\u011bnnou v t\u00e9to rovnici je Donald Trump. Mnoho z nejzaryt\u011bj\u0161\u00edch proizraelsk\u00fdch stoupenc\u016f na Z\u00e1pad\u011b myln\u011b interpretuje p\u0159\u00edtomnost mnoha arabsk\u00fdch, muslimsk\u00fdch, z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00fdch a evropsk\u00fdch hlav st\u00e1t\u016f jako d\u016fkaz konsensu o odzbrojen\u00ed Ham\u00e1su. P\u0159esto, jak ji\u017e bylo uvedeno, v\u011bt\u0161ina p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00fdch ve\u0159ejn\u011b trvala na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed palestinsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Jsem si celkem jist\u00fd, \u017ee Donald Trump jim \u0159ekl, co cht\u011bli sly\u0161et \u2013 toti\u017e \u017ee Izrael k takov\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu povede. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 jsem si stejn\u011b jist\u00fd, \u017ee sv\u00fdm sionistick\u00fdm p\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm sl\u00edbil prav\u00fd opak. A\u0165 u\u017e Trump ud\u011bl\u00e1 cokoli, jedna z t\u011bchto dvou skupin bude zklaman\u00e1 a rozzloben\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pak je tu \u00cdr\u00e1n. V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee existuje mo\u017en\u00e1 dohoda: \u00cdr\u00e1n uzn\u00e1 Izrael v\u00fdm\u011bnou za vznik nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho palestinsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Sionist\u00e9 by to odm\u00edtli, ale v\u011bt\u0161ina sv\u011bta by toto \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nad\u0161en\u011b uv\u00edtala, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud by o n\u011bj USA aktivn\u011b usilovaly. Ale ned\u011blejte si velk\u00e9 nad\u011bje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pohled do historie ukazuje, \u017ee tato dohoda pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nep\u0159inese m\u00edr, jak\u00fd si Donald Trump p\u0159edstavuje. Od \u0161estidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v roce 1967 do\u0161lo v izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9m konfliktu k \u010detn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm \u2013 v\u011bt\u0161inou mezi Izraelem a palestinsk\u00fdmi skupinami, jako jsou OOP, Fatah, Ham\u00e1s a PIJ. Dohody byly zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1ny OSN, Egyptem, Katarem nebo Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. Tyto dohody obvykle n\u00e1sledovaly po eskalac\u00edch \u2013 v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch, intif\u00e1d\u00e1ch nebo vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00edch v Gaze.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Term\u00edn \u201eprohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u201c se obvykle vztahuje na form\u00e1ln\u00ed dohody mezi stranami, ale n\u011bkter\u00e9 byly jednostrann\u00e9 nebo vnucen\u00e9 Organizac\u00ed spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f. Jejich p\u0159esn\u00fd po\u010det je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 ur\u010dit, proto\u017ee definice se li\u0161\u00ed \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad od kr\u00e1tk\u00fdch \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00edch pauz\u201c a\u017e po dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u2013 a mnoho f\u00e1z\u00ed se p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1. Podle v\u00fdzkumu zdroj\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy (CFR)<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Al Jazeery<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Wikipedie<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">IMEU,<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0do\u0161lo od roku 1967 k nejm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">dvan\u00e1cti v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0mezi Izraelci a Palestinci . Toto \u010d\u00edslo nezahrnuje men\u0161\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u00ed pauzy ani nepalestinsk\u00e9 arabsko-izraelsk\u00e9 dohody (jako nap\u0159\u00edklad libanonsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka z roku 1982).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mnoh\u00e9 z t\u011bchto dohod trvaly jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed nebo m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, ne\u017e byly poru\u0161eny \u2013 obvykle raketov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky, leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery nebo ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Celkem:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 12 hlavn\u00edch dohod, podle jin\u00fdch zdroj\u016f a\u017e 20+, pokud se zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1vaj\u00ed i krat\u0161\u00ed operace v Gaze (2019, 2022).<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 doba trv\u00e1n\u00ed:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2\u20133 roky p\u0159ed rokem 2008; m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 1 rok pot\u00e9 \u2013 kv\u016fli rostouc\u00ed nestabilit\u011b v Gaze.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vzorec:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0V\u011bt\u0161ina selhala kv\u016fli vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdm obvin\u011bn\u00edm z poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed dohod. Dohody t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se Gazy (po roce 2007) byly krat\u0161\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 dohody, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad dohody z Osla, trvaly d\u00e9le, ale kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 sporn\u00e9 body \u2013 ot\u00e1zky hranic, dohody \u2013 z\u016fstaly nevy\u0159e\u0161eny.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Screenshot-2025-10-13-at-19-20-01-US-Import-Dependence-on-China-Grok.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"976\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k t\u00e9to historii je \u0161ance, \u017ee tato nov\u00e1 dohoda vydr\u017e\u00ed, extr\u00e9mn\u011b mal\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Larry C. Johnson<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/trumps-gaza-peace-plan-a-wedding-without-a-bride-and-groom\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump dnes p\u0159edvedl velkolep\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159edstaven\u00ed, kdy\u017e podepsal sv\u016fj takzvan\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro Gazu&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89946,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,348,565,406,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89945"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89945"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89945\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}