{"id":89357,"date":"2025-10-07T05:35:38","date_gmt":"2025-10-07T03:35:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=89357"},"modified":"2025-10-07T05:35:38","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T03:35:38","slug":"uriel-araujo-norsko-se-stava-tichym-arktickym-bojistem-zapadu-s-ruskem-a-to-i-za-hranicemi-ukrajiny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/07\/uriel-araujo-norsko-se-stava-tichym-arktickym-bojistem-zapadu-s-ruskem-a-to-i-za-hranicemi-ukrajiny\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Norsko se st\u00e1v\u00e1 tich\u00fdm arktick\u00fdm boji\u0161t\u011bm Z\u00e1padu s Ruskem, a to i za hranicemi Ukrajiny"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zat\u00edmco NATO prov\u00e1d\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Norska a Washington nasazuje \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed letadla, nap\u011bt\u00ed v Arktid\u011b dosahuje bodu zlomu. Arktick\u00e1 strategie Moskvy, kdysi zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na spolupr\u00e1ci, se m\u011bn\u00ed v defenzivu. Zamrzl\u00e1 hranice se ti\u0161e st\u00e1v\u00e1 epicentrem nov\u00e9ho soupe\u0159en\u00ed mezi V\u00fdchodem a Z\u00e1padem.<\/strong><\/p>\n

O v\u00fdvoji situace na Ukrajin\u011b se toho p\u00ed\u0161e tolik, ale jedno kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 d\u011bji\u0161t\u011b nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi Ruskem a Z\u00e1padem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nedostate\u010dn\u011b informov\u00e1no: Arktida a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed oblast Dalek\u00e9ho severu, jak je vid\u011bt v Norsku, zakl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dlenovi NATO. Navzdory\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0delegace rusk\u00e9 Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eby (FSB) v Norsku \u2013 veden\u00e9 gener\u00e1lmajorem Andrejem Kudimovem, kter\u00fd se usm\u00edval do kamer, kdy\u017e ob\u011b strany diskutovaly o \u201espolupr\u00e1ci\u201c v oblasti hrani\u010dn\u00ed kontroly a ryb\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v \u2013 se rusko-norsk\u00e9 vztahy ve skute\u010dnosti rychle zhor\u0161uj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory t\u011bmto rozhovor\u016fm NATO prov\u00e1d\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed u norsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nav\u00edc \u00fadajn\u011b nasadily na\u00a0<\/span>norsk\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00fazem\u00ed pokro\u010dil\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumn\u00e9 letouny a letouny P-8 pro lov ponorek, kter\u00e9 provedly mise nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>bl\u00edzko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0severoz\u00e1padn\u00ed hranice Ruska. Symbolika je dostate\u010dn\u011b jasn\u00e1: a\u0165 u\u017e mezi Moskvou a Oslem existuje jak\u00fdkoli \u201edialog\u201c, vojensk\u00e1 logika odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 a provokace \u2013 st\u00e1le diktuje atlantickou agendu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Arktida, dlouho vykreslovan\u00e1 jako oblast v\u011bdeck\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce a m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu, se ti\u0161e stala nov\u00fdm j\u00e1drem sout\u011b\u017ee velmoc\u00ed. Ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve jsem tvrdil,\u00a0<\/span>\u017ee<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed konfrontace mezi Ruskem a Z\u00e1padem se klidn\u011b m\u016f\u017ee odehr\u00e1t nikoli na Ukrajin\u011b ani v S\u00fdrii, ale na zamrzl\u00e9m Severu \u2013 kde by p\u0159esahov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sah\u016f NATO mohlo vyvolat neb\u00fdval\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed. Toto pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed se nyn\u00ed zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt st\u00e1le v\u00fdsti\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko zase reviduje\u00a0<\/span>svou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0arktickou strategii s nov\u00fdm d\u016frazem na vojenskou p\u0159ipravenost a kontrolu nad Severn\u00ed mo\u0159skou cestou \u2013 p\u0159epravn\u00edm koridorem, kter\u00fd by mohl s \u00fastupem ledu transformovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm NATO neust\u00e1le roz\u0161i\u0159uje svou p\u016fsobnost ve Skandin\u00e1vii. Vstup Finska a \u0160v\u00e9dska do Aliance a obnoven\u00fd z\u00e1jem USA o Gr\u00f3nsko tvo\u0159\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed. Jak jsem\u00a0<\/span>psal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, USA se ji\u017e dlouho sna\u017e\u00ed zajistit si p\u0159\u00edstup k arktick\u00fdm energetick\u00fdm a nerostn\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm pod heslem \u201ebezpe\u010dnosti\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b vojensk\u00fdch man\u00e9vr\u016f je stejn\u011b tak v\u00fdmluvn\u00fd i ekonomick\u00fd rozm\u011br t\u00e9to rivality. Evropsk\u00e1 unie, Norsko a Island ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1mily\u00a0<\/span>ukon\u010den\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s Ruskem v r\u00e1mci \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Severn\u00ed dimenze<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c \u2013 iniciativy, kter\u00e1 kdysi symbolizovala region\u00e1ln\u00ed pragmatismus a koexistenci. N\u00e1hl\u00e9 pozastaven\u00ed, ospravedln\u011bn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00fdmi d\u016fvody, fakticky ni\u010d\u00ed jednu z m\u00e1la zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch platforem pro p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00ed koordinaci v Arktid\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm se odv\u011btv\u00ed rybolovu tresky \u2013\u00a0<\/span>historicky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>bod<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ekonomiky Barentsova mo\u0159e \u2013 stalo vedlej\u0161\u00ed \u0161kodou. Jak poznamenali analytici, rostouc\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 t\u0159en\u00ed by mohlo v\u00e1\u017en\u011b\u00a0<\/span>ovlivnit<\/span><\/a>\u00a0spole\u010dn\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rybolovu, na kter\u00e9m z\u00e1vis\u00ed Norsko i Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek? Rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1klady, rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce a dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad toho, jak z\u00e1padn\u00ed sankce a \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed\u201c politika \u010dasto nakonec po\u0161kozuj\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b ty regiony, kter\u00e9 \u00fadajn\u011b chr\u00e1n\u00ed. Tolik k \u201espolupr\u00e1ci zalo\u017een\u00e9 na pravidlech\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia dosud vn\u00edmala nap\u011bt\u00ed v Arktid\u011b (a Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i) jako pozn\u00e1mky pod \u010darou k ukrajinsk\u00e9 krizi. P\u0159esto jsou tyto severn\u00ed hranice pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b stejn\u011b strategick\u00e9 \u2013 a nest\u00e1l\u00e9. Baltsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e, siln\u011b militarizovan\u00e9, se stalo koridorem konfrontace. Polsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 ambice zase ilustruj\u00ed, jak se bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed spir\u00e1la regionu zintenziv\u0148uje. Jak jsem ji\u017e argumentoval\u00a0<\/span>jinde<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jadern\u00e1 trajektorie Var\u0161avy je m\u00e9n\u011b obrann\u00fdm reflexem ne\u017e snahou o o\u017eiven\u00ed velmoci \u2013 kterou podporuj\u00ed USA, je\u017e tou\u017e\u00ed outsourcovat svou strategickou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Logika je na cel\u00e9m severu stejn\u00e1: men\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty, povzbuzen\u00e9 NATO, podstupuj\u00ed rizika, na kter\u00e1 by se p\u0159ed deseti lety neodv\u00e1\u017eily \u2013 od hl\u00eddkov\u00e1n\u00ed v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a\u017e po arktick\u00e9 man\u00e9vry. Norsk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>hostov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0americk\u00fdch protilodkov\u00fdch letadel je jen nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nkem v \u0159et\u011bzci\u00a0<\/span>eskalac\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 kolektivn\u011b naru\u0161uj\u00ed k\u0159ehkou rovnov\u00e1hu, kter\u00e1 byla kdysi udr\u017eov\u00e1na promy\u0161lenou zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, Kreml vn\u00edm\u00e1 budov\u00e1n\u00ed severn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti NATO jako sou\u010d\u00e1st dlouhodob\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu, nikoli jako s\u00e9rii izolovan\u00fdch incident\u016f. Revize arktick\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>doktr\u00edny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Moskvou je tedy\u00a0<\/span>obrann\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0i adaptivn\u00ed. A stoj\u00ed za zm\u00ednku, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce s \u010c\u00ednou na rozvoji Arktidy \u2013 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm energetick\u00fdch projekt\u016f, infrastruktury a lodn\u00ed dopravy \u2013 dod\u00e1v\u00e1 rovnici dal\u0161\u00ed vrstvu slo\u017eitosti. Jak jsem ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>poznamenal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, s \u00fastupem arktick\u00e9ho ledu se odhaluj\u00ed hlubok\u00e9 zlomov\u00e9 linie proch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed dne\u0161n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mocenskou architekturou. Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee se Washington nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed \u201epos\u00edlit\u201c svou vlastn\u00ed pol\u00e1rn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost \u2013 zdvo\u0159il\u00fd eufemismus pro militarizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Severn\u00ed eskalaci je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 jej\u00ed nen\u00e1padnost. Na rozd\u00edl od ukrajinsk\u00e9 fronty, kde jsou viditeln\u00e9 linie a p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nosti, se nap\u011bt\u00ed v Arktid\u011b vyv\u00edj\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm technick\u00fdch \u00faprav \u2013 rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed radar\u016f, letov\u00fdch tras, z\u00e1kaz\u016f v\u00fdzkumu, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch hl\u00eddek \u2013 z nich\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 je ospravedl\u0148ov\u00e1na jako \u201eobrann\u00e1\u201c. Dohromady v\u0161ak tvo\u0159\u00ed pl\u00ed\u017eivou militarizaci jednoho z nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch prost\u0159ed\u00ed planety.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejde jen o odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Kontrola Arktidy znamen\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>kontrolu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nad budouc\u00edmi obchodn\u00edmi cestami, energetick\u00fdmi koridory a dokonce i podmo\u0159sk\u00fdmi datov\u00fdmi kabely \u2013 infrastrukturou nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho stolet\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad veden\u00fd USA, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed ochoten akceptovat geografick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody Ruska, se je sna\u017e\u00ed neutralizovat prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm alianc\u00ed a z\u00e1sah\u016f. Moskva, obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00e1 a sankcionovan\u00e1, reaguje zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00edm sv\u00e9 sob\u011bsta\u010dnosti a V\u00fdchodn\u00edho partnerstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud tato dynamika nebude kontrolov\u00e1na, m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm chybn\u00fdm odhad\u016fm. Cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO u norsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed vys\u00edlaj\u00ed sign\u00e1ly nejen Moskv\u011b, ale i Pekingu, kter\u00e9 oba vn\u00edmaj\u00ed D\u00e1ln\u00fd sever jako prostor spole\u010dn\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho z\u00e1jmu. P\u0159edstava, \u017ee Evropa m\u016f\u017ee Rusko ekonomicky izolovat a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vojensky omezit \u010c\u00ednu \u2013 to v\u0161e bez d\u016fsledk\u016f v Arktid\u011b \u2013 je, jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, bludn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, o kter\u00e9m se m\u00e1lo informuje a kter\u00fd je podce\u0148ov\u00e1n, je, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace mezi americkou atlantickou osou a vznikaj\u00edc\u00edm eurasijsk\u00fdm blokem se roz\u0161i\u0159uje na sever. Arktida \u2013 dlouho nejti\u0161\u0161\u00ed hranice sv\u011bta \u2013 se st\u00e1v\u00e1 jej\u00ed nejodhaluj\u00edc\u00ed. S \u00fastupem ledu a vznikem nov\u00fdch hranic by severn\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b mohlo ur\u010dovat kontury dal\u0161\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Zat\u00edmco NATO prov\u00e1d\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Norska a Washington nasazuje \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed letadla, nap\u011bt\u00ed v Arktid\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89358,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[116,39,853],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89357"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89357\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}