{"id":89253,"date":"2025-10-06T00:12:50","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T22:12:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=89253"},"modified":"2025-10-05T14:58:04","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T12:58:04","slug":"vstup-ukrajiny-do-eu-znamena-nemecke-vojaky-na-fronte-a-ekonomickou-katastrofu-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/06\/vstup-ukrajiny-do-eu-znamena-nemecke-vojaky-na-fronte-a-ekonomickou-katastrofu-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Vstup Ukrajiny do EU znamen\u00e1: n\u011bmeck\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky na front\u011b a ekonomickou katastrofu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><b><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina by m\u011bla b\u00fdt p\u0159ijata do EU. Toto je deklarovan\u00e1 v\u016fle EU. O tom se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nevede \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 diskuse. Pouze ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orb\u00e1n se proti tomu stav\u00ed a na\u0159\u00eddil v Ma\u010farsku referendum. Vojensk\u00e9, ekonomick\u00e9 i finan\u010dn\u00ed by vstup Ukrajiny do EU byl katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">EU vede s Ukrajinou ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. P\u0159istoupen\u00ed bude mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze na z\u00e1klad\u011b jednomysln\u00e9ho rozhodnut\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 27 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jedin\u00fd st\u00e1t m\u016f\u017ee vstup zablokovat. Takov\u00e1 blok\u00e1da je deklarovan\u00fdm c\u00edlem ma\u010farsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy \u2013 tvrd\u00fd boj.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby se zjistily n\u00e1zory ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva na tuto ot\u00e1zku, rozhodla se Orb\u00e1nova vl\u00e1da v b\u0159eznu 2025 o \u201eVoks 2025\u201c (Vote 2025). V\u0161ichni opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00ed voli\u010di v Ma\u010farsku byli kontaktov\u00e1ni a mohli odpov\u011bd\u011bt na ot\u00e1zku: \u201ePodporujete vstup Ukrajiny do Evropsk\u00e9 unie?\u201c odevzd\u00e1n\u00edm hlasovac\u00edho l\u00edstku. Pro toto referendum neexistoval \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pr\u00e1vn\u00ed z\u00e1klad, volebn\u00ed org\u00e1ny se do n\u011bj nezapojily a v\u00fdsledek nen\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u011b z\u00e1vazn\u00fd. Jednalo se tedy o prezidentsk\u00fd plebiscit ad hoc. Distribuce hlasovac\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f za\u010dala 15. dubna 2025 a odpov\u011bdi musely b\u00fdt doru\u010deny do 20. \u010dervna 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Celkem bylo odevzd\u00e1no 2 278 015 platn\u00fdch hlas\u016f, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dasti p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 29 procent. Z nich 95,19 procenta hlasovalo proti vstupu Ukrajiny do EU a pouze 4,81 procenta hlasovalo pro. V\u00fdsledek byl tedy velmi jasn\u00fd.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sudd.ch\/event.php?lang=de&amp;id=hu012025\"><span dir=\"auto\">[1]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Viktor Orb\u00e1n prezentoval tento v\u00fdsledek na summitu EU v Bruselu 26. \u010dervna 2025. \u201eM\u016fj hlas zes\u00edlil.\u201c Podle Orb\u00e1na by \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v jej\u00edm sou\u010dasn\u00e9m stavu bylo pro Ma\u010farsko aktem sebezni\u010den\u00ed. \u201ePokud bychom p\u0159ijali zemi ve v\u00e1lce, byli bychom vta\u017eeni do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem,\u201c varoval. Zpochybnil tak\u00e9 \u017eivotaschopnost sou\u010dasn\u00fdch hranic a vl\u00e1dn\u00ed struktury Ukrajiny a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee st\u00e1tnost zem\u011b je s ohledem na konflikt nejist\u00e1. \u201eAni nev\u00edme, co ze zem\u011b zbyde,\u201c \u0159ekl.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/kormany.hu\/hirek\/a-voks-2025-szavazok-95-szazaleka-elutasitotta-ukrajna-csatlakozasat\"><span dir=\"auto\">[2]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ma\u010farsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 debat\u011b byly d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 i dal\u0161\u00ed argumenty. St\u00e1tn\u00ed tajemn\u00edk Zolt\u00e1n Kov\u00e1cs napsal: \u201eMiliardy jsou odkl\u00e1n\u011bny z rozvoje st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy, zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 dotace EU jsou \u0161krt\u00e1ny, proto\u017ee rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e1 p\u016fda Ukrajiny je za\u010dle\u0148ov\u00e1na do syst\u00e9mu, a existuj\u00ed hrozby pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 zdrav\u00ed a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rizika ze strany organizovan\u00e9ho zlo\u010dinu a obchodu se zbran\u011bmi.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/abouthungary.hu\/blog\/while-tisza-claimed-to-speak-for-hungary-voks-2025-listens\"><span dir=\"auto\">[3]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To jsou jasn\u00e9 obavy, kter\u00e9 z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed na s\u00edle v ukrajinsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti. V jin\u00fdch zem\u00edch EU nic podobn\u00e9ho nesly\u0161\u00edte. Co si z toho m\u00e1me myslet?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">R\u00e1d bych n\u00ed\u017ee uvedl realistick\u00e9 zhodnocen\u00ed. Ve sv\u00e9 knize \u201eHled\u00e1n\u00ed pravdy ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c jsem podrobn\u011b popsal skute\u010dnou situaci na Ukrajin\u011b. A 5. \u010dervna 2024 p\u0159edlo\u017eila \u201eskupina BSW\u201c v n\u011bmeck\u00e9m Bundestagu n\u00e1vrh \u201e\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 zah\u00e1jen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ukrajinou k EU\u201c. Tento n\u00e1vrh nebyl \u0159e\u0161en, ale do konce legislativn\u00edho obdob\u00ed byl \u201evy\u0159e\u0161en\u201c. D\u016fsledky vstupu Ukrajiny do EU by byly dramatick\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bundestag.de\/presse\/hib\/kurzmeldungen-1007460\"><span dir=\"auto\">[4]\u00a0<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/dip.bundestag.de\/vorgang\/keine-er%C3%B6ffnung-von-eu-beitrittsverhandlungen-mit-der-ukraine\/312613?f.wahlperiode=20&amp;f.herausgeber_dokumentart=Bundestag-Drucksache&amp;f.vorgangstyp_p=01Antr%C3%A4ge&amp;start=275&amp;rows=25&amp;pos=276&amp;ctx=a\"><span dir=\"auto\">[5]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"00\"><span dir=\"auto\">Voj\u00e1ci st\u00e1t\u016f EU by museli bojovat a zem\u0159\u00edt na Ukrajin\u011b<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">EU je vojensk\u00e1 aliance. M\u00e1lokdo to v\u00ed, ale plat\u00ed to od Lisabonsk\u00e9 smlouvy z roku 2009. Podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 42 odstavce 7 Lisabonsk\u00e9 smlouvy mus\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty poskytnout napaden\u00fdm zem\u00edm EU \u201eve\u0161kerou pomoc a podporu, kter\u00e9 jsou v jejich sil\u00e1ch\u201c. Povinnost komplexn\u011b se \u00fa\u010dastnit v\u00e1lky tedy v EU jde je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1le ne\u017e v NATO. V NATO \u201ep\u0159\u00edpad aliance\u201c podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 Severoatlantick\u00e9 smlouvy pouze vy\u017eaduje, aby \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ijaly opat\u0159en\u00ed, \u201ekter\u00e1 pova\u017euj\u00ed za nezbytn\u00e1\u201c. \u201ePova\u017eovat za nezbytn\u00e1\u201c je m\u011bkk\u00e1 formulace, kter\u00e1 ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u0161e otev\u0159en\u00e9 jednotliv\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm. Lisabonsk\u00e1 smlouva je v tomto ohledu explicitn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/dejure.org\/gesetze\/EUV\/42.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">[6]\u00a0<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nato.int\/cps\/en\/natohq\/official_texts_17120.htm?selectedLocale=de\"><span dir=\"auto\">[7]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po vstupu Ukrajiny do EU by v\u0161echny st\u00e1ty EU byly povinny vyslat na Ukrajinu vojska. Musely by poskytnout ve\u0161kerou podporu, kter\u00e1 je v jejich sil\u00e1ch. To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zahrnuje i jejich vlastn\u00ed arm\u00e1du. To by znamenalo, \u017ee N\u011bmecko a v\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty EU by vstoupily do otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s jadern\u011b vyzbrojenou ruskou mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">St\u00e1ty EU jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ji\u017e zapojeny do nevyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rusku, pln\u011b financuj\u00ed, vybavuj\u00ed, cvi\u010d\u00ed, dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed satelitn\u00ed data ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, tajn\u011b spoluorganizuj\u00ed operace a definuj\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 c\u00edle. EU je komplicem, ale umo\u017e\u0148uje Ukrajinc\u016fm bojovat a um\u00edrat. To by po vstupu Ukrajiny do EU ji\u017e nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9; pak by se musely roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it i h\u0159bitovy v N\u011bmecku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Lisabonsk\u00e9 smlouvy by se takov\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm operac\u00edm dalo zabr\u00e1nit, pokud by EU dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Ukrajina nebyla ob\u011bt\u00ed, ale sama za\u00fato\u010dila na suver\u00e9nn\u00ed regiony Donbasu, a \u017ee vstup Ruska do v\u00e1lky byl tedy v souladu s mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem, kter\u00e9 pom\u00e1h\u00e1 region\u016fm Donbasu v jejich sebeobran\u011b podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 51 a Charty OSN. Takov\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed je v\u0161ak p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho na to, aby se od vl\u00e1d EU po\u017eadovalo, jeliko\u017e ty ji\u017e l\u00e9ta tvrd\u00ed opak, aby ospravedlnily sv\u00e9 siln\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed do v\u00e1lky proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by v\u0161ak zem\u0159el jeden z jejich vlastn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f, n\u00e1lada ve spole\u010dnosti by se zm\u011bnila. Proto je velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by Ukrajina vstoupila do EU p\u0159ed koncem v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"01\"><span dir=\"auto\">Bezedn\u00e1 j\u00e1ma za miliardy dolar\u016f<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Finan\u010dn\u00ed dopad vstupu Ukrajiny do EU by byl pozoruhodn\u00fd a do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry by pohltil rozpo\u010det EU. EU m\u00e1 deset \u010dist\u00fdch p\u0159isp\u011bvatel\u016f: N\u011bmecko se 17 miliardami eur, Francii s 9 miliardami eur a It\u00e1lii se 4,5 miliardami eur a 17 \u010dist\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjemc\u016f. Polsko dost\u00e1v\u00e1 od EU ro\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 8 miliard eur, Rumunsko 6 miliard eur a Ma\u010farsko 4,6 miliardy eur. Sou\u010dasn\u00ed \u010dist\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjemci by po vstupu Ukrajiny do EU nedostali t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nic, proto\u017ee miliardy by musely plynout na Ukrajinu.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bpb.de\/kurz-knapp\/zahlen-und-fakten\/europa\/70580\/nettozahler-und-nettoempfaenger-in-der-eu\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[8]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eStudie Rady EU odhaduje n\u00e1klady na vstup Ukrajiny do EU na 186 miliard eur,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161e BSW ve sv\u00e9 \u017e\u00e1dosti. \u201eTo by daleko p\u0159ekro\u010dilo finan\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu EU a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby by to vedlo k prudk\u00fdm soci\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0161krt\u016fm v EU a v N\u011bmecku v d\u016fsledku odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edch \u0161krt\u016f, nebo by to muselo b\u00fdt kompenzov\u00e1no masivn\u00edm zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm dan\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina by i nad\u00e1le polykala miliardy. Proto\u017ee ekonomick\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky Ukrajiny jsou \u0161patn\u00e9. Je to rozpadaj\u00edc\u00ed se st\u00e1t. V dob\u011b sv\u00e9ho zalo\u017een\u00ed v roce 1991 m\u011bla Ukrajina p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 52 milion\u016f obyvatel. Od t\u00e9 doby se populace zmen\u0161ila kv\u016fli emigraci a n\u00edzk\u00e9 porodnosti. Po vypuknut\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Donbasu v roce 2014 uprchly miliony lid\u00ed a od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b v roce 2022 uprchlo do zahrani\u010d\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch osm milion\u016f Ukrajinc\u016f, z toho asi t\u0159etina do Ruska, kter\u00e9 mnoho Ukrajinc\u016f nepova\u017euje za nep\u0159\u00edtele, ale za p\u0159\u00edtele. \u00dazem\u00ed star\u00e9 Ukrajiny se tak vylidnilo na m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 30 milion\u016f lid\u00ed. Od toho je t\u0159eba ode\u010d\u00edst p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b osm milion\u016f obyvatel \u010dty\u0159 region\u016f v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajiny, kter\u00e9 se v referendech v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 p\u0159ipojily k Rusku. To jednodu\u0161e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pro ekonomickou obnovu Ukrajiny po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky chyb\u00ed pracovn\u00ed s\u00edla. [9]<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka nav\u00edc pohlcuje obyvatelstvo v produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku. Vojensk\u00e9 h\u0159bitovy na Ukrajin\u011b rychle rostou. Existuje mnoho d\u016fkaz\u016f o tom, \u017ee na front\u011b zem\u0159elo nebo bylo posti\u017eeno a\u017e milion ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla jsou p\u0159ed ve\u0159ejnost\u00ed utajov\u00e1na.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ualosses.org\/en\/soldiers\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[10,a]\u00a0<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy-announces-its-total-military-casualties-first-time\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[10,b]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Konzervativn\u00ed britsk\u00e9 noviny \u201eThe Spectator\u201c zve\u0159ejnily 18. \u010dervence 2025 st\u0159\u00edzlivou anal\u00fdzu. Ukrajina \u010del\u00ed kritick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9, politick\u00e9 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi, kter\u00e1 hroz\u00ed zni\u010den\u00edm zem\u011b zevnit\u0159. Sedmdes\u00e1t procent Ukrajinc\u016f se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee jejich veden\u00ed zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00e1lku k osobn\u00edmu prosp\u011bchu. Korupce podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 mor\u00e1lku. \u010cty\u0159icet procent obyvatelstva v produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku opustilo zemi. Inflace buj\u00ed. Dev\u011bt milion\u016f lid\u00ed \u017eije pod hranic\u00ed chudoby.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.spectator.co.uk\/article\/ukrainians-have-lost-faith-in-zelensky\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[11]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010denstv\u00ed nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1 budoucnost Ukrajiny jako bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161nou. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd spr\u00e1vce aktiv, Blackrock, cht\u011bl z\u00edskat miliardy od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch investor\u016f na fond pro obnovu Ukrajiny. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u201ekv\u016fli nedostatku z\u00e1jmu\u201c Blackrock fond v \u010dervenci 2025 uzav\u0159el, uvedl Berliner Zeitung. Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka dokonce odhadla celkov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na pov\u00e1le\u010dnou obnovu Ukrajiny na v\u00edce ne\u017e 500 miliard dolar\u016f. Odkud se pen\u00edze vezmou?\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.berliner-zeitung.de\/politik-gesellschaft\/geopolitik\/schock-vor-ukraine-wiederaufbaukonferenz-blackrock-stoppt-investorensuche-li.2338954\"><span dir=\"auto\">[12]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina je ji\u017e z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti financov\u00e1na ze zahrani\u010dn\u00edch fond\u016f. Kyjevsk\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det na rok 2023 po\u010d\u00edtal s da\u0148ov\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edjmy ve v\u00fd\u0161i p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 miliard eur. V\u00fddaje byly dvakr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, 60 miliard eur. \u010clensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty EU v letech 2022 a\u017e 2024 investovaly do Ukrajiny p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 100 miliard eur. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zhruba polovina st\u00e1tn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f Ukrajiny byla financov\u00e1na \u010dlensk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty EU! Ukrajina je na EU zcela z\u00e1visl\u00e1 a sama o sob\u011b nen\u00ed \u017eivotaschopn\u00e1. [13]\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/1303434\/umfrage\/bilaterale-unterstuetzung-fuer-die-ukraine-im-ukraine-krieg\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[14]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jedna v\u011bc je jist\u00e1: po vstupu do EU by Ukrajina tyto \u010d\u00e1stky je\u0161t\u011b dlouho polykala na \u00fakor ostatn\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f EU.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko je zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za rekonstrukci v\u00fdchodoukrajinsk\u00fdch region\u016f, kter\u00e9 se staly sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ruska. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b p\u016fsobiv\u00e1 je rychl\u00e1 rekonstrukce p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edho m\u011bsta Mariupol, kter\u00e9 bylo b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky t\u011b\u017ece po\u0161kozeno. Rusko si stanovilo velmi ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed c\u00edle obnovy a je schopno je financovat, jeliko\u017e v roce 2024 m\u011blo Rusko nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluh z hlavn\u00edch pr\u016fmyslov\u011b vysp\u011bl\u00fdch a rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edch se zem\u00ed, a to pouze 20,3 procenta hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/37070\/umfrage\/bruttostaatsverschuldung-ausgewaehlter-laender-in-anteil-am-bruttoinlandsprodukt\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">[15]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"02\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zem\u011b s n\u00edzk\u00fdmi mzdami by zni\u010dila \u017eivobyt\u00ed v EU<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">M\u016fj kamar\u00e1d, bio farm\u00e1\u0159, mi loni vypr\u00e1v\u011bl o sv\u00fdch existen\u010dn\u00edch obav\u00e1ch. Vid\u011bl, \u017ee jeho podnik\u00e1n\u00ed je ohro\u017eeno, tr\u017eby prudce klesly a trh v jeho segmentu zaplavilo levn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. Lze se ob\u00e1vat, \u017ee po vstupu Ukrajiny do EU a celn\u00ed unie usly\u0161\u00edme mnohem v\u00edce podobn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Abychom tomuto probl\u00e9mu porozum\u011bli, mus\u00edme v\u011bd\u011bt, \u017ee Ukrajina je chudobincem Evropy. Hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt na obyvatele v roce 2023 \u010dinil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 5 000 dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, oproti v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 000 dolar\u016fm v N\u011bmecku, co\u017e je desetkr\u00e1t v\u00edce. To je pr\u016fm\u011br; velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Ukrajinc\u016f \u017eije s m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 100 dolary m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Pokud by Ukrajina vstoupila do EU, tyto rozd\u00edly v p\u0159\u00edjmech by se nekontrolovan\u011b st\u0159etly. Na Ukrajin\u011b zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 korporace vykoupily velk\u00e9 plochy \u00farodn\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 p\u016fdy; pracovn\u00ed s\u00edla je levn\u00e1 a v\u00fdvoz do EU je proto lukrativn\u00ed. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to by st\u00e1lo \u017eivobyt\u00ed mnoho zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016f a firem v zem\u00edch EU, kte\u0159\u00ed mus\u00ed n\u00e9st desetin\u00e1sobn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu. Ti, kdo po\u017eaduj\u00ed vstup Ukrajiny do EU, cht\u011bj\u00ed de facto zni\u010dit sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Liste_der_L%C3%A4nder_nach_Bruttonationaleinkommen_pro_Kopf#cite_note-2\"><span dir=\"auto\">[16]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spole\u010dn\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd a celn\u00ed prostor vy\u017eaduje podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 jsou do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry kompatibiln\u00ed. Rozd\u00edl mezi EU a Ukrajinou je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fd. P\u0159\u00edjmy na Ukrajin\u011b jsou srovnateln\u00e9 se Salvadorem nebo Namibi\u00ed. V Bulharsku, nejchud\u0161\u00ed zemi EU, \u010dinil hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt na obyvatele v roce 2023 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 15 000 dolar\u016f, co\u017e je st\u00e1le t\u0159ikr\u00e1t v\u00edce ne\u017e na Ukrajin\u011b. Stavidla by se m\u011bla otev\u00edrat pouze tehdy, kdy\u017e je hladina vody vyrovnan\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kv\u016fli t\u00e9to obrovsk\u00e9 propasti se Ukrajin\u011b tak\u00e9 nedoporu\u010duje vstup do EU. Navzdory n\u00edzk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edjm\u016fm je mo\u017en\u00e9 na Ukrajin\u011b pohodln\u011b \u017e\u00edt, proto\u017ee mnoho cen je ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch ne\u017e v EU. Zku\u0161enosti v\u0161ak ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee zem\u011b s ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed cenovou hladinou, kter\u00e9 vstupuj\u00ed do EU, za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed konvergenci s vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenovou hladinou st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V\u0161echno se st\u00e1v\u00e1 dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm, ale p\u0159\u00edjmy nerostou tak rychle, lid\u00e9 maj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b a st\u00e1vaj\u00ed se chud\u00e1ky a bez prost\u0159edk\u016f. Tot\u00e9\u017e by se stalo Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vstup Ukrajiny do EU by proto zav\u00e1zal st\u00e1ty EU vyslat sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed voj\u00e1ky na frontu na Ukrajin\u011b a vstoupit do otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Ruskem se v\u0161emi hr\u016fzn\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 to s sebou nese. Byla by to tak\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e1 katastrofa. Obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na integraci Ukrajiny do EU by pohltily rozpo\u010det EU a sou\u010dasn\u00fdm \u010dist\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edjemc\u016fm by nezbylo nic. Kv\u016fli vylid\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny je ekonomick\u00e1 obnova obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 kv\u016fli nedostatku pracovn\u00edch sil a zem\u011b bude na EU dlouho z\u00e1visl\u00e1. Desetin\u00e1sobn\u00fd rozd\u00edl v p\u0159\u00edjmech mezi Ukrajinou a N\u011bmeckem by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vytvo\u0159en\u00ed celn\u00ed unie dohnal mnoho farem a firem ke krachu. Na druhou stranu by velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva kv\u016fli cenov\u00fdm \u00faprav\u00e1m podle EU zchudobn\u011bly. Ma\u010farsk\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di vstupu Ukrajiny do EU je velmi rozumn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Thomas Mayer je aktivista za ob\u010dansk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va, u\u010ditel meditace a autor (www.thomasmayer.org). Ve sv\u00e9 knize \u201eHled\u00e1n\u00ed pravdy ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 o co doopravdy jde\u201c komplexn\u011b p\u0159edstavuje pozad\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b spolu\u00fa\u010dasti Ukrajiny a NATO. 600 stran, 28 eur, ISBN 978-3-89060-863-1. Informace o knize:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/kurzelinks.de\/h10a\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/kurzelinks.de\/h10a<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kniha je nyn\u00ed k dispozici tak\u00e9 jako audiokniha s namluven\u00edm Enna Schmidta. M\u00e1 p\u0159es 20 hodin. Celou audioknihu si m\u016f\u017eete po\u0159\u00eddit od artus audio za 10 \u20ac s k\u00f3dem slevov\u00e9ho kup\u00f3nu \u201eWIUK2025\u201c:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/einfache-standards.blogspot.com\/2025\/10\/www.artus-kreativschmiede.ch\/shop\"><span dir=\"auto\">www.artus-kreativschmiede.ch\/shop<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">. Kapitoly si m\u016f\u017eete poslechnout zdarma zde:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@artusaudio\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@artusaudio<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj:<br \/>\n<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[1] \u010cl\u00e1nky o procesu referenda naleznete zde: https:\/\/abouthungary.hu\/tags\/voks-2025<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sudd.ch\/event.php?lang=de&amp;id=hu012025\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.sudd.ch\/event.php?lang=de&amp;id=hu012025<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[2]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/kormany.hu\/hirek\/a-voks-2025-szavazok-95-szazaleka-elutasitotta-ukrajna-csatlakozasat\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/kormany.hu\/hirek\/a-voks-2025-szavazok-95-szazaleka-elutasitotta-ukrajna-csatlakozasat<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[3]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/abouthungary.hu\/blog\/while-tisza-claimed-to-speak-for-hungary-voks-2025-listens\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/abouthungary.hu\/blog\/while-tisza-claimed-to-speak-for-hungary-voks-2025-listens<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[4]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bundestag.de\/presse\/hib\/kurzmeldungen-1007460\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.bundestag.de\/presse\/hib\/kurzmeldungen-1007460<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[5]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/dip.bundestag.de\/vorgang\/keine-er%C3%B6ffnung-von-eu-beitrittsverhandlungen-mit-der-ukraine\/312613?f.wahlperiode=20&amp;f.herausgeber_dokumentart=Bundestag-Drucksache&amp;f.vorgangstyp_p=01Antr%C3%A4ge&amp;start=275&amp;rows=25&amp;pos=276&amp;ctx=a\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/dip.bundestag.de\/vorgang\/keine-er%C3%B6ffnung-von-eu-beitrittsverhandlungen-mit-der-ukraine\/312613?f.wahlperiode=20&amp;f.herausgeber_dokumentart=Bundestag-Drucksache&amp;f.vorgangstyp_p=01Antr%C3%A4ge&amp;start=275&amp;rows=25&amp;pos=276&amp;ctx=a<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[6]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/dejure.org\/gesetze\/EUV\/42.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/dejure.org\/gesetze\/EUV\/42.html<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[7]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nato.int\/cps\/en\/natohq\/official_texts_17120.htm?selectedLocale=de\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.nato.int\/cps\/en\/natohq\/official_texts_17120.htm?selectedLocale=de<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[8]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bpb.de\/kurz-knapp\/zahlen-und-fakten\/europa\/70580\/nettozahler-und-nettoempfaenger-in-der-eu\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.bpb.de\/kurz-knapp\/zahlen-und-fakten\/europa\/70580\/nettozahler-und-nettoempfaenger-in-der-eu\/<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[9] Thomas Mayer, Hled\u00e1n\u00ed pravdy ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b, s. 47 a n\u00e1sl.<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[10] Zde jsou dva zdroje o po\u010dtu mrtv\u00fdch, poh\u0159e\u0161ovan\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch na Ukrajin\u011b, skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det je vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, a proto lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat a\u017e jeden milion mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch.<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/ualosses.org\/en\/soldiers\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/ualosses.org\/en\/soldiers\/<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy-announces-its-total-military-casualties-first-time\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy-announces-its-total-military-casualties-first-time\/<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[11] https:\/\/www.spectator.co.uk\/article\/ukrainians-have-lost-faith-in-zelensky\/ &#8222;&gt; https:\/\/www.spectator.co.uk\/article\/ukrainians-have-lost-faith-in-zelensky\/<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[12] https:\/\/www.berliner-zeitung.de\/politik-gesellschaft\/geopolitik\/schock-vor-ukraine-wiederauffassungtreffen-blackrock-stoppt-investorensuche-li.2338954 &#8222;&gt; https:\/\/www.berliner-zeitung.de\/politik-gesellschaft\/geopolitik\/schock-vor-ukraine-wiederauffassungtreffen-blackrock-stoppt-investorensuche-li.2338954<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[13] Thomas Mayer, Hled\u00e1n\u00ed pravdy ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b, s. 460 a n\u00e1sl.<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[14]<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/1303434\/umfrage\/bilaterale-unterstuetzung-fuer-die-ukraine-im-ukraine-krieg\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/1303434\/umfrage\/bilaterale-unterstuetzung-fuer-die-ukraine-im-ukraine-krieg\/<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[15] https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/37070\/umfrage\/bruttostaatsverschuldung-ausgewaehlter-laender-in-anteil-am-bruttoinlandsprodukt\/ &#8222;&gt; https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/37070\/umfrage\/bruttostaatsverschuldung-ausgewaehlter-laender-in-anteil-am-bruttoinlandsprodukt\/<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">[16] https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Liste_der_L%C3%A4nder_nach_Bruttonationaleinkommen_pro_Kopf#cite_note-2 &#8222;&gt; https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Liste_der_L%C3%A4nder_nach_Bruttonationaleinkommen_per_Kopf#cite_note-2<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/einfache-standards.blogspot.com\/2025\/10\/auenpolitik-eu-beitritt-der-ukraine.html\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Xaver Philipp Schlesinger<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukrajina by m\u011bla b\u00fdt p\u0159ijata do EU. Toto je deklarovan\u00e1 v\u016fle EU. O tom se&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75243,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,3281,26,321],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89253"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89253"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89253\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}