{"id":89106,"date":"2025-10-03T05:37:53","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T03:37:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=89106"},"modified":"2025-10-03T05:37:53","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T03:37:53","slug":"proc-trumpova-dohoda-stoleti-selze-analyza-profesora-johna-mearsheimera","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/03\/proc-trumpova-dohoda-stoleti-selze-analyza-profesora-johna-mearsheimera\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d Trumpova \u201edohoda stolet\u00ed\u201c sel\u017ee: Anal\u00fdza profesora Johna Mearsheimera"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 epizod\u011b po\u0159adu \u201eSpectator Show\u201c hovo\u0159il profesor John Mearsheimer, renomovan\u00fd politolog a expert na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy, o m\u00edrov\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu pro Gazu, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavil Donald Trump. Rozhovor, kter\u00fd moderoval Freddy, osv\u011btluje obt\u00ed\u017ee a rozpory tzv. \u201eDohody stolet\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e1 byla p\u0159edstavena p\u0159edchoz\u00ed den spole\u010dn\u011b s izraelsk\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Benjaminem Netanjahuem. Mearsheimer nab\u00edz\u00ed kritick\u00e9 koment\u00e1\u0159e k vyhl\u00eddk\u00e1m pl\u00e1nu na \u00fasp\u011bch a analyzuje politickou dynamiku, kter\u00e1 tento n\u00e1vrh formuje. Video nab\u00edz\u00ed hlubok\u00fd vhled do slo\u017eit\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch v\u00fdzev na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a obt\u00ed\u017e\u00ed vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch ze z\u00e1jm\u016f z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch akt\u00e9r\u016f. Obsah rozhovoru je shrnut, analyzov\u00e1n a prezentov\u00e1n v n\u011bm\u010din\u011b v podrobn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku n\u00ed\u017ee.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Profesor Mearsheimer: Pro\u010d Trumpova \u201edohoda stolet\u00ed\u201c nefungovala\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/63u6Si4NLDk?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eDohoda stolet\u00ed\u201c: Izraelsko-americk\u00e1 iniciativa<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Donald Trump prezentoval sv\u016fj dvacetibodov\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro Gazu jako potenci\u00e1ln\u011b \u201ehistorick\u00fd den pro celou civilizaci\u201c. Profesor John Mearsheimer je v\u0161ak skeptick\u00fd ohledn\u011b proveditelnosti a spravedlnosti tohoto n\u00e1vrhu. Pl\u00e1n popisuje jako \u201eizraelsko-americkou\u201c iniciativu siln\u011b ovlivn\u011bnou z\u00e1jmy Izraele. \u201eVe skute\u010dnosti to nen\u00ed americk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh, ale izraelsko-americk\u00fd,\u201c zd\u016fraz\u0148uje Mearsheimer. \u201eIzrael dostal v\u0161e, co cht\u011bl,\u201c cituje prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z Times of Israel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kl\u00ed\u010dovou kritikou je, \u017ee palestinsk\u00e9 hnut\u00ed Ham\u00e1s nebylo zahrnuto do cel\u00e9ho procesu vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. M\u00edsto toho mu byl p\u0159edlo\u017een hotov\u00fd dokument, kter\u00fd Mearsheimer ozna\u010duje za \u201ehotovou v\u011bc\u201c. Tento p\u0159\u00edstup ignoruje legitimn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy Palestinc\u016f a \u010din\u00ed p\u0159ijet\u00ed pl\u00e1nu Ham\u00e1sem nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdm. \u201eBylo by po\u0161etil\u00e9, kdyby Ham\u00e1s tuto nab\u00eddku p\u0159ijal,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Mearsheimer, proto\u017ee \u201epracuje proti n\u011bmu ve v\u0161ech d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hlavn\u00ed slabiny m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mearsheimer zd\u016fraz\u0148uje n\u011bkolik kritick\u00fdch bod\u016f pl\u00e1nu, kter\u00e9 jsou z palestinsk\u00e9ho pohledu nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rukojm\u00edch do 72 hodin<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: Pl\u00e1n po\u017eaduje, aby Ham\u00e1s propustil v\u0161echny rukojm\u00ed b\u011bhem prvn\u00edch 72 hodin. Mearsheimer zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee rukojm\u00ed jsou jedin\u00fdm argumentem Ham\u00e1su p\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Bez t\u00e9to p\u00e1ky Ham\u00e1s ztr\u00e1c\u00ed jakoukoli schopnost prosazovat sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Odzbrojen\u00ed Ham\u00e1su a zni\u010den\u00ed tunel\u016f<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: N\u00e1vrh po\u017eaduje \u00fapln\u00e9 odzbrojen\u00ed Ham\u00e1su a zni\u010den\u00ed v\u0161ech tunel\u016f v Gaze. To by palestinsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo nechalo bezbrann\u00e9.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fapln\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed Izraele z Gazy<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: Pl\u00e1n p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 pouze postupn\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e izraelsk\u00e9 jednotky z\u016fstanou rozm\u00edst\u011bny pod\u00e9l hranic Gazy. To je v rozporu s kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm palestinsk\u00fdm po\u017eadavkem.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nedostatek sebeur\u010den\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: Pl\u00e1n neobsahuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky pro palestinsk\u00e9 sebeur\u010den\u00ed. M\u00edsto toho stanov\u00ed, jak bude Gaza v budoucnu spravov\u00e1na bez palestinsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nejasn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 perspektiva<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: Pl\u00e1n pouze zmi\u0148uje, \u017ee USA cht\u011bj\u00ed podporovat dialog. Zda Palestinci n\u011bkdy budou m\u00edt sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed st\u00e1t, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejasn\u00e9.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Netanjahuova hrozba: \u201eSnadn\u00e1 nebo t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 cesta\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Benjamin Netanjahu jasn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee Palestinci maj\u00ed dv\u011b mo\u017enosti: \u201esnadnou cestu\u201c, p\u0159ijet\u00ed pl\u00e1nu, nebo \u201et\u011b\u017ekou cestu\u201c, pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 ofenzivy v Gaze. Mearsheimer pova\u017euje \u201esnadnou cestu\u201c za iluzi, proto\u017ee pl\u00e1n je natolik zaujat\u00fd v\u016f\u010di Izraeli, \u017ee ho Ham\u00e1s nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ijmout. \u201eT\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 cesta\u201c podle Mearsheimera znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Izrael pokra\u010duje v ofenziv\u011b, tla\u010d\u00ed obyvatelstvo do ji\u017en\u00ed Gazy a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b usiluje o vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed do Egypta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mearsheimer v\u0161ak pochybuje, \u017ee Izrael tohoto c\u00edle dok\u00e1\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout. \u201eNev\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee Ham\u00e1s byl pora\u017een,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1. Navzdory intenzivn\u00edm boj\u016fm existuje jen m\u00e1lo zpr\u00e1v o v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch st\u0159etech mezi Ham\u00e1sem a IDF. Ham\u00e1s nad\u00e1le operuje z tunel\u016f, verbuje nov\u00e9 bojovn\u00edky a z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 odoln\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Obvin\u011bn\u00ed z genocidy<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem sporu je Mearsheimerovo pou\u017eit\u00ed term\u00ednu \u201egenocida\u201c pro izraelsk\u00e9 \u010diny v Gaze. Sv\u016fj argument zakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, B&#8217;Tselem a komise OSN. \u201ePrakticky ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 organizace pro lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va na sv\u011bt\u011b to ozna\u010dila za genocidu,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Mearsheimer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee tento term\u00edn je politicky zabarven\u00fd, ale pova\u017euje ho za opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00fd: \u201ePokud to nechcete naz\u00fdvat genocidou, jak byste to nazvali? Masovou vra\u017edou?\u201c Izraelsk\u00e9 \u010diny jsou \u201ezcela nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9\u201c a trvale po\u0161kozuj\u00ed jeho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed reputaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpovy instinkty v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s Bidenem<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mearsheimer zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee na rozd\u00edl od Joea Bidena nen\u00ed Trump \u201ev\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd \u0161tv\u00e1\u010d\u201c. \u201eTrumpov\u00fdm prvn\u00edm instinktem je neuch\u00fdlit se k zbran\u00edm.\u201c Zat\u00edmco Biden propagoval v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b sabotov\u00e1n\u00edm jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, Trump prosazoval m\u00edr \u2013 a to i kdy\u017e s\u00e1m vedl vojensk\u00e9 akce, nap\u0159\u00edklad proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a v Jemenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00daloha Abrahamov\u00fdch dohod<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Abrahamovy dohody, vyjednan\u00e9 b\u011bhem Trumpova prvn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed, pova\u017euje za \u00fasp\u011bch. Spekulovalo se o roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed o Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii nebo dokonce \u00cdr\u00e1n. Mearsheimer v\u0161ak zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee v\u00e1lka v Gaze takov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny znemo\u017enila: \u201eGenocida v Gaze to znemo\u017enila.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Profesor John Mearsheimer pova\u017euje Trumpovu \u201edohodu stolet\u00ed\u201c za jednostrann\u00fd n\u00e1vrh ve prosp\u011bch Izraele, pro Ham\u00e1s nep\u0159ijateln\u00fd. Nedostate\u010dn\u00e1 palestinsk\u00e1 anga\u017eovanost, po\u017eadavek na okam\u017eit\u00e9 propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rukojm\u00edch a nejasn\u00e1 budoucnost \u010din\u00ed pl\u00e1n z palestinsk\u00e9ho pohledu neatraktivn\u00edm. Pochybuje tak\u00e9 o schopnosti Izraele vojensky porazit Ham\u00e1s nebo vyhnat jeho obyvatelstvo. Obvin\u011bn\u00ed z genocidy z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 sporn\u00fdm bodem, ale mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed organizace ho podporuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpovy instinkty v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice, kter\u00e9 up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed m\u00edr a dohody, nar\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed na drsnou realitu bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edho konfliktu. \u201eDohoda stolet\u00ed\u201c m\u00e1 proto malou \u0161anci na \u00fasp\u011bch, dokud budou ignorov\u00e1ny z\u00e1kladn\u00ed po\u017eadavky Palestinc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-86739 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-211x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"734\" height=\"1044\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-211x300.png 211w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-768x1091.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-1081x1536.png 1081w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-1024x1455.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 epizod\u011b po\u0159adu \u201eSpectator Show\u201c hovo\u0159il profesor John Mearsheimer, renomovan\u00fd politolog a expert na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89107,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[348,107,1505,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89106"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89106\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89107"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}