{"id":88961,"date":"2025-10-01T07:51:32","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T05:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88961"},"modified":"2025-10-01T07:51:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T05:51:32","slug":"bylo-zastrasovani-ruskymi-drony-ve-skandinavii-jen-falesnou-vlajkou-aby-se-zakrocilo-proti-ruske-stinove-flotile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/10\/01\/bylo-zastrasovani-ruskymi-drony-ve-skandinavii-jen-falesnou-vlajkou-aby-se-zakrocilo-proti-ruske-stinove-flotile\/","title":{"rendered":"Bylo zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdmi drony ve Skandin\u00e1vii jen fale\u0161nou vlajkou, aby se zakro\u010dilo proti rusk\u00e9 st\u00ednov\u00e9 flotile?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Je velmi podez\u0159el\u00e9, \u017ee Zelenskyj bez jak\u00fdchkoli d\u016fkaz\u016f pouze prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee je vypustily rusk\u00e9 tankery, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b po\u017eadoval, aby Evropa v reakci na to uzav\u0159ela pr\u016flivy pro svou lodn\u00ed dopravu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nezn\u00e1m\u00e9 drony\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ned\u00e1vno let\u011bly v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti d\u00e1nsk\u00fdch a norsk\u00fdch leti\u0161\u0165, co\u017e vyvolalo\u00a0<\/span>spekulace\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o opo\u017ed\u011bnou hybridn\u00ed odvetu Ruska v\u016f\u010di NATO za podporu let\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f v bl\u00edzkosti rusk\u00fdch leti\u0161\u0165 v posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika letech. Na podporu t\u00e9to hypot\u00e9zy se neobjevily \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy, ale Zelenskyj ve sv\u00e9m projevu na posledn\u00edm Var\u0161avsk\u00e9m bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm f\u00f3ru tato tvrzen\u00ed ne\u010destn\u011b vyd\u00e1val za fakta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bj\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201eexistuje st\u00e1le v\u00edce d\u016fkaz\u016f o tom, \u017ee Rusko mohlo pou\u017e\u00edt tankery v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i k vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed dron\u016f \u2013 dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 zp\u016fsobily velk\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed severn\u00ed Evropy. Pokud tankery pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 Ruskem slou\u017e\u00ed jako platformy pro drony, pak by takov\u00e9 tankery nem\u011bly m\u00edt mo\u017enost voln\u00e9ho provozu v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Jedn\u00e1 se de facto o ruskou vojenskou aktivitu proti evropsk\u00fdm zem\u00edm, tak\u017ee Evropa m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo uzav\u0159\u00edt pr\u016flivy a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy, aby se ochr\u00e1nila.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho n\u00e1vrh, aby NATO pod touto z\u00e1minkou uzav\u0159elo d\u00e1nsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pro rusk\u00e9 lod\u011b, co\u017e by se rovnalo neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed blok\u00e1d\u011b, kter\u00e1 by tak mohla legitimizovat \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 akce Ruska v sebeobran\u011b, byl p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fd vzhledem k z\u00e1jmu Ukrajiny a n\u011bkter\u00fdch jej\u00edch patron\u016f na eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi blokem a Ruskem. Ve skute\u010dnosti by se dokonce mohlo st\u00e1t, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o fale\u0161nou vlajku, p\u0159ed kterou by Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a Ukrajina brzy mohly zinscenovat akci, jak\u00a0<\/span>dvakr\u00e1t\u00a0<\/span><\/a>varovala rusk\u00e1 Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba\u00a0<\/a>, i kdy\u017e nakonec by m\u011bla jinou podobu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odhadovali, \u017ee tito dva by mohli zorganizovat potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed provokace v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, z nich\u017e by pak bylo obvin\u011bno Rusko, aby ospravedlnilo z\u00e1sah proti jeho sankcionovan\u00e9mu obchodu s energi\u00ed, kter\u00fd Z\u00e1pad dramaticky popisuje jako prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fd \u201est\u00ednovou flotilou\u201c proplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed t\u00edmto mo\u0159em. A\u010dkoli \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 lo\u010f nebyla ter\u010dem sov\u011btsk\u00fdch\/rusk\u00fdch torp\u00e9d p\u0159epraven\u00fdch Ukrajinou ani nebyly takov\u00e9 miny vyloveny z Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, skandin\u00e1vsk\u00fd strach z rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b st\u00e1le pln\u00ed stejnou roli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skeptici by mohli trvat na tom, \u017ee se Rusko uch\u00fdlilo k \u201ev\u011brohodn\u011b popirateln\u00e9 hybridn\u00ed odvet\u011b\u201c proti NATO, ale je nelogick\u00e9, \u017ee by Rusko riskovalo cokoli, co by mohlo ospravedlnit stejnou eskalaci, kter\u00e9 se\u00a0<\/span>Putinova zdr\u017eenlivost\u00a0<\/span><\/a>dosud vyhnula. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro\u00a0<\/span>d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed incident s dronem\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v Polsku. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro\u00a0<\/span>souvisej\u00edc\u00ed obvin\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>z naru\u0161en\u00ed estonsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru. V\u0161echny tyto incidenty Z\u00e1pad vyd\u00e1val za \u00famysln\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 provokace a p\u0159edch\u00e1zely eskala\u010dn\u00edm n\u00e1vrh\u016fm, kter\u00e9 byly nespr\u00e1vn\u011b prezentov\u00e1ny jako \u201eodveta\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polsk\u00e9 a estonsk\u00e9 argumenty byly zneu\u017eity k tomu, aby Trump dal NATO zelenou\u00a0<\/span>sest\u0159elit rusk\u00e9 letouny\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na z\u00e1klad\u011b toho, \u017ee naru\u0161uj\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor bloku, co\u017e by mohlo n\u011bkter\u00e9 povzbudit k pokusu o to pod fale\u0161n\u00fdmi z\u00e1minkami, zat\u00edmco skandin\u00e1vsk\u00e9 argumenty byly zneu\u017eity k v\u00fdzv\u011b k uzav\u0159en\u00ed d\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu pro lodn\u00ed dopravu. Oba se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed eskalace v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, kter\u00e1 by mohla v\u00e9st k nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 blok\u00e1d\u011b br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed voln\u00e9mu pohybu rusk\u00fdch letadel a lod\u00ed v t\u00e9to oblasti, a t\u00edm vyv\u00edjet bezprecedentn\u00ed tlak na Kaliningrad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento poznatek siln\u011b nazna\u010duje, \u017ee skandin\u00e1vsk\u00fd strach z rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f byl skute\u010dn\u011b fale\u0161nou vlajkou, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla ospravedlnit z\u00e1sah proti rusk\u00e9 \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotile\u201c, a\u010dkoli v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed Rubikon a v\u00e1\u017en\u011b podniknou takov\u00fd krok, jako je uzav\u0159en\u00ed d\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu pro rusk\u00e9 lod\u011b. Zelensk\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrh ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b dokazuje, \u017ee se spolu s n\u011bkter\u00fdmi sv\u00fdmi podobn\u011b sm\u00fd\u0161lej\u00edc\u00edmi patrony NATO\u00a0<\/span>sna\u017e\u00ed manipulovat s Trumpem\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a zp\u016fsobit katastrofu epick\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f, ale doufejme, \u017ee Trump na to nenalet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Je velmi podez\u0159el\u00e9, \u017ee Zelenskyj bez jak\u00fdchkoli d\u016fkaz\u016f pouze prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee je vypustily rusk\u00e9 tankery,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88962,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2262,2856,2457],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88961"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88961\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}