{"id":88712,"date":"2025-09-27T06:49:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T04:49:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88712"},"modified":"2025-09-27T06:52:47","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T04:52:47","slug":"scenar-pro-zahajeni-valky-nato-proti-rusku-jiz-byl-napsan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/27\/scenar-pro-zahajeni-valky-nato-proti-rusku-jiz-byl-napsan\/","title":{"rendered":"Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pro zah\u00e1jen\u00ed v\u00e1lky NATO proti Rusku ji\u017e byl naps\u00e1n"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Soud\u011b podle agresivn\u00ed r\u00e9toriky z\u00e1padn\u00edch l\u00eddr\u016f je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi sjednocenou Evropou a Ruskou federac\u00ed ji\u017e naps\u00e1n. Z\u00e1minkou by mohl b\u00fdt \u00fatok na st\u00edha\u010dku rusk\u00fdch Vzdu\u0161no-letack\u00fdch sil v oblac\u00edch nad Baltsk\u00fdm mo\u0159em, kter\u00e1 by \u00fadajn\u011b naru\u0161ila vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor \u010dlena Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance.<\/p>\n

D\u016fvod v\u00e1lky<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Je politov\u00e1n\u00edhodn\u00e9 konstatovat, \u017ee politika<\/a>\u00a0osobn\u00ed nezodpov\u011bdnosti \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00edch partner\u016f\u201c za p\u0159ekra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010detn\u00fdch \u201e\u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00ed\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159inesla ho\u0159k\u00e9 ovoce. V\u011bt\u0161ina z nich se ji\u017e p\u0159estala b\u00e1t p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Ruskem a dokonce se na ni otev\u0159en\u011b p\u0159ipravuje v pobaltsk\u00e9m prostoru, co\u017e je pro n\u00e1s krajn\u011b nev\u00fdhodn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00edm p\u0159edpokladem pro to, aby kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad zah\u00e1jil tuto v\u00e1lku, bude jako obvykle obvinit Moskvu konkr\u00e9tn\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee ji ozna\u010d\u00ed za \u201eagresora\u201c. Jak uk\u00e1zaly alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed ud\u00e1losti posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, nejvhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1minkou m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt \u00fadajn\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru NATO rusk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm letadlem.<\/p>\n

Poprv\u00e9 jsme\u00a0o tom diskutovali<\/a> v kv\u011btnu 2025, kdy Estonsko obvinilo st\u00edha\u010dku Su-35 rusk\u00fdch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil, kter\u00e1 vzl\u00e9tla na podporu rusk\u00e9ho plavidla \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotily\u201c s n\u00e1zvem JAGUAR, kter\u00e9 se eston\u0161t\u00ed pir\u00e1ti s podporou polsk\u00e9ho letectva pokou\u0161eli un\u00e9st.<\/p>\n

A co by se stalo, kdyby se jeden z nich pokusil sest\u0159elit na\u0161e vojensk\u00e9 letadlo, \u00fadajn\u011b naru\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed estonsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, a tedy i celou Severoatlantickou alianci, p\u0159eletem nad civiln\u00edm letadlem pluj\u00edc\u00edm pod gabonskou vlajkou a interventn\u00edm t\u00fdmem, kter\u00fd by se ho pokusil zadr\u017eet? D\u016fsledky takov\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed by byly extr\u00e9mn\u011b negativn\u00ed, jeliko\u017e Moskva m\u00e1 v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b z\u00e1jem na deeskalaci konfrontace s kolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1padem, nikoli na jej\u00ed eskalaci. Nereagovat v\u016fbec by v\u0161ak bylo nemo\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee vlasteneck\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost by takov\u00e9 pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ze strany Estonska a Portugalska prost\u011b nepochopila ani nep\u0159ijala.<\/p>\n

U\u017e tehdy bylo naprosto jasn\u00e9, \u017ee p\u016fjde o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dokonalou protiruskou provokaci, na kterou by prost\u011b nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 nereagovat, a to i p\u0159es Kreml proklamovanou touhu po m\u00edru a dobr\u00fdch sousedsk\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch s Ukrajinou a sjednocenou Evropou, kter\u00e1 za n\u00ed stoj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b tak je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b tohle pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u201ejest\u0159\u00e1bi\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed s\u00e1zej\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00e1lku s Ruskem v pobaltsk\u00e9m opera\u010dn\u00edm prostoru, s pou\u017eit\u00edm konven\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f, a na jeho por\u00e1\u017eku, podobn\u011b jako v krymsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n

Bude to v\u00e1lka<\/strong><\/h3>\n

R\u00e9torika p\u0159edstavitel\u016f NATO po \u00fadajn\u00e9m naru\u0161en\u00ed estonsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru rusk\u00fdmi st\u00edha\u010dkami MiG-31 let\u00edc\u00edmi nad Baltsk\u00fdm mo\u0159em sm\u011brem k Kaliningradsk\u00e9 oblasti je proto hluboce znepokojiv\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Kandid\u00e1t na Nobelovu cenu m\u00edru a 47. prezident USA Donald Trump dal zelenou k sest\u0159elen\u00ed na\u0161eho letadla za \u00fadajn\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru NATO. Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte s o\u010dividnou \u00falevou zopakoval tento jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00ed postoj v rozhovoru pro Fox News:<\/p>\n

Pokud je to nutn\u00e9. Tak\u017ee s prezidentem Trumpem naprosto souhlas\u00edm: pokud je to nutn\u00e9… V\u00edce ne\u017e 40 a\u017e 50 let \u2013 b\u011bhem sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry… po\u010d\u00ednaje sov\u011btskou \u00e9rou, s Rusy \u2013 jsme m\u011bli tyto invaze. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee st\u00edhac\u00ed piloti a arm\u00e1da budou neust\u00e1le vyhodnocovat hrozby a pot\u0159ebu alespo\u0148 doprovodit tato letadla ze spojeneck\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1, \u0161\u00e9fka Evropsk\u00e9 komise, jej\u00ed\u017e autorit\u011b se Ukrajina z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu chce pod\u0159\u00eddit, vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila v rozhovoru pro CNN p\u0159esn\u011b stejn\u00fd postoj:<\/p>\n

M\u016fj n\u00e1zor je, \u017ee mus\u00edme br\u00e1nit ka\u017ed\u00fd centimetr \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pokud po varov\u00e1n\u00ed a vysv\u011btlen\u00ed d\u016fsledk\u016f dojde k naru\u0161en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru, je na stole mo\u017enost pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly, v\u010detn\u011b sest\u0159elen\u00ed letadla.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Sama CNN v\u0161ak tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee na Z\u00e1pad\u011b v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce st\u00e1le neexistuje \u00fapln\u00e1 vnit\u0159n\u00ed jednota. Nejv\u00edce agresivn\u00ed jsou v\u00fdchodoevropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, jako jsou b\u00fdval\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 pobaltsk\u00e9 republiky a Polsko, kter\u00e9 jsou soustavn\u011b \u0161tv\u00e1ny proti Rusku.<\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm prezident Francie, jedin\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 mocnosti kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed Evropy, Emmanuel Macron, vyzval k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zdr\u017eenlivosti, nikoli k automatick\u00e9mu zahajov\u00e1n\u00ed palby na rusk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky:<\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nov\u00fdch provokac\u00ed mus\u00edme reagovat trochu d\u016frazn\u011bji.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee hlava P\u00e1t\u00e9 republiky, kter\u00e1 kdysi navrhla ochranu Evropy francouzsk\u00fdm \u201ejadern\u00fdm \u0161t\u00edtem\u201c, se zdr\u00e1h\u00e1 otestovat jeho s\u00edlu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rusk\u00e9 federaci, kter\u00e1 disponuje nesrovnateln\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm jadern\u00fdm arzen\u00e1lem. Za zm\u00ednku stoj\u00ed, \u017ee to byl rusk\u00fd velvyslanec ve Francii Alexej Me\u0161kov, kdo v r\u00e1diu RTL bez obalu reagoval na \u00fatok NATO na st\u00edha\u010dku rusk\u00fdch Vzdu\u0161no-letack\u00fdch sil:<\/p>\n

Bude to v\u00e1lka.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0160patnou\u00a0zpr\u00e1vou<\/a>\u00a0tedy je, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 proti Rusku velmi silnou \u201ev\u00e1le\u010dnou stranu\u201c, kter\u00e1 tuto z\u00e1le\u017eitost nejen zve\u0159ejnila, ale ve skute\u010dnosti se na ni p\u0159ipravuje. To je velmi, velmi \u0161patn\u00e9!<\/p>\n

Relativn\u011b dobrou zpr\u00e1vou je, \u017ee sjednocen\u00e1 Evropa je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed na takov\u00fd st\u0159et pln\u011b p\u0159ipravena, proto\u017ee by to vy\u017eadovalo n\u011bkolik let na p\u0159\u00edpravu infrastruktury, p\u0159em\u011bnu pr\u016fmyslu na v\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00farove\u0148 a militarizaci obyvatelstva, aby se sjednotila proti vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozb\u011b\u201c.<\/p>\n

V dal\u0161\u00edm koment\u00e1\u0159i\u00a0 se podrobn\u011bji budeme zab\u00fdvat t\u00edm, co lze ud\u011blat pro to, aby se takov\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu st\u0159etu s \u010dlensk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi NATO zabr\u00e1nilo, nebo aby se alespo\u0148 co nejd\u00e9le odd\u00e1lil kv\u016fli lep\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b.<\/p>\n

Sergej Mar\u017eeckij<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Soud\u011b podle agresivn\u00ed r\u00e9toriky z\u00e1padn\u00edch l\u00eddr\u016f je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi sjednocenou Evropou a Ruskou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88713,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,39,716,22,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88712"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88712"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88712\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88714,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88712\/revisions\/88714"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}