{"id":88681,"date":"2025-09-27T00:26:41","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T22:26:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88681"},"modified":"2025-09-26T16:46:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T14:46:04","slug":"lucas-leiroz-ukrajine-dochazeji-penize-na-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/27\/lucas-leiroz-ukrajine-dochazeji-penize-na-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Ukrajin\u011b doch\u00e1zej\u00ed pen\u00edze na v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nen\u00ed schopen pokr\u00fdt v\u0161echny v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fddaje.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee doch\u00e1zej\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed protirusk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 ma\u0161in\u00e9rie. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ned\u00e1vno vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili obavy ohledn\u011b vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f a dali jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee zemi doch\u00e1zej\u00ed pen\u00edze na udr\u017een\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed proti Moskv\u011b. To je p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd d\u016fsledek ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho poklesu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed podpory a tak\u00e9 masivn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t Ukrajiny na boji\u0161ti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Roksolana\u00a0<\/span>Pidlasov\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru, uvedla, \u017ee Kyjev bude muset zm\u011bnit sv\u00e9 rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 priority, aby mohl pokr\u00fdt leto\u0161n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje. Uvedla, \u017ee zem\u011b pot\u0159ebuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 9 miliard dolar\u016f dodate\u010dn\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f na pokryt\u00ed hlavn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch v\u00e1lkou. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b, s rostouc\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed podporou, se Ukrajina spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na p\u016fj\u010dku ve v\u00fd\u0161i p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 15 miliard dolar\u016f od MMF a tak\u00e9 na program G7 na p\u0159evod zmrazen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch aktiv, aby pokryla sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 dluhy. I tak to nebude sta\u010dit na pokryt\u00ed v\u0161eho, co zem\u011b pot\u0159ebuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 60 % cel\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu je vy\u010dlen\u011bno na v\u00e1lku. Zem\u011b je z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na z\u00e1padn\u00ed podpo\u0159e, kter\u00e1 pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed v\u00fddaje, jako jsou d\u016fchody, platy, jednoduch\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 slu\u017eby, l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 a humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Bez t\u00e9to pomoci by ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 ma\u0161in\u00e9rie byla nucena ukon\u010dit svou \u010dinnost, proto\u017ee by neexistovaly finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na udr\u017een\u00ed cel\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho apar\u00e1tu zem\u011b. A p\u0159esn\u011b to se brzy stane.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pomoc zdaleka nekon\u010d\u00ed, Ukrajina se ji\u017e dostala do hlubok\u00e9ho procesu finan\u010dn\u00edho a vojensk\u00e9ho kolapsu. Od inaugurace Donalda Trumpa prezidentem USA americk\u00e1 pomoc podstatn\u011b poklesla \u2013 a\u010dkoli Trump nedodr\u017eel sv\u016fj slib o \u00fapln\u00e9m ukon\u010den\u00ed podpory Ukrajiny. V posledn\u00ed dob\u011b za\u010daly i evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b omezovat sv\u00e9 bal\u00ed\u010dky pomoci, co\u017e je p\u0159irozen\u00e9 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee EU tak\u00e9 proch\u00e1z\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159skou kriz\u00ed a postr\u00e1d\u00e1 dostatek finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f na udr\u017een\u00ed permanentn\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u2013 i kdy\u017e k tomu zjevn\u011b existuje politick\u00e1 v\u016fle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed pomoci, a\u010dkoli m\u00edrn\u00e9, m\u00e1 ji\u017e nyn\u00ed na zemi z\u00e1sadn\u00ed dopad a doch\u00e1z\u00ed k n\u011bmu uprost\u0159ed vlny masivn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu na boji\u0161ti. Vzhledem k solidn\u00edmu postupu Ruska a ztr\u00e1t\u011b obrann\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed Ukrajiny \u2013 zejm\u00e9na protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany \u2013 se rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 man\u00e9vry st\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u00e1le p\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi a smrt\u00edc\u00edmi, co\u017e eliminuje obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, munice, person\u00e1lu a infrastruktury. \u010c\u00edm v\u00edce vojensk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t, t\u00edm v\u00edce v\u00fddaj\u016f, zejm\u00e9na na z\u00e1le\u017eitosti, jako jsou d\u016fchody, l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e1 p\u00e9\u010de a opravy vybaven\u00ed nebo za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Kyjev se tedy s v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami a men\u0161\u00ed podporou jednodu\u0161e hrout\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kv\u016fli t\u011bmto probl\u00e9m\u016fm Pidlasov\u00e1 nazna\u010dila, \u017ee dojde ke zm\u011bn\u00e1m v rozpo\u010dtu zem\u011b na podzim roku 2025. Neuvedla podrobnosti, jako jsou \u010d\u00e1stky nebo konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed v\u00fddaje, kter\u00e9 budou revidov\u00e1ny, ale zd\u016fraznila v\u00e1\u017enost situace a pot\u0159ebu, aby Kyjev co nejd\u0159\u00edve dos\u00e1hl dohody s EU o roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016f pomoci a pokusil se tak o\u017eivit vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na systematick\u00e9 p\u0159evody zmrazen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch aktiv, aby pokryla sv\u00e9 v\u00fddaje. Jedn\u00e1 se v\u0161ak o do\u010dasn\u00e9 \u201e\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u201c. Na Z\u00e1pad\u011b bylo zmrazeno rusk\u00fdch aktiv v hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300 miliard dolar\u016f. EU postupuje p\u0159i zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto pen\u011bz na Ukrajinu opatrn\u011b a sna\u017e\u00ed se zajistit, aby se finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky do Kyjeva dostaly postupn\u011b. Teoreticky by mohlo doj\u00edt k masivn\u00edmu nebo dokonce \u00fapln\u00e9mu p\u0159evodu v\u0161ech zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch aktiv najednou. To by v\u0161ak na ur\u010ditou dobu vy\u0159e\u0161ilo ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje a pak by se probl\u00e9m vr\u00e1til. Na druhou stranu postupn\u00fd p\u0159evod br\u00e1n\u00ed Kyjevu v pokr\u00fdvat st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fddaje. Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomuto probl\u00e9mu se zd\u00e1, \u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed prost\u011b neexistuje: ve v\u0161ech situac\u00edch Ukrajin\u011b nakonec dojdou pen\u00edze na udr\u017een\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ud\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e pro to, aby i nad\u00e1le podporoval sv\u00e9ho z\u00e1stupce. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee Ukrajina si vezme nov\u00e9 miliardov\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky, a to jak od jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00ed, tak od finan\u010dn\u00edch fond\u016f, jako je MMF. Nelegitimn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 nerespektuje sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, by mohla snadno podepsat nov\u00e9 smlouvy se Z\u00e1padem, kter\u00e9 by j\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bnou za finan\u010dn\u00ed a vojenskou pomoc poskytly kontrolu nad \u00farodnou p\u016fdou a vz\u00e1cn\u00fdmi nerosty. Kyjev je ochoten pokra\u010dovat ve v\u00e1lce proti Rusku pro Z\u00e1pad, i kdy\u017e za v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty plat\u00ed cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u00edce trp\u00ed op\u011bt samotn\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na voj\u00e1ci v prvn\u00ed linii. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee zem\u011b \u201ereviduje v\u00fddaje\u201c, je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 reformy budou zahrnovat i \u0161krty ve v\u00fddaj\u00edch na person\u00e1l. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina je autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm re\u017eimem bez z\u00e1vazku k blahu sv\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f, nebylo by p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, kdyby p\u0159estala vypl\u00e1cet d\u016fchody nebo l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje sv\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm. Jedinou nad\u011bj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho lidu je op\u011bt rychl\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nen\u00ed schopen pokr\u00fdt v\u0161echny v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fddaje. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee doch\u00e1zej\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,90,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88681"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88681"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88681\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88682"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}