{"id":88369,"date":"2025-09-23T00:22:28","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T22:22:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88369"},"modified":"2025-09-22T11:31:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T09:31:03","slug":"andrew-korybko-jak-daleko-je-nemecka-elita-ochotna-zajit-v-odolavani-vetru-zmen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/23\/andrew-korybko-jak-daleko-je-nemecka-elita-ochotna-zajit-v-odolavani-vetru-zmen\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Jak daleko je n\u011bmeck\u00e1 elita ochotna zaj\u00edt v odol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v\u011btru zm\u011bn?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Z\u00e1kaz AfD, dal\u0161\u00ed \u201estatisticky n\u00e1padn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed jej\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f a dokonce i opakov\u00e1n\u00ed rumunsk\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e nelze vylou\u010dit, jeliko\u017e nacionalistick\u00e1 opozice st\u00e1le roste na popularit\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fzkum ve\u0159ejn\u011b financovan\u00fdch n\u011bmeck\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee AfD se v popularit\u011b op\u011bt vyrovn\u00e1 vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed CDU s 26 %, co\u017e\u00a0<\/span>Euractiv\u00a0<\/span><\/a>vyhodnotil jako d\u016fkaz jej\u00ed setrvalosti. D\u00e1le usoudili, \u017ee ztrojn\u00e1soben\u00ed podpory v posledn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch v Severn\u00edm Por\u00fdn\u00ed-Vestf\u00e1lsku, nejlidnat\u011bj\u0161\u00ed spolkov\u00e9 zemi N\u011bmecka, na 14,5 % \u201ezd\u016fraznilo rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu strany\u201c. To navzdory medi\u00e1ln\u00edmu pomluv\u00e1m, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b tomu, \u017ee ji\u00a0<\/span>podporuje Kreml\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>extremistick\u00e1 strana\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, a \u201e\u00a0<\/span>statisticky n\u00e1padn\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c smrti sedmi kandid\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed podpora AfD v cel\u00e9m N\u011bmecku lze p\u0159ipsat\u00a0<\/span>neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed recesi\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, do kter\u00e9 N\u011bmecko vstoupilo v roce 2022 pot\u00e9, co vyhov\u011blo tlaku USA na uvalen\u00ed sankc\u00ed na Rusko v solidarit\u011b s Ukrajinou, a ze kter\u00e9 se\u00a0<\/span>st\u00e1le sna\u017e\u00ed zotavit\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed spolehliv\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu k levn\u00fdm energi\u00edm zv\u00fd\u0161ilo ceny nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d zem\u011bmi, co\u017e sn\u00ed\u017eilo konkurenceschopnost n\u011bmeck\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed a vedlo k ekonomick\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm. To se odehr\u00e1valo soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s t\u00edm, jak vl\u00e1da nab\u00fdvala sp\u00ed\u0161e \u201eliber\u00e1ln\u011b-totalitn\u00ed\u201c podoby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed po\u010det N\u011bmc\u016f se proto p\u0159irozen\u011b p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u011bl k jedin\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b alternativn\u00ed politick\u00e9 s\u00edle, kter\u00e1 se v zemi do t\u00e9 doby objevila a kterou o to v\u00edce p\u0159itahoval jej\u00ed pragmatick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0<\/span>ukrajinsk\u00e9mu konfliktu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. V tomto bod\u011b u\u017e Z\u00e1pad nem\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t (dosud ofici\u00e1ln\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1no za obnoven\u00ed hranic Ukrajiny p\u0159ed rokem 2014, ale ned\u00e1vno Zelenskyj to popsal jako\u00a0<\/span>prostou pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed existenci Ukrajiny\u00a0<\/span><\/a>), a v\u0161e, co m\u016f\u017ee ud\u011blat, je\u00a0<\/span>dos\u00e1hnout dohody\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s Ruskem, nebo riskovat \u00faplnou por\u00e1\u017eku sv\u00e9ho klientsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

AfD up\u0159ednost\u0148uje kompromis, kter\u00fd by dl\u00e1\u017edil cestu k obnoven\u00ed dovozu rusk\u00e9ho plynu do N\u011bmecka, zat\u00edmco vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed elita chce pokra\u010dovat v z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, jak dokazuje jejich nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1vazek poskytnout Ukrajin\u011b do roku 2026\u00a0<\/span>9 miliard eur.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Politika prvn\u00edho z nich by obnovila s\u00edlu n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky a n\u00e1sledn\u011b i jej\u00ed p\u0159edkonfliktn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f, zat\u00edmco druh\u00fd by prohluboval ekonomickou krizi a z\u00e1rove\u0148 obohatil ty, kte\u0159\u00ed investuj\u00ed do vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho komplexu a\u00a0<\/span>zhor\u0161uj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>korupci\u00a0<\/a>na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vr\u00e1tili se k \u010dl\u00e1nku Euractivu a dosp\u011bli k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee \u201eMerz ne\u010del\u00ed celost\u00e1tn\u00edm volb\u00e1m d\u0159\u00edve ne\u017e v roce 2029, ale AfD se v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce zam\u011b\u0159uje na \u0159adu region\u00e1ln\u00edch voleb, v\u010detn\u011b hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed ve dvou v\u00fdchodn\u00edch spolkov\u00fdch zem\u00edch, kde v pr\u016fzkumech jasn\u011b vede krajn\u00ed pravice.\u201c I kdy\u017e jsou p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 volby mo\u017en\u00e9, stejn\u011b jako ty v \u00fanoru, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ivedly k moci kancl\u00e9\u0159e Friedricha Merze a v nich\u017e AfD \u0161okovala establishment sv\u00fdm druh\u00fdm m\u00edstem, elita je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b neriskuje (alespo\u0148 ne zat\u00edm).<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebudou cht\u00edt riskovat, \u017ee vyhraje AfD, a st\u00e1le je t\u0159eba ud\u011blat v\u00edce pr\u00e1ce na zmanipulov\u00e1n\u00ed voleb, a\u0165 u\u017e se nakonec konaj\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e v roce 2029 nebo d\u0159\u00edve. To by mohlo m\u00edt podobu z\u00e1kazu AfD pod extremistick\u00fdmi z\u00e1minkami, nebo by se do t\u00e9 doby v\u00edce jej\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f mohlo st\u00e1t ob\u011bt\u00ed \u201estatisticky n\u00e1padn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e9 je i opakov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>rumunsk\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kdy jsou politicky nepohodln\u00e9 volebn\u00ed v\u00fdsledky anulov\u00e1ny pod nepodlo\u017een\u00fdmi z\u00e1minkami zahrani\u010dn\u00edho vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak \u010di onak se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed elita bude i nad\u00e1le odol\u00e1vat v\u011btru zm\u011bn, kter\u00e9 byly rozpout\u00e1ny jejich vlastn\u00ed politikou a nyn\u00ed se val\u00ed po cel\u00e9 zemi, zejm\u00e9na t\u011bm sm\u011brem k Rusku, kter\u00e9 sabotovaly struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edlu ekonomiky. Zda se jim poda\u0159\u00ed udr\u017eet v\u016fdkyni AfD Alici Weidelov\u00e9 mimo kancl\u00e9\u0159sk\u00fd post, se teprve uvid\u00ed, ale nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee atraktivita jej\u00ed strany bude i nad\u00e1le r\u016fst, proto\u017ee je to jedin\u00e1 strana, kter\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u011b db\u00e1 na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy N\u011bmecka.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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Z\u00e1kaz AfD, dal\u0161\u00ed \u201estatisticky n\u00e1padn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed jej\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f a dokonce i opakov\u00e1n\u00ed rumunsk\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e nelze…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88370,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[83,1042,84,122],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88369"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88369\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}