{"id":88345,"date":"2025-09-22T07:46:31","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T05:46:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88345"},"modified":"2025-09-22T07:46:31","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T05:46:31","slug":"michael-svatos-sokujici-priznani-velitele-elitni-ukrajinske-68-myslivecke-brigady-nastal-konec-a-dalsi-analyza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/22\/michael-svatos-sokujici-priznani-velitele-elitni-ukrajinske-68-myslivecke-brigady-nastal-konec-a-dalsi-analyza\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: \u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed velitele elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 68. mysliveck\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy \u2013 nastal konec! A dal\u0161\u00ed. Anal\u00fdza"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza m\u00e1 t\u0159i samostatn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti. Dohromady maj\u00ed logiku, a nazna\u010duj\u00ed v\u00fdhled do budoucna. D\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

(1) N\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd fanatik Roderich Kiesewetter i \u010desk\u00fd prezident Petr Pavel v\u010dera v\u0159\u00edskali proti Rusku \u00fapln\u011b stejn\u011b!\u00a0 \u017de by n\u011bjak\u00e1 n\u00e1hoda?<\/h3>\n

\u010cesk\u00fd prezident gener\u00e1l Pavel Pavel v\u010dera,\u00a0k velk\u00e9 radosti kyjevsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed<\/a>,\u00a0 vyzval v\u00e1le\u010dnou alianci NATO k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch letadel, pokud op\u011bt proniknou do alian\u010dn\u00edho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru.\u00a0V\u010dera \u00fapln\u011b stejn\u011b jako Petr Pavel, \u017ee je t\u0159eba rusk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky okam\u017eit\u011b za\u010d\u00edt sest\u0159elovat,\u00a0v\u0159e\u0161t\u011bl i zn\u00e1m\u00fd n\u011bmeck\u00fd fanatick\u00fd anti-rusk\u00fd revan\u0161ista<\/a>, poslanec za vl\u00e1dn\u00ed stranu CDU, ex-NATO-Oberst Roderich Kiesewetter. Petr Pavel se tak v\u010dera dostal do opravdu exklusivn\u00ed germ\u00e1nsk\u00e9 bojechtiv\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti. Kiesewetter t\u0159eba toto vyk\u0159ikoval 11. \u00fanora 2024:\u00a0\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a velitelstv\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt zni\u010dena. Mus\u00edme ud\u011blat v\u0161e pro to, aby Ukrajina mohla zas\u00e1hnout n\u011bmeck\u00fdmi raketami nejen ropn\u00e9 rafin\u00e9rie v Rusku, ale tak\u00e9, aby mohla zni\u010dit rusk\u00e1 ministerstva, velitelsk\u00e9 bunkry, a palebn\u00e1 stanovi\u0161t\u011b raket. Je na\u010dase, aby si rusk\u00fd lid uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee podpora Putina bude v\u0161echny Rusy i jejich d\u011bti st\u00e1t ve\u0161kerou jejich budoucnost!<\/em><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Net\u0159eba asi dod\u00e1vat, \u017ee Kiesewetterovi i Pavlovy n\u00e1pady p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nejkrat\u0161\u00ed cestu ke III. sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n

Moskva pop\u00edr\u00e1<\/a>, \u017ee by 4 jej\u00ed st\u00edha\u010dky MiG-31 v p\u00e1tek 19. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed do vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru Estonska pronikly, a nato\u017e \u017ee se v n\u011bm zdr\u017eovaly 12 minut, jak tvrd\u00ed Estonci, pro pochopen\u00ed relevantnosti bojovn\u00fdch my\u0161lenkov\u00fdch pochod\u016f prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch uvnit\u0159 hlavy na\u0161eho prezidenta, sta\u010d\u00ed letm\u00fd pohled na ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed mapu Estonsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil zn\u00e1zor\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fadajnou n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu rusk\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek v estonsk\u00e9m v\u00fdsostn\u00e9m prostoru v p\u00e1tek 19. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, a i \u00fapln\u00fd laik pochop\u00ed, \u017ee Pavel hlasit\u011b povykuje op\u011bt pro nic za nic, respektive, proto\u017ee jeho fialov\u00ed politi\u010dt\u00ed kump\u00e1ni prohraj\u00ed v bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edch se volb\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

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Jak na map\u011b vid\u00edte, 4 rusk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky Mig-31 let\u011bly i podle extr\u00e9mn\u011b Rusofobn\u00edch Estonc\u016f v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b po sam\u00e9 hranici estonsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru, a sm\u011brem k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu prostoru. A jejich let jasn\u011b ukazoval, \u017ee estonsk\u00fd prostor nehodlaj\u00ed naru\u0161ovat hloub\u011bji, nebo snad ohro\u017eovat samotn\u00e9 Estonsko, a \u017ee let\u00ed do rusk\u00e9ho Kaliningradu, a \u017ee ve slo\u017eit\u00e9m \u00fazk\u00e9m vzdu\u0161n\u00e9m mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm koridoru mezi Finskem, Estonskem a Ruskem mohlo doj\u00edt k m\u00edrn\u00e9mu odklon\u011bn\u00ed jejich naviga\u010dn\u00edch sign\u00e1l\u016f, a tak vstoupily do estonsk\u00e9ho prostoru. A sta\u010dilo k nim pouze vyslat dvojici vlastn\u00edch pohotovostn\u00edch st\u00edha\u010dek, aby je ve v\u0161\u00ed slu\u0161nosti z estonsk\u00e9ho prostoru vyprovodily.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d z toho v\u0161ak Petr Pavel d\u011bl\u00e1 te\u010f takov\u00fd rozruch? A hlavn\u011b, co by se stalo p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b, kdyby hypoteticky dv\u011b \u010desk\u00e9 pohotovostn\u00ed st\u00edha\u010dky ur\u010den\u00e9 k ostraze alian\u010dn\u00edho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru na n\u011bjak\u00fd Pavl\u016fv pomaten\u00fd rozkaz rusk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky MiG-31 n\u011bjakou absolutn\u00ed shodou \u0161\u0165astn\u00fdch n\u00e1hod p\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9m \u00fatoku opravdu sest\u0159elily? Mysl\u00edte, \u017ee by prezident USA Donald Trump vehnal USA do zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lky s Ruskem, jen kv\u016fli tomu, \u017ee si n\u011bjak\u00fd vyslou\u017eil\u00fd \u010desk\u00fd lampas\u00e1k cht\u011bl hr\u00e1t p\u0159ed sv\u00fdm fialov\u00fdm voli\u010dsk\u00fdm publikem na hollywoodsk\u00e9ho ak\u010dn\u00edho hrdinu? Zbyte\u010dn\u011b vyprovokovanou v\u00e1lku nikdo norm\u00e1ln\u00ed a p\u0159i smyslech nechce.\u00a0Trump u\u017e te\u010f omezil vojenskou pomoc st\u00e1t\u016fm Pobalt\u00ed<\/a>, a po pr\u016fniku rusk\u00fdch MiG-31\u00a0jen neur\u010dit\u011b p\u0159isl\u00edbil<\/a>, \u017ee n\u011bjak pom\u016f\u017ee. USA jist\u011b budou br\u00e1nit Evropu, kdy\u017e to bude nevyhnuteln\u011b nutn\u00e9. Ale ur\u010dit\u011b ne, kdy\u017e to bude Evropou zbyte\u010dn\u011b vyprovokovan\u00e9.<\/p>\n

(2) Pro\u010d \u010desk\u00e1 fialov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nekon\u00e1? A pro\u010d v\u0161ichni \u010de\u0161t\u00ed Tchajwanci tajemn\u011b ml\u010d\u00ed? \u017de by to nebyla n\u00e1hoda?<\/h3>\n

V posledn\u00edch dnech je velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 hlubok\u00e9 ml\u010den\u00ed \u010desk\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch Tchajwanc\u016f, i jejich nov\u00e9ho hrdiny Petra Pavla, proslaven\u00e9ho ned\u00e1vn\u00fdm provoka\u010dn\u00edm zjeven\u00edm u tibetsk\u00e9ho Dalajl\u00e1my. Pro\u010d ml\u010d\u00ed, kdy\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina z\u00e1padn\u00edch analytik\u016f za\u010dala najednou minul\u00fd t\u00fdden hore\u010dn\u011b p\u0159em\u00edtat, co to velk\u00e9ho \u010c\u00edna zase chyst\u00e1?<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna letos v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch skoupila 90% v\u0161ech voln\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy, kter\u00e9 byly na trhu k dispozici. Jen letos \u010c\u00edna do sv\u00fdch z\u00e1sob, nad r\u00e1mec sv\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u00e9 spot\u0159eby,\u00a0nakoupila 150 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy v celkov\u00e9 hodnot\u011b 10 miliard USD<\/a>. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy, a rafinovan\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch pohonn\u00fdch hmot, se zvy\u0161uj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem. U\u017e te\u010f m\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna ropu a jej\u00ed zpracovan\u00e9 deriv\u00e1ty na 110 dn\u00ed sv\u00e9 spot\u0159eby, ale tempo n\u00e1kupu je tak obrovsk\u00e9, \u017ee z\u00e1soby ropy v \u010c\u00edn\u011b maj\u00ed v roce 2026 dos\u00e1hnout \u00farovn\u011b jej\u00ed spot\u0159eby na 140 a\u017e 160 dn\u00ed. A z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u010c\u00edna nyn\u00ed intenzivn\u011b buduje dal\u0161\u00ed ropn\u00e1 ulo\u017ei\u0161t\u011b, aby jejich kapacity v roce 2026 je\u0161t\u011b vzrostly. Podle analytik\u016f m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed \u010c\u00edna ve sv\u00fdch skladech ulo\u017eenou ropu na 110 dn\u00ed, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 je \u00fahrn ji\u017e existuj\u00edc\u00edch sklad\u016f a z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 budou teprve p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok dokon\u010deny, z 1\/2 pr\u00e1zdn\u00fd, a tak \u010c\u00edna tedy z\u0159ejm\u011b pl\u00e1nuje, m\u00edt na konci p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku ve sv\u00fdch skladech ulo\u017eenu ropu na 220 dn\u00ed, proto\u017ee na 110 dn\u00ed ji u\u017e m\u00e1 uskladn\u011bnou pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f.<\/p>\n

Jsou tomu sotva t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce, co nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed politick\u00fd n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk NATO, Holan\u010fan Mark Rutte ve v\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enosti sv\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu, pokud je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjak\u00e1 zbyla, tvrdil, \u017ee a\u017e \u010c\u00edna napadne Tchaj-wan, po\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 Rusko, aby napadlo Evropu, a NATO proto mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveno, odrazit tuto nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed mo\u017enou ruskou agresi<\/a>. A\u010dkoli si z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici v\u016fbec nejsou jisti, pro\u010d nyn\u00ed \u010c\u00edna tak urychlen\u011b nakupuje ropu, a pumpuje ji do sv\u00fdch sklad\u016f, jako jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f uvedli, p\u0159\u00edpravu k invazi na Tchaj-wan. Zd\u00e1lo by se tak norm\u00e1ln\u00ed, \u017ee \u010desk\u00e1 anti-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 fialov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, i hradn\u00ed k\u00e1mo\u0161 Dalajl\u00e1mov\u00fdch separatist\u016f z Tibetu, za\u010dnou tak\u00e9 nakupovat ropu do \u010desk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob, aby se podle viz\u00ed n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka NATO Marka Rutte p\u0159ipravili k odra\u017een\u00ed \u00fadajn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 agrese. Le\u010d zd\u00e1n\u00ed klame. Vl\u00e1da Petra Fialy \u010desk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy nejen n\u00e1kupy nezvy\u0161uje, a ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dodate\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 sklady nestav\u00ed, ale dokonce letos sn\u00ed\u017eila\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdmi z\u00e1p\u016fj\u010dkami<\/a>\u00a0\u010desk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy z 90 dn\u00ed,\u00a0pr\u00fd a\u017e na 60 dn\u00ed<\/a>. Nep\u0159ipad\u00e1 V\u00e1m to komick\u00e9? \u010ce\u0161t\u00ed Tchajwanci nevyu\u017eili p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, aby stra\u0161ili p\u0159\u00edpravou \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 invaze na Tchaj-wan! Pro\u010d asi? \u017de by v \u010desk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed pokladn\u011b u\u017e nebylo ani p\u00e1r set milion\u016f dolar\u016f na n\u00e1kup ropy do z\u00e1sob? Vyk\u0159ikuj\u00ed v p\u0159edvolebn\u00edm boji, \u017ee cht\u011bj\u00ed soupe\u0159it s \u010c\u00ednou i Ruskem, ale u\u017e v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee nemaj\u00ed pen\u00edze, ani aby nakoupili \u010cech\u016fm ropu do z\u00e1sob na 120 dn\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Podle analytik\u016f nikdo nev\u00ed, co \u010c\u00edna chyst\u00e1, a kdo to tvrd\u00ed, l\u017ee. Krom hypotetick\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpravy invaze na Tchaj-wan nab\u00eddli analytici i dal\u0161\u00ed relevantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvody pro sou\u010dasn\u00e9 masivn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy ropy:<\/p>\n

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  1. \u010c\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed obchodn\u00edci i st\u00e1tn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci jsou skv\u011bl\u00ed spekulanti, a stejn\u011b jako v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 minulosti,\u00a0kdy skupovali do z\u00e1sob ve\u0161kerou volnou nadbyte\u010dnou m\u011b\u010f<\/a>, kdy\u017e byla levn\u00e1, nyn\u00ed skupuj\u00ed ropu, proto\u017ee je levn\u00e1, a proto\u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed sankce u\u010dinily z rusk\u00e9 i ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy doslova r\u00e1j pro byznysmeny, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed k dispozici obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1dr\u017ee. Nav\u00edc \u010c\u00edna 1. ledna kodifikovala nov\u00e9 z\u00e1kony o strategick\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch, a podle nich mus\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd soukrom\u00fd nebo st\u00e1tn\u00ed podnik obchoduj\u00edc\u00ed s ropou udr\u017eovat jej\u00ed sd\u00edlen\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 rezervy na p\u0159edepsan\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i. A zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b tento z\u00e1kon spustil lavinu komer\u010dn\u00edch n\u00e1kup\u016f ropy do sklad\u016f v \u010c\u00edn\u011b.\u00a0Pod\u00edl n\u00e1kup\u016f rusk\u00e9 i ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy \u010c\u00ednou letos tvo\u0159\u00ed 20% jej\u00ed spot\u0159eby<\/a>, a je tak z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 a budovan\u00e9 skladovac\u00ed kapacity \u010c\u00edny umo\u017en\u00ed teoreticky nakupovat ve\u0161kerou exportn\u00ed produkci rusk\u00e9 ropy vyv\u00e1\u017eenou p\u0159es jeho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy po dobu 64 dn\u016f. (Kapacita sklad\u016f v roce 2026 bude 300 milion\u016f barel\u016f d\u011bleno rusk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz denn\u011b 455 000 tun, tuna = 10.32 ropy barelu.) A z\u00e1rove\u0148\u00a0\u010c\u00edna nyn\u00ed nakupuje 28% rusk\u00e9 vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 ropy<\/a>, a to p\u0159edstavuje 20% jej\u00ed v\u0161\u00ed spot\u0159eby sou\u010dasn\u011b s dov\u00e1\u017eenou ir\u00e1nskou ropou. A z toho plyne, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna m\u016f\u017ee teoreticky nakupovat ve\u0161kerou produkci rusk\u00e9 ropy vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 po mo\u0159i, a st\u00e1le j\u00ed nebude m\u00edt dost, a bude muset nejm\u00e9n\u011b 1\/3 jej\u00ed spot\u0159eby dov\u00e1\u017eet.<\/li>\n
  2. Podle analytik\u016f se \u010dek\u00e1 v roce 2026 kolaps cen ropy, pokud ji \u010c\u00edna p\u0159estane nakupovat do z\u00e1sob<\/a>.\u00a0Letos ke kolapsu nedo\u0161lo, proto\u017ee \u010c\u00edna ropu masivn\u011b nakupovala. Pro\u010d Brusel tak \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na ukon\u010den\u00ed importu rusk\u00e9 ropy do EU, je nasnad\u011b. Produk\u010dn\u00ed cena barelu saudsk\u00e9 ropy v\u010detn\u011b jej\u00ed p\u0159epravy do p\u0159\u00edstavu k nalo\u017een\u00ed je 10 USD,\u00a0obdobn\u011b rusk\u00e9 ropy je 15 USD<\/a>,\u00a0a severoamerick\u00e9 ropy\u00a0je 35 a\u017e 60 USD<\/a>.\u00a0Prvn\u00ed, kdo za\u010dne poci\u0165ovat tlak z p\u00e1du cen ropy, budou USA a Kanada.\u00a0Z ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f administrativy Donalda Trumpa je z\u0159ejm\u00e9<\/a>, \u017ee USA vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b stejn\u011b ropy jako vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nyn\u00ed Rusko po mo\u0159i. USA letos 3.6 a\u017e 4.3 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b. Rusko v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159es 4.5 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b. \u010c\u00edna od \u00fanora americkou ropu nekupuje, Indie kupuje pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b 250 tis\u00edc barel\u016f americk\u00e9 ropy denn\u011b, ale nejv\u00edc j\u00ed nakupuj\u00ed Evropan\u00e9. Proto\u017ee tak\u0159ka v\u0161echny zem\u011b sv\u011bta nakupuj\u00ed energie podle jejich ceny, zb\u00fdv\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b kolapsu cen odbyt pro americkou ropu v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b v Evrop\u011b, \u017ee?<\/li>\n
  3. Podle analytik\u016f \u010c\u00edna vn\u00edm\u00e1 sou\u010dasnou politiku Donalda Trumpa jako mo\u017en\u00e9 budouc\u00ed ohro\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch plynul\u00fdch n\u00e1kup\u016f ropy v Rusku, Ir\u00e1nu, a ve Venezuele, a proto zvy\u0161uje sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy, a bude tak \u010dinit z\u0159ejm\u011b i p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u010c\u00edna m\u016f\u017ee vn\u00edmat zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy o 20 a\u017e 30 miliard dolar\u016f jako alternativu k americk\u00fdm st\u00e1tn\u00edm dluhopis\u016fm, a zd\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee tak op\u011bt p\u016fsob\u00ed efekt zmra\u017een\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch aktiv v EU proti chuti \u010c\u00edny i dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed dr\u017eet americk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluhopisy, respektive, \u017ee tyto zem\u011b za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed intenzivn\u011bji hledat n\u00e1hradn\u00ed alternativy k t\u011bmto americk\u00fdm dluhopis\u016fm.<\/li>\n
  4. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ten Tchaj-wan.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    A to v\u0161echno je dohromady extr\u00e9mn\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 pro ob\u010dany \u010cR. M\u00e1-li obavy \u010c\u00edna z geopolitick\u00e9 nestability, a zvy\u0161uje proto podle analytik\u016f sv\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby, je s podivem, \u017ee vl\u00e1da \u010cR na\u0161e strategick\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed z\u00e1soby nezvy\u0161uje, ale naopak je de facto efektivn\u011b sni\u017euje? T\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, kdy\u017e ofici\u00e1ln\u011b na\u0161e vl\u00e1da zast\u00e1v\u00e1 vizi, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna p\u0159epadne Tchaj-wan, a Rusko potom za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na EU, a\u010dkoli\u00a0analytici, kte\u0159\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy bedliv\u011b sleduj\u00ed, tuto teorii ozna\u010duj\u00ed za sp\u00ed\u0161e konspira\u010dn\u00ed, ne\u017e prok\u00e1zanou<\/a>.\u00a0Podivn\u00e1 je \u010desk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da. Sou\u010dasn\u011b \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed mezi na\u0161e obyvatele konspira\u010dn\u00ed teorii, \u017ee n\u00e1s n\u011bjak\u00fd nep\u0159\u00edtel p\u0159epadne, a sou\u010dasn\u011b neprov\u00e1d\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy, stejn\u00e9 jak\u00e9 prov\u00e1d\u00ed n\u00e1\u0161 \u00fadajn\u00fd konspira\u010dn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtel z d\u016fvod\u016f sv\u00fdch obav z rostouc\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 nestability. Kdo by takov\u00e9 podivn\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee si ned\u011bl\u00e1 z ob\u010dan\u016f p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed legraci? T\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee vlastnit na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby z\u00e1kladn\u00edch pot\u0159eb pro chod zem\u011b, nen\u00ed rozhodn\u011b od v\u011bci.<\/p>\n

    (3) Rusk\u00e1 fronta \u2013 Elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 68. mysliveck\u00e1 brig\u00e1da se odevzdan\u011b poschov\u00e1vala v bunkrech ve m\u011bst\u011b Pokrovsk, a odm\u00edt\u00e1 je opustit, a bojovat! Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e korzuj\u00ed po m\u011bst\u011b.<\/h3>\n

    Ukrajinsk\u00e1 lok\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00e9dia u\u017e p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159it v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e9 nesmysly, kter\u00e9 denn\u011b vypou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed do sv\u011bta nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci, a za\u010dala sv\u00fdm konzument\u016fm sd\u011blovat krutou realitu.\u00a0Podle p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed velitele roty elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 68. mysliveck\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 byla loni v srpnu vysl\u00e1na br\u00e1nit m\u011bsto Pokrovsk, nastal konec<\/a>. P\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci t\u00e9to elitn\u00ed jednotky u\u017e jen ob\u00fdvaj\u00ed sklepen\u00ed m\u011bstsk\u00fdch dom\u016f, a nemohou z nich vyl\u00e9zt ven. V\u0161ude jsou rusk\u00e9 drony.\u00a0Ka\u017ed\u00fd den jich p\u0159ilet\u00ed do m\u011bsta a\u017e 700, a v\u011bt\u0161ina z nich si jen sedne na zem pobl\u00ed\u017e skr\u00fd\u0161e ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, a za\u010dne trp\u011bliv\u011b \u010dekat, a\u017e n\u011bkter\u00fd z nich vystr\u010d\u00ed z \u00fakrytu nos<\/a>. Ani vyhl\u00eddka rotace a dovolen\u00e9 u\u017e p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky 68. brig\u00e1dy nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed, aby se pokusili sklepy opustit. Nem\u00e1 to cenu, p\u0159es rusk\u00e9 drony se u\u017e ned\u00e1 proj\u00edt, ani propl\u00ed\u017eit. A ani bojovat se u\u017e ned\u00e1. Rusov\u00e9 jsou pr\u00fd mazan\u00ed, a a\u010dkoli se po m\u011bst\u011b voln\u011b pohybuj\u00ed, a p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010duj\u00ed zbyl\u00e9 m\u00edstn\u00ed obyvatele, aby se k nim p\u0159idali, bojovat s Ukrajinci ru\u010dn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi odm\u00edtaj\u00ed. S Ukrajinci bojuj\u00ed jen drony. Podle velitele 68. brig\u00e1dy Rusov\u00e9 ani m\u011bsto dob\u00fdvat nehodlaj\u00ed, jen ho postupn\u011b obkli\u010duj\u00ed, a izoluj\u00ed drony. Kdy m\u011bsto padne, je Rus\u016fm fuk, hlavn\u011b \u017ee to bude bez rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t. V\u00e1lka dron\u016f tak dos\u00e1hla ve m\u011bst\u011b Pokrovsk sv\u00e9ho zat\u00edm nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho stupn\u011b \u2013 rusk\u00e1 strana, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 absolutn\u00ed p\u0159evahu, u\u017e bojov\u00e9 operace sv\u011b\u0159uje tak\u0159ka v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b dron\u016fm.<\/p>\n

    Podle p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho velitele do\u0161lo ke klasick\u00e9mu bojov\u00e9mu st\u0159etu mezi 68. ukrajinskou brig\u00e1dou a Rusy za pou\u017eit\u00ed ru\u010dn\u00edch zbran\u00ed naposledy p\u0159ed 2 m\u011bs\u00edci. Tehdy se povedlo Ukrajinc\u016fm jednoho Rusa dostat. Rus\u016f je v\u0161ak pln\u00e9 m\u011bsto. Pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 \u201ctermovizn\u00ed obleky\u201d, a tak pr\u00fd nejsou na ukrajinsk\u00e9 optice vid\u011bt. Propl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se, a obsad\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fd voln\u00fd byteln\u00fd m\u011bstsk\u00fd d\u016fm, a v n\u011bm si z\u0159\u00edd\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu. N\u011bkter\u00e9 takov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny u\u017e Rusov\u00e9 ve m\u011bst\u011b okupuj\u00ed i n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f, a komunikuj\u00ed z nich se zbyl\u00fdmi civilisty, a nav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed je, aby ve m\u011bst\u011b stav\u011bli z\u00e1tarasy. Hlavn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed v\u0161ak Rusov\u00e9 v\u011bnuj\u00ed od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed v\u0161ech cest do m\u011bsta Pokrovsk, a jak p\u0159iznal velitel 68. brig\u00e1dy \u201cbohu\u017eel se jim to da\u0159\u00ed\u201d.\u00a0Jak rychl\u00fd s smrteln\u00fd je \u00fatok na zemi \u010d\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho optick\u00e9ho dronu najdete na tomto videu<\/a>. Podle Ukrajinc\u016f ze 68. brig\u00e1dy je smrt\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost ka\u017ed\u00e9ho takov\u00e9hoto \u00fatoku 90%, a jedinou \u0161anci na p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje pouze chyba jeho oper\u00e1tora. Pokud rusk\u00fd oper\u00e1tor netref\u00ed dron p\u0159esn\u011b, (pouze 10% p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f), v\u00fdbuch jeho n\u00e1lo\u017ee sice Ukrajince nezabije, ale s ur\u010ditost\u00ed ho zran\u00ed. A z m\u011bsta se u\u017e zran\u011bn\u00ed dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed pouze v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b. Velitel Grek p\u0159iznal, \u017ee minul\u00fd t\u00fdden evakuovali jednoho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho zran\u011bn\u00e9ho. Evakuace trvala 5 hodin, a byla p\u0159i n\u00ed spot\u0159ebov\u00e1na 2 vozidla. Zran\u011bn\u00fd sice p\u0159e\u017eil, ale bude bez obou nohou. Rusov\u00e9 pr\u00fd sv\u00e9 zran\u011bn\u00e9 nikdy ne-evakuuj\u00ed, \u0159ekl Grek novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm na konec. Ale i tak bylo jeho p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edla.<\/p>\n

    Rusov\u00e9 postupuj\u00ed tak\u0159ka v\u0161ude. Sice pomalu, a metodiky, ov\u0161em nezadr\u017eiteln\u011b.\u00a0\u00a0T\u0159i \u010derstv\u00e9 mapy najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

    Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza m\u00e1 t\u0159i samostatn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti. Dohromady maj\u00ed logiku, a nazna\u010duj\u00ed v\u00fdhled do budoucna. D\u011bkuji…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,30,1173,310,22,26,7678,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88345"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88345"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88345\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}