{"id":88215,"date":"2025-09-21T00:13:30","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T22:13:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=88215"},"modified":"2025-09-20T09:04:40","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T07:04:40","slug":"udrzovani-eskalacni-dominance-trump-a-dominantni-vliv-izrael-firsters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/21\/udrzovani-eskalacni-dominance-trump-a-dominantni-vliv-izrael-firsters\/","title":{"rendered":"Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed eskala\u010dn\u00ed dominance: Trump a dominantn\u00ed vliv \u201eIzrael Firsters\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00datok na vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed t\u00fdm Ham\u00e1su, kter\u00fd se se\u0161el v Dauh\u00e1, aby projednal \u201eWitkoff\u016fv n\u00e1vrh pro Gazu\u201c, nen\u00ed jen dal\u0161\u00ed \u201eoperac\u00ed IDF\u201c, kterou lze ml\u010dky p\u0159ehl\u00e9dnout (jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dekapitace t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cel\u00e9ho civiln\u00edho kabinetu v Jemenu).<\/span><\/p>\n

Znamen\u00e1 to sp\u00ed\u0161e konec cel\u00e9 jedn\u00e9 \u00e9ry \u2013 a \u201enovou realitu\u201c pro Katar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to p\u0159elomov\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost. Katar po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed hr\u00e1l velmi v\u00fdnosnou hru \u2013 podporoval radik\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u017eih\u00e1disty z hnut\u00ed An-Nusr\u00e1 v S\u00fdrii jako p\u00e1ku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si udr\u017eoval americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed s Washingtonem. Dauh\u00e1 se prezentovala jako prost\u0159edn\u00edk \u2013 ve\u010de\u0159ela s d\u017eih\u00e1disty a z\u00e1rove\u0148 fungovala jako zprost\u0159edkovatel Mossadu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento mnohostrann\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup dal Kataru pov\u011bst \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edjemce\u201c v kriz\u00edch na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. I kdy\u017e byly Izrael, \u00cdr\u00e1n nebo Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie pod \u00fatokem, Dauh\u00e1 z toho vy\u0161la nap\u0159ed. Katar\u010dan\u00e9 klidn\u011b po\u010d\u00edtali zisky ze sv\u00e9ho plynu a u\u017e\u00edvali si role nepostradateln\u00fdch prost\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je tato poh\u00e1dka u konce: Nebudou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed \u201ebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny\u201c. Nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee USA (podle izraelsk\u00e9ho Channel 11) akci, o kter\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>byl Trump pot\u00e9 informov\u00e1n,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0schv\u00e1lily . Navzdory zpochybn\u011bn\u00ed \u00fatoku Trump uvedl, \u017ee tlesk\u00e1 jak\u00e9mukoli zabit\u00ed \u010dlen\u016f Ham\u00e1su.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u011bli jsme to p\u0159edv\u00eddat. \u00datok z Dauh\u00e1 byl dal\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00fdm \u00fatokem Trumpa a Izraele \u2013 postupn\u00fdm \u00fatokem na veden\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu, kter\u00e9 se shrom\u00e1\u017edilo k projedn\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 iniciativy \u2013 metodologie byla n\u00e1sledn\u011b okop\u00edrov\u00e1na pro \u00edr\u00e1nskou operaci dekapitace 13. \u010dervna, pr\u00e1v\u011b kdy\u017e Trump propagoval jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o JCPOA s Witkoffov\u00fdm t\u00fdmem, kter\u00e1 maj\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e byl Trump\u016fv \u201em\u00edrov\u00fd n\u00e1vrh\u201c pro Gazu p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00a0<\/span>jako n\u00e1vnada<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, aby shrom\u00e1\u017edil v\u016fdce Ham\u00e1su na jednom m\u00edst\u011b v Dauh\u00e1, Izrael ude\u0159il. Witkoff\u016fv pl\u00e1n pro Gazu vypad\u00e1 jako v\u00fdsm\u011bch, nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e jako \u00famysln\u00e1 finta. Izrael se toti\u017e ji\u017e rozhodl ukon\u010dit katarskou roli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 logika je v z\u00e1sad\u011b jednoduch\u00e1 a cynick\u00e1 \u2013 bez ohledu na to, kolik americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen m\u00e1te nebo jak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd je v\u00e1\u0161 plyn pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku. Zabit\u00ed Ism\u00e1\u00edla Haniyi v Teher\u00e1nu, \u00fatoky na S\u00fdrii a Libanon, operace v Kataru \u2013 to v\u0161e jsou \u010dl\u00e1nky jednoho \u0159et\u011bzce: Netanjahu (a v\u011bt\u0161ina Izraele ho v tom podporuje) metodicky dokazuje, \u017ee pro n\u011bj na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 zak\u00e1zan\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed; \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 pravidla pr\u00e1va; \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e1 \u00famluva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podpora genocidy a etnick\u00fdch \u010distek ze strany Izraele; neschopnost vynalo\u017eit jak\u00e9koli seri\u00f3zn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed k p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b politick\u00e9 cesty k urovn\u00e1n\u00ed situace na Ukrajin\u011b; spol\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed se m\u00edsto toho na rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky a z\u00e1rove\u0148 hl\u00e1s\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru \u2013 to v\u0161e p\u0159edstavuje podstatu Trumpova p\u0159\u00edstupu: uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed eskala\u010dn\u00ed dominance, a to jak doma, tak v zahrani\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cel\u00e1 my\u0161lenka iniciativy Make America Great Again (MAGA) se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt zalo\u017eena na kalibrovan\u00e9m vyu\u017eit\u00ed agresivity, cel nebo vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly k udr\u017een\u00ed trval\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu pro eskalaci dominance v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu. Trump se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee dosa\u017een\u00ed dominance doma i v zahrani\u010d\u00ed je podstatou MAGA. A \u017ee t\u00e9 lze dos\u00e1hnout prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm kalibrovan\u00e9 dominance \u2013 prod\u00e1van\u00e9 jeho z\u00e1kladn\u011b v MAGA t\u00edm, \u017ee takov\u00e9 hrozby ozna\u010duje za \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9\u201c nebo vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fraz na eskaluj\u00edc\u00ed dominanci m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 co do \u010din\u011bn\u00ed s transformac\u00ed v\u00e1lek \u2013 v Trumpov\u011b mysli \u2013 v obrovsk\u00e9 ziskov\u00e9 americk\u00e9 podniky. My\u0161lenka p\u0159em\u011bny Gazy na lukrativn\u00ed investi\u010dn\u00ed projekt podtrhuje \u00fazkou souvislost mezi v\u00e1lkou a vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm pen\u011bz. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro Ukrajinu, kter\u00e1 se stala pro americkou pr\u00e1delnu \u0161pinav\u00fdch pen\u011bz nemo\u017en\u00fdm zdrojem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nev\u011b\u0159te, \u017ee se USA v prav\u00fd \u010das k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed v\u00e1lce nevr\u00e1t\u00ed. Proto se eskala\u010dn\u00ed \u017eeb\u0159\u00edk nikdy zcela nevzd\u00e1v\u00e1 ani neodstra\u0148uje, proto\u017ee jeho neust\u00e1l\u00e9 op\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed se o vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ze\u010f konfliktu nab\u00edz\u00ed n\u00e1vrat k n\u011bjak\u00e9 form\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace v pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b (nap\u0159. na Ukrajin\u011b).<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echny tyto sign\u00e1ly v Moskv\u011b zazvonily varovn\u00fdm sign\u00e1lem. Trumpova cesta do Anchorage \u2013 z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu \u2013 m\u011bla za c\u00edl zjistit (pokud mo\u017eno), jak pevn\u00e1 jsou pouta, kter\u00e1 Trumpa svazuj\u00ed; jak\u00fd je rozsah jeho volnosti jednat autonomn\u011b; co chce; a co by mohl ud\u011blat d\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Rusy n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva uk\u00e1zala, jak\u00e1 jsou omezen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jurij U\u0161akov, hlavn\u00ed Putin\u016fv poradce pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku,\u00a0<\/span>vysv\u011btlil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee na summitu \u0160OS v Tchien-\u0165inu prob\u011bhly diskuse se v\u0161emi strategick\u00fdmi spojenci Ruska; bylo sice z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee do\u0161lo ke zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed sank\u010dn\u00edho tlaku na Rusko, kter\u00fd Trump nab\u00eddl, ale k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 implementaci struktur pro pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 struktury, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed skupiny, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna n\u00e1zor\u016f na takzvanou t\u0159\u00edstrannou sch\u016fzku Trumpa, Zelensk\u00e9ho a Putina. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edprava na agendu; \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edprava na podm\u00ednky.<\/span><\/p>\n

To sv\u011bd\u010dilo o Trumpov\u00fdch budouc\u00edch z\u00e1m\u011brech \u2013 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 struktury, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd skute\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1vazek k m\u00edru. Rusov\u00e9 m\u00edsto toho vid\u00ed Trump\u016fv re\u017eim, kter\u00fd pohr\u00e1v\u00e1 s prav\u00fdm opakem \u2013 s evropsk\u00fdmi pl\u00e1ny na znovuvyzbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spole\u010dn\u00e1 agrese Izraele a USA proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok na Katar \u2013 jsou ud\u00e1losti stejn\u00e9 ideologick\u00e9 podstaty, kter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed jako potvrzen\u00ed p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edho vlivu \u201ezast\u00e1nc\u016f Izraele na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c a t\u011bch v kruz\u00edch kolem Trumpa \u2013 kte\u0159\u00ed chovaj\u00ed starod\u00e1vnou z\u00e1\u0161\u0165 v\u016f\u010di Rusku z podobn\u00fdch n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch ko\u0159en\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159evaha t\u00e9to izraelsko-centrick\u00e9 politiky rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161tila Trumpovu z\u00e1kladnu v politice MAGA. V \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm smyslu trvale naru\u0161ila glob\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bkkou s\u00edlu USA a diplomatickou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost. Trump, pevn\u011b dr\u017een\u00fd v jej\u00edm sev\u0159en\u00ed, se j\u00ed v\u0161ak neodv\u00e1\u017eil pustit \u2013 riskoval by jej\u00ed sebezni\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael prov\u00e1d\u00ed v Gaze a na Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu druhou Nakbu (etnick\u00e9 \u010distky a genocidu), p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u017eidovsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti uv\u011bzn\u011bna v repres\u00edch a pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 stejn\u011b jako v roce 1948.\u00a0<\/span>Kontroverzn\u00ed dokument<\/span><\/a>\u00a0izraelsk\u00e9 filma\u0159ky Nety \u0160o\u0161an\u00ed o v\u00e1lce v roce 1948 byl v Izraeli zak\u00e1z\u00e1n, proto\u017ee odhalil mnoho nedostatk\u016f v \u00e9tosu, kter\u00fd byl z\u00e1kladem vzniku identity vznikaj\u00edc\u00edho st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160o\u0161ani ned\u00e1vno o sv\u00e9m filmu napsala: \u201eNajednou jsem si uv\u011bdomila, \u017ee za posledn\u00ed dva hrozn\u00e9 roky se cel\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost s izraelsk\u00fdm \u00e9tosem tot\u00e1ln\u011b rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161tila\u201c:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePochopil jsem, \u017ee \u00e9tos m\u00e1 velkou moc, \u017ee \u200b\u200bdr\u017e\u00ed spole\u010dnost v ur\u010dit\u00fdch hranic\u00edch. A i kdy\u017e jsou tyto hranice poru\u0161eny \u2013 a k poru\u0161en\u00ed jist\u011b do\u0161lo ji\u017e v roce 1948 \u2013 v mor\u00e1ln\u00edch kodexech spole\u010dnosti st\u00e1le existovalo n\u011bco, co ji alespo\u0148 nutilo c\u00edtit se zahanben\u011b. Tak\u017ee po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed tento \u00e9tos chr\u00e1nil [izraelskou] spole\u010dnost a arm\u00e1du a nutil je zachov\u00e1vat ur\u010dit\u00e9 limity.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eA kdy\u017e se tenhle \u00e9tos rozpadne, je to opravdu d\u011bsiv\u00e9. Z tohoto pohledu se na film od za\u010d\u00e1tku t\u011b\u017eko d\u00edvalo, ale po posledn\u00edch dvou letech se to stalo nesnesiteln\u00fdm\u201c \u2026<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKdyby rok 1948 byl v\u00e1lkou za nez\u00e1vislost, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by mohla b\u00fdt tou\u00a0<\/span>, kter\u00e1 zni\u010d\u00ed Izrael<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160osaniho varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee kdy\u017e jsou etick\u00e9 hranice spole\u010dnosti vymaz\u00e1ny v d\u016fsledku krveprolit\u00ed (jako tomu bylo v roce 1948), m\u016f\u017ee tato ztr\u00e1ta etick\u00e9 struktury ohrozit legitimitu cel\u00e9ho projektu \u2013 co\u017e vede k sebezni\u010den\u00ed, jeliko\u017e st\u00e1t p\u0159ekra\u010duje v\u0161echny lidsk\u00e9 limity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento temn\u00fd vhled \u2013 velmi relevantn\u00ed pro dne\u0161ek \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pr\u00e1v\u011b jedn\u00edm z chapadel, kter\u00e1 Trumpa bezv\u00fdhradn\u011b pout\u00e1 k kone\u010dn\u00e9mu p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed Izraele. (Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b existuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bneviditeln\u00e1 \u201ejin\u00e1 siln\u00e1 pouta\u201c).<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v dob\u011b, kdy se USA st\u00e1le v\u00edce vzdaluj\u00ed od sv\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrhu Sm\u011brnice pro pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed obrany (DPG) z roku 1992 \u2013 zn\u00e1m\u00e9ho jako \u201eWolfowitzova doktr\u00edna\u201c, kter\u00fd vyz\u00fdval USA k udr\u017een\u00ed nezpochybniteln\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159evahy, aby zabr\u00e1nily vzniku soupe\u0159\u016f, a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby k jednostrann\u00e9mu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na ochranu sv\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f a odstra\u0161en\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch konkurent\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00fd n\u00e1vrh N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 strategie se odkl\u00e1n\u00ed od \u010c\u00edny a\u00a0<\/span>zam\u011b\u0159uje se na zabezpe\u010den\u00ed vlasti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule. Vojska budou navr\u00e1cena, zpo\u010d\u00e1tku za \u00fa\u010delem ochranky hranic. Will Schryver\u00a0<\/span>p\u00ed\u0161e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: \u201eElbridge Colby zjevn\u011b otev\u0159el o\u010di realit\u011b, \u017ee je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b na to, aby zastavil \u010d\u00ednskou dominanci v z\u00e1padn\u00edm Pacifiku. U\u017e v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti Rusku je nemysliteln\u00e1. Jedinou strategicky smysluplnou mo\u017enost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 zb\u00fdv\u00e1, je \u00cdr\u00e1n.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Colby mo\u017en\u00e1 tak\u00e9 ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli dal\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed USA by fat\u00e1ln\u011b odhalilo Trumpovo geostrategick\u00e9 chv\u00e1st\u00e1n\u00ed jako blaf.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak se m\u016f\u017eeme do\u010dkat nov\u00e9ho kola\u00a0 z\u00e1sadn\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch posun\u016f, jeliko\u017e Trump se vzd\u00e1v\u00e1 snahy b\u00fdt \u201evn\u00edm\u00e1n jako glob\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00edrotvorce\u201c. S\u00e1m Trump pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nev\u00ed, co chce d\u011blat \u2013 a vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se mnoho frakc\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed vt\u011bsnat do voln\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho prostoru, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se obr\u00e1t\u00ed k izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 taktice, kterou tolik obdivuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alastair\u00a0<\/span>Crooke, b<\/em><\/span><\/a>\u00fdval\u00fd britsk\u00fd diplomat, zakladatel a \u0159editel F\u00f3ra pro konflikty se s\u00eddlem v Bejr\u00fatu.<\/em><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

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\u00datok na vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed t\u00fdm Ham\u00e1su, kter\u00fd se se\u0161el v Dauh\u00e1, aby projednal \u201eWitkoff\u016fv n\u00e1vrh pro…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88216,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[347,107,3199,1503,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88215"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88215"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88215\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88216"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}