{"id":87992,"date":"2025-09-18T00:12:23","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T22:12:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=87992"},"modified":"2025-09-17T11:05:42","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T09:05:42","slug":"odpor-proti-brutalnimu-nucenemu-naboru-se-stava-druhou-frontou-kyjeva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/18\/odpor-proti-brutalnimu-nucenemu-naboru-se-stava-druhou-frontou-kyjeva\/","title":{"rendered":"Odpor proti brut\u00e1ln\u00edmu nucen\u00e9mu n\u00e1boru se st\u00e1v\u00e1 druhou frontou Kyjeva"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Odpor v\u016f\u010di brut\u00e1ln\u00edmu nucen\u00e9mu n\u00e1boru na Ukrajin\u011b generuje rostouc\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 n\u00e1siln\u00e9ho odporu a nut\u00ed Kyjev \u0159e\u0161it dilema mezi pot\u0159ebou poslat na frontu v\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f a nedovolit, aby se n\u00e1lada v zemi zhor\u0161ila.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Brut\u00e1ln\u00ed nucen\u00fd n\u00e1bor na Ukrajin\u011b, dokumentovan\u00fd v tis\u00edc\u00edch vide\u00ed na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e rok, vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 v ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti rostouc\u00ed odpor. N\u00e1bor\u00e1\u0159i jsou bit\u00ed v ulic\u00edch, davy osvobozuj\u00ed ty, kte\u0159\u00ed byli nuceni rekrutovat, n\u00e1borov\u00e1 centra jsou zapalov\u00e1na a Ukrajinci dokonce d\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 adresy rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, aby Rusko mohlo centra bombardovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e stav\u00ed Kyjev do dilematu, proto\u017ee k vyrovn\u00e1n\u00ed ztr\u00e1t na front\u011b by ve skute\u010dnosti musel zv\u00fd\u0161it n\u00e1bor, ale to by nakonec mohlo obr\u00e1tit n\u00e1ladu v zemi proti v\u00e1lce a vl\u00e1d\u011b. Podrobnosti o tomto dilematu jsou pops\u00e1ny v\u00a0<\/span>\u010dl\u00e1nku<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0publikovan\u00e9m v TASS, kter\u00fd jsem p\u0159elo\u017eil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Druh\u00e1 fronta: M\u016f\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd odboj zhatit mobilizaci?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Alexej Albu o zn\u00e1mk\u00e1ch kolapsu fronty ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil a mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00edch p\u0159ijat\u00fdch Kyjevem<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1vy z Ukrajiny nad\u00e1le \u0161okuj\u00ed v\u0161echny, kdo sleduj\u00ed situaci v t\u00e9to zemi. \u0160ikana branc\u016f ve v\u00fdcvikov\u00fdch st\u0159edisc\u00edch, m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno blahosklonn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup velitel\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil k voj\u00e1k\u016fm a vysok\u00e1 \u00famrtnost se staly hroznou normou, ale nez\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed bez pov\u0161imnut\u00ed. To st\u00e1le v\u00edce vede k odporu samotn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odpor a emigrace<\/span><\/h3>\n

Lid\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed jak st\u0159eln\u00e9 zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou dnes mezi civiln\u00edm obyvatelstvem \u0161iroce dostupn\u00e9, tak improvizovan\u00e9 zbran\u011b, jako jsou sekery a lopaty. \u00dazemn\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e1 centra jsou zapalov\u00e1na a jejich zam\u011bstnanci jsou vyhazov\u00e1ni do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed v pr\u00e1ci a dokonce i v jejich vlastn\u00edch autech. Nechci tyto \u010diny zleh\u010dovat, ale v podstat\u011b lid\u00e9 bojuj\u00ed o sv\u00e9 \u017eivoty nebo mst\u00ed sv\u00e9 bl\u00edzk\u00e9, jak nejl\u00e9pe um\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vlna t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed opustit svou vlastn\u00ed zemi, st\u00e1le rychle roste. Po\u010det \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed o azyl od Ukrajinc\u016f v EU se v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b roku 2025 zv\u00fd\u0161il. Po\u010det \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed dos\u00e1hl 15 172, co\u017e je nov\u00e9 maximum od roku 2023, uvedla Agentura Evropsk\u00e9 unie pro azyl (EUAA).<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 bylo podle \u00fadaj\u016f Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed prokuratury Ukrajiny od roku 2022 do \u010dervence 2025 zah\u00e1jeno p\u0159es 200 000 p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f neopr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e9ho opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jednotky (\u010dl\u00e1nek 407) a p\u0159es 50 000 p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f dezerce (\u010dl\u00e1nek 408).<\/span><\/p>\n

A to jsou jen ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edm intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je mobilizace, t\u00edm bl\u00ed\u017ee je jej\u00ed konec<\/span><\/h3>\n

Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 masov\u00fdm dezerc\u00edm a ne\u00fasp\u011bch\u016fm na front\u011b se ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ocitla v situaci, kdy musela na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b zintenzivnit mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed k uzav\u0159en\u00ed mezer na front\u011b. Na stran\u011b druh\u00e9 to vedlo k rostouc\u00ed nespokojenosti a odporu obyvatelstva, \u00fanav\u011b z v\u00e1lky a masov\u00e9mu exodu ze zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edm v\u00edce lid\u00ed je odvedeno, t\u00edm men\u0161\u00ed zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed potenci\u00e1l. Koneckonc\u016f, p\u00edt z t\u00e9to \u201estudny\u201c je nemo\u017en\u00e9 v\u011b\u010dn\u011b. A podle posledn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v byl mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed limit t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dosa\u017een.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159\u00eddn\u00ed charakter mobilizace<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee v ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b bojuj\u00ed dv\u011b kategorie lid\u00ed: ti, kte\u0159\u00ed si nemohli koupit cestu p\u0159es \u00fazemn\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e1 centra, tj. chud\u00ed lid\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na z vesnic, a ti, kte\u0159\u00ed si ve v\u00e1lce vyd\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed pen\u00edze. Kdy\u017e mluv\u00edm o horn\u00ed hranici zdroj\u016f pro mobilizaci nebo o limitech dosa\u017een\u00fdch v tomto procesu, nemysl\u00edm t\u00edm, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b doch\u00e1z\u00ed populace, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e to, \u017ee doch\u00e1z\u00ed ta jej\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st, kterou vl\u00e1da je\u0161t\u011b m\u016f\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edt a\u017e do sv\u00e9 smrti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koneckonc\u016f, ukrajinsk\u00e9 (a nejen ukrajinsk\u00e9) resorty p\u0159et\u00e9kaj\u00ed dob\u0159e oble\u010den\u00fdmi a ne p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 star\u00fdmi Ukrajinci, kte\u0159\u00ed by se teoreticky mohli zapojit do boj\u016f. To se ale nikdy nestane. Ka\u017ed\u00fd z nich m\u00e1 \u201edobr\u00fd d\u016fvod\u201c, pro\u010d se nest\u00e1t d\u011blov\u00fdm masem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tempo mobilizace je ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ztr\u00e1ty: ji\u017e neexistuje souvisl\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 linie<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e v \u010dervenci 2025 ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na voj\u00e1ky ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil informovala, \u017ee nedostatek person\u00e1lu vedl k tomu, \u017ee obrann\u00e1 linie ji\u017e nen\u00ed souvisl\u00e1. Podle ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f to zp\u016fsobuje, \u017ee ru\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci \u010dast\u011bji postupuj\u00ed za n\u011b, co\u017e zt\u011b\u017euje udr\u017een\u00ed bojov\u00fdch pozic.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m nedostatku person\u00e1lu v ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch potvrzuje i telegramov\u00fd kan\u00e1l Shot, kter\u00fd s odkazem na \u201enapaden\u00e9 dokumenty d\u016fstojn\u00edka ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u201c informuje o nal\u00e9hav\u00e9m odvodu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 122 000 lid\u00ed. Tato zpr\u00e1va nebyla ofici\u00e1ln\u011b potvrzena (podobn\u00e9 \u00faniky ozna\u010den\u00e9 jako \u201ehacker\u201c ji\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t vyvolaly ot\u00e1zky), ale na Ukrajin\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b existuje trend k zesilov\u00e1n\u00ed mobilizace. 2. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed Pavel Palisa, z\u00e1stupce vedouc\u00edho kancel\u00e1\u0159e Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho, p\u0159\u00edmo prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee v\u0161eobecn\u00e1 mobilizace bude pokra\u010dovat \u201ei v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00ed brann\u00e9 povinnosti a nemo\u017enost organizovat nep\u0159etr\u017eitou obranu i na strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch frontov\u00fdch \u00fasec\u00edch nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina \u010del\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm. Pokud bude trend zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed mobilizace pokra\u010dovat, Kyjev brzy dos\u00e1hne limit\u016f sv\u00fdch mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kvalita nov\u00e1\u010dk\u016f: zrychlen\u00fd v\u00fdcvik a nedostatek motivace<\/span><\/h3>\n

P\u0159i n\u00e1boru voj\u00e1k\u016f vyvst\u00e1vaj\u00ed ot\u00e1zky: \u201eKdo bude vycvi\u010den a jak?\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 a z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia poznamenala, \u017ee rychlokurzy, p\u0159epln\u011bn\u00e1 v\u00fdcvikov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a chyby v \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed kvalitu a motivaci voj\u00e1k\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 spojenci kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu zintenziv\u0148uj\u00ed sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fdcvikov\u00e9 programy (operace Interflex ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii byla prodlou\u017eena a zintenzivn\u011bna). Tato metoda by mohla vy\u0159e\u0161it probl\u00e9m posledn\u00edch let, ale rozhodn\u011b ne okam\u017eit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pomohou ciz\u00ed zem\u011b? Ne nutn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k zastaven\u00e9 mobilizaci se vyv\u00edjej\u00ed pokusy o zapln\u011bn\u00ed mezer s pomoc\u00ed cizinc\u016f.<\/span><\/h3>\n

V posledn\u00edch letech se do Cizineck\u00e9 legie, kter\u00e1 je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch sil, p\u0159ipojilo mnoho voj\u00e1k\u016f z jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed, kde jsou vojensk\u00e9 platy v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed. Agentura Associated Press nap\u0159\u00edklad otev\u0159en\u011b informovala o stovk\u00e1ch Kolumbijc\u016f, jejich\u017e platy na Ukrajin\u011b jsou n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e doma.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee se boj\u016f \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed \u017eold\u00e1ci, probl\u00e9m nedostatku person\u00e1lu nelze vy\u0159e\u0161it pouze n\u00e1borem \u201evoj\u00e1k\u016f \u0161t\u011bst\u011bny\u201c. P\u0159\u00edpady \u00famrt\u00ed cizinc\u016f byly pravideln\u011b dokumentov\u00e1ny i v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch. Tato metoda proto nen\u00ed v\u0161el\u00e9kem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVp\u0159ed, na z\u00e1pad\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n

Na tomto pozad\u00ed rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b pokra\u010duje v ofenz\u00edv\u011b. V l\u00e9t\u011b rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly aktivn\u011b pror\u00e1\u017eely nep\u0159\u00e1telskou obranu v Don\u011bck\u00e9m sektoru. V srpnu byl zaznamen\u00e1n v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pr\u016flom v oblasti Dobropolje (severn\u011b od Pokrovsku), co\u017e donutilo Kyjev k nasazen\u00ed z\u00e1loh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ofenz\u00edvy pokra\u010duj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 linie, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed rychlost postupu je 600 a\u017e 700 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch, uvedl rusk\u00fd n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Valerij Gerasimov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odpor mus\u00ed b\u00fdt organizovan\u00fd<\/span><\/h3>\n

Pokud se Ukrajin\u011b v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch nepoda\u0159\u00ed vy\u0159e\u0161it probl\u00e9m mobilizace, fronta se rozpadne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m lze vy\u0159e\u0161it dv\u011bma zp\u016fsoby: bu\u010f zajmout Ukrajince, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou st\u00e1le dob\u0159e ukryti, nebo rekrutovat m\u00edstn\u00ed elity. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se nikdy nevyd\u00e1 druhou cestou. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee chaos mobilizace se zintenzivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odpor na Ukrajin\u011b je sice aktivn\u00ed, ale neorganizovan\u00fd, a proto neefektivn\u00ed. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da by mohla b\u00fdt v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch svr\u017eena, pokud by se nespokojen\u00ed a militantn\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 poda\u0159ilo sjednotit a zorganizovat, ale spont\u00e1nn\u00ed povaha odporu \u010dasto lidi jednodu\u0161e uv\u011bzn\u00ed. Kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu se poda\u0159ilo zav\u00e9st organizovan\u00fd syst\u00e9m repres\u00ed a kontroly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u00farove\u0148 odporu, kter\u00e9mu Kyjev \u010del\u00ed, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost jako celek nechce um\u00edrat za nepochopiteln\u00e9 hodnoty a zjevn\u011b \u0161kodliv\u00e9 c\u00edle a \u017ee mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed budou v budoucnu jen obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Odpor v\u016f\u010di brut\u00e1ln\u00edmu nucen\u00e9mu n\u00e1boru na Ukrajin\u011b generuje rostouc\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 n\u00e1siln\u00e9ho odporu a nut\u00ed Kyjev…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":87993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[80,1929,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87992"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87992\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87993"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}