{"id":87991,"date":"2025-09-18T00:11:43","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T22:11:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=87991"},"modified":"2025-09-17T11:01:22","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T09:01:22","slug":"thomas-roper-incident-s-dronem-nad-polskem-se-stal-zaminkou-pro-masivni-nasazeni-vojsk-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/18\/thomas-roper-incident-s-dronem-nad-polskem-se-stal-zaminkou-pro-masivni-nasazeni-vojsk-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Incident s dronem nad Polskem se stal z\u00e1minkou pro masivn\u00ed nasazen\u00ed vojsk NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Incident s dronem nad Polskem dosud nebyl vy\u0159e\u0161en, ale NATO obvi\u0148uje Rusko a incident vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jako z\u00e1minku k rozhodnut\u00ed o neur\u010dit\u00e9m, masivn\u00edm nasazen\u00ed vojsk a techniky na \u201ev\u00fdchodn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo\u201c, k uzav\u0159en\u00ed hranic a k vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed bezletov\u00fdch z\u00f3n.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Incident\u00a0<\/span>s dronem nad Polskem<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevy\u0159e\u0161en a mnoho ot\u00e1zek z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nezodpov\u011bzeno. Polsk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b potvrdil, \u017ee je v danou noc kontaktoval b\u011blorusk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b a varoval je p\u0159ed drony, kter\u00e9 se odch\u00fdlily od kurzu a let\u011bly z Ukrajiny sm\u011brem k B\u011blorusku a Polsku. Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1by byly v kontaktu ohledn\u011b t\u00e9to situace od 23:00 do 4:00.<\/span><\/p>\n

To rozhodn\u011b odporuje narativu \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9mu z\u00e1padn\u00edmi politiky a m\u00e9dii o pl\u00e1novan\u00e9m naru\u0161en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polsko nav\u00edc nyn\u00ed ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z dron\u016f nalezen\u00fdch v Polsku nebyl nalo\u017een v\u00fdbu\u0161ninami. Podle zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fdch fotografi\u00ed se jednalo o drony Gerbera, kter\u00e9 Rusko \u010dasto pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jako ru\u0161i\u010dky k p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a t\u00edm k uvoln\u011bn\u00ed cesty dron\u016fm nalo\u017een\u00fdm v\u00fdbu\u0161ninami.<\/span><\/p>\n

A to n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed k dal\u0161\u00edmu probl\u00e9mu: Drony s gerberami maj\u00ed maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed dolet 700 kilometr\u016f, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee gerbery vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 z Ruska se do Polska v\u016fbec nedostanou, proto\u017ee vzd\u00e1lenost p\u0159esahuje dosah dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee drony byly bu\u010f vypu\u0161t\u011bny z B\u011bloruska, a\u010dkoli to na Z\u00e1pad\u011b nikdo netvrd\u00ed, nebo z Ukrajiny. Gerbery jsou pom\u011brn\u011b jednoduch\u00e9 modely, kter\u00e9 by Ukrajina v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby mohla replikovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co je dobr\u00e9?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee mnoho informac\u00ed o incidentu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejasn\u00fdch, pokus\u00edme se k t\u00e9matu p\u0159istupovat stejn\u011b jako vy\u0161et\u0159ovatel\u00e9 trestn\u00edch \u010din\u016f a zept\u00e1me se sami sebe, kdo m\u011bl motiv k vyprovokov\u00e1n\u00ed takov\u00e9ho incidentu. Cui bono, nebo kdo z toho m\u00e1 prosp\u011bch?<\/span><\/p>\n

Zelenskij by k takov\u00e9 provokaci rozhodn\u011b m\u011bl motiv, proto\u017ee i extr\u00e9mn\u011b protirusky nalad\u011bn\u00fd b\u00fdval\u00fd polsk\u00fd prezident Duda pr\u00e1v\u011b v rozhovoru\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee je v z\u00e1jmu Kyjeva zat\u00e1hnout NATO do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem, a \u017ee na konci roku 2022, kdy\u017e v Polsku havarovala raketa a zabila dva lidi, Zelenskij na Dudu tla\u010dil, aby raketu ozna\u010dil za ruskou, p\u0159esto\u017ee se jednalo o ukrajinskou protiraketovou raketu S-300.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale ani siln\u00fd motiv nen\u00ed, jak v\u0161ichni v\u00edme, d\u016fkazem viny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jest\u0159\u00e1bi v Bruselu \u2013 jak v NATO, tak v EU \u2013 maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 motiv. Nebo dokonce dva. Zaprv\u00e9, Brusel doufal, \u017ee incident kone\u010dn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed Trump\u016fv n\u00e1zor a donut\u00ed ho zaujmout tvrd\u00fd postoj v\u016f\u010di Rusku.\u00a0<\/span>Zklam\u00e1n\u00ed Bruselu<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0z toho, \u017ee Trump k incidentu p\u0159istupuje velmi klidn\u011b, je patrn\u00e9 v\u0161ude.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fdm motivem Bruselu je vytvo\u0159it z\u00e1minku pro dal\u0161\u00ed nasazen\u00ed vojsk na v\u00fdchod. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee lid\u00e9 v Evrop\u011b nesd\u00edlej\u00ed nad\u0161en\u00ed bruselsk\u00e9 kliky pro v\u00e1lku a mohli by negativn\u011b reagovat na masivn\u00ed, ale neod\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00e9 nahromad\u011bn\u00ed vojsk NATO na rusk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch, Brusel pot\u0159eboval incident, kter\u00fd by mohl b\u00fdt medi\u00e1ln\u011b zneu\u017eit. Masivn\u00ed naru\u0161en\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru NATO Ruskem se hodilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

A v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b tak\u00e9 za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me medi\u00e1ln\u00ed zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia udr\u017euj\u00ed toto t\u00e9ma v titulc\u00edch, p\u0159esto\u017ee se ve skute\u010dnosti nic nestalo. V N\u011bmecku se objevily zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee st\u0159echa obytn\u00e9ho domu byla zni\u010dena havarovan\u00fdm dronem, ale i to se uk\u00e1zalo jako le\u017e,\u00a0<\/span>proto\u017ee v Polsku<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0se uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee do domu nenarazil dron, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e protiletadlov\u00e1 st\u0159ela, kter\u00e1 se odch\u00fdlila od kurzu. Zpo\u010d\u00e1tku se to sna\u017eili utajit, ale nyn\u00ed se o tom informuje v Polsku. V n\u011bmeck\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch jsem v\u0161ak o tom \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy nena\u0161el.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010clov\u011bk by musel velmi t\u011b\u017eko hledat, aby na\u0161el rusk\u00fd motiv, proto\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd neexistuje. Pokud ov\u0161em nen\u00ed n\u011bco pravdy na\u00a0<\/span>spekulac\u00edch<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee rusk\u00fd Petrohrad je napaden drony z pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a nikoli z Ukrajiny. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mohlo Rusko \u00famysln\u011b naru\u0161it polsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, aby varovalo NATO, \u017ee by Rusko mohlo n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho ud\u011blat a \u017ee protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana NATO nen\u00ed p\u0159ipravena.<\/span><\/p>\n

To, \u017ee protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana NATO na to nen\u00ed p\u0159ipravena, se jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zalo v\u010dera ve\u010der: z 19 dron\u016f se NATO poda\u0159ilo sest\u0159elit pouze \u010dty\u0159i, a to i p\u0159es p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed z B\u011bloruska a aktivaci v\u0161ech sil p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00fdch v Polsku \u2013 a p\u0159itom pou\u017eilo drah\u00e9 rakety, z nich\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 st\u00e1la stovky tis\u00edc dolar\u016f, k sest\u0159elen\u00ed pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 stoj\u00ed n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159es 10 000 dolar\u016f za kus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Reakce<\/span><\/h3>\n

V reakci na incident Polsko na neur\u010dito uzav\u0159elo sv\u00e9 hranice s B\u011bloruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Rutte po incidentu s dronem zintenzivnil svou v\u00e1le\u010dnou r\u00e9toriku a NATO se okam\u017eit\u011b rozhodlo reagovat na incident mis\u00ed s n\u00e1zvem \u201eEastern Sentry\u201c. Rutte hovo\u0159il o rostouc\u00edm rusk\u00e9m \u201enebezpe\u010d\u00ed\u201c ve vzduchu a\u00a0<\/span>vysv\u011btlil<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, co \u201eEastern Sentry\u201c znamen\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eProto m\u00e1me v osmi zem\u00edch rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed v\u0161ichni spojenci. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby tak\u00e9 pl\u00e1nujeme zv\u00fd\u0161it na\u0161i p\u0159\u00edtomnost.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e1 m\u00e9dia v\u011bt\u0161inou informuj\u00ed pouze o tom, \u017ee NATO pos\u00edl\u00e1 do Polska dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00edha\u010dky, aby pos\u00edlilo svou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu. Ve skute\u010dnosti pojem \u201eV\u00fdchodn\u00ed str\u00e1\u017e\u201c zahrnuje mnohem v\u00edce, proto\u017ee NATO tak\u00e9 p\u0159esouv\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b bl\u00ed\u017ee k Rusku. A jak jsme vid\u011bli, Rutte tak\u00e9 nazna\u010dil v\u00edce pozemn\u00edch vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n

To si taky nevym\u00fd\u0161l\u00edm. Polsk\u00fd ministr obrany 11. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, den po incidentu s dronem ,\u00a0<\/span>ozn\u00e1mil<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Polsko v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dnech nasad\u00ed na b\u011blorusk\u00e9 hranice 40 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f kv\u016fli prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edmu ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edmu rusko-b\u011blorusk\u00e9mu cvi\u010den\u00ed \u201eZ\u00e1pad 2025\u201c. 30 000 z nich bude z polsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, zbytek z ostatn\u00edch zem\u00ed NATO. Ne\u0159ekl v\u0161ak, zda a kdy budou sta\u017eeni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se jedn\u00e1 o masivn\u00ed nahromad\u011bn\u00ed vojsk NATO na zemi, na mo\u0159i i ve vzduchu na rusk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch \u2013 a z\u00e1minkou je incident, u kter\u00e9ho se ve skute\u010dnosti nic nestalo a u kter\u00e9ho nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, kdo za n\u00edm stoj\u00ed a co se doopravdy stalo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Estonsko nav\u00edc\u00a0<\/span>doporu\u010dilo<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, aby civiln\u00ed leteck\u00fd provoz nel\u00e9tal bl\u00ed\u017ee ne\u017e 200 mil (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 370 kilometr\u016f) od rusk\u00fdch a ukrajinsk\u00fdch hranic. Litva dokonce od 18. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed uzav\u0159ela vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor pod\u00e9l rusk\u00fdch hranic pod v\u00fd\u0161kou \u0161esti kilometr\u016f, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161ce mal\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Tranzitn\u00ed leteck\u00fd provoz nad \u0161est kilometr\u016f v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 povolen.<\/span><\/p>\n

A v Rusku si lid\u00e9 p\u0159irozen\u011b kladou ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d NATO shroma\u017e\u010fuje st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det sil na rusk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch a zav\u00e1d\u00ed pod\u00e9l nich bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, pokud ne proto, aby se p\u0159ipravilo na \u00fatok na Rusko…<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Incident s dronem nad Polskem dosud nebyl vy\u0159e\u0161en, ale NATO obvi\u0148uje Rusko a incident vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82714,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2856,39,31,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87991"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87991\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}