{"id":87972,"date":"2025-09-17T07:15:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T05:15:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=87972"},"modified":"2025-09-17T07:15:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T05:15:46","slug":"andrew-korybko-trumpuv-navrh-aby-nato-prestalo-nakupovat-ruskou-ropu-a-zacalo-uvalovat-cla-na-cinu-je-nerealny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/17\/andrew-korybko-trumpuv-navrh-aby-nato-prestalo-nakupovat-ruskou-ropu-a-zacalo-uvalovat-cla-na-cinu-je-nerealny\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Trump\u016fv n\u00e1vrh, aby NATO p\u0159estalo nakupovat ruskou ropu a za\u010dalo uvalovat cla na \u010c\u00ednu, je nere\u00e1ln\u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"
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EU by se v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dodr\u017een\u00ed pokyn\u016f propadla do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed recese, ale to by mohlo b\u00fdt p\u0159esn\u011b to, co Trump chce, aby zbankrotoval sv\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti a dal tak americk\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhodu na nov\u011b bezceln\u00edm trhu EU.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump o v\u00edkendu na\u00a0<\/span>soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch\u00a0<\/span><\/a>navrhl , aby NATO p\u0159estalo nakupovat ruskou ropu a za\u010dalo uvalovat cla na \u010c\u00ednu ve v\u00fd\u0161i 50\u2013100 %, jako sou\u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu na rychl\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu\u00a0<\/a>. Sl\u00edbil, \u017ee uval\u00ed na Rusko \u201evelk\u00e9 sankce\u201c, pokud v\u0161ichni \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO ud\u011blaj\u00ed alespo\u0148 prvn\u00ed zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9. Tento n\u00e1vrh je v\u0161ak nerealistick\u00fd, proto\u017ee cel\u00fdm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO pokra\u010dovali v n\u00e1kupu rusk\u00e9 ropy (v\u010detn\u011b\u00a0nep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch n\u00e1kup\u016f p\u0159es Indii\u00a0<\/a>), bylo snaha regulovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny a t\u00edm zabr\u00e1nit tot\u00e1ln\u00ed recesi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b tak by zaveden\u00ed 50\u2013100% cel na \u010c\u00ednu vedlo k prudk\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d v\u0161emi oblastmi, co\u017e by se je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ilo sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm dovozu rusk\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e by EU zasadilo t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu, a\u010dkoli to by mohl b\u00fdt Trump\u016fv c\u00edl, aby p\u0159ivedl evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti k bankrotu a dal tak americk\u00fdm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhodu. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee pozorovatel\u00e9 by nem\u011bli zapom\u00ednat, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>se EU d\u00edky sv\u00e9 jednostrann\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohod\u011b z l\u00e9ta pod\u0159\u00eddila\u00a0<\/span><\/a>jako nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vazalsk\u00fd st\u00e1t USA, tak\u017ee jej\u00ed manipulace do recese by je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce prosp\u011bla z\u00e1jm\u016fm USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vnou zpr\u00e1vu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee Trump chce, aby EU uvalila 100% cla na\u00a0<\/span>Indii\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. P\u0159esto\u017ee si s Modim v t\u00e9m\u017ee t\u00fddnu na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch\u00a0<\/span>vym\u011bnili zdvo\u0159ilostn\u00ed pozn\u00e1mky\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a potvrdili, \u017ee obchodn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1le prob\u00edhaj\u00ed, USA maj\u00ed st\u00e1le z\u00e1jem na pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed si Indie.\u00a0<\/span>Zma\u0159en\u00ed jej\u00edho vzestupu jako velmoci\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, a\u0165 u\u017e t\u011bmito prost\u0159edky a\/nebo p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdm\u00a0<\/span>pokusem o jej\u00ed balkanizaci\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, by pomohlo o n\u011bco d\u00e9le udr\u017eet upadaj\u00edc\u00ed unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed hegemonii USA a mo\u017en\u00e1 by tento trend \u010dasem i zvr\u00e1tilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump by si v\u0161ak m\u011bl d\u00e1vat pozor na to, co si p\u0159eje, proto\u017ee hypotetick\u00e9 spln\u011bn\u00ed jeho n\u00e1vrh\u016f EU v\u016f\u010di Rusku, Indii a \u010c\u00edn\u011b (RIC) by se mohlo obr\u00e1tit proti nim a v\u0161echny t\u0159i zem\u011b by se mohly sbl\u00ed\u017eit.\u00a0<\/span>Po\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u010c\u00edny a Inda\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00e9 bylo\u00a0<\/span>ne\u00famysln\u011b vyvol\u00e1no\u00a0<\/span><\/a>tlakem USA na Indii, je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem. P\u0159ipo\u010dt\u011bte k tomu\u00a0<\/span>dohodu o plynovodu S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e 2\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, na kter\u00e9 se Rusko s \u010c\u00ednou dohodlo na okraji\u00a0<\/span>summitu \u0160OS,\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed procesy by se mohly brzy d\u00e1le urychlit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b nelze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee EU zasad\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed ekonomice tak t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu se v\u0161emi politick\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 by si sama zp\u016fsobila, jako jsou lidov\u00e9 nepokoje a potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed elity b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch voleb. Trump bu\u010f p\u0159ecenil vliv USA na EU, nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 cynicky o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee jeho n\u00e1vrh neprovedou, a sd\u00edlel ho pouze jako odstupn\u00e9 pro ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed jak\u00e9hokoli mo\u017en\u00e9ho nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho rozhodnut\u00ed o distancov\u00e1n\u00ed USA od konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u00fadajn\u011b zva\u017euje americkou podporu bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny zaveden\u00e9 EU alespo\u0148 nad \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ukrajiny jako\u00a0<\/span>jednu z bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk Z\u00e1padu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a mohl by se dokonce\u00a0<\/span>nebezpe\u010dn\u011b pokusit z toho ud\u011blat fait accompli,\u00a0<\/span><\/a>pokud si prosad\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di jako\u00a0<\/span>Lindsey Graham\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kte\u0159\u00ed ho st\u00e1le maj\u00ed na u\u0161\u00edch. Tyto obavy zt\u011b\u017euj\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011br o tom, jak\u00e9 jsou p\u0159esn\u00e9 Trumpovy motivy, tak\u017ee nelze vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by mohl i nad\u00e1le eskalovat zapojen\u00ed USA do konfliktu, i kdy\u017e EU jeho n\u00e1vrh neprovede.<\/span><\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b vzato existuj\u00ed t\u0159i pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, co by se mohlo st\u00e1t: 1) EU se pod\u0159\u00edd\u00ed zhroucen\u00edm vlastn\u00ed ekonomiky v\u00fdm\u011bnou za eskalaci zapojen\u00ed USA do konfliktu; 2) EU se pod\u0159\u00edd\u00ed, ale USA i tak eskaluj\u00ed; a 3) EU se pod\u0159\u00edd\u00ed, tak\u017ee se USA pod touto z\u00e1minkou od konfliktu distancuj\u00ed. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed t\u00fddny proto objasn\u00ed vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se Trumpovu politiku v\u016f\u010di ukrajinsk\u00e9mu konfliktu a obecn\u011bji v\u016f\u010di RIC, zat\u00edmco se jeho t\u00fdm sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159eformulovat velkou euroasijskou strategii USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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\"\"<\/div>\n<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EU by se v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dodr\u017een\u00ed pokyn\u016f propadla do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed recese, ale to by mohlo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":87973,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,1026,41,39,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87972"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}