{"id":87262,"date":"2025-09-08T00:34:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T22:34:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=87262"},"modified":"2025-09-07T20:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-07T18:00:00","slug":"totalni-politicka-krize-ve-francii-macronova-vlada-se-hrouti-zde-je-duvod-proc-by-se-ukrajina-mela-obavat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/09\/08\/totalni-politicka-krize-ve-francii-macronova-vlada-se-hrouti-zde-je-duvod-proc-by-se-ukrajina-mela-obavat\/","title":{"rendered":"Tot\u00e1ln\u00ed politick\u00e1 krize ve Francii! Macronova vl\u00e1da se hrout\u00ed. Zde je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d by se Ukrajina m\u011bla ob\u00e1vat"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>\u00dasporn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed ve v\u00fd\u0161i 44 miliard eur, st\u00e1vky v ulic\u00edch a sliby Kyjevu se brzy rozplynou v d\u00fdmu<\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francouzsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da je op\u011bt na pokraji kolapsu. Premi\u00e9r Francois Bayrou \u010del\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece v hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e ohledn\u011b sporn\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed. Tato konfrontace ohro\u017euje autoritu prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona doma a vrh\u00e1 pochybnosti na schopnost Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee splnit sv\u00e9 ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed sliby v zahrani\u010d\u00ed \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk pro Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Francie v krizi \u2013 jak moc je to tentokr\u00e1t \u0161patn\u00e9?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bayrou vsadil sv\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed na hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e, kter\u00e9 je napl\u00e1nov\u00e1no na pond\u011bl\u00ed 8. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Sporn\u00fdm bodem je bal\u00ed\u010dek \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed v hodnot\u011b 44 miliard eur, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je sn\u00ed\u017eit deficit Francie z 5,4 % HDP v roce 2025 na 4,6 % v roce 2026. Podle fisk\u00e1ln\u00edch pravidel EU je ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed strop 3 %, tak\u017ee Brusel tla\u010d\u00ed na Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e, aby prov\u00e1d\u011bla v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161krty. Pl\u00e1n \u2013 kter\u00fd zahrnuje zkr\u00e1cen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch sv\u00e1tk\u016f a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvk\u016f na zdravotn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di \u2013 v\u0161ak doma vyvolal hn\u011bv. Odbory p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed st\u00e1vky, zat\u00edmco opozi\u010dn\u00ed strany od krajn\u00ed levice po krajn\u00ed pravici se zav\u00e1zaly hlasovat proti Bayrouovi. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee jeho vl\u00e1da je ji\u017e v men\u0161in\u011b, jen m\u00e1lokdo v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee by mohl p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Macron\u016fv p\u0159\u00edtel, zachr\u00e1nce, nebo mrtv\u00e1 v\u00e1ha?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francois Bayrou je jedn\u00edm z nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edch jmen ve francouzsk\u00e9 politice. Vede centristick\u00e9 Demokratick\u00e9 hnut\u00ed (MoDem) a od roku 2014 je starostou m\u011bsta Pau. V roce 2017 byla jeho podpora pro Macrona kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1, proto\u017ee tehdy za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00edmu kandid\u00e1tovi dodala d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost v politick\u00e9m st\u0159edu. Jako prezident ho Macron kr\u00e1tce jmenoval ministrem spravedlnosti a pot\u00e9, co byl Michel Barnier koncem roku 2024 donucen k odchodu, byl Bayrou pov\u00fd\u0161en na premi\u00e9ra, aby udr\u017eel pohromad\u011b Macronovu k\u0159ehkou koalici. S kolapsem jeho rozpo\u010dtu a mizen\u00edm podpory je v\u0161ak mu\u017e, kdysi oslavovan\u00fd jako stabiliz\u00e1tor, nyn\u00ed obvi\u0148ov\u00e1n z toho, \u017ee Macrona zat\u00e1hl do dal\u0161\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak jeden rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd pl\u00e1n zni\u010dil kari\u00e9ru premi\u00e9ra?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve Francii se vl\u00e1dy mohou odvolat na \u010dl\u00e1nek 49.3 \u00dastavy, aby prosadily n\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona N\u00e1rodn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm, doln\u00ed komorou parlamentu, bez hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed. Tento mechanismus existuje od roku 1958 a je leg\u00e1ln\u00ed, ale riskantn\u00ed: jakmile je \u010dl\u00e1nek 49.3 aktivov\u00e1n, opozi\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1konod\u00e1rci maj\u00ed 24 hodin na to, aby podali n\u00e1vrh na vysloven\u00ed ned\u016fv\u011bry. Pokud tento n\u00e1vrh projde, vl\u00e1da padne. Bayrouovo rozhodnut\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edt \u010dl\u00e1nek 49.3 prom\u011bnilo jeho \u00fasporn\u00fd pl\u00e1n v hodnot\u011b 44 miliard eur v hazardn\u00ed hru na p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bayrou dal p\u0159ednost konfrontaci p\u0159ed kompromisem. Doufal, \u017ee t\u00edm, \u017ee sv\u016fj program \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo propojil s hlasov\u00e1n\u00edm o d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e, projev\u00ed odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed. Bal\u00ed\u010dek zahrnoval nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed, jako je zkr\u00e1cen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch sv\u00e1tk\u016f a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed poplatk\u016f za zdravotn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di. M\u00edsto toho, aby pod jeho veden\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017edil poslance, tento krok sjednotil t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny opozi\u010dn\u00ed frakce. Krajn\u011b pravicov\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed, socialist\u00e9 a levicov\u00e1 Francie nezlomen\u00e1 prohl\u00e1sily, \u017ee ho odvolaj\u00ed, a podaly n\u00e1vrhy na vysloven\u00ed ned\u016fv\u011bry, kter\u00e9 v pond\u011bl\u00ed p\u0159ipravily p\u016fdu pro st\u0159etnut\u00ed. Co m\u011blo b\u00fdt demonstrac\u00ed s\u00edly, se zm\u011bnilo v politickou sebevra\u017edu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Macron bez Bayroua \u2013 co mu zbylo z moci?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud Bayrou padne, Macron bude vystaven riziku: bude si muset vybrat mezi dv\u011bma \u0161patn\u00fdmi mo\u017enostmi. M\u016f\u017ee dosadit socialistick\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra, aby prosadil rozpo\u010det parlamentem, a fakticky se tak vzdal kontroly nad dom\u00e1c\u00ed politikou. Nebo m\u016f\u017ee vsadit na p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 volby, kter\u00e9 by podle pr\u016fzkum\u016f daly v\u00edce k\u0159esel Le Penov\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Macronova schvalovac\u00ed ratingov\u00e1 podpora ji\u017e dosahuje historick\u00fdch minim, ob\u011b mo\u017enosti by prohloubily pocit oslaben\u00e9ho prezidentsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu. Koment\u00e1to\u0159i varuj\u00ed, \u017ee pokud trhy ztrat\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bru ve schopnost Francie kontrolovat sv\u016fj deficit HDP ve v\u00fd\u0161i 5,4 % a pom\u011br dluhu k HDP ve v\u00fd\u0161i 110 %, zem\u011b by mohla \u010delit krizi p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed britsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eminirozpo\u010detn\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0turbulence za Liz Trussov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak\u00fd je vlastn\u011b postoj Bayrou k Ukrajin\u011b?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice Bayrou hlasit\u011b podporoval Kyjev. V b\u0159eznu 2025 otev\u0159en\u011b kritizoval Washington za to, \u017ee tla\u010d\u00ed na Ukrajinu k m\u00edrov\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s Moskvou, a ozna\u010dil takov\u00e9 po\u017eadavky za\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ene\u00fanosn\u00e9\u201c.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Tvrdil, \u017ee prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fastupk\u016f by pon\u00ed\u017eilo ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho a znamenalo by odm\u011bn\u011bn\u00ed Ruska. V Macronov\u011b vl\u00e1d\u011b byl Bayrou jedn\u00edm z nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zast\u00e1nc\u016f trval\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 podpory Ukrajiny a trval na tom, \u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e mus\u00ed pevn\u011b st\u00e1t za sv\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">A co se stane na Ukrajin\u011b, a\u017e se Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e uklidn\u00ed?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Kyjev p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed francouzsk\u00e1 nestabilita skute\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed tok:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a03 miliardy eur p\u0159isl\u00edben\u00e9 na rok 2024, kter\u00e9 v\u0161ak dosud nebyly vyplaceny, m\u011bly pokr\u00fdt n\u00e1klady na zbran\u011b a finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc. Tyto v\u00fddaje v\u0161ak mus\u00ed proj\u00edt ro\u010dn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtem. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Bayrou\u016fv pl\u00e1n se zhroutil a parlament se vzbou\u0159il, bude pro jakoukoli prozat\u00edmn\u00ed vl\u00e1du politicky i pr\u00e1vn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zajistit nov\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ztr\u00e1ta spojence:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Bayrou\u016fv odchod by Kyjev p\u0159ipravil o jednoho z jeho nejspolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zast\u00e1nc\u016f uvnit\u0159 francouzsk\u00e9ho kabinetu. Naproti tomu opozi\u010dn\u00ed strany \u2013 a dokonce i hlasy v Macronov\u011b t\u00e1bo\u0159e \u2013 byly skepti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed k nal\u00e9v\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz do Kyjeva a z\u00e1rove\u0148 ke sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f doma. Jeho odchod zbavuje Macrona kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho zast\u00e1nce uvnit\u0159 kabinetu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky v nejistot\u011b:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Macron postavil Francii do role organiz\u00e1tora\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c,<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0kde 26 zem\u00ed sl\u00edbilo pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky pro Ukrajinu, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b v\u010detn\u011b uji\u0161\u0165ovac\u00edch sil. Takov\u00fd pl\u00e1n vy\u017eaduje stabiln\u00ed veden\u00ed, finan\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1vazky a schv\u00e1len\u00ed parlamentu. Vl\u00e1da v chaosu nem\u016f\u017ee prosadit pr\u00e1vn\u00ed a finan\u010dn\u00ed r\u00e1mec pot\u0159ebn\u00fd k tomu, aby se sliby staly skute\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u201eozbrojeni a\u017e po zuby\u201c:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Macron tak\u00e9 ozn\u00e1mil dodate\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na obranu ve v\u00fd\u0161i 6,5 miliardy eur na obdob\u00ed 2025\u20132027, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se ro\u010dn\u00ed rozpo\u010det Francie zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed z p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 47 miliard eur v roce 2024 na 64 miliard eur do roku 2027 \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje zhruba 35% n\u00e1r\u016fst. T\u00edm se st\u00edr\u00e1 hranice mezi\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201em\u00edrov\u00fdmi z\u00e1rukami\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a p\u0159\u00edmou militarizac\u00ed a posiluje se tak argument Moskvy, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o urovn\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu jsou jen z\u00e1st\u011brkou pro eskalaci.<\/span><\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud se Francie kym\u00e1c\u00ed, je EU st\u00e1le \u201ejednotn\u00e1\u201c?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fsledky by se dotkly i Bruselu. EU se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na Francii, druhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomiku bloku, \u017ee zajist\u00ed kolektivn\u00ed pomoc Kyjevu, nicm\u00e9n\u011b z\u00e1vazek Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee ve v\u00fd\u0161i 3 miliard eur do roku 2024 je nejist\u00fd. To po\u0161kozuje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost bloku jako spolehliv\u00e9ho financuj\u00edc\u00edho subjektu v dob\u011b, kdy se N\u011bmecko zdr\u00e1h\u00e1 n\u00e9st n\u00e1klady samo. Macron se tak\u00e9 ozna\u010dil za zast\u00e1nce\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201estrategick\u00e9 autonomie\u201c a<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0spole\u010dn\u011b s n\u011bmeck\u00fdm kancl\u00e9\u0159em Friedrichem Merzem vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli evropsk\u00e9 obrany. Jak v\u0161ak poznamenal den\u00edk Financial Times, tyto ambice se st\u0159et\u00e1vaj\u00ed se slab\u00fdmi financemi a politick\u00fdmi rozpory. Vzhledem k paralyzovan\u00e9 Francii vypad\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed EU, \u017ee hovo\u0159\u00ed jedn\u00edm hlasem, pr\u00e1zdn\u011b a existuj\u00edc\u00ed rozpory \u2013 od otev\u0159en\u00e9ho skepticismu Ma\u010farska a\u017e po odpor Slovenska v ot\u00e1zce energetiky a sankc\u00ed \u2013 je t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed skr\u00fdt.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<aside class=\"listicle\">\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Se\u010dteno a podtr\u017eeno<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bayrou\u016fv p\u00e1d by oslabil Macrona doma a v zahrani\u010d\u00ed by se stal m\u00e9n\u011b d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fdm. Schopnost Francie ukotvit politiku EU v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt nejist\u00e1, z\u00e1ruky Kyjeva jsou zpochybn\u011bny a Moskva m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u011b argumentovat, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di o m\u00edru jsou neodd\u011bliteln\u00e9 od jej\u00edho sp\u011bchu k militarizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-86739 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-211x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"779\" height=\"1107\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-211x300.png 211w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-721x1024.png 721w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-768x1091.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-1081x1536.png 1081w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-1442x2048.png 1442w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby-program-1024x1455.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 779px) 100vw, 779px\" \/><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00dasporn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed ve v\u00fd\u0161i 44 miliard eur, st\u00e1vky v ulic\u00edch a sliby Kyjevu se brzy&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":87263,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,45,130,371,307,122,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87262"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87262\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}