{"id":86693,"date":"2025-08-30T00:16:17","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T22:16:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=86693"},"modified":"2025-08-29T12:17:06","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T10:17:06","slug":"thomas-roper-eu-si-mela-vzit-priklad-z-indie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/30\/thomas-roper-eu-si-mela-vzit-priklad-z-indie\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: EU si m\u011bla vz\u00edt p\u0159\u00edklad z Indie"},"content":{"rendered":"
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EU v celn\u00edm sporu kapitulovala p\u0159ed Trumpem a souhlasila s ni\u010divou dohodou, kterou m\u00e9dia i politici dokonce oslavovali, proto\u017ee dohoda \u00fadajn\u011b zabr\u00e1nila hor\u0161\u00edmu. Indie vid\u00ed v\u011bci jinak a Trumpov\u00fdm po\u017eadavk\u016fm se br\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Koncem \u010dervence p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise von der Leyenov\u00e1 zbyte\u010dn\u011b kapitulovala p\u0159ed americk\u00fdm prezidentem a p\u0159ijala pro EU\u00a0<\/span>zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed dohodu<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, podle n\u00ed\u017e by americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti mohly prod\u00e1vat sv\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed do EU bez cla, zat\u00edmco na v\u011bt\u0161inu v\u00fdvozu z EU do USA by bylo uvaleno 15% clo. Von der Leyenov\u00e1 tak\u00e9 Trumpovi sl\u00edbila, \u017ee do konce jeho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed nakoup\u00ed zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn, ropu a jadern\u00e9 palivo z USA v hodnot\u011b 750 miliard dolar\u016f. Krom\u011b toho by EU v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech investovala do USA dal\u0161\u00edch 600 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kapitulace EU p\u0159ed Trumpem<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jednalo se o tot\u00e1ln\u00ed kapitulaci EU p\u0159ed Trumpem, co\u017e bude pro evropskou ekonomiku zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed, proto\u017ee evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika ji\u017e st\u00e9n\u00e1 pod prudce rostouc\u00edmi cenami energi\u00ed po odm\u00edtnut\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ropy a plynu. N\u011bmecko je ji\u017e l\u00e9ta v recesi a ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b EU si nevedou sotva l\u00e9pe. Cla a povinnost nakupovat drahou ropu a plyn z\u00edskan\u00e9 frakov\u00e1n\u00edm v budoucnu zasad\u00ed ekonomice dal\u0161\u00ed r\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u00fadajn\u011b kritick\u00e1 n\u011bmeck\u00e1 m\u00e9dia vynakl\u00e1daj\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, aby tuto katastrofu zaml\u010dela. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Der Spiegel se op\u011bt vy\u017e\u00edval ve sv\u00e9 roli tiskov\u00e9ho mluv\u010d\u00edho Evropsk\u00e9 komise a 24. srpna zve\u0159ejnil \u010dl\u00e1nek s titulkem\u00a0<\/span>\u201eCeln\u00ed dohoda EU s USA \u2013 Von der Leyenov\u00e1 obhajuje \u201asilnou, ne-li dokonalou dohodu\u2018 s Trumpem<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, v n\u011bm\u017e Der Spiegel zcela nekriticky opakoval bl\u00e1bolen\u00ed Uschi von der Leyenov\u00e9. \u010cl\u00e1nek nem\u011bl nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s \u017eurnalistikou; sp\u00ed\u0161e se podobal zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed tiskov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy Evropsk\u00e9 komise.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dne 26. srpna zve\u0159ejnil Der Spiegel sloupek s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Spole\u010dn\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed k celn\u00ed dohod\u011b \u2013 Sbohem Z\u00e1padu<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. I kdy\u017e zn\u011bl o n\u011bco kriti\u010dt\u011bji, v podstat\u011b sledoval argumentaci Evropsk\u00e9 komise. Ve\u0161ker\u00e1 kritika dohody vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00e1 v tomto sloupku byla na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dl\u00e1nku odm\u00edtnuta t\u011bmito v\u011btami:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJist\u011b: Von der Leyenov\u00e1 m\u00e1 pravdu, \u017ee vzhledem ke sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 slabosti nem\u011bly st\u00e1ty EU jinou mo\u017enost ne\u017e Trumpovi ustoupit. A je tak\u00e9 pravda, \u017ee unie vyjednala lep\u0161\u00ed podm\u00ednky ne\u017e men\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b jako \u0160v\u00fdcarsko nebo Malajsie.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Zn\u00ed logicky, \u017ee obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka s USA by byla pro EU hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e tato dohoda. Ale to je nesmysl; zn\u00ed to prost\u011b logicky, ale nen\u00ed. D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka by zas\u00e1hla USA stejn\u011b siln\u011b, nebo dokonce siln\u011bji, ne\u017e EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee m\u011b\u0159eno HDP v parit\u011b kupn\u00ed s\u00edly (PPP), kter\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>se mus\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edvat<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0k porovn\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomik , je EU stejn\u011b velk\u00e1 jako USA, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e HDP obou zem\u00ed \u010din\u00ed n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159es 29 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f. EU mohla jednat asertivn\u011bji, ale je to jen vazal USA, kter\u00fd mus\u00ed na v\u0161echno \u0159\u00edkat \u201eano\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Indie ukazuje, jak se to d\u00e1 d\u011blat<\/span><\/h3>\n

Indick\u00fd HDP podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly (PPP) \u010din\u00ed 14,6 bilionu dolar\u016f, co\u017e je sotva polovina HDP USA. Indie se v\u0161ak nenechala zastra\u0161it Trumpem, kdy\u017e na konci \u010dervence pohrozil obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou a zavedl 25% cla, kter\u00e1 vy\u00fastila v celkov\u00e9 50% clo na indick\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. Trump dal Indii ultim\u00e1tum: bu\u010f p\u0159estane Indie kupovat ruskou ropu, nebo bude \u010delit cl\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Okam\u017eit\u011b<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0jsem m\u011bl podez\u0159en\u00ed\u00a0, \u017ee se Indie nenech\u00e1 Trumpem zastra\u0161it, proto\u017ee zaprv\u00e9 je indick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 sebev\u011bdom\u00e1; zadruh\u00e9 by zemi pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b po\u0161kodila v\u00edce, kdyby se vzdala rusk\u00e9 ropy, ne\u017e Trumpov\u00fdmi cly; zat\u0159et\u00ed v\u011bdom\u011b prosazuje neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku a nechce b\u00fdt zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na \u017e\u00e1dnou velkou mocnost\u00ed; a za\u010dtvrt\u00e9 by m\u011bla velk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my s indick\u00fdmi farm\u00e1\u0159i, kdyby otev\u0159ela indick\u00fd trh potravin\u00e1m z USA, jak po\u017eadoval Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cla vstoupila v platnost ve st\u0159edu; Indie se odm\u00edtla nechat Trumpem zastra\u0161it. EU si z toho mohla vz\u00edt p\u0159\u00edklad, proto\u017ee je ekonomicky mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Indie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z Indie v posledn\u00edch dnech jsou zaj\u00edmav\u00e1. V sobotu indick\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch obchodn\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s USA stanovilo \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry, a to i p\u0159es hrozbu sank\u010dn\u00edch cel a\u017e do v\u00fd\u0161e 50 procent. Zd\u016fraznil pot\u0159ebu chr\u00e1nit zem\u011bd\u011blce a drobn\u00e9 producenty. Tak\u00e9 uvedl, \u017ee rostouc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistota p\u0159esouv\u00e1 pozornost zp\u011bt na \u201espolehliv\u00e9 a konzistentn\u00ed partnery\u201c. Nen\u00ed t\u0159eba b\u00fdt jasnovidn\u00fd, abychom pochopili, \u017ee \u201espolehliv\u00fdm a konzistentn\u00edm partnerem\u201c myslel p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Rusko, s n\u00edm\u017e indick\u00fd obchod neust\u00e1le roste za vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00fdch podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koncem \u010dervence se Trump vyj\u00e1d\u0159il velmi hanliv\u011b ohledn\u011b Indie a jej\u00ed ekonomiky a ozna\u010dil ji za \u201emrtvou\u201c. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Trump usiluje tak\u00e9 o sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s \u00fahlavn\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edtelem Indie, P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, je indick\u00fd premi\u00e9r na Trumpa evidentn\u011b na\u0161tvan\u00fd. Podle zpr\u00e1v z m\u00e9di\u00ed se Trump v dnech p\u0159ed zaveden\u00edm cel proti Indii\u00a0<\/span>pokusil indick\u00e9mu premi\u00e9rovi \u010dty\u0159ikr\u00e1t zavolat<\/span><\/u><\/a>\u00a0, ale premi\u00e9r Trumpovy hovory neodpov\u00eddal.<\/span><\/p>\n

To tak\u00e9 ukazuje, \u017ee se \u010dlov\u011bk m\u016f\u017ee v\u016f\u010di Trumpovi chovat sebejist\u011b a nemus\u00ed se sm\u00ed\u0159it se v\u0161\u00edm, co \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, jako to d\u011bl\u00e1 EU a jej\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Indick\u00fd ministr obrany nav\u00edc zru\u0161il cestu do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. To ohro\u017euje indick\u00e9 objedn\u00e1vky od americk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, o kter\u00e9 USA dlouhodob\u011b tvrd\u011b bojuj\u00ed, jeliko\u017e Rusko je tradi\u010dn\u011b nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm partnerem Indie v obrann\u00e9m sektoru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee vid\u00edte, \u017ee v\u0161echny \u0159e\u010di evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f a n\u011bmeck\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed o tom, \u017ee dohoda s Trumpem, i kdy\u017e nen\u00ed skv\u011bl\u00e1, je lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka, jsou nesmysl. EU to mohla nechat takhle doj\u00edt, ale proto\u017ee EU \u2013 opakuji \u2013 je vazalem USA, EU se nech\u00e1v\u00e1 Trumpem zni\u010dit a dokonce mu za to d\u011bkuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee u\u017e nikdo na sv\u011bt\u011b nebere EU v\u00e1\u017en\u011b\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EU v celn\u00edm sporu kapitulovala p\u0159ed Trumpem a souhlasila s ni\u010divou dohodou, kterou m\u00e9dia i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1026,41,79,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86693"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86693"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86693\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86693"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86693"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86693"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}