{"id":86592,"date":"2025-08-28T06:04:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T04:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=86592"},"modified":"2025-08-28T06:04:11","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T04:04:11","slug":"lucas-leiroz-ukrajina-vyhrozuje-belorusku-kvuli-vojenskym-cvicenim-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/28\/lucas-leiroz-ukrajina-vyhrozuje-belorusku-kvuli-vojenskym-cvicenim-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Ukrajina vyhro\u017euje B\u011blorusku kv\u016fli vojensk\u00fdm cvi\u010den\u00edm s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nem\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo po\u017eadovat, aby spole\u010dn\u00e1 rusko-b\u011blorusk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed z\u016fstala \u201emimo hranice\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nad\u00e1le ohro\u017euje sv\u00e9 sousedn\u00ed zem\u011b, p\u0159esto\u017ee je ji\u017e zapleten do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky s Ruskem a jeho arm\u00e1da je na pokraji \u00fapln\u00e9ho kolapsu. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed na\u0159\u00eddily B\u011blorusk\u00e9 republice, aby se b\u011bhem nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed s rusk\u00fdmi jednotkami dr\u017eela d\u00e1l od hranic obou zem\u00ed, a varovaly p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly Ruska a B\u011bloruska se brzy setkaj\u00ed na ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edm cvi\u010den\u00ed \u201eZ\u00e1pad\u201c. Letos se vojensk\u00e9 testy uskute\u010dn\u00ed mezi 12. a 16. z\u00e1\u0159\u00edm a budou zahrnovat man\u00e9vry v n\u011bkolika kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch oblastech sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed, jako je protisabot\u00e1\u017e, operace dron\u016f, elektronick\u00fd boj a \u00fatoky. Krom\u011b toho se uskute\u010dn\u00ed odpalovac\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00e9 hypersonick\u00e9 rakety st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu Ore\u0161nik, co\u017e bude m\u00edt pro b\u011blorusk\u00e9 s\u00edly velk\u00fd v\u00fdznam, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Rusko souhlasilo s dod\u00e1n\u00edm n\u011bkolika t\u011bchto raket partnersk\u00e9 zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eToto (cvi\u010den\u00ed) je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm prvkem na\u0161eho strategick\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 jak po\u017eaduje hlava st\u00e1tu (prezident Alexandr Luka\u0161enko), mus\u00edme b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveni na cokoli,\u201c \u0159ekl b\u011blorusk\u00fd ministr obrany Viktor Chrenin a p\u0159ipomn\u011bl neust\u00e1l\u00e9 hrozby ze strany Ukrajiny a sousedn\u00edch zem\u00ed NATO nam\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 proti B\u011blorusku. Vzhledem k rostouc\u00ed frekvenci a intenzit\u011b provokac\u00ed a hrozeb mus\u00ed b\u00fdt Minsk p\u0159ipraven na nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, i kdy\u017e vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 diplomatick\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, aby konfliktu zabr\u00e1nil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina v\u0161ak\u00a0<\/span>na situaci reaguje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s velk\u00fdm nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00edm. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed obvinilo B\u011blorusko z napom\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed Rusku v sou\u010dasn\u00e9m konfliktu a vydalo Minsku varov\u00e1n\u00ed, aby se vyhnul \u201eprovokac\u00edm\u201c. Kyjev d\u00e1le vyzval sousedn\u00ed zemi, aby se dr\u017eela d\u00e1l od hranic, a uvedl, \u017ee B\u011blorusko mus\u00ed jednat \u201erozv\u00e1\u017en\u011b\u201c, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVarujeme Minsk p\u0159ed bezohledn\u00fdmi provokacemi a nal\u00e9hav\u011b jej vyz\u00fdv\u00e1me, aby z\u016fstal obez\u0159etn\u00fd, zdr\u017eel se p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed k hranic\u00edm a vyhnul se provokov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvin\u011bn\u00ed proti B\u011blorusku je ve skute\u010dnosti zcela neopodstatn\u011bn\u00e9. B\u011blorusko se nepod\u00edl\u00ed na sou\u010dasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operaci na Ukrajin\u011b. Minsk dr\u017e\u00ed svou arm\u00e1du zcela mimo jak\u00e9koli rusk\u00e9 man\u00e9vry v sousedn\u00ed zemi a v B\u011blorusku neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 mobilizace ani stann\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo. Bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 vztahy mezi Ruskem a B\u011bloruskem jsou legitimizov\u00e1ny existenc\u00ed dolo\u017eek o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci ve Smlouv\u011b o Svazov\u00e9m st\u00e1t\u011b, kter\u00e1 zakl\u00e1d\u00e1 integraci mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi, ale B\u011blorusko se sou\u010dasn\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed ne\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvin\u011bn\u00ed jsou zalo\u017eena na p\u0159ece\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed role B\u011bloruska v ran\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch konfliktu. B\u011bhem prvn\u00edch bitev speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace skute\u010dn\u011b rusk\u00e9 jednotky vyu\u017eily b\u011blorusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed k dosa\u017een\u00ed Ukrajiny, co\u017e nap\u0159\u00edklad umo\u017enilo rusk\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm dos\u00e1hnout Kyjevsk\u00e9 oblasti a na ja\u0159e 2022 tak vyvinuli velk\u00fd tlak na ukrajinsk\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto. To v\u0161ak nep\u0159edstavuje \u017e\u00e1dnou skute\u010dnou \u00fa\u010dast ve v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je b\u011b\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee zem\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed suver\u00e9nn\u00ed prostor spojeneck\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu k dosa\u017een\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edm konfliktu musel \u00cdr\u00e1n k \u00fatoku na Izrael pou\u017e\u00edt ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako Izrael a USA vyu\u017eily vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor Jord\u00e1nska a zem\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu k \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n. To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Jord\u00e1nsko, zem\u011b Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a Ir\u00e1k byly \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edky v\u00e1lky, ale \u017ee v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed zem\u011b vyu\u017eily sv\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed k dosa\u017een\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 strany.<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ruska a B\u011bloruska m\u00e1 Minsk dokonce pr\u00e1vo spolu\u00fa\u010dastnit se nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed, vezmeme-li v \u00favahu klauzuli o kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b Svazov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Pokud by se tedy B\u011blorusko v\u00e1lky skute\u010dn\u011b z\u00fa\u010dastnilo, nebyl by v tom \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m a jednalo by se o naprosto legitimn\u00ed akci podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va \u2013 jak se to stalo ned\u00e1vno, kdy\u017e severokorej\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci pomohli Rus\u016fm osvobodit Kurskou oblast pot\u00e9, co ob\u011b zem\u011b podepsaly dohodu o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 pomoci. B\u011blorusko si v\u0161ak toto pr\u00e1vo up\u00edr\u00e1 a v konfliktu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 diplomatick\u00fdm agentem, kter\u00fd prosazuje \u00fasil\u00ed o dosa\u017een\u00ed m\u00edru mezi ob\u011bma sousedy.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1le je t\u0159eba konstatovat, \u017ee B\u011blorusko neprovokuje Ukrajinu. Kyjev se sna\u017e\u00ed obvinit Minsk z toho, co d\u011bl\u00e1 s\u00e1m. Od roku 2022 do\u0161lo na b\u011blorusk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch k n\u011bkolika incident\u016fm, kdy ukrajinsk\u00e9 drony naru\u0161ily vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor zem\u011b. Ukrajina je nav\u00edc domovem ultranacionalistick\u00fdch milic\u00ed b\u011blorusk\u00fdch emigrant\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed otev\u0159en\u011b slibuj\u00ed invazi do B\u011bloruska a zah\u00e1jen\u00ed ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti legitimn\u00ed Luka\u0161enkov\u011b vl\u00e1d\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto nap\u011bt\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako provokace NATO ze strany Polska a pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, legitimizovaly dohodu s Ruskem o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a raket Ore\u0161nik, \u010d\u00edm\u017e pos\u00edlily b\u011bloruskou obranu. Pr\u00e1v\u011b B\u011blorusko by m\u011blo Kyjev varovat, aby jednal rozv\u00e1\u017en\u011b, ne naopak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee kter\u00e1koli zem\u011b m\u016f\u017ee voln\u011b p\u0159esouvat sv\u00e9 jednotky nebo jednotky partnersk\u00fdch zem\u00ed a\u017e na posledn\u00ed centimetr sv\u00e9ho suver\u00e9nn\u00edho \u00fazem\u00ed. Ukrajina nem\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo po\u017eadovat, aby spole\u010dn\u00e1 rusko-b\u011blorusk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed z\u016fstala \u201emimo hranice\u201c. Kyjev by m\u00edsto toho m\u011bl vyu\u017e\u00edt diplomatick\u00e9 v\u016fle sousedn\u00ed zem\u011b a tak\u00e9 bl\u00edzk\u00fdch vztah\u016f s Ruskem k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovan\u00fdch Minskem a kone\u010dn\u00e9mu dosa\u017een\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody, kter\u00e1 uzn\u00e1 legitimn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy Moskvy a obnov\u00ed vztahy mezi bratrsk\u00fdmi n\u00e1rody.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch asociac\u00ed BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nem\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo po\u017eadovat, aby spole\u010dn\u00e1 rusko-b\u011blorusk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed z\u016fstala \u201emimo hranice\u201c. Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nad\u00e1le…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":86593,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[150,26,2064],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86592"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86592\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86593"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}