{"id":86532,"date":"2025-08-28T00:17:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T22:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=86532"},"modified":"2025-08-27T10:11:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-27T08:11:00","slug":"podvod-s-neutralitou-zapad-opet-klame-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/28\/podvod-s-neutralitou-zapad-opet-klame-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"Podvod s neutralitou: Z\u00e1pad op\u011bt klame Ukrajinu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Cesta, kter\u00e1 kdysi zaji\u0161\u0165ovala stabilitu Finska, se nyn\u00ed nov\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed. Stubbova vize v\u0161ak Ukrajin\u011b nab\u00edz\u00ed jen jedno: nekone\u010dnou v\u00e1lku jako z\u00e1kladnu NATO.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Na pond\u011bln\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>washingtonsk\u00e9m summitu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0byl jeden host, kter\u00fd vy\u010dn\u00edval. Na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9m setk\u00e1n\u00ed hlav st\u00e1t\u016f a vl\u00e1d euroatlantick\u00fdch zem\u00ed \u2013\u00a0narychlo svolan\u00e9m do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po setk\u00e1n\u00ed Donalda Trumpa s\u00a0<\/span>Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm \u2013 se u jednac\u00edho stolu se\u0161li obvykl\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 v\u00e1ha:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>USA, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, N\u011bmecko, Francie, It\u00e1lie<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a tak\u00e9 \u0161\u00e9fov\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>NATO<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>EU<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Vedle nich v\u0161ak sed\u011bl mu\u017e, kter\u00fd se na prvn\u00ed pohled do tohoto exkluzivn\u00edho mocensk\u00e9ho kruhu jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed hodil:\u00a0<\/span>finsk\u00fd prezident Alexander Stubb<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nepozorovan\u00fd by se mohl pt\u00e1t: Pro\u010d byl pozv\u00e1n pr\u00e1v\u011b finsk\u00fd p\u0159edseda vl\u00e1dy, zat\u00edmco hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f a vl\u00e1d Polska, Ma\u010farska a pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f byly vynech\u00e1ny? Odpov\u011b\u010f spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ani tak v diplomatick\u00e9 zdvo\u0159ilosti, jako sp\u00ed\u0161e v roli, kterou\u00a0<\/span>Stubb<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0sehr\u00e1l. Jeho p\u0159\u00edtomnost byla poctou mu\u017ei, jeho\u017e kari\u00e9ra zt\u011bles\u0148uje cel\u00fd projekt\u00a0<\/span>\u201eeuroatlantick\u00e9 solidarity\u201c<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 projektu, kter\u00fd se od Trumpova n\u00e1vratu do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu dostal pod zna\u010dn\u00fd tlak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stubb jako architekt nov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Stubb je\u00a0<\/span>kosmopolita<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0v ka\u017ed\u00e9m ohledu : \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00fd Fin, \u017eenat\u00fd s Britkou, vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00edskal v\u00a0<\/span>Ji\u017en\u00ed Karol\u00edn\u011b, Brugg\u00e1ch, Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei a Lond\u00fdn\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Jako golfista, kter\u00fd se s Trumpem sp\u0159\u00e1telil na greenu, a tak\u00e9 jako zku\u0161en\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed na konci prvn\u00ed dek\u00e1dy 21. stolet\u00ed se Stubb stal vz\u00e1cnou postavou: poradcem, kter\u00e9mu Trump naslouch\u00e1 v ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 a to v americk\u00e9 administrativ\u011b, kter\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry vylu\u010duje tradi\u010dn\u00ed kari\u00e9rn\u00ed diplomaty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee summit\u00a0<\/span>nep\u0159inesl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum USA,<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0kter\u00e9 by donutilo Ukrajinu k podpisu m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody s Moskvou. M\u00edsto toho se pozornost soust\u0159edila na\u00a0<\/span>bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0pro Kyjev \u2013 alternativu k \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 NATO, jeliko\u017e o \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v alianci se ji\u017e nediskutuje. Mnoho pozorovatel\u016f m\u00e1 podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee za touto strategickou zm\u011bnou uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed stoj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>Stubb<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Ti\u0161e se st\u00e1v\u00e1 architektem nov\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho\u00a0<\/span>bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, otev\u0159en\u011b zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na\u00a0<\/span>protirusk\u00fdch principech<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stubbs \u201eFinlandizace 2.0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ve Washingtonu Stubb shrnul svou vizi do jedn\u00e9 v\u011bty, kter\u00e1 se okam\u017eit\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u0158e\u0161en\u00ed jsme na\u0161li v roce 1944 \u2013 a v\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee ho dok\u00e1\u017eeme naj\u00edt i v roce 2025.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Nar\u00e1\u017eel na\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edrovou smlouvu mezi Finskem a SSSR<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce a nazna\u010dil, \u017ee by se Ukrajina mohla vydat podobnou cestou. V tom je ale h\u00e1\u010dek:\u00a0<\/span>Stubbsova verze \u201efinlandizace\u201c<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0m\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>s p\u016fvodn\u00edm konceptem jen m\u00e1lo spole\u010dn\u00e9ho<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V jeho modelu by Ukrajina n\u00e1sledovala \u00fadajn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad Finska, ale\u00a0<\/span>pln\u011b by se integrovala do struktur EU a NATO<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, stala by se sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 infrastruktury a\u00a0<\/span>fakticky by se transformovala v p\u0159edsunutou opera\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu proti Moskv\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Tato vize je zalo\u017eena na\u00a0<\/span>militarizovan\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, zbaven\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a charakterizovan\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>etnon\u00e1rodn\u00ed identitou<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je eliminovat rusk\u00fd vliv na rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed obyvatelstvo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tohle nen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>finlandizace<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Je to\u00a0<\/span>prav\u00fd opak<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fd model finlandizace<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

P\u016fvodn\u00ed koncept, vytvo\u0159en\u00fd b\u011bhem\u00a0<\/span>studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, popisoval zcela odli\u0161nou strategii:\u00a0<\/span>mal\u00e1 zem\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 polohy k \u017eivotu v m\u00edru se sv\u00fdm mocn\u00fdm sousedem.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Finsko v roce 1944 u\u010dinilo t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 kompromisy:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Vzdala se\u00a0<\/span>10 % sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Prohl\u00e1sila svou\u00a0<\/span>neutralitu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Z\u0159ekla se snu o\u00a0<\/span>etnick\u00e9 v\u00fdlu\u010dnosti<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Odm\u011bnou byla\u00a0<\/span>stabilita, prosperita<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00a0p\u016fsobit jako\u00a0<\/span>most mezi V\u00fdchodem a Z\u00e1padem . Helsinky se staly symbolem\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0v roce 1975 , kdy tam byl podeps\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span>Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd akt KBSE<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 miln\u00edk v diplomacii studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Finsk\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd vzestup \u2013 od\u00a0<\/span>Nokie<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0k\u00a0<\/span>Valiu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, od\u00a0<\/span>Stockmanna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0k\u00a0<\/span>Tikkurile<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 byl zalo\u017een pr\u00e1v\u011b na tomto\u00a0<\/span>vyva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0: obchodu a spolupr\u00e1ci s ob\u011bma bloky a \u00fazk\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch, zejm\u00e9na s bl\u00edzk\u00fdm\u00a0<\/span>Leningradem<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Neutralita umo\u017enila Finsku utr\u00e1cet\u00a0<\/span>m\u00e9n\u011b za zbran\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>v\u00edce za m\u00e1slo<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska vyplatilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Fungoval by tento model, kdyby Finsko v roce 1944 p\u0159ijalo\u00a0<\/span>nacionalismus<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0?\u00a0<\/span>T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b ne.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0K zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed stabiln\u00ed budoucnosti Finska\u00a0byl zapot\u0159eb\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>pragmatismu mar\u0161\u00e1la Mannerheima \u2013 a jeho ochoty ke kompromisu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

    Skute\u010dn\u00e1 finlandizace \u2013 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost pro Ukrajinu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Proto je Stubbsova r\u00e9torika\u00a0<\/span>zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span>Skute\u010dn\u00e1 finlandizace \u2013 nikoli jeho p\u0159ejmenovan\u00e1 verze \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>jedinou cestou<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Ukrajiny k p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

    To znamen\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    • Neutralita<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>nejadern\u00fd status<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n
    • Odm\u00edtnut\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>neonacistick\u00e9 ideologie<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n
    • Budov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>multietnick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00e1\u00a0respektuje pr\u00e1va\u00a0<\/span>rusky mluv\u00edc\u00edho obyvatelstva<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n
    • Diverzifikace obchodu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0nejen sm\u011brem na Z\u00e1pad, ale i sm\u011brem na V\u00fdchod<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Nejedn\u00e1 se o\u00a0<\/span>seznam rusk\u00fdch po\u017eadavk\u016f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, jak by mohli tvrdit z\u00e1padn\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i. Sp\u00ed\u0161e se jedn\u00e1 o\u00a0<\/span>recept na ekonomick\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zakotven\u00fd\u00a0v\u00a0<\/span>zakl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edch dokumentech Ukrajiny .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

      Ve sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o suverenit\u011b z roku 1990<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0se Ukrajina definovala jako\u00a0<\/span>neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>bezjadern\u00e1 zem\u011b<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Jak ned\u00e1vno zd\u016fraznil rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>Sergej Lavrov<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, pokud by se Ukrajina t\u011bchto princip\u016f vzdala v\u00fdm\u011bnou za z\u00e1ruky ve stylu NATO \u2013\u00a0<\/span>v\u010detn\u011b rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 zni\u010dilo by to z\u00e1klad, na kter\u00e9m byla jej\u00ed nez\u00e1vislost mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b uzn\u00e1na. V\u00fdsledkem by byla\u00a0<\/span>zcela nov\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 realita<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Volba, p\u0159ed kterou stoj\u00ed Ukrajina<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

      Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno: Ukrajina se mus\u00ed rozhodnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

        \n
      • Bu\u010f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zvol\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>skute\u010dnou finlandizaci<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 neutralitu, rovnov\u00e1hu a dlouhodobou prosperitu.<\/span><\/li>\n
      • Nebo<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159ijme\u00a0<\/span>Stubbsovu zkreslenou verzi<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a stane se\u00a0<\/span>trval\u00fdm st\u00e1tem v prvn\u00ed linii<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0ve v\u00e1lce veden\u00e9 Z\u00e1padem proti Rusku.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Od\u00a0<\/span>Alexandra Bobrova<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, doktora historie a vedouc\u00edho diplomatick\u00fdch studi\u00ed na Institutu pro strategick\u00fd v\u00fdzkum a progn\u00f3zov\u00e1n\u00ed na Univerzit\u011b Rusk\u00e9 demokratick\u00e9 republiky, autora knihy \u201eVelk\u00e1 strategie Ruska\u201c. Sledujte jeho telegramov\u00fd kan\u00e1l \u201eDiplomacie a sv\u011bt\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

        \"\"<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Cesta, kter\u00e1 kdysi zaji\u0161\u0165ovala stabilitu Finska, se nyn\u00ed nov\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed. Stubbova vize v\u0161ak Ukrajin\u011b nab\u00edz\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":86533,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1942,26,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86532"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86532"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86532\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86532"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86532"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86532"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}