{"id":86389,"date":"2025-08-26T00:28:36","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T22:28:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=86389"},"modified":"2025-08-25T17:18:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T15:18:36","slug":"proc-kontinentalni-teploty-zpochybnuji-teorii-globalniho-oteplovani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/26\/proc-kontinentalni-teploty-zpochybnuji-teorii-globalniho-oteplovani\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed teploty zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed teorii glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud vezmeme v \u00favahu pouze kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed meteorologick\u00e1 data, v podstat\u011b neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c. Pokud by CO2 skute\u010dn\u011b m\u011bl celosv\u011btov\u00fd vliv na teploty, m\u011bl by b\u00fdt viditeln\u00fd i tam. Ale nen\u00ed. Jak moc p\u0159\u00edmo\u0159sk\u00e9 klima zkresluje datov\u00e9 soubory?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Winston Churchill pr\u00fd prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee uv\u011b\u0159\u00ed pouze statistik\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 s\u00e1m zfal\u0161oval. Pokud jde o statistick\u00e1 data o teplot\u011b, existuje tak\u00e9 spousta datov\u00fdch soubor\u016f, kter\u00e9 neodpov\u00eddaj\u00ed dogmat\u016fm klimatick\u00e9ho n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici r\u00e1di \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u201ehokejkov\u00e9\u201c grafy, aby podlo\u017eili sv\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed o \u201ebezprecedentn\u00edm n\u00e1r\u016fstu\u201c glob\u00e1ln\u00edch teplot \u2013 z pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti rovnou do klimatick\u00e9ho Armagedonu \u2013 teplom\u011bry v mnoha regionech sv\u011bta vykresluj\u00ed zcela jin\u00fd obraz.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esn\u011b tohle v roce 2018 demonstrovali badatel\u00e9 Frank Lansner a Jens Olaf Pepke Pedersen ve sv\u00e9 studii s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/10.1177\/0958305X18756670\"><span dir=\"auto\">Teplotn\u00ed trendy se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00fdm dopadem teploty oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho vzduchu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c, publikovan\u00e9 v \u010dasopise Sage Journals. Nespol\u00e9hali se na obvykl\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 hodnoty, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1sledn\u011b \u201ehomogenizovaly\u201c a \u201eupravily\u201c NOAA, NASA a dal\u0161\u00ed meteorologick\u00e9 organizace. M\u00edsto toho zkoumali 433 meteorologick\u00fdch stanic po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e9 sd\u00edlej\u00ed jednu zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vlastnost: nach\u00e1zej\u00ed se v \u00fadol\u00edch nebo jsou jinak chr\u00e1n\u011bny p\u0159ed vlivem n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch mas. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, tyto stanice nem\u011b\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edliv a odliv oce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch proud\u016f, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e poskytuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd dojem o tom, jak se teploty vyv\u00edjej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo na sou\u0161i. A hle, po \u201ebezprecedentn\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c tam nen\u00ed ani stopy.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1959321853803344124&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Freport24.news%2Fwarum-kontinentale-temperaturen-das-narrativ-der-globalen-erwaermung-infrage-stellen%2F&amp;sessionId=a4ebfd335b093bcf29d342b0c2ec674a77c32928&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1959321853803344124\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Anal\u00fdza se pohybuje od roku 1900 do roku 2010. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo v t\u011bchto datech hled\u00e1 \u201eklimatickou apokalypsu\u201c, bude ho\u0159ce zklam\u00e1n. Teploty kol\u00edsaj\u00ed, jako v\u017edy. N\u011bkdy o n\u011bco tepleji, n\u011bkdy o n\u011bco chladn\u011bji, s v\u00fdrazn\u00fdmi v\u00fdkyvy ve 20. a 30. letech 20. stolet\u00ed, kter\u00e9 byly na mnoha m\u00edstech dokonce vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dne\u0161n\u00ed hodnoty. \u00dadajn\u011b \u201eextr\u00e9mn\u00ed\u201c n\u00e1r\u016fst teploty od poloviny 20. stolet\u00ed se na t\u011bchto stanic\u00edch zmen\u0161uje na pouh\u00e9 mihot\u00e1n\u00ed v r\u00e1mci rozsahu p\u0159irozen\u00e9 prom\u011bnlivosti. Jin\u00fdmi slovy: Neexistuj\u00ed ani stopy po tepeln\u00e9m n\u00e1r\u016fstu vyvolan\u00e9m CO2.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A p\u0159esn\u011b tohle je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d jsou klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici tak nerv\u00f3zn\u00ed. Proto\u017ee pokud teplom\u011bry daleko od pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed nezaznamenaj\u00ed \u201ek\u0159ivku hokejky\u201c po dobu del\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e stolet\u00ed, pak z narativu o velk\u00e9 katastrof\u011b moc nezb\u00fdv\u00e1. M\u00edsto toho se objevuje vzorec: 30. l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed byla v mnoha regionech sv\u011bta nejteplej\u0161\u00ed dek\u00e1dou 20. stolet\u00ed, po n\u00ed\u017e n\u00e1sledovalo ochlazen\u00ed v 50. a 60. letech a n\u00e1sledn\u011b m\u00edrn\u00fd vzestupn\u00fd trend v 80. a 90. letech. Tento vzorec lze dokonale vysv\u011btlit zn\u00e1m\u00fdmi cykly slunce, oce\u00e1n\u016f a atmosf\u00e9rick\u00fdch proud\u016f \u2013 bez jak\u00e9koli teorie sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-echte-daten-statt-homogenisierung\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Re\u00e1ln\u00e1 data m\u00edsto \u201ehomogenizace\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nikdo nesm\u00ed sly\u0161et. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed agentury se proto uchyluj\u00ed k osv\u011bd\u010den\u00e9mu triku: Data upravuj\u00ed zp\u011btn\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/bericht-fehlerhafte-klimamodelle-und-klimadaten-verzerren-die-realitaet\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ofici\u00e1ln\u011b se tomu \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u201ehomogenizace<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee star\u0161\u00ed m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed jsou pravideln\u011b revidov\u00e1na sm\u011brem dol\u016f, zat\u00edmco nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hodnoty jsou m\u00edrn\u011b upravov\u00e1ny sm\u011brem nahoru. V\u00fdsledkem je um\u011ble vytvo\u0159en\u00fd trend oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00fd potvrzuje p\u0159esn\u011b to, co politi\u010dt\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed. Pokud v\u00e1s zaj\u00edm\u00e1, pro\u010d se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/rekordsommer-us-klimadaten-zeigen-die-1930er-waren-heisser-und-trockener\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">30. l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> v dne\u0161n\u00edch grafech NASA sotva objevuj\u00ed jako hork\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, zde je odpov\u011b\u010f. Byla jednodu\u0161e \u201ezmen\u0161ena\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Lansner a Pepke Pedersen naopak uk\u00e1zali, co se stane, kdy\u017e se takov\u00e9 manipulace nechaj\u00ed b\u00fdt. Jejich 433 stanic vypr\u00e1v\u00ed jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, kter\u00fd klimatick\u00fdm alarmist\u016fm moc nesed\u00ed: p\u0159irozen\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy, ale ne neust\u00e1l\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee v oblastech p\u0159\u00edmo ovlivn\u011bn\u00fdch oce\u00e1nem \u2013 tedy tam, kde tepl\u00e9 oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9 proudy zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed um\u011ble zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 teploty \u2013 je pozorov\u00e1no v\u00fdrazn\u011b v\u00edce \u201eoteplov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c. To jednodu\u0161e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st \u00fadajn\u011b glob\u00e1ln\u00edho trendu je jednodu\u0161e zp\u016fsobena vlivy mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je\u0161t\u011b vzru\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed je to, kdy\u017e vezmete v \u00favahu politick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. Pokud jsou data Lansnera a Pepke Pedersena spr\u00e1vn\u00e1 \u2013 a v\u0161e tomu nasv\u011bd\u010duje \u2013 pak je cel\u00e1 klimatick\u00e1 agenda posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00ed zalo\u017eena na chybn\u00e9 interpretaci. Miliardy dotac\u00ed, dan\u011b z CO2, energetick\u00e1 transformace, ekonomick\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed \u2013 to v\u0161e je zalo\u017eeno na p\u0159edpokladu rychl\u00e9ho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed, ke kter\u00e9mu ve skute\u010dnosti nikdy nedo\u0161lo. Obvykl\u00ed podez\u0159el\u00ed samoz\u0159ejm\u011b okam\u017eit\u011b nam\u00edtnou. \u0158eknou, \u017ee 433 stanic nen\u00ed \u201ereprezentativn\u00edch\u201c. \u017de auto\u0159i z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b vybrali \u00fadol\u00ed, aby zakryli trend. \u017de bychom se m\u011bli dr\u017eet \u201eopraven\u00fdch\u201c a \u201ekvalitn\u011b zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch\u201c datov\u00fdch soubor\u016f od NASA nebo NOAA. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee tyto ve skute\u010dnosti poskytuj\u00ed pouze zkreslen\u00fd obraz reality, je v\u0161ak pohodln\u011b ignorov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-kritische-studien-gefahrden-geschaftsmodell\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kritick\u00e9 studie ohro\u017euj\u00ed obchodn\u00ed model<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Politick\u00e1 v\u00fdbu\u0161nost je z\u0159ejm\u00e1. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo zpochyb\u0148uje ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed klimatick\u00fd narativ, je okam\u017eit\u011b ozna\u010den za \u201epop\u00edra\u010de\u201c. Zpochyb\u0148ovat je dovoleno cokoli \u2013 krom\u011b \u00fadajn\u011b drtiv\u00fdch d\u016fkaz\u016f o klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn\u00e1ch zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch \u010dlov\u011bkem. Tyto d\u016fkazy se v\u0161ak rozpadaj\u00ed, kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na p\u016fvodn\u00ed data. To je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b d\u016fvod, pro\u010d se studie jako ty od Lansnera a Pepke Pedersena jen z\u0159\u00eddka objevuj\u00ed v mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch. P\u0159iznejme si to: Klimatick\u00e1 politika je gigantick\u00fd obchodn\u00ed model. Miliardy plynou do v\u00fdzkumu, dotac\u00ed, nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch organizac\u00ed a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch organizac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 existuj\u00ed jen proto, aby udr\u017eovaly paniku. Pokud by se n\u00e1hle objevily pochybnosti o klimatick\u00e9m narativu, nespo\u010det institut\u016f a nadac\u00ed by se p\u0159es noc staly nadbyte\u010dn\u00fdmi. Nen\u00ed tedy divu, \u017ee lid\u00e9 rad\u011bji manipuluj\u00ed s teplotn\u00edmi \u00fadaji tak, aby odpov\u00eddaly spr\u00e1vn\u00e9mu sm\u011bru, ne\u017e aby se postavili realit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nakonec z\u00e1v\u011br z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1: klima kol\u00eds\u00e1, jako v\u017edy. N\u011bkdy je tepleji, n\u011bkdy chladn\u011bji. 30. l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed byla na mnoha m\u00edstech teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dnes, a ani to nebyla katastrofa. Hladomory, sucha a bou\u0159e se vyskytovaly v ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u00e9\u0159e. Takov\u00fd je v p\u0159\u00edrod\u011b chod. Ale skute\u010dn\u00fd trend glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed rozhodn\u011b neexistuje, jak klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici v\u017edy tvrd\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-86134 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-212x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"959\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-212x300.png 212w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-724x1024.png 724w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-768x1086.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-1087x1536.png 1087w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-1449x2048.png 1449w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/volby10-1024x1447.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pokud vezmeme v \u00favahu pouze kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed meteorologick\u00e1 data, v podstat\u011b neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c. Pokud&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65370,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,1100,497,839],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86389"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86389"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86389\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}