{"id":8609,"date":"2022-02-25T12:44:25","date_gmt":"2022-02-25T11:44:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=8609"},"modified":"2022-02-25T12:44:25","modified_gmt":"2022-02-25T11:44:25","slug":"od-cerneho-more-po-vychodni-stredomori-nenarazite-na-ruskeho-medveda-novy-geopoliticky-rad-vznika-dechberoucim-tempem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/02\/25\/od-cerneho-more-po-vychodni-stredomori-nenarazite-na-ruskeho-medveda-novy-geopoliticky-rad-vznika-dechberoucim-tempem\/","title":{"rendered":"Od \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e po v\u00fdchodn\u00ed St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed, nenaraz\u00edte na rusk\u00e9ho medv\u011bda \u2013 Nov\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d vznik\u00e1 dechberouc\u00edm tempem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA nem\u011bly \u0161\u0165ouchat rusk\u00e9ho medv\u011bda.\u00a0Te\u010f je \u00fapln\u011b vzh\u016fru: Po Ukrajin\u011b si Rusov\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vy\u010dist\u00ed prostor se zahrani\u010dn\u00edmi \u00fato\u010dn\u00edky ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed a \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e medv\u011bda bodne banda otrhan\u00fdch hyen, \u0161akal\u016f a mal\u00fdch hlodavc\u016f, stane se toto: Nov\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d vznik\u00e1 z\u00e1vratnou rychlost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od dramatick\u00e9ho zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti Rusk\u00e9 federace, p\u0159es lekci historie OSN od rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladimira Putina a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 narozen\u00ed dvoj\u010dat \u2013 lidov\u00e9 republiky Don\u011bck\u00e1 a Luhansk\u00e1 \u2013 a\u017e po v\u00fdzvu odtr\u017een\u00fdch republik, aby Putin vojensky zas\u00e1hl a zastavil Ty podporovan\u00e9 NATO. Vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch bombardovac\u00edch a ost\u0159elovac\u00edch sil z Donbasu byl bezprobl\u00e9mov\u00fd proces prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed rychlost\u00ed warpu.<\/span><\/p>\n

To (jadern\u00e9) br\u010dko, kter\u00e9 medv\u011bdovi (skoro) zlomilo vaz \u2013 a donutilo ho vysko\u010dit \u2013 byl komik a ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj, kter\u00fd se vracel z rusofobi\u00ed prosycen\u00e9 Mnichovsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed konference, kde byl oslavov\u00e1n jako mesi\u00e1\u0161, a \u0159ekl, \u017ee Budape\u0161\u0165sk\u00e9 memorandum z roku 1994 by m\u011blo b\u00fdt revidov\u00e1no a Ukrajina by m\u011bla b\u00fdt jadern\u011b vyzbrojena.<\/span><\/p>\n

To by bylo ekvivalentem jadern\u00e9ho Mexika ji\u017en\u011b od Hegemona.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putin okam\u017eit\u011b postavil Odpov\u011bdnost chr\u00e1nit (R2P) na hlavu: americk\u00fd konstrukt vynalezen\u00fd k veden\u00ed v\u00e1lek byl p\u0159ed\u011bl\u00e1n, aby zastavil zpomalenou genocidu v Donbasu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejprve p\u0159i\u0161lo uzn\u00e1n\u00ed dvoj\u010dat \u2013 Putinovo nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed od vstupu rusk\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek do syrsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru v roce 2015. To byla p\u0159edehra k dal\u0161\u00edmu posunu: \u201ezvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operaci… zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na demilitarizaci a denacifikaci Ukrajiny\u201c. jak to definoval Putin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kreml se a\u017e do posledn\u00ed chv\u00edle sna\u017eil spol\u00e9hat na diplomacii a vysv\u011btloval Kyjevu imperativy nutn\u00e9 k zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed heavy metalov\u00e9mu hromu: uznat Krym jako rusk\u00fd poloostrov, vzd\u00e1t se jak\u00fdchkoli pl\u00e1n\u016f na vstup do NATO, p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Baby Twins \u2013 anathema pro Ameri\u010dany od roku 2015 \u2013 a nakonec demilitarizace a prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Ukrajiny za neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kyjev\u0161t\u00ed poskoci by bal\u00ed\u010dek podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nikdy nep\u0159ijali \u2013 stejn\u011b jako by nep\u0159ijali hlavn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek, na kter\u00e9m skute\u010dn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed, toti\u017e rusk\u00fd po\u017eadavek na \u201ened\u011blitelnou bezpe\u010dnost\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee n\u00e1sledek byl nevyhnuteln\u00fd.\u00a0B\u011bhem mrknut\u00ed oka byly v\u0161echny ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly mezi takzvanou lini\u00ed dotyku a p\u016fvodn\u00edmi hranicemi Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti p\u0159em\u011bn\u011bny na okupa\u010dn\u00ed arm\u00e1du na \u00fazem\u00edch spojenc\u016f Ruska, kter\u00e1 Moskva pr\u00e1v\u011b sl\u00edbila chr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vypadni – nebo jinak<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kreml a rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany neblafovaly.\u00a0P\u0159esn\u011b na konci Putinova projevu oznamuj\u00edc\u00edho operaci za pouhou hodinu Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159esn\u00fdmi st\u0159elami usekli hlavy v\u0161emu, co bylo ve vztahu k ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9: letectvo, n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo, leti\u0161t\u011b, mosty, velitelsk\u00e1 a \u0159\u00eddic\u00ed centra, cel\u00fd tureck\u00fd Bayraktar flotily dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nebyla to jen syrov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 s\u00edla.\u00a0Bylo to d\u011blost\u0159electvo Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky (DPR), kter\u00e9 ost\u0159elovalo velitelstv\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil na Donbasu, kde se ve skute\u010dnosti nach\u00e1zelo cel\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velen\u00ed.\u00a0To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b okam\u017eit\u011b ztratil kontrolu nad v\u0161emi sv\u00fdmi jednotkami.<\/span><\/p>\n

To byl \u0161ok a hr\u016fza proti Ir\u00e1ku p\u0159ed 19 lety, obr\u00e1cen\u011b: ne pro dobyt\u00ed, ne jako p\u0159edehra k invazi a okupaci.\u00a0Politicko-vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed v Kyjev\u011b ani nestihlo vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00e1lku. Zmrzl\u00e9 a demoralizovan\u00e9 jednotky za\u010daly dezertovat.\u00a0Tot\u00e1ln\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka – za hodinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Krymu vodou bylo okam\u017eit\u011b obnoveno.\u00a0Pro dezert\u00e9ry byly z\u0159\u00edzeny humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed koridory.\u00a0Zbytky ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil nyn\u00ed zahrnuj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inou p\u0159e\u017eiv\u0161\u00ed nacisty z praporu Azov, \u017eold\u00e1ky vycvi\u010den\u00e9 obvykl\u00fdmi podez\u0159el\u00fdmi z Blackwater\/Academi a hromadu salafistick\u00fdch d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia se ji\u017e \u00fapln\u011b zbl\u00e1znila a ozna\u010dila incident za dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1vanou ruskou \u201einvazi\u201c.\u00a0Pro p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed, kdy\u017e Izrael b\u011b\u017en\u011b bombarduje S\u00fdrii a kdy\u017e sa\u00fadsk\u00fd House of One b\u011b\u017en\u011b bombarduje jemensk\u00e9 civilisty, v m\u00e9di\u00edch NATO se nikdy neobjev\u00ed ani p\u00edsmeno.<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b Realpolitik p\u0159ipravuje mo\u017enou koncovku, jak \u0159ekl \u0161\u00e9f Don\u011bcka Denis Puschilin: „Speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace v Donbasu brzy skon\u010d\u00ed a v\u0161echna m\u011bsta budou osvobozena.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Brzy m\u016f\u017eeme b\u00fdt sv\u011bdky zrodu nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho Novorossie\u2013 v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Dn\u011bpru, ji\u017en\u011b pod\u00e9l Azovsk\u00e9ho\/\u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, jak ho Lenin v roce 1922 p\u0159ipojil k Ukrajin\u011b. Nyn\u00ed by v\u0161ak byla pln\u011b spojena s Ruskem a tvo\u0159ila by pozemn\u00ed most do Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ztratila ve\u0161ker\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k \u010cern\u00e9mu mo\u0159i.\u00a0Historie si r\u00e1da zahr\u00e1v\u00e1: co bylo \u201edarem\u201c Ukrajin\u011b v roce 1922, se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t o sto let pozd\u011bji darem na rozlou\u010denou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nastal \u010das kreativn\u00ed destrukce<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bude fascinuj\u00edc\u00ed sledovat, co prof. Sergej Karaganov mistrovsky podrobn\u011b popsal jako novou Putinovu doktr\u00ednu konstruktivn\u00ed destrukce a jak se to bude t\u00fdkat z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie, v\u00fdchodn\u00edho St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed trajektorie glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tureck\u00fd prezident Recep Tayyip Erdogan, slavnostn\u00ed sult\u00e1n NATO, odsoudil uzn\u00e1n\u00ed dvoj\u010dat jako \u201enep\u0159ijateln\u00e9\u201c.\u00a0Nen\u00ed divu, proto\u017ee t\u00edm skon\u010dily v\u0161echny jeho propracovan\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny p\u016fsobit jako privilegovan\u00fd prost\u0159edn\u00edk mezi Moskvou a Kyjevem b\u011bhem Putinovy \u200b\u200bnadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Ankary.\u00a0Kreml \u2013 a tak\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed \u2013 neztr\u00e1cej\u00ed \u010das rozhovory se stoupenci NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov m\u011bl ned\u00e1vno velmi produktivn\u00ed setk\u00e1n\u00ed se syrsk\u00fdm ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed Faisalem Mekdadem.\u00a0Minul\u00fd v\u00edkend Rusko hostilo velkolepou uk\u00e1zku strategick\u00fdch raket (hypersonick\u00fdch a dal\u0161\u00edch) s ICBM Khinzal, Zircon, Kalibr, Yars, Iskander a Sineva \u2013 historick\u00e1 ironie, kter\u00e1 se shoduje s Russophobia Fest v Mnichov\u011b.\u00a0Paraleln\u011b prov\u00e1d\u011bly lod\u011b tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9, severn\u00ed a \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily rusk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva s\u00e9rii pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed ponorek ve St\u0159edozemn\u00edm mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putinova doktr\u00edna privileguje asymetrick\u00e9 \u2013 a to plat\u00ed pro bl\u00edzk\u00e9 zahrani\u010d\u00ed i mimo n\u011bj.\u00a0Putinova \u0159e\u010d t\u011bla v jeho posledn\u00edch dvou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch intervenc\u00edch nazna\u010duje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed zoufalstv\u00ed.\u00a0Jako by si sp\u00ed\u0161e rezignovan\u011b ne\u017e radostn\u011b uv\u011bdomoval, \u017ee jedin\u00fdm jazykem, kter\u00e9mu neokonzervativci a \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00ed imperialist\u00e9\u201c z Beltway rozum\u00ed, je heavymetalov\u00fd hrom.\u00a0Rozhodn\u011b jsou hlu\u0161\u00ed, n\u011bm\u00ed a slep\u00ed k historii, zem\u011bpisu a diplomacii.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u017edy si tedy m\u016f\u017eete hr\u00e1t s ruskou arm\u00e1dou \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad zaveden\u00edm bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny v S\u00fdrii, abyste zabr\u00e1nili s\u00e9rii n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv pana Khinzala nejen v se\u0161l\u00e9m d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00e9m de\u0161tn\u00edku v Idlibu chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9m Turky, ale tak\u00e9\u00a0 ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou chr\u00e1n\u011bni Ameri\u010dany, podporuj\u00edc\u00ed d\u017eih\u00e1disty na z\u00e1kladn\u011b Al-Tanf pobl\u00ed\u017e syrsko-jord\u00e1nsk\u00fdch hranic. Koneckonc\u016f, v\u0161echny tyto exempl\u00e1\u0159e jsou z\u00e1stupci NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da neust\u00e1le \u0161t\u011bk\u00e1 o \u201e\u00fazemn\u00ed suverenit\u011b\u201c.\u00a0Kreml tedy \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm o pl\u00e1n, jak se odpoutat od S\u00fdrie: Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 koneckonc\u016f neleg\u00e1ln\u011b okupuj\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st syrsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed a zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed zmatek v syrsk\u00e9 ekonomice t\u00edm, \u017ee kradou jej\u00ed ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ochromen\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f NATO Jens Stoltenberg ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee aliance p\u0159ehodnocuje sv\u00e9 \u201eobrann\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny\u201c.\u00a0Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b to znamen\u00e1 o n\u011bco v\u00edc ne\u017e schov\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se za jejich drah\u00fdmi stoly v Bruselu.\u00a0V \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i jsou stejn\u011b irelevantn\u00ed jako ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed \u2013 proto\u017ee USA z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v S\u00fdrii docela zraniteln\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Hmeimim v S\u00fdrii je v sou\u010dasnosti domovem \u010dty\u0159 rusk\u00fdch bombard\u00e9r\u016f TU-22M3, z nich\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd je schopen n\u00e9st t\u0159i protilodn\u00ed st\u0159ely S-32, kter\u00e9 l\u00e9taj\u00ed nadzvukovou rychlost\u00ed (4,3 Mach) a maj\u00ed dolet 1000 km.\u00a0\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m Aegis je nen\u00ed schopen zvl\u00e1dnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko tak\u00e9 um\u00edstilo n\u011bkolik Mig-31 k v syrsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti Latakia, vybaven\u00e9 hypersonick\u00fdmi khinzaly \u2013 v\u00edce ne\u017e dost na to, aby potopilo jak\u00fdkoli typ skupiny americk\u00fdch hladinov\u00fdch lod\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed, ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed. USA nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 mechanismy protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly by\u0165 jen minim\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161anci je zachytit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravidla se tedy z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnila.\u00a0Hegemon je nah\u00fd.\u00a0Nov\u00e1 dohoda za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 obr\u00e1cen\u00edm struktury v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy po studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce na hlavu.\u00a0Na \u0159adu p\u0159ijde v\u00fdchodn\u00ed St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed.\u00a0Medv\u011bd je zp\u00e1tky, a je sly\u0161et ho \u0159v\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od Pepe Escobara: Je publicistou v The Cradle, hlavn\u00edm redaktorem Asia Times a nez\u00e1visl\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm analytikem specializuj\u00edc\u00edm se na Eurasii.\u00a0Od poloviny 80. let \u017eil a pracoval jako zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodaj v Lond\u00fdn\u011b, Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei, Mil\u00e1n\u011b, Los Angeles, Singapuru a Bangkoku.\u00a0Je autorem mnoha knih;\u00a0jeho posledn\u00ed knihou je Raging Twenties.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA nem\u011bly \u0161\u0165ouchat rusk\u00e9ho medv\u011bda.\u00a0Te\u010f je \u00fapln\u011b vzh\u016fru: Po Ukrajin\u011b si Rusov\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vy\u010dist\u00ed prostor…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8610,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1944,39,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8609"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8609"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8609\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8610"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8609"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8609"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8609"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}