{"id":86062,"date":"2025-08-22T00:19:08","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T22:19:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=86062"},"modified":"2025-08-21T12:39:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T10:39:04","slug":"evropa-na-ceste-k-obcanske-valce-kdo-zastavi-toto-silenstvi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/22\/evropa-na-ceste-k-obcanske-valce-kdo-zastavi-toto-silenstvi\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropa na cest\u011b k ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce \u2013 kdo zastav\u00ed toto \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Francouzsk\u00fd \u010dasopis Le Point bije na poplach: Studie Davida Betze z King’s College London p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 95% pravd\u011bpodobnost ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Evrop\u011b v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch p\u011bti letech. Korupce pohlcuje politiku, \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed se bezpr\u00e1vn\u00ed z\u00f3ny a m\u011bsta se dus\u00ed pod tlakem nekontrolovan\u00e9 migrace. Ekonomick\u00fd kolaps zp\u016fsoben\u00fd fanatick\u00fdmi klimatick\u00fdmi c\u00edli p\u0159i\u017eivuje ohe\u0148. Tato katastrofa je dom\u00e1c\u00ed, d\u016fsledkem politiky \u00dast\u0159edn\u00edho v\u00fdboru EU a pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch vl\u00e1d, kter\u00e9 zrazuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1rody. Lze ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce je\u0161t\u011b zabr\u00e1nit?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Evropa, kontinent osv\u00edcen\u00ed a prosperity, sm\u011b\u0159uje k peklu.\u00a0<\/span>Profesor David Betz<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, expert na strategii a povst\u00e1n\u00ed na King’s College London, ve sv\u00e9 studii vykresluje ponur\u00fd obraz: V p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch p\u011bti letech je pravd\u011bpodobnost ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v alespo\u0148 jedn\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zemi 95 procent.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je z\u00e1v\u011br jeho\u00a0<\/span>anal\u00fdzy v \u010dasopise Military Strategy Magazine<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e1 osv\u011btluje strategickou realitu ve\u00a0<\/span>dvou \u010d\u00e1stech<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Betz sv\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed zakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na historick\u00fdch vzorc\u00edch: zem\u011b se srovnateln\u00fdmi podm\u00ednkami \u2013 jako jsou hlubok\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed rozd\u00edly \u2013 maj\u00ed \u010dty\u0159procentn\u00ed ro\u010dn\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost vnit\u0159n\u00edho konfliktu. S 15 posti\u017een\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty v Evrop\u011b to znamen\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jistou katastrofu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta st\u00e1tn\u00ed kontroly, ob\u010dansk\u00e9 nepokoje<\/span><\/h3>\n

Francouzsk\u00e9 noviny\u00a0<\/span>Le Point<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se na to vrhly a studii rozebraly:\u00a0<\/span>M\u011bsta jako Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e a Lond\u00fdn se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u201edivok\u00fdm\u201c z\u00f3nami, kde st\u00e1t ztr\u00e1c\u00ed kontrolu.<\/span><\/strong> Korupce prostupuje politick\u00fdmi elitami, kter\u00e9 se obohacuj\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm pozic a dotac\u00ed EU, zat\u00edmco po\u0159\u00e1dek se rozpad\u00e1. \u0160\u00ed\u0159\u00ed se bezpr\u00e1v\u00ed \u2013 z\u00f3ny, kam m\u016f\u017ee policie vstoupit jen ve velk\u00e9m po\u010dtu. Infrastruktura se rozpad\u00e1: zch\u00e1tral\u00e9 vlakov\u00e9 n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed, zch\u00e1tral\u00e9 elektrick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b, to v\u0161e jsou p\u0159\u00edznaky syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd se hrout\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

J\u00e1drem probl\u00e9mu je demografick\u00fd a etnokulturn\u00ed tlak.\u00a0<\/span>Nekontrolovan\u00e1 masov\u00e1 migrace z kulturn\u011b ciz\u00edch region\u016f zahlcuje velk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. Betz popisuje, jak se m\u011bsta st\u00e1vaj\u00ed boji\u0161ti, proto\u017ee proudy migrant\u016f ni\u010d\u00ed zaveden\u00e9 identity a p\u0159i\u017eivuj\u00ed kulturn\u00ed a etnick\u00e9 konflikty.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Francie, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a N\u011bmecko jdou v tomto sm\u011bru p\u0159\u00edkladem: zde rostou paraleln\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 odm\u00edtaj\u00ed st\u00e1t. Evropa \u010del\u00ed kolapsu kv\u016fli migraci a ztr\u00e1t\u011b d\u016fv\u011bry ve st\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejde o p\u0159irozen\u00fd, bo\u017esky dan\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, ale o v\u00fdsledek myln\u00e9 politiky. Na Merkelov\u00e9 popud \u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00fdbor EU otev\u0159el hranice, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1rodn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad ty v Rakousku a Francii, p\u0159iv\u00edraj\u00ed o\u010di p\u0159ed d\u016fsledky.\u00a0<\/span>Soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nepokoje se schyluj\u00ed k nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edm, jak dokazuj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy o\u00a0<\/span>neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed migraci a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9m n\u00e1r\u016fstu ob\u010dansk\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Toto \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed je p\u0159i\u017eivov\u00e1no ekonomick\u00fdm poklesem zp\u016fsoben\u00fdm klimatick\u00fdmi c\u00edli EU.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Evropsk\u00e1 zelen\u00e1 dohoda vynucuje nulov\u00e9 \u010dist\u00e9 emise do roku 2050, dus\u00ed n\u00e1\u0161 pr\u016fmysl a zvy\u0161uje ceny energi\u00ed. M\u00edsto levn\u00e9 energie z Ruska \u2013 torp\u00e9dovan\u00e9 sebepo\u0161kozuj\u00edc\u00edmi sankcemi \u2013 se obrac\u00edme k drah\u00fdm a nespolehliv\u00fdm alternativ\u00e1m. V\u00fdsledkem je deindustrializace, nezam\u011bstnanost a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed konkurenceschopnost. Agentura Moody’s varuje, \u017ee klimatick\u00e1 politika EU zvy\u0161uje ceny ropy a plynu a zpomaluje r\u016fst. Tato politika \u017eene Evropu\u00a0<\/span>do ekonomick\u00e9 propasti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span>Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee na\u0161e m\u011bsta exploduj\u00ed \u2013 chudoba a frustrace se m\u00eds\u00ed s kulturn\u00edm nap\u011bt\u00edm.<\/span><\/strong> Kol\u00e1\u010d se zmen\u0161uje, po\u010det jedl\u00edk\u016f roste a ne v\u0161ichni jedl\u00edci cht\u011bj\u00ed pro sv\u016fj kus kol\u00e1\u010de n\u011bco ud\u011blat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nedostatek demokracie \u017eiv\u00ed nespokojenost<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nic z toho nen\u00ed osudn\u00e9. Je to plod \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 politiky veden\u00ed EU a n\u00e1rodn\u00edch vl\u00e1d, kter\u00e9 ob\u011btuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany. Von der Leyenov\u00e1 a jej\u00ed kolegov\u00e9 prosazuj\u00ed migraci jako \u201eobohacov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c, zat\u00edmco ni\u010d\u00ed pr\u016fmysl a vyb\u00edraj\u00ed dan\u011b.\u00a0<\/span>V\u00fdsledkem je ztr\u00e1ta d\u016fv\u011bry, kter\u00e1 vyvrchol\u00ed n\u00e1sil\u00edm. K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed cenzurn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem je potla\u010dit jakoukoli kritiku.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Z\u00e1kon EU o digit\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch nut\u00ed platformy\u00a0<\/span>potla\u010dovat politicky ne\u017e\u00e1douc\u00ed n\u00e1zory<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 dokonce i satiru a humor.<\/span><\/p>\n

To nen\u00ed demokracie; je to antidemokratick\u00e1 kontrola, kter\u00e1 jen zvy\u0161uje nespokojenost. Ob\u010dan\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee jejich Evropu ni\u010d\u00ed vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda. Vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda si uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee si to ob\u010dan\u00e9 uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed. Ale m\u00edsto zm\u011bny politiky je ob\u010dan\u016fm zak\u00e1z\u00e1no kritizovat. To z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska nikdy dob\u0159e nefungovalo. Vezm\u011bme si Ceau\u0219esca. Nakonec z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zkou: Byla to hloupost, nebo \u00famysl? Sebevra\u017eedn\u00e1 migra\u010dn\u00ed, energetick\u00e1 a ekonomick\u00e1 politika mus\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b skon\u010dit, nebo je\u0161t\u011b l\u00e9pe, b\u00fdt zvr\u00e1cena. Jinak se Betzova p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f stane skute\u010dnost\u00ed. Evropa si zaslou\u017e\u00ed v\u00edc ne\u017e tuto zradu sv\u00fdch \u201eelit\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

od Chrise Vebera<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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Francouzsk\u00fd \u010dasopis Le Point bije na poplach: Studie Davida Betze z King’s College London p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":86063,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,1401],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86062"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86062\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86063"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}