{"id":85909,"date":"2025-08-20T00:26:01","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T22:26:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85909"},"modified":"2025-08-19T12:33:57","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T10:33:57","slug":"andrew-korybko-muze-putin-legalne-zastavit-konflikt-aniz-by-nejprve-ovladl-cele-sporne-uzemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/20\/andrew-korybko-muze-putin-legalne-zastavit-konflikt-aniz-by-nejprve-ovladl-cele-sporne-uzemi\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: M\u016f\u017ee Putin leg\u00e1ln\u011b zastavit konflikt, ani\u017e by nejprve ovl\u00e1dl cel\u00e9 sporn\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dastavn\u00ed soud by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b musel o tomto hypotetick\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i rozhodnout kv\u016fli \u00fastavn\u00edmu dodatku z roku 2020, kter\u00fd zakazuje postoupen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed s v\u00fdjimkou ur\u010dit\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/623126-witkoff-russia-concessions-territory-ukraine-alaska-summit\/\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zpr\u00e1va RT\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">o tvrzen\u00ed Steva Witkoffa, \u017ee Rusko u\u010dinilo \u201eur\u010dit\u00e9 \u00fastupky\u201c v \u00fazemn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, co\u017e signalizuje \u201ev\u00fdznamn\u00fd\u201c posun sm\u011brem k \u201eum\u00edrn\u011bnosti\u201c, vyvolala diskusi o tom, zda m\u016f\u017ee Putin leg\u00e1ln\u011b zastavit\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-azerbaijani-media-all\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">speci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\" rel=\"\">operaci\u00a0<\/a>, ani\u017e by nejprve ovl\u00e1dl ve\u0161ker\u00e9 sporn\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si Moskva n\u00e1rokuje. S\u00e1m v \u010dervnu 2024\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/d.docs.live.net\/6ab1636d86490fe1\/Desktop\/Substack\/withdrawn%20from%20the%20entire%20territory%20of%20these%20regions%20within%20their%20administrative%20borders%20at%20the%20time%20of%20their%20being%20part%20of%20Ukraine\" rel=\"\">po\u017eadoval\u00a0<\/a>, aby ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly \u201emusely b\u00fdt sta\u017eeny z cel\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed t\u011bchto region\u016f v r\u00e1mci jejich administrativn\u00edch hranic v dob\u011b, kdy se stanou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ukrajiny\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nav\u00edc dohody, na jejich\u017e z\u00e1klad\u011b se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/pravo.gov.ru\/proxy\/ips\/?docbody=&amp;prevDoc=102027595&amp;backlink=1&amp;&amp;nd=603414659\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Don\u011bck\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/pravo.gov.ru\/proxy\/ips\/?docbody=&amp;prevDoc=605444198&amp;backlink=1&amp;nd=603414661&amp;rdk=0\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Luhansk\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/pravo.gov.ru\/proxy\/ips\/?docbody=&amp;prevDoc=603414666&amp;backlink=1&amp;&amp;nd=603486131\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">a\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/ips.pravo.gov.ru\/?docbody=&amp;prevDoc=603414663&amp;backlink=1&amp;&amp;nd=603486128\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">Cherson\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">p\u0159ipojily k Rusku, popisuj\u00ed jejich administrativn\u00ed hranice jako ty, kter\u00e9 existovaly \u201ev den [jejich] vzniku\u201c, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee cel\u00e9 jejich regiony jsou Ruskem skute\u010dn\u011b pr\u00e1vn\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za sv\u00e9. Putin tak\u00e9 p\u0159i podpisu t\u011bchto smluv koncem z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/en.kremlin.ru\/events\/president\/news\/69465#sel=14:1:L63,15:93:y36\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">slavn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, \u017ee \u201elid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed [tam] \u017eij\u00ed, se stali na\u0161imi ob\u010dany nav\u017edy\u201c a \u017ee \u201eRusko [jejich volbu p\u0159ipojit se k Rusku] nezrad\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Putin by nicm\u00e9n\u011b mohl tento po\u017eadavek hypoteticky st\u00e1le \u201ezm\u00edrnit\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/duma.gov.ru\/news\/48953\/#:~:text=2.1.%C2%A0%20%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B9%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F,%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B9%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%8F%D0%BC%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%C2%A0%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BF%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8E%D1%82%D1%81%D1%8F.\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010cl\u00e1nek 67.2.1\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mid.ru\/upload\/medialibrary\/fa3\/xwhwumdwunawy9iprvhcxdqds1lzxqdx\/CONSTITUTION-Eng.pdf\" rel=\"\">rusk\u00e9 \u00fastavy\u00a0<\/a><\/span><span dir=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\">kter\u00fd vstoupil v platnost po \u00fastavn\u00edm referendu v roce 2020, stanov\u00ed, \u017ee \u201e\u010dinnosti (s v\u00fdjimkou vymezen\u00ed, demarkace a op\u011btovn\u00e9ho vymezen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed hranice Rusk\u00e9 federace se sousedn\u00edmi st\u00e1ty) sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed k odcizen\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti \u00fazem\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace, jako\u017e i v\u00fdzvy k takov\u00fdm akc\u00edm, nejsou povoleny.\u201c \u201eZm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed\u201c by tak hypoteticky mohlo b\u00fdt \u201ev\u00fdjimkou\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby bylo naprosto jasn\u00e9, v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze se neobjevuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 v\u00fdzva k \u201epostoupen\u00ed\u201c jak\u00e9hokoli \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pova\u017euje za sv\u00e9, ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Witkoffovu tvrzen\u00ed nep\u0159ikl\u00e1dali \u017e\u00e1dnou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b pokud Putin z jak\u00e9hokoli d\u016fvodu dojde k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee rusk\u00fdm n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm je nyn\u00ed nejl\u00e9pe postar\u00e1no \u201ezm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00edm\u201c jeho \u00fazemn\u00edch n\u00e1rok\u016f po v\u0161em, co se stalo od referend v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022, pak by jak\u00e9koli navrhovan\u00e9 \u201eznovuvymezen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed hranice\u201c pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vy\u017eadovalo schv\u00e1len\u00ed \u00dastavn\u00edho soudu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je vystudovan\u00fd pr\u00e1vn\u00edk, tak\u017ee by d\u00e1valo smysl, aby je proaktivn\u011b po\u017e\u00e1dal o rozhodnut\u00ed o z\u00e1konnosti tohoto hypotetick\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/heres-what-i-learned-from-analyzing-the-new-cold-war-every-day-for-three-years-straight\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">konfliktu\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">. I kdyby m\u00edsto toho hypoteticky navrhl zachov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00edch n\u00e1rok\u016f sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, ale zmrazen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 f\u00e1ze konfliktu a prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto n\u00e1rok\u016f pouze politick\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by se i tak do\u017eadoval jejich posouzen\u00ed. Jsou kone\u010dnou autoritou v \u00fastavn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch a tyto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e vy\u017eaduj\u00ed jejich odborn\u00e9 znalosti vzhledem k jejich souvislosti s \u010dl\u00e1nkem 67.2.1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by hypoteticky rozhodli v jeho prosp\u011bch, vyvstala by ot\u00e1zka osudu t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed \u017eij\u00ed v \u010d\u00e1stech t\u011bchto region\u016f kontrolovan\u00fdch Ukrajinou, o kter\u00fdch Putin \u0159ekl, \u017ee se \u201estali na\u0161imi ob\u010dany nav\u017edy\u201c. Mohli by rozhodnout, \u017ee ti, kte\u0159\u00ed se referenda nez\u00fa\u010dastnili, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad obyvatel\u00e9 Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed, nejsou rusk\u00fdmi ob\u010dany. Ti, kte\u0159\u00ed se z\u00fa\u010dastnili, ale pot\u00e9 se dostali pod ukrajinskou kontrolu, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad obyvatel\u00e9 Chersonu, by mohli b\u00fdt pova\u017eov\u00e1ni za ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed by se mohli p\u0159est\u011bhovat do Ruska, pokud by jim to Ukrajina v r\u00e1mci dohody dovolila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i, v dob\u011b publikace t\u00e9to anal\u00fdzy \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z rusk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f nep\u0159iznal Witkoffovu tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko u\u010dinilo \u201eur\u010dit\u00e9 \u00fastupky\u201c v \u00fazemn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, tak\u017ee se prozat\u00edm jedn\u00e1 pouze o hypotetick\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159. Putin by i tak mohl hypoteticky doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee takov\u00e1 \u201eum\u00edrn\u011bnost\u201c je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci nejlep\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, jak prosazovat rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy (nap\u0159\u00edklad jako\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-standing-in-the-way-of-a-grand\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">sou\u010d\u00e1st velk\u00e9ho kompromisu\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">), v takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by o jej\u00ed z\u00e1konnosti pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b musel rozhodnout \u00dastavn\u00ed soud.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"subscribe-widget\" data-component-name=\"SubscribeWidget\">\n<div class=\"pencraft pc-display-flex pc-justifyContent-center pc-reset\">\n<div class=\"container-IpPqBD\">\n<form class=\"form form-M5sC90\" action=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/api\/v1\/free?nojs=true\" method=\"post\" novalidate=\"\">\n<div class=\"sideBySideWrap-vGXrwP\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/can-putin-legally-stop-the-conflict\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"165\" height=\"165\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 165px) 100vw, 165px\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-85002 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"620\" height=\"877\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-724x1024.jpg 724w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-768x1086.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1086x1536.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1024x1449.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1.jpg 1131w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00dastavn\u00ed soud by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b musel o tomto hypotetick\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i rozhodnout kv\u016fli \u00fastavn\u00edmu dodatku z roku&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85910,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,324,2303],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85909"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85909"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85909\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}