{"id":85855,"date":"2025-08-19T06:27:15","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T04:27:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85855"},"modified":"2025-08-19T06:27:15","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T04:27:15","slug":"uriel-araujo-thajsko-kambodzske-primeri-maskuje-zastupnou-frontu-v-nove-studene-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/19\/uriel-araujo-thajsko-kambodzske-primeri-maskuje-zastupnou-frontu-v-nove-studene-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed maskuje z\u00e1stupnou frontu v nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Thajskem a Kambod\u017eou p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed zv\u011bst\u00ed o p\u0159evratu v Bangkoku, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 podpory Phnom Penhu a Trumpova chlouby \u201enastolen\u00edm m\u00edru\u201c. Pod povrchem hrani\u010dn\u00ed spor odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed rivalitu mezi USA a \u010c\u00ednou, militarizaci ASEANu a z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 bitvy rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Inkoust na dohod\u011b o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Thajskem a Kambod\u017eou sotva uschl, a p\u0159esto je situace na jejich sporn\u00e9 hranici st\u00e1le napjat\u00e1. Thajsko \u2013 st\u00e1le ot\u0159\u00e1san\u00e9 zv\u011bstmi o hroz\u00edc\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>vojensk\u00e9m p\u0159evratu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm spojencem USA. Kambod\u017ea se zase siln\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na Peking, pokud jde o vojenskou pomoc a strategickou podporu. To prom\u011bnilo to, co by jinak bylo lok\u00e1ln\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00ed \u0161arv\u00e1tkou, v \u017eiv\u00fd mikrokosmos druh\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, dopln\u011bn\u00fd z\u00e1stupn\u00fdmi spojenectv\u00edmi, diplomatick\u00fdmi man\u00e9vry a strategick\u00fdmi sign\u00e1ly.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cervencov\u00e9 st\u0159ety, jedny z nejprud\u0161\u00edch za posledn\u00ed roky, si vy\u017e\u00e1daly des\u00edtky mrtv\u00fdch a vys\u00eddlen\u00fdch komunit pod\u00e9l hranice. \u00dazemn\u00ed spory \u2013 zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00e9 ve star\u00fdch map\u00e1ch, koloni\u00e1ln\u00edm d\u011bdictv\u00ed a sporn\u00fdch chr\u00e1mech \u2013 nejsou ni\u010d\u00edm nov\u00fdm. Mo\u017en\u00e1 si vzpomeneme, \u017ee v roce 2011 boje kolem chr\u00e1mu Preah Vihear kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ivedly oba n\u00e1rody na pokraj tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Sou\u010dasnou konfrontaci v\u0161ak odli\u0161uje nejen geografie sporu, ale i geopolitick\u00e1 ar\u00e9na, ve kter\u00e9 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1. Jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie se stala jedn\u00edm z nejv\u00edce militarizovan\u00fdch region\u016f glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu a thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e1 krize do tohoto \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho vzorce p\u0159esn\u011b zapad\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kambod\u017ea se siln\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na \u010c\u00ednu. Peking investoval miliardy do kambod\u017esk\u00e9 infrastruktury, modernizoval strategicky um\u00edst\u011bnou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu Ream a prohluboval vojenskou spolupr\u00e1ci prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm cvi\u010den\u00ed, jako je \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Zlat\u00fd drak<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Thajsko na druhou stranu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1z\u00e1no na Washington. USA se dlouhodob\u011b spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na Bangkok jako partnera ve sv\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>indicko-pacifick\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0strategii, \u010dasto po\u0159\u00e1daj\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed, jako je\u00a0<\/span>Cobra Gold<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a nad\u00e1le posiluj\u00ed thajsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 schopnosti. Hranice se tak do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry stala tak\u00e9 jevi\u0161t\u011bm, na kter\u00e9m se rivalita mezi \u010c\u00ednou a USA odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 negativn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uprost\u0159ed eskalace n\u00e1sil\u00ed v \u010dervenci se Donald Trump \u2013 op\u011bt v centru pozornosti jako politick\u00fd tv\u016frce kr\u00e1l\u016f \u2013 chlubil svou osobn\u00ed rol\u00ed v \u201enastolen\u00ed m\u00edru\u201c.\u00a0<\/span>\u00dadajn\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0to byl skute\u010dn\u011b Trump\u016fv neomalen\u00fd telefon\u00e1t thajsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed, kter\u00fd pomohl vydl\u00e1\u017edit cestu k p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pot\u00e9, co ob\u011bma zem\u00edm pohrozil cly, pokud se nedohodnou na ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed. Tato narativov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va, v n\u011bkter\u00fdch kruz\u00edch oslavovan\u00e1 jako d\u016fkaz Trumpova diplomatick\u00e9ho g\u00e9nia, v\u0161ak ve skute\u010dnosti zakr\u00fdv\u00e1 mnohem v\u00edce, ne\u017e odhaluje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovy metody \u2013 tup\u00fd n\u00e1tlak a trestn\u00e9 hrozby \u2013 sotva souvisej\u00ed s usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm. Jako obvykle jde o p\u00e1kov\u00fd efekt. Hrozba cly na export obou zem\u00ed uprost\u0159ed k\u0159ehk\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky je v podstat\u011b donucovac\u00ed. A\u0165 je to jakkoli,\u00a0<\/span>zjevn\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0to fungovalo , alespo\u0148 kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b. Trump t\u00edm ale znovu potvrdil vzorec, kdy Washington pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 obchod jako obu\u0161ek v geopolitick\u00fdch sporech, \u010d\u00edm\u017e prohlubuje z\u00e1\u0161\u0165 v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V z\u00e1padn\u00edm tisku se v\u0161ak m\u00e1lo informuje o tom, jak se tento konflikt prol\u00edn\u00e1 s militarizac\u00ed ASEAN. Obrann\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty v jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii prudce vzrostly a spole\u010dn\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed se stala rutinou. Thajsko, Vietnam, Indon\u00e9sie a dal\u0161\u00ed modernizuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 flotily a raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my tempem, jak\u00e9 dosud nebylo. Jak jsem ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>uvedl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jinde (v souvislosti s indicko-pacifick\u00fdmi z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed), \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch platforem p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu regionu. Thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00fd hrani\u010dn\u00ed spor, vn\u00edman\u00fd touto optikou, tedy nen\u00ed jen historick\u00fdm sporem, ale uzlem v \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed militarizovan\u00e9 \u0161achovnici indicko-pacifick\u00e9ho regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bylo zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed redukovat konflikt pouze na soupe\u0159en\u00ed velmoc\u00ed. Nacionalismus hraje rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed roli. Kambod\u017e\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci se ji\u017e dlouho odvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed na historick\u00e9 k\u0159ivdy v\u016f\u010di Thajsku, aby znovu shrom\u00e1\u017edili ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. Thajsk\u00e9 elity zase vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed hranici jako tlakov\u00fd ventil uprost\u0159ed dom\u00e1c\u00edch kriz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tolik k trumpistick\u00e9mu narativu o \u00fahledn\u011b zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e9m m\u00edru. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed sice prozat\u00edm plat\u00ed, ale dosud se nepoda\u0159ilo vy\u0159e\u0161it \u017e\u00e1dnou ze z\u00e1kladn\u00edch dynamik \u2013 politickou nestabilitu v Bangkoku, z\u00e1vislost Kambod\u017ee na \u010c\u00edn\u011b, militarizaci ASEANu a agresivn\u00ed snahy USA o zachov\u00e1n\u00ed hegemonie.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010clov\u011bk si mo\u017en\u00e1 nev\u0161imne, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna zaujala v\u00fdrazn\u011b odli\u0161n\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup ne\u017e USA. Peking dokonce ve\u0159ejn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>nal\u00e9hal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na ob\u011b strany k usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed a nab\u00eddl mediaci a hlub\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci v r\u00e1mci ASEAN. Na rozd\u00edl od washingtonsk\u00fdch trestn\u00fdch hrozeb je pekingsk\u00fd jazyk partnerstv\u00ed a region\u00e1ln\u00edho rozvoje pro m\u00edstn\u00ed samospr\u00e1vy p\u0159ijateln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee mnoho st\u00e1t\u016f ASEAN, i t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 jsou v\u016f\u010di \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011br\u016fm pon\u011bkud opatrn\u00e9, pova\u017euj\u00ed tento p\u0159\u00edstup za m\u00e9n\u011b drsn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho pohledu jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi c\u00edli udr\u017een\u00ed stability v Kambod\u017ei, kde Peking zna\u010dn\u011b investoval, a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed toho, aby se Thajsko zcela nevr\u00e1tilo do ob\u011b\u017en\u00e9 dr\u00e1hy Washingtonu. Thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00fd konflikt se tak stal platformou pro \u010c\u00ednu, kde mohla signalizovat svou ochotu p\u016fsobit jako region\u00e1ln\u00ed stabiliz\u00e1tor \u2013 role, kter\u00e1 je v ostr\u00e9m kontrastu s konfronta\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm postojem Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hrani\u010dn\u00ed spor mezi Thajskem a Kambod\u017eou odhaluje kontury druh\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Z\u0159ejm\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 dohody a diplomatick\u00e9 man\u00e9vry jsou stejn\u011b viditeln\u00e9, od Trumpov\u00fdch celn\u00edch hrozeb a\u017e po pekingsk\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy na usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed. Strategick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly rezonuj\u00ed v ka\u017ed\u00e9m kroku, a\u0165 u\u017e jde o vojensk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed, modernizaci n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva nebo pouhou hrozbu eskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n

V mainstreamov\u00e9m zpravodajstv\u00ed se pom\u011brn\u011b p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, jak k\u0159ehk\u00e1 tato p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed jsou. Militarizace ASEANu zaji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee budouc\u00ed spory \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, v povod\u00ed Mekongu nebo na thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e9 hranici \u2013 nebudou formov\u00e1ny jen m\u00edstn\u00edmi st\u00ed\u017enostmi, ale i gravita\u010dn\u00ed silou soupe\u0159en\u00ed supervelmoc\u00ed. O tom je \u201enov\u00e1 studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno,\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 v Malajsii sice m\u016f\u017ee koupit \u010das, ale ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed ot\u00e1zku: mohou si zem\u011b ASEAN udr\u017eet suverenitu a stabilitu ve st\u00ednu eskalace konkurence mezi USA a \u010c\u00ednou? S t\u00edm, jak se indicko-pacifick\u00e9 z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed zrychluj\u00ed a jak se dom\u00e1c\u00ed politick\u00e9 krize v Bangkoku a Phnom Penhu prol\u00ednaj\u00ed s vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi tlaky, je thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e1 hranice m\u00e9n\u011b lok\u00e1ln\u00edm sporem ne\u017e symbolem turbulentn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, kter\u00fd se formuje p\u0159ed na\u0161ima o\u010dima.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump si m\u016f\u017ee prohl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed za \u201enastolen\u00ed m\u00edru\u201c. Zat\u00edm je v\u0161ak m\u00edr v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b provizorn\u00ed. Thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00fd konflikt neskon\u010dil (zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd konflikt dnes u\u017e nikdy neskon\u010d\u00ed): pouze byl za\u010dlen\u011bn do v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho dramatu nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD<\/a>. v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Thajskem a Kambod\u017eou p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed zv\u011bst\u00ed o p\u0159evratu v Bangkoku, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 podpory…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85856,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1617,1503,4199,1525,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85855"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85855"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85855\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}