{"id":85482,"date":"2025-08-14T00:14:53","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T22:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85482"},"modified":"2025-08-13T13:23:52","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T11:23:52","slug":"pepe-escobar-medved-a-orel-se-setkavaji-na-aljasce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/14\/pepe-escobar-medved-a-orel-se-setkavaji-na-aljasce\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: Medv\u011bd a orel se setk\u00e1vaj\u00ed na Alja\u0161ce"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u0161echny o\u010di se up\u00edraj\u00ed na Alja\u0161ku. Souboj mezi medv\u011bdem a orlem je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ohromuj\u00edc\u00edho zrychlen\u00ed d\u011bjin v l\u00e9t\u011b 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dva t\u00fddny po Alja\u0161ce se v \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m Tchien-\u0165inu uskute\u010dn\u00ed ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00ed summit \u0160anghajsk\u00e9 organizace pro spolupr\u00e1ci (SCO). Indick\u00fd premi\u00e9r Narendra Modi a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Mas\u00fad Peze\u0161kijan usednou k jednomu stolu se Si \u0164in-pchingem a Vladimirem Putinem, mimo jin\u00e9. St\u016fl BRICS\/SCO.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed se v Pekingu bude slavit 80. v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v \u201ev\u00e1lce odporu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho lidu proti japonsk\u00e9 agresi a sv\u011btov\u00e9 protifa\u0161istick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u201c, jak se tato v\u00e1lka ofici\u00e1ln\u011b naz\u00fdv\u00e1. \u010cestn\u00fdm hostem je Putin. Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed zkou\u0161ka, kter\u00e9 se z\u00fa\u010dastnilo 22 000 \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f, se konala minul\u00fd v\u00edkend na n\u00e1m\u011bst\u00ed Nebesk\u00e9ho klidu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve stejn\u00fd den za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 ve Vladivostoku v Rusku V\u00fdchodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 f\u00f3rum, kde se bude diskutovat o v\u0161em, co souvis\u00ed s ruskou ambic\u00ed rozv\u00edjet Arktidu a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Sibi\u0159 \u2013 obdoba \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 kampan\u011b \u201eGo West\u201c, kter\u00e1 za\u010dala na konci 90. let. P\u0159\u00edtomni budou hlavn\u00ed eurasijsk\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di. Putin vystoup\u00ed na plen\u00e1rn\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed 5. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm se l\u00edd\u0159i zem\u00ed BRICS, \u010c\u00edny, Ruska, Braz\u00edlie a Indie, aktivn\u011b \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed s\u00e9rie telefonick\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem je koordinovat spole\u010dnou reakci na celn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky Imp\u00e9ria chaosu proti zem\u00edm BRICS a glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu Jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak Trump usiluje o v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v PR<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Pod\u00edvejme se, jak Alja\u0161ka p\u0159ipravuje p\u016fdu pro n\u011bco mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Summit byl ozn\u00e1men pot\u00e9, co ho Putin\u016fv poradce Jurij U\u0161akov stru\u010dn\u011b popsal jako \u201en\u00e1vrh z americk\u00e9 strany, kter\u00fd pova\u017eujeme za zcela p\u0159ijateln\u00fd\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato v\u011bta byla to nejv\u00edc, co Kreml mohl \u0159\u00edct \u2013 na rozd\u00edl od neust\u00e1l\u00fdch slovn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f Washingtonu. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Kreml americkou nab\u00eddku v\u016fbec zv\u00e1\u017eil, znamen\u00e1 implicitn\u00ed uzn\u00e1n\u00ed toho, \u010deho Rusko dosahuje na boji\u0161ti i v geoekonomick\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed. Pro\u010d te\u010f? Zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 pot\u00e9, co Trump pohrozil rusk\u00fdm odb\u011bratel\u016fm ropy cly? V podstat\u011b proto, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 rozv\u011bdka ve vybran\u00fdch silech hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu si provedla v\u00fdpo\u010dty a kone\u010dn\u011b p\u0159iznala, \u017ee dlouh\u00e1 z\u00e1stupn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b je prohran\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump se nav\u00edc osobn\u011b chce od t\u00e9to situace odklonit a zam\u011b\u0159it se na dal\u0161\u00ed kapitoly v\u011b\u010dn\u00fdch v\u00e1lek \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b t\u00e9, na kter\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed: proti \u201eexisten\u010dn\u00ed hrozb\u011b\u201c \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu Moskvy, podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdmi v\u00fdsledky jej\u00ed kalibrovan\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lky, fakta na boji\u0161ti hovo\u0159\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace \u2013 nikoli p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed; v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00ed\u201c pauzy na n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed alespo\u0148 na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Slad\u011bn\u00ed perspektiv obou stran bude sisyfovsk\u00fd \u00fakol. Alja\u0161ka je ale jen za\u010d\u00e1tek: Podle U\u0161akova se dal\u0161\u00ed setk\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017e pl\u00e1nuje a m\u011blo by se konat v Rusk\u00e9 federaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovy motivy jsou snadno pochopiteln\u00e9: vytvo\u0159it dojem, \u017ee se USA sna\u017e\u00ed dostat z t\u00e9to situace, dos\u00e1hnout n\u011bjak\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a znovu obchodovat s Ruskem \u2013 zejm\u00e9na v Arktid\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 hlubok\u00fd st\u00e1t nikdy neuzn\u00e1 nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 regiony, dokonce ani Don\u011bck a Luhansk, a bude se sna\u017eit znovu vyzbrojit Ukrajinu veden\u00edm \u201ezezadu\u201c, aby zopakoval v\u00e1lku vedenou NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Propasti mezi USA a Ruskem se tak odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed v propastech uvnit\u0159 Ameriky \u2013 a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v propastech mezi Trumpem, NATO a EU. Bezzub\u00e1 evropsk\u00e1 sme\u010dka \u010divav, kter\u00e1 se sna\u017e\u00ed zachr\u00e1nit sv\u00e9ho uboh\u00e9ho imit\u00e1tora Kyjeva, prov\u00e1d\u00ed salta \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b mo\u017en\u00fdch \u010dern\u00fdch labut\u00ed \u2013 aby summit zhatila je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed jeho kon\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump nem\u016f\u017ee rozzloben\u00e9 sme\u010dce NATO\/EU prodat \u017e\u00e1dnou dohodu. Ale nic by ho nepot\u011b\u0161ilo v\u00edc, ne\u017e jim v\u00e1lku \u2013 v pln\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i \u2013 p\u0159edat. V\u00fdhodou je, \u017ee hlubok\u00fd st\u00e1t si v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nebude st\u011b\u017eovat \u2013 proto\u017ee z prodeje zbran\u00ed bude skl\u00edzet obrovsk\u00e9 eurov\u00e9 zisky. Kone\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek: klasick\u00e9 PR v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Trumpa.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Z Ukrajiny do Arktidy<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ukrajina v\u0161ak na Alja\u0161ce nebude hlavn\u00edm t\u00e9matem. V\u017edy bystr\u00fd rusk\u00fd n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Rjabkov to vyj\u00e1d\u0159il stru\u010dn\u011b: D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee \u201eve vztaz\u00edch mezi Ruskem a USA se objevuj\u00ed prvn\u00ed zn\u00e1mky zdrav\u00e9ho rozumu, kter\u00e9 po n\u011bkolik let chyb\u011bly\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rjabkov tak\u00e9 pouk\u00e1zal na nebezpe\u010d\u00ed: riziko jadern\u00e9ho konfliktu ve sv\u011bt\u011b \u201enekles\u00e1\u201c; a Rusko vid\u00ed riziko, \u017ee \u201epo vypr\u0161en\u00ed platnosti nov\u00e9 smlouvy START bude kontrola jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed zcela chyb\u011bt\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alja\u0161ka je op\u011bt jen za\u010d\u00e1tkem n\u011b\u010deho mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b kone\u010dn\u011b seri\u00f3zn\u00ed diskuse o \u201ened\u011blitelnosti bezpe\u010dnosti\u201c (kterou Moskva cht\u011bla ji\u017e v prosinci 2021, ale kterou administrativa s automatick\u00fdm otev\u0159en\u00edm odm\u00edtla).<\/span><\/p>\n

A to n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed k Arktid\u011b \u2013 a k z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd bude jist\u011b podrobn\u011b projedn\u00e1n na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm f\u00f3ru ve Vladivostoku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Arktida obsahuje nejm\u00e9n\u011b 13 % sv\u011btov\u00fdch neobjeven\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy a 30 % neobjeven\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu. Rusko ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 nejm\u00e9n\u011b polovinu v\u0161ech t\u011bchto z\u00e1sob. Imp\u00e9rium chaosu se do akce dychtiv\u011b zapoj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednou z mo\u017enost\u00ed jsou v\u0161ak masivn\u00ed investice USA do spole\u010dn\u00fdch arktick\u00fdch projekt\u016f s Ruskem. Zcela jinou variantou je p\u0159ipojen\u00ed USA k Severn\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00e9 trase (NSR), kterou \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed Arktick\u00e1 hedv\u00e1bn\u00e1 stezka. NSR zkracuje p\u0159epravn\u00ed dobu mezi Asi\u00ed a Evropou a\u017e o 50 %.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00edm pro NSR \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed unik\u00e1tn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 flotily jadern\u00fdch ledoborc\u016f \u2013 je pr\u00e1v\u011b obchvat Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu a spojovac\u00edch kan\u00e1l\u016f kontrolovan\u00fdch USA. Kl\u00ed\u010dovou ot\u00e1zkou tedy je, co by bylo pot\u0159eba k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed Moskvy k p\u0159ijet\u00ed dohody Trumpa a Putina v Arktid\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o Ukrajinu, Rusko v podstat\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed v\u0161echny karty v rukou \u2013 dokud pokra\u010duje speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 operace, kter\u00e1 je nyn\u00ed v pln\u00e9m proudu. Pokud jde o hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lku, kapitolu o celech, vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy v USA si kone\u010dn\u011b uv\u011bdomily, \u017ee jim karty do\u0161ly \u2013 proto\u017ee ne\u00fasp\u011bch v d\u016fsledku sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed USA v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kod\u00ed. Zb\u00fdv\u00e1 jen obchodn\u00ed dohoda: Arktida.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je docela fascinuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee i Centrum pro geopolitiku JPMorgan p\u0159ipustilo, \u017ee nejlep\u0161\u00edm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9ho chaosu je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 s Gruzi\u00ed. To by do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry vyv\u00e1\u017eilo optiku tot\u00e1ln\u00ed kapitulace Z\u00e1padu. Kapitulovala by pouze Ukrajina: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 NATO, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 EU, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pen\u00edze, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neoceniteln\u00fd profesor Michael Hudson shrnul, jak se situace na Alja\u0161ce bude vyv\u00edjet ze dvou perspektiv: \u201ePrvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed je ot\u00e1zka, zda USA uznaj\u00ed, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e9 boje vedou k tot\u00e1ln\u00edmu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ruska za podm\u00ednek, kter\u00e9 Putin hl\u00e1s\u00e1 u\u017e dva roky: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd prodej zbran\u00ed do zahrani\u010d\u00ed, norimbersk\u00e9 procesy s banderovsk\u00fdmi v\u016fdci a mo\u017en\u00e1 reparace od Ukrajiny a NATO za rekonstrukci d\u0159\u00edve \u201aukrajinsk\u00e9ho\u2018 Ruska.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Trump dohodu p\u0159ijme, a to je velk\u00e9 \u201epokud\u201c, nastane skute\u010dn\u00fd bod \u00farazu (vzpome\u0148te si na Rjabkova), \u201epo\u010d\u00ednaje ot\u00e1zkou, zda vstoup\u00ed v platnost nov\u00e1 dohoda o jadern\u00fdch raket\u00e1ch a zbran\u00edch\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 verze m\u00edru, p\u00ed\u0161e profesor Hudson, se bude ub\u00edrat t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem: \u201eNechceme jadernou v\u00e1lku se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. Dohodn\u011bme se, \u017ee pokud Rusko zas\u00e1hne n\u011bmeck\u00e1 nebo jin\u00e1 raketa EU\/NATO, n\u00e1\u0161 odvetn\u00fd \u00fader bude nam\u00ed\u0159en pouze proti Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii, N\u011bmecku a Francii, nikoli proti Severn\u00ed Americe.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Profesor Hudson pevn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee \u201eAmerika m\u00e1 co nab\u00eddnout ostatn\u00edm zem\u00edm: (do\u010dasn\u00fd) slib, \u017ee jim NEBUDE ubli\u017eovat. Vzhledem k deindustrializaci a dedolarizaci sv\u011bta nem\u00e1 co nab\u00eddnout pozitivn\u00edho.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b a tak\u00e9 s ohledem na \u010detn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti zem\u00edm BRICS by Alja\u0161ka mohla Washingtonu nab\u00eddnout cestu z trosek masivn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd analytik, kter\u00fd se od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku pokusil detailn\u011b porozum\u011bt konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operaci, by si mohl v\u0161imnout, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se t\u00fdkala n\u011b\u010deho mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e Ukrajiny. V\u017edy \u0161lo o poh\u0159eb \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c, ba cel\u00e9 architektury star\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du. To se d\u011bje pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f na \u010dern\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b Novoruska. Strategick\u00e1 trp\u011blivost se nakonec vypl\u00e1c\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u0161echny o\u010di se up\u00edraj\u00ed na Alja\u0161ku. Souboj mezi medv\u011bdem a orlem je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ohromuj\u00edc\u00edho zrychlen\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85483,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[5020,1042,102,9638],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85482"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85482"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85482\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85482"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}