{"id":85429,"date":"2025-08-13T00:23:42","date_gmt":"2025-08-12T22:23:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85429"},"modified":"2025-08-12T17:58:53","modified_gmt":"2025-08-12T15:58:53","slug":"zahranicni-politika-dalsi-izraelsko-iranska-valka-se-blizi-a-bude-krvavejsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/13\/zahranicni-politika-dalsi-izraelsko-iranska-valka-se-blizi-a-bude-krvavejsi\/","title":{"rendered":"Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika: \u201eDal\u0161\u00ed izraelsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed \u2013 a bude krvav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span>V podrobn\u00e9\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/PCsXp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/PCsXp\">anal\u00fdze<\/a>\u00a0americk\u00fd \u010dasopis\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Foreign Policy<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0varuje , \u017ee nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem je na spadnut\u00ed \u2013 mo\u017en\u00e1 ji\u017e koncem srpna, ale nejpozd\u011bji v prosinci. Ob\u011b zem\u011b se tentokr\u00e1t p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na mnohem tvrd\u0161\u00ed \u00fader ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm konfliktu v \u010dervnu. Pokud by americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump op\u011bt podlehl izraelsk\u00e9mu tlaku a vojensky zas\u00e1hl, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by mohly invazi do Ir\u00e1ku vypadat jako pom\u011brn\u011b snadn\u00e1 operace.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>V\u00edc ne\u017e jen jadern\u00fd program<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u010cervnov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se net\u00fdkala jen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu. Pro Izrael znamenala z\u00e1sadn\u00ed posun v mocensk\u00e9m rozlo\u017een\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Jadern\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka byla d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1, ale ne rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed. Izrael se ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit USA k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 s c\u00edlem oslabit Teher\u00e1n a nastolit region\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro Izrael, kter\u00e9 s\u00e1m nem\u016f\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ofenz\u00edva m\u011bla t\u0159i strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span>Zat\u00e1hnout USA do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Um\u00edstit \u00cdr\u00e1n do \u201ebombardovateln\u00e9ho\u201c stavu, jako je S\u00fdrie nebo Libanon<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span>Pouze jeden z nich \u2013 zapojen\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f \u2013 byl \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd. Trump se sice zapojil, ale odm\u00edtl eskalovat v\u00e1lku do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed ofenzivy.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Pro\u010d Izrael ukon\u010dil v\u00e1lku<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Trumpovy omezen\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fadery byly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm d\u016fvodem pro souhlas Izraele s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm. Bez masivn\u00ed podpory USA by Izrael mohl t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed kompenzovat:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana byla oslabena<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n pronikal raketami st\u00e1le efektivn\u011bji.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Operace st\u00e1la obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed st\u00edhac\u00edch raket \u2013 25 % americk\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch raket THAAD bylo nasazeno b\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch 12 dn\u016f.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Kdyby Washington situaci pln\u011b vyhrotil, Izrael by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pokra\u010doval v boj\u00edch. Ale takhle bylo hlavn\u00edho c\u00edle dosa\u017eeno jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Selh\u00e1n\u00ed strategie zm\u011bny re\u017eimu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Izrael se pokusil vyvolat chaos c\u00edlen\u00fdmi atent\u00e1ty \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b 30 velitel\u016f a 19 jadern\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f. Agenti Mossadu dokonce volali vysoce postaven\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016fm, vyhro\u017eovali jim a po\u017eadovali od nich zb\u011bhnut\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed. Ale ani jeden gener\u00e1l nepovolil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u00edsto rozdm\u00fdch\u00e1n\u00ed nepokoj\u016f \u00fatok vyvolal nacionalistickou reakci: \u00cdr\u00e1nci se bez ohledu na svou politickou p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nost sjednotili. Dokonce i hlasy kritick\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di re\u017eimu nyn\u00ed zd\u016fraz\u0148ovaly pot\u0159ebu vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly proti vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm hrozb\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Vojensk\u00e1 historie: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u00fapln\u00e1 vzdu\u0161n\u00e1 nadvl\u00e1da<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Izrael sice b\u011bhem boj\u016f dok\u00e1zal napadnout \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, ale bez podpory USA nemohl trvale dominovat. My\u0161lenka prom\u011bnit \u00cdr\u00e1n ve druhou syrskou situaci selhala.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Pro\u010d je druh\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva na spadnut\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, \u017ee \u010derven byl pouze prvn\u00ed f\u00e1z\u00ed. C\u00edlem je nedat \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u010das na:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Dopln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sob raket<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>opravovat syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Pro um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed nov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Takzvan\u00e1 strategie \u201ese\u010den\u00ed tr\u00e1vy\u201c \u2013 opakovan\u00e9 preventivn\u00ed \u00fadery \u2013 m\u00e1 za c\u00edl zabr\u00e1nit nep\u0159\u00edteli v dosa\u017een\u00ed strategick\u00e9 parity. Z politick\u00e9ho hlediska je \u010das kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd: Se za\u010d\u00e1tkem kampan\u011b p\u0159ed volbami do Kongresu v USA by se rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed ve Washingtonu stalo komplikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1 reakce \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Teher\u00e1n chce Izraeli zabr\u00e1nit v zaveden\u00ed logiky eskalace. Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u010d\u00ed ozn\u00e1mil: \u201ePokud se agrese bude opakovat, budeme reagovat je\u0161t\u011b rozhodn\u011bji \u2013 zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd nelze skr\u00fdt.\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b zas\u00e1hne masivn\u011b hned od za\u010d\u00e1tku, aby rozpt\u00fdlil jak\u00e9koli pochybnosti o sv\u00e9 odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed schopnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span>Trump mezi v\u00e1lkou a sta\u017een\u00edm se<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Druh\u00e1 izraelsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by mohla pro Trumpa p\u0159edstavovat dilema. Vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 se vlekl\u00e9mu konfliktu, ale je pod masivn\u00edm tlakem Izraele. \u201eZ\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e1 st\u0159edn\u00ed cesta\u201c \u2013 omezen\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed \u2013 tentokr\u00e1t pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude mo\u017en\u00e1. Bu\u010f se pln\u011b zapoj\u00ed, nebo se bude d\u016fsledn\u011b dr\u017eet stranou. To druh\u00e9 by v\u0161ak vy\u017eadovalo trval\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di izraelsk\u00fdm po\u017eadavk\u016fm \u2013 neochv\u011bjnost, kterou dosud neprok\u00e1zal.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/PCsXp#selection-3356.0-3356.1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-85002 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"659\" height=\"933\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-724x1024.jpg 724w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-768x1086.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1086x1536.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1024x1449.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1.jpg 1131w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 659px) 100vw, 659px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V podrobn\u00e9\u00a0anal\u00fdze\u00a0americk\u00fd \u010dasopis\u00a0Foreign Policy\u00a0varuje , \u017ee nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem je na spadnut\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85429"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85429"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85429\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82959"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}