{"id":85369,"date":"2025-08-12T00:19:28","date_gmt":"2025-08-11T22:19:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85369"},"modified":"2025-08-11T14:58:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-11T12:58:36","slug":"valerij-badov-na-troskach-jalty-rusko-a-cina-budou-diktovat-podminky-noveho-sveta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/12\/valerij-badov-na-troskach-jalty-rusko-a-cina-budou-diktovat-podminky-noveho-sveta\/","title":{"rendered":"Valerij Badov: Na trosk\u00e1ch Jalty. Rusko a \u010c\u00edna budou diktovat podm\u00ednky nov\u00e9ho sv\u011bta"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pax Americana nem\u00e1 budoucnost, ale to neznamen\u00e1 konec d\u011bjin<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n
\n
\n

P\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed je sv\u00e9ho druhu pr\u016fmysl. Stovky think-tank\u016f ve Star\u00e9m i Nov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b se zab\u00fdvaj\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00edm a \u201ekonstrukc\u00ed\u201c budoucnosti. Jedn\u00edm z nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f je podrobn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va renomovan\u00fdch americk\u00fdch politolog\u016f Richarda Haase a Charlese Kupchana \u201eJak p\u0159edej\u00edt katastrof\u011b a pos\u00edlit stabilitu v multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento fundovan\u00fd a kreativn\u00ed dokument se do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry podob\u00e1 slavn\u00e9mu memorandu George Kennana \u2013 p\u0159edzv\u011bsti studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky Z\u00e1padu proti SSSR. Strategick\u00fd pl\u00e1n Haase a Kupchana je ji\u017e dva roky t\u00e9matem diskus\u00ed elitn\u00ed komunity geopolitik\u016f ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Auto\u0159i memoranda jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni: \u201eZ\u00e1pad ztr\u00e1c\u00ed nejen svou materi\u00e1ln\u00ed, ale i ideologickou p\u0159evahu. Demokracie po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed ob\u011bt\u00ed autorit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, zat\u00edmco rostouc\u00ed \u010c\u00edna, podporovan\u00e1 Ruskem, se sna\u017e\u00ed Z\u00e1padu a republik\u00e1nsk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstup\u016fm \u010delit. Neliber\u00e1ln\u00ed poku\u0161en\u00ed jsou roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e1 po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b: n\u00e1rodn\u00ed suverenita, protekcionismus, neokeynesi\u00e1nsk\u00e9 modely hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

A jednozna\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br: \u201e\u0158e\u010de o konci d\u011bjin byly chv\u00e1stav\u00e9 a v podstat\u011b sofistikovan\u00e9 nesmysly.\u201c A\u0165 se to n\u011bkomu l\u00edb\u00ed nebo ne, \u010dlov\u011bk m\u00e1 dojem, \u017ee projekt Haase a Kupchana v duchu realpolitiky vym\u00fd\u0161lel pl\u00e1n strategick\u00e9ho \u00fastupu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Mo\u017en\u00e1 se jedn\u00e1 o z\u00e1m\u011brnou \u201eindiskr\u00e9ci\u201c jak\u00e9si n\u00e1hradn\u00ed strategie hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu v p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 metamorf\u00f3ze unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzpomn\u011bl si Washington na Waterloo?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Jako protiklad k pokusu Bidenovy administrativy o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed geopolitick\u00fdch s\u00e1zek (zjevn\u00e9 p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s \u010d\u00ednskou delegac\u00ed v Anchorage, vojensk\u00fd blok AUKUS, eskalace nap\u011bt\u00ed ohledn\u011b Tchaj-wanu) vych\u00e1zeli auto\u0159i memoranda z nezve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9ho realistick\u00e9ho p\u0159edpokladu: Pax Americana nem\u00e1 budoucnost. \u201eAni Pax Sinise nefunguje.\u201c M\u00edsto toho navrhuj\u00ed jak\u00fdsi koncert p\u0159edn\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed a n\u011bkter\u00fdch zem\u00ed G20, inspirovan\u00fd historick\u00fdm V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00fdm kongresem z roku 1815 po por\u00e1\u017ece Napoleona u Waterloo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, Rakousko a Prusko se ve V\u00eddni dohodly na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed Koncertu mocnost\u00ed, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem bylo ukon\u010dit spory, krveprolit\u00ed a ni\u010div\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ve jm\u00e9nu trval\u00e9ho m\u00edru a prosperity n\u00e1rod\u016f k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9 Evropy. Vestf\u00e1lsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m polo\u017eil z\u00e1klady pro koexistenci n\u00e1rodn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKoncert mocnost\u00ed\u201c trval a\u017e do krymsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Jako jak\u00fdsi p\u0159ed\u011bl sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du nastolen\u00e9ho ve V\u00eddni v 19. stolet\u00ed m\u00e1 dohoda p\u0159edn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed v projektu Haas-Kupchan vdechnout Atlantick\u00e9 chart\u011b anglosask\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jejich spojenc\u016f ve vojensk\u00e9 alianci nov\u00fd obsah. NATO je ve sv\u00e9 podstat\u011b poz\u016fstatkem d\u00e1vno minul\u00e9 \u00e9ry konfrontace mezi \u201esvobodn\u00fdm sv\u011btem\u201c a glob\u00e1ln\u00edm komunismem. Tato perspektiva a c\u00edl odporuj\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed koncepci \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00edho NATO\u201c, kter\u00e1 byla s velk\u00fdm patosem proklamov\u00e1na na v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00edm summitu Atlantick\u00e9 smlouvy ve Washingtonu v \u010dervenci 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hypotetick\u00fd \u201ekoncert mocnost\u00ed\u201c m\u00e1 nahradit star\u00e1 spojenectv\u00ed a odpov\u011bdnosti. A pod rou\u0161kou pokryteck\u00e9 r\u00e9toriky o sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du m\u00e1 v podstat\u011b nahradit Radu bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, kde Rusko a \u010c\u00edna maj\u00ed neomezen\u00e9 \u201e\u017eelezn\u00e9\u201c pr\u00e1vo veta.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160est \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f proklamovan\u00e9ho Glob\u00e1ln\u00edho koncertu, v\u010detn\u011b \u010c\u00edny, se pod\u00edl\u00ed na 70 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho HDP. Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za Braz\u00edli\u00ed a Kanadou z hlediska HDP a nepat\u0159\u00ed mezi vybranou skupinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo je tedy \u201ekoncertn\u00ed mistr\u201c? Je to p\u0159edchoz\u00ed, nebo p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed \u0161\u00e9f B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu? Ve skute\u010dnosti je to neosobn\u00ed globalistick\u00fd establishment, jeho\u017e metropole le\u017e\u00ed ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Hn\u00edzdo finan\u010dn\u00edch magn\u00e1t\u016f v New Yorku. Odlehl\u00fd, elitn\u00ed sv\u011bt younge\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed neznaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edbuzensk\u00e9 vazby, v\u011brn\u00fdch poddan\u00fdch nadn\u00e1rodn\u00edch korporac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle renomovan\u00e9ho politologa Samuela Huntingtona m\u00e1 toto kosmopolitn\u00ed spole\u010denstv\u00ed rysy \u201en\u00e1roda sv\u011btov\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt v nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed orchestraci<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee inspirativn\u00ed koncert mocnost\u00ed nep\u0159i\u0161el k ni\u010demu. V podstat\u011b se jedn\u00e1 o nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chytrou \u201eorchestraci\u201c star\u00e9ho, vy\u010derpan\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du hegemonie Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Prioritu nem\u00e1 diplomacie, ale vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla a neochv\u011bjnost dolaru \u2013 sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny. Zem\u011b BRICS zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed dominanci dolaru v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm obchodu a financ\u00edch. Zaveden\u00ed nov\u00fdch rezervn\u00edch m\u011bn je v\u0161ak, m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, o\u0161emetn\u00fd \u00fakol.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se \u201evzne\u0161en\u00e9\u201c r\u00e9torice otev\u0159en\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nepoda\u0159\u00ed proniknout do nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho t\u00e1bora pomoc\u00ed lsti a podvodu, jsou nasazeny n\u00e1siln\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u201ebarevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed\u201c. Projekt Haase a Kupchana o geopolitick\u00fdch tric\u00edch George Sorose to jen nazna\u010duje, ale podtext odhaluje nad\u011bji na \u201ep\u00e1tou kolonu\u201c v extr\u00e9mn\u00edch situac\u00edch, konflikt mezi generacemi a explozivn\u00ed ideologickou sm\u011bs \u201ez\u00e1padnictv\u00ed\u201c, separatismu a anarchismu. Ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed komunikace posti\u017een\u00fdch zem\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm internetov\u00fdch platforem, jako jsou Google, YouTube, Meta* a dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uprost\u0159ed prudk\u00fdch n\u00e1siln\u00fdch st\u0159et\u016f mezi Ruskem a \u201ekolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1padem\u201c na ukrajinsk\u00e9 front\u011b Bidenova administrativa posunula geopolitick\u00e9 s\u00e1zky na hranici mo\u017enost\u00ed. Stanovila si nedosa\u017eiteln\u00fd c\u00edl svrhnout ruskou st\u00e1tnost a rozd\u011blit jej\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed a zdroje mezi tucet slab\u00fdch pseudo-st\u00e1t\u016f pod\u00e9l separatistick\u00fdch, kvazi-etnick\u00fdch a koloni\u00e1ln\u00edch lini\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kreativn\u00ed pl\u00e1n Koncertu mocnost\u00ed po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s \u201em\u011bk\u010d\u00ed\u201c verz\u00ed anglosask\u00e9 historick\u00e9 Velk\u00e9 hry. Pl\u00e1n tich\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho odpout\u00e1n\u00ed se Z\u00e1padu, zalo\u017een\u00fd na konceptu Haase a Kupchana, se li\u0161\u00ed od agresivn\u00edho kurzu zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu. \u201eUm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fd\u201c Jake Sullivan, kter\u00fd ud\u00e1val t\u00f3n v Rad\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, se nevyh\u00fdbal provokativn\u00edm eskap\u00e1d\u00e1m. \u201eKasand\u0159i\u201c v Pentagonu stanovili data pro \u201enevyhnutelnou\u201c v\u00e1lku s \u010c\u00ednou: 2027\u20132029. Militaristick\u00e9 \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed dos\u00e1hlo sv\u00e9ho vrcholu v p\u0159edve\u010der prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1? Zm\u011bn\u00ed se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201emainstream\u201c? Existuje mo\u017enost, \u017ee loutkovodi\u010di z hlubin st\u00e1tu, aby p\u0159edv\u00eddali \u201ehodinu pravdy\u201c sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, vyt\u00e1hnou ze sv\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch rezerv sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 retro V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e9ho koncertu mocnost\u00ed? Geostrategick\u00e1 situace v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech to objasn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

To, co se jevilo jako \u201ekonflikt st\u0159edn\u00ed intenzity\u201c, se na ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti nekonalo. Vybaven\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy NATO t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi a raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil na c\u00edle uvnit\u0159 Rusk\u00e9 federace vedly k nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9mu riziku \u201ehork\u00e9\u201c v\u00e1lky mezi kolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1padem a imperi\u00e1ln\u00edm Ruskem. Eschatologie ud\u00e1lost\u00ed na front\u00e1ch b\u00fdval\u00e9 Ukrajiny je extr\u00e9mn\u00ed. Z \u017eulov\u00fdch z\u00e1klad\u016f jaltsk\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du zbylo jen m\u00e1lo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nezvratn\u00fd rozkol v americk\u00e9m establishmentu v d\u016fsledku ho\u0159k\u00e9ho boje mezi Trumpem a Harrisovou ohla\u0161uje z\u00e1nik unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta. Paradigma sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du bez hegemonie se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le realisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. Iniciativu utv\u00e1\u0159et sv\u011bt p\u0159eb\u00edraj\u00ed Rusko, \u010c\u00edna, Indie a zem\u011b BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kreativn\u00ed, nejednozna\u010dn\u00e1 ideologie \u201ev\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e9ho koncertu mocnost\u00ed\u201c ustupuje do pozad\u00ed. Sofistikovan\u00fd man\u00e9vr strategick\u00e9ho \u00fastupu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je \u201ep\u0159eform\u00e1tovat\u201c glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii USA v z\u00e1jmu hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, je v rozporu s mottem nezdoln\u00e9ho triumf\u00e1ln\u00edho Donalda Trumpa: \u201eM\u00edr skrze s\u00edlu!\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud nov\u00fd vl\u00e1dce kr\u00e1tce po n\u00e1stupu do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu pohroz\u00ed, \u017ee z Kanady ud\u011bl\u00e1 51. st\u00e1t USA, bude je\u0161t\u011b k n\u011b\u010demu dola\u010fov\u00e1n\u00ed geopolitick\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u016f \u201edirigenty\u201c?<\/span><\/p>\n

Jelcinist\u00e9 se nebr\u00e1nili Z\u00e1padem vnucen\u00e9mu zni\u010den\u00ed autarkick\u00e9 pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 ekonomiky SSSR. V \u201edivok\u00fdch\u201c 90. letech proudilo na Z\u00e1pad p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jeden a p\u016fl bilionu dolar\u016f provozn\u00edho kapit\u00e1lu z vyt\u011bsn\u011bn\u00e9 ekonomiky \u201enov\u00e9ho Ruska\u201c. Projekt Haase a Kupchana ob\u010das odhaluje obnoven\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho placen\u00ed \u201ekoloni\u00e1ln\u00edch dan\u00ed\u201c ve form\u011b nerovnom\u011brn\u00e9 sm\u011bny zbo\u017e\u00ed s Anglosasy a jejich spojenci. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Rusku nebyla ud\u011blena \u201e\u010dest\u201c st\u00e1t se \u010dlenem hypotetick\u00e9ho \u201eKoncertu mocnost\u00ed\u201c, znamen\u00e1 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed jeho statusu na zemi perifern\u00edho kapitalismu. Rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed geostrategick\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed mezi Moskvou a Pekingem je \u010dirou fantazi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Korporace Rand a dal\u0161\u00ed Kasandry se m\u00fdlily. Jen m\u00e1lokdo na Z\u00e1pad\u011b p\u0159edv\u00eddal, \u017ee \u201epekeln\u00e9 sankce\u201c uvalen\u00e9 na potrest\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska za SVO d\u00e1le podkopou samotnou z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKasinov\u00fd kapitalismus\u201c prohr\u00e1l v\u0161echno. V Evropsk\u00e9 unii vl\u00e1dne recese a skl\u00ed\u010denost\u2026 Ekonomiky Ruska a \u010c\u00edny rostou. Obchodn\u00ed, ekonomick\u00e1 a obrann\u00e1 aliance mezi t\u011bmito dv\u011bma euroasijsk\u00fdmi giganty je koncipov\u00e1na jako dlouhodob\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

* Spole\u010dnost Meta Platforms Inc. byla 21. b\u0159ezna 2022 rozhodnut\u00edm Tversk\u00e9ho okresn\u00edho soudu v Moskv\u011b uzn\u00e1na za extremistickou organizaci a jej\u00ed \u010dinnost na \u00fazem\u00ed byla zak\u00e1z\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pax Americana nem\u00e1 budoucnost, ale to neznamen\u00e1 konec d\u011bjin P\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed je sv\u00e9ho druhu pr\u016fmysl. Stovky…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85370,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,2181,2770,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85369"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85369\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}