{"id":85295,"date":"2025-08-10T00:26:30","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T22:26:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85295"},"modified":"2025-08-09T19:15:55","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T17:15:55","slug":"zbynek-fiala-prohrana-valka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/10\/zbynek-fiala-prohrana-valka\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: Prohran\u00e1 v\u00e1lka"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Sv\u011bt se definitivn\u011b zm\u011bnil. Rozhodn\u00fd odpor \u010c\u00edny, Indie a Braz\u00edlie proti snaze izolovat tyto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 zem\u011b od Ruska ukazuje nov\u00fd pom\u011br glob\u00e1ln\u00edch sil, ve kter\u00e9m v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b nen\u00ed pro USA p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost, ale p\u0159\u00edt\u011b\u017e.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fin\u00e1le ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu ukazuje, \u017ee to byla sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00e1lka b\u00fdval\u00fdch koloni\u00e1ln\u00edch mocnost\u00ed a Bidenovic klanu ne\u017e Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. A taky \u017ee EU nem\u00e1 USA co nab\u00eddnout a nem\u016f\u017ee ani kl\u00e1st \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd odpor pro snaze americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa uspo\u0159\u00e1dat vztahy obou velmoc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s\u00a0rusk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem Vladim\u00edrem Putinem. Mohou sice Trumpa pran\u00fd\u0159ovat na n\u00e1st\u011bnk\u00e1ch a v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch, ale opatrn\u011b, aby nep\u0159il\u00e9tla nov\u00e1 cla a zlobiv\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed partne\u0159i neztratili p\u0159\u00edstup na americk\u00fd trh.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nejsem mu\u0161ka zlat\u00e1, kter\u00e1 nen\u00e1padn\u011b pronik\u00e1 do uzav\u0159en\u00fdch komnat s\u00a0licitac\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edru, ale mnoh\u00e9 z\u00a0programu chystan\u00e9ho setk\u00e1n\u00ed Donalda Trumpa s\u00a0Vladim\u00edrem Putinem 15. srpna na Alja\u0161ce lze odhadnout. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Putinovo d\u016frazn\u00e9 odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed jednat o pouh\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed m\u00edsto z\u00e1ruk dlouhodob\u00e9ho m\u00edru nazna\u010duje, \u017ee na program p\u0159ijdou podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 se v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu \u010dasu m\u00edrn\u011b modifikovaly, ale obsahuj\u00ed to z\u00e1sadn\u00ed:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>P\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f s\u00a0Ruskem jsou jedinou cestou jak v\u00e1lku ukon\u010dit<\/li>\n<li>Konec v\u00e1lky znamen\u00e1 konec role Ukrajiny jako n\u00e1stupi\u0161t\u011b Z\u00e1padu proti Rusku<\/li>\n<li>Rusko si ponech\u00e1 rusky mluv\u00edc\u00ed Donbas<\/li>\n<li>Sankce budou vyst\u0159\u00edd\u00e1ny hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm partnerstv\u00edm, nap\u0159ed s USA<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">P\u0159ipome\u0148me si taky, co Ukrajina znamenala na vnitropolitick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b Washingtonu. P\u0159esn\u011bji, pro\u010d to nen\u00ed Trump\u016fv boj.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Joe Biden, kter\u00fd byl jako americk\u00fd viceprezident za vl\u00e1dy Baracka Obamy pov\u011b\u0159en z\u00e1le\u017eitostmi Ukrajiny, se dostal kr\u00e1tce po Majdanu do pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, kdy\u017e jeho syn Hunter, p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00ed ve spr\u00e1vn\u00ed rad\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9 plyna\u0159sk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti Burisma, se ocitl v hled\u00e1\u010dku ukrajinsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1ln\u00edho prokur\u00e1tora vy\u0161et\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edho korupci. Joe Biden pak b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Kyjeva v\u00a0dubnu 2014 prosadil odvol\u00e1n\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00edho prokur\u00e1tora pod hrozbou zru\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9 pomoci.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ukrajina znovu vstoupila do hry p\u0159ed americk\u00fdmi prezidentsk\u00fdmi volbami 2016.\u00a0\u00a0Demokratick\u00e1 favoritka Hillary Clintonov\u00e1 za\u010dala ztr\u00e1cet preference proti Donaldu Trumpovi, a tak Demokrat\u00e9 vyt\u00e1hli smy\u0161len\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 kompro sepsan\u00e9 b\u00fdval\u00fdm britsk\u00fdm operativcem Steeleem hlavn\u011b z\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. Trump m\u011bl b\u00fdt podle tohoto spisku n\u00e1strojem rusk\u00e9ho vlivu na USA. Tento podvod, do kter\u00e9ho se zapojily i americk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby, te\u010f leze ven se v\u0161emi podrobnostmi. Nap\u0159\u00edklad, \u017ee nad\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nutili analytiky tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb lh\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Donald Trump byl po sv\u00e9m zvolen\u00ed mu\u010den t\u011bmito fale\u0161n\u00fdmi obvin\u011bn\u00edmi Demokrat\u016f a \u201edeep state\u201c. Pokou\u0161el se o proti\u00fatok s\u00a0vyu\u017eit\u00edm zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 korup\u010dn\u00ed af\u00e9ry rodiny Bidenov\u00fdch na Ukrajin\u011b a roku 2019 vyu\u017eil p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti telefonick\u00e9 gratulace nov\u011b zvolen\u00e9mu ukrajinsk\u00e9mu prezidentovi Volodomyru Zelensk\u00e9mu a po\u017e\u00e1dal ho o informace v\u00a0tomto sm\u011bru. Krtek CIA v\u00a0Trumpov\u011b t\u00fdmu to vynesl ven a Donalda m\u00e1lem odvolali z\u00a0funkce.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-85002 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"615\" height=\"870\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-724x1024.jpg 724w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-768x1086.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1086x1536.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1024x1449.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1.jpg 1131w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 615px) 100vw, 615px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prezidentem se pak stal Biden. Upev\u0148oval se stav vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti Kyjeva a Washingtonu. Kyjev bude ml\u010det a z\u00a0Washingtonu pote\u010de neomezen\u00e1 pomoc. Tohle Trump opravdu nem\u011bl nejmen\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod podporovat. Proto ve sv\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed volebn\u00ed kampani sliboval, \u017ee po zvolen\u00ed ukon\u010d\u00ed ukrajinskou v\u00e1lku do 24 hodin. To se mu nepovedlo, a odnesl to Zelensk\u00fd b\u011bhem sv\u00e9 jarn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Washingtonu. Byl Trumpem p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b pou\u010den, co asi mohl \u010dekat, kdy\u017e provokoval mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho soupe\u0159e\u2026<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trumpovi bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajina u\u017e slou\u017eila jen jako n\u00e1stroj, jak mu znemo\u017enit partnerstv\u00ed s\u00a0Ruskem, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 kritick\u00e9 suroviny pro kybernetick\u00fd a automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti pro jejich n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed. Rusko m\u00e1 zase z\u00e1jem o americk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky a technologie. EU je v\u00a0obou t\u011bchto p\u0159\u00edpadech konkurent, kter\u00fd nem\u00e1 co nab\u00eddnout. Ale m\u00e1 co ztratit, cla jde v\u017edycky zv\u00fd\u0161it. Tak\u017ee p\u0159ijde zkr\u00e1tka.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka nem\u011bla jen osobn\u00ed rozm\u011br. Kdyby byla kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 a intenzivn\u00ed, p\u0159erostla by v\u00a0jadernou, kter\u00e1 je bez v\u00edt\u011bze. V\u00a0dlouh\u00e9 opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce se v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b jsou n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dlouh\u00fdm \u0159et\u011bzcem technologi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 lze provozovat jen ve vysp\u011bl\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed. Jsou oslniv\u00e9 na p\u0159ehl\u00eddk\u00e1ch, ale kdy\u017e se utkaj\u00ed na v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti miliardy za tanky a tis\u00edce za drony, nesta\u010d\u00edme se divit, jak ty prachy let\u00ed do luftu. Nebo jak si jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed tanky bez n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9ho servisu sn\u00e1ze porad\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vojensky to bylo jasn\u011b na prohru Z\u00e1padu, kter\u00fd to vedl jako v\u00e1lku v zastoupen\u00ed. Rusko je schopno mobilizovat v\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f a koncentrovat v\u00edce technologick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed v\u00a0krat\u0161\u00edm \u010dase, v\u00a0jasn\u00e9m sm\u011bru a za m\u00e9n\u011b pen\u011bz. Politicky to bylo na prohru taky. Neusp\u011bl pokus odstra\u0161it velk\u00e9 zem\u011b jako je \u010c\u00edna, Indie nebo Braz\u00edlie od n\u00e1kupu rusk\u00e9 ropy uvalen\u00edm 100 procentn\u00edho cla na jejich v\u00fdvozy do USA. Naopak je to povzbudilo k\u00a0rychlej\u0161\u00edmu postupu k\u00a0p\u0159esunu obchodn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce do nov\u00fdch teritori\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u010c\u00edna potvrdila trvalost sv\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed s\u00a0Ruskem. M\u016f\u017ee si p\u0159itom dovolit v\u00edce ne\u017e jin\u00ed, proto\u017ee ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed 85 procent vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin, bez kter\u00fdch se neobejdou po\u010d\u00edta\u010de nebo elektrick\u00e1 auta kdekoliv na sv\u011bt\u011b. Hrozba zastaven\u00ed t\u011bchto dod\u00e1vek zm\u011bnila t\u00f3n, jak\u00fdm Washington jednal s\u00a0Pekingem.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tak\u00e9 Indie odm\u00edtla Trump\u016fv n\u00e1tlak a za\u010dala jednat o v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s\u00a0Braz\u00edli\u00ed, dal\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rusko te\u010f mo\u017en\u00e1 sl\u00edbilo, \u017ee v\u00a0r\u00e1mci kompromisn\u00edch dohod s USA, zahrnuj\u00edc\u00edch ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, zbrzd\u00ed svoji podporu n\u011bjak\u00e9 alternativ\u011b dolaru, co\u017e by bylo pro USA zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed. Na \u010dervencov\u00e9m summitu BRICS v\u00a0Riu, kter\u00e9ho se Putin z\u00fa\u010dastnil p\u0159es video, bylo v\u00a0prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed na toto t\u00e9ma jen p\u00e1r neur\u010dit\u00fdch slov. Jen\u017ee mezit\u00edm propukla Trumpova celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka a iniciativu dedolarizace p\u0159evzaly partnersk\u00e9 zem\u011b Ruska.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sv\u011bt se tedy zm\u011bnil, dikt\u00e1t Z\u00e1padu u\u017e nefunguje a v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b ztr\u00e1c\u00ed smysl. Podle sobotn\u00edho Wall Street Journal m\u00e1 b\u00fdt dojedn\u00e1no p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed s\u00a0podm\u00ednkou, \u017ee Rusko zastav\u00ed boje, pokud se ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly st\u00e1hnou z\u00a0Donbasu. Dobyt\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i provincie tedy z\u016fstanou Rusku. Rusko nab\u00eddne taky n\u011bco &#8211; opust\u00ed pokusy dob\u00fdt Cherson nebo Od\u011bsu a \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00a0Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ukrajinsk\u00e1 strana se pokus\u00ed to interpretovat jako mezidob\u00ed pro dal\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed (a rozvinut\u00ed z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00fdch sil na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed), zat\u00edmco Rusko na to p\u0159istoup\u00ed jen jako na kone\u010dnou dohodu zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed i jistou m\u00edru demilitarizace Ukrajiny (jen obrann\u00e9 zbran\u011b, a nic moc).<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Na \u010dlenstv\u00ed v\u00a0NATO m\u00e1 Ukrajina zapomenout, \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v\u00a0EU by Rusku nevadilo, ale \u0159ad\u011b evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed ano.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Posledn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka \u2013 st\u00e1lo to za to? \u2013 bude viset ve vzduchu po t\u00e9to prohran\u00e9 v\u00e1lce opravdu dlouho\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/komentare\/prohrana-valka\">Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-18520\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala-300x208.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala-300x208.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala.jpg 318w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sv\u011bt se definitivn\u011b zm\u011bnil. Rozhodn\u00fd odpor \u010c\u00edny, Indie a Braz\u00edlie proti snaze izolovat tyto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19804,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1161,2059,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85295"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19804"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}