{"id":85275,"date":"2025-08-10T00:18:35","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T22:18:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85275"},"modified":"2025-08-09T19:09:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T17:09:19","slug":"german-gorraiz-lopez-povede-americka-kratkozrakost-k-posileni-ric","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/10\/german-gorraiz-lopez-povede-americka-kratkozrakost-k-posileni-ric\/","title":{"rendered":"Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez: Povede americk\u00e1 kr\u00e1tkozrakost k pos\u00edlen\u00ed RIC?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Form\u00e1ln\u00ed aliance mezi Indi\u00ed, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou (\u010dasto ozna\u010dovan\u00e1 jako spolupr\u00e1ce Rusko-Indie-\u010c\u00edna (RIC)) by m\u011bla pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty hlubok\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, zm\u011bnila by glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil a ohrozila by jejich geopolitick\u00fd, ekonomick\u00fd a vojensk\u00fd vliv.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Geopolitick\u00fd dopad. V\u00fdzva pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed postaven\u00ed USA: Spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, Indi\u00ed a \u010c\u00ednou (RIC) by si kladla za c\u00edl prosazovat multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, a t\u00edm sni\u017eovat hegemonii USA. Zejm\u00e9na Rusko a \u010c\u00edna sd\u00edlej\u00ed c\u00edl \u010delit vlivu USA a spojeneck\u00e1 Indie by mohla toto \u00fasil\u00ed zes\u00edlit, mimo jin\u00e9 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm platforem, jako jsou BRICS a \u0160anghajsk\u00e1 organizace pro spolupr\u00e1ci (SCO). To by mohlo oslabit schopnost Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f utv\u00e1\u0159et mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed normy a udr\u017eovat si vedouc\u00ed postaven\u00ed v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch instituc\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta vlivu v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu: Indie je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm partnerem USA v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu, zejm\u00e9na prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u010cty\u0159strann\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho dialogu (Quad s USA, Japonskem a Austr\u00e1li\u00ed). Spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, Indi\u00ed a \u010c\u00ednou (RIC) by mohla sn\u00ed\u017eit z\u00e1vazek Indie v\u016f\u010di Quadu, a t\u00edm oslabit strategii USA v boji proti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu vlivu v Asii.<\/p>\n

Izolace v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu. Pos\u00edlen\u00fd Indick\u00fd region\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010denstv\u00ed (RIC) by mohl p\u0159il\u00e1kat dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu (jako je Braz\u00edlie, Jihoafrick\u00e1 republika a Turecko) hledaj\u00edc\u00ed alternativy k z\u00e1padn\u00edmu \u0159\u00e1du. To by omezilo vliv USA v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch regionech, jako je Latinsk\u00e1 Amerika, Afrika a Asie.<\/p>\n

Cla a obchodn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed. V reakci na obchodn\u00ed politiku USA, jako je hrozba 500% cel pro zem\u011b obchoduj\u00edc\u00ed s Ruskem, by mohla vzniknout spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, Indi\u00ed a \u010c\u00ednou (RIC), kter\u00e1 by Indii a \u010c\u00ednu p\u0159im\u011bla k diverzifikaci jejich obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f a sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed jejich z\u00e1vislosti na americk\u00e9m trhu, co\u017e by po\u0161kodilo americkou ekonomiku.<\/p>\n

Alternativn\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce: Rusko a \u010c\u00edna ji\u017e vyv\u00edjej\u00ed alternativn\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce a finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my, aby se vyhnuly americk\u00fdm sankc\u00edm. S Indi\u00ed v alianci by toto \u00fasil\u00ed mohlo nabrat na obr\u00e1tk\u00e1ch, co\u017e by oslabilo \u00fa\u010dinnost americk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed a jejich kontrolu nad glob\u00e1ln\u00edm finan\u010dn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem (nap\u0159. SWIFT).<\/p>\n

Konkurence o energetick\u00e9 zdroje: Jednotn\u00e1 RIC by mohla koordinovat z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f (nap\u0159\u00edklad rusk\u00e9 ropy), \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se sn\u00ed\u017eil vliv USA na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch trz\u00edch a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b by se zv\u00fd\u0161ily ceny pro americk\u00e9 spojence.<\/p>\n

Vojensk\u00fd a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dopad. A\u010dkoli Rusko a \u010c\u00edna nejsou ofici\u00e1ln\u011b spojenci, jejich vojensk\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce (spole\u010dn\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed, leteck\u00e9 hl\u00eddky) se zintenzivnila. Pokud se Indie k t\u00e9to alianci p\u0159ipoj\u00ed, mohla by se zintenzivnit vojensk\u00e1 koordinace v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu, co\u017e by ohrozilo vojenskou p\u0159evahu USA v regionu. Nap\u0159\u00edklad spole\u010dn\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i nebo pobl\u00ed\u017e Alja\u0161ky by mohla zkomplikovat operace americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva.<\/p>\n

Tlak na spojence USA. Spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, Indi\u00ed a \u010c\u00ednou (RIC) by mohla vyvinout tlak na spojence USA, jako je Japonsko, Austr\u00e1lie a Filip\u00edny, zejm\u00e9na pokud Indie omez\u00ed svou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010cty\u0159\u010dlenn\u00fdm st\u00e1tem. To by mohlo donutit Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed jejich vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v regionu, co\u017e by zv\u00fd\u0161ilo n\u00e1klady a rizika konfrontace. Podpora Ruska na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Spolupr\u00e1ce \u010c\u00edny a Indie s Ruskem umo\u017e\u0148uje Rusku udr\u017eovat v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 snahy Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jejich spojenc\u016f v NATO o izolaci Moskvy. To by mohlo konflikt prodlou\u017eit, p\u0159esm\u011brovat americk\u00e9 zdroje do Evropy a oslabit jeho zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed na indicko-pacifick\u00fd region.<\/p>\n

Dopad na vztahy s Indi\u00ed. Indie je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm partnerem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o protiv\u00e1hu \u010c\u00edny. Aliance s Indickou region\u00e1ln\u00ed a region\u00e1ln\u00edm partnerstv\u00edm (RIC) by mohla Indii od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f odcizit, co\u017e by zkomplikovalo spolupr\u00e1ci v oblasti obrany (v\u010detn\u011b dohod o um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed raket na Filip\u00edn\u00e1ch) a technologi\u00ed. To by bylo obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u00e9, pokud by Indie up\u0159ednost\u0148ovala vztahy s Ruskem p\u0159ed vztahy se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti by n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva poradce indick\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Ajita Dovala v Moskv\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>mohla b\u00fdt ve Washingtonu vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako zrada, kter\u00e1 po\u0161kozuje dlouhodob\u00e9 bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy.<\/p>\n

Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez<\/a> , politick\u00fd analytik<\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Form\u00e1ln\u00ed aliance mezi Indi\u00ed, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou (\u010dasto ozna\u010dovan\u00e1 jako spolupr\u00e1ce Rusko-Indie-\u010c\u00edna (RIC)) by m\u011bla…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85276,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1026,9620,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85275"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85275"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85275\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85276"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}