{"id":85139,"date":"2025-08-07T05:36:12","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T03:36:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85139"},"modified":"2025-08-07T06:16:32","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T04:16:32","slug":"uriel-araujo-trumpovy-jaderne-hrozby-rusku-priblizuji-svet-jaderne-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/07\/uriel-araujo-trumpovy-jaderne-hrozby-rusku-priblizuji-svet-jaderne-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Trumpovy jadern\u00e9 hrozby Rusku p\u0159ibli\u017euj\u00ed sv\u011bt jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lce"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Donald Trumpovo odhalen\u00ed, \u017ee na\u0159\u00eddil um\u00edstit jadern\u00e9 ponorky bl\u00ed\u017ee k Rusku, vyvolalo novou f\u00e1zi nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi USA a Ruskem, kter\u00e1 vyvolala varov\u00e1n\u00ed i od jest\u0159\u00e1b\u016f, jako je John Bolton. Tolik k prezidentovu \u201em\u00edrotvorn\u00e9mu\u201c profilu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump 1. srpna na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch v provokativn\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee na\u0159\u00eddil dv\u011bma\u00a0jadern\u00fdm ponork\u00e1m<\/a>\u00a0p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit se k rusk\u00e9mu \u00fazem\u00ed, \u00fadajn\u011b v reakci na to, co ozna\u010dil za \u201evelmi provokativn\u00ed\u201c v\u00fdroky b\u00fdval\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Dmitrije Medved\u011bva. Kreml prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00e9ho mluv\u010d\u00edho Dmitrije Peskova prezidenta Vladimira Putina od Medved\u011bvov\u00fdch slov rychle distancoval.<\/p>\n

Tento v\u00fdvoj p\u0159edstavuje novou a nebezpe\u010dnou kapitolu v nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi USA a Ruskem \u2013 kapitolu, kterou i arcijest\u0159\u00e1b John Bolton v\u011bcn\u011b\u00a0popsal<\/a>\u00a0jako \u201evelmi riskantn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u201c. Sta\u010d\u00ed \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee i kdy\u017e Bolton bije na poplach, riziko je dostate\u010dn\u011b re\u00e1ln\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Situace je o to nestabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kv\u016fli povaze Trumpova ozn\u00e1men\u00ed. Zve\u0159ejnil ho na Truth Social \u2013 a t\u00edm obe\u0161el ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed komunika\u010dn\u00ed kan\u00e1ly a protokoly \u2013 s tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee jeho jadern\u00e9 ponorky jsou ji\u017e \u201ena sv\u00fdch pozic\u00edch\u201c. Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed spekulovali, \u017ee blafuje, expert n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva potvrdil, \u017ee takov\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, a\u00a0popsal<\/a>\u00a0tento krok jako \u201eneobvykl\u00fd\u201c, ale \u201echytr\u00fd\u201c, pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee nen\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b ov\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fd. Nen\u00ed v\u0161ak divu, \u017ee kritici n\u00e1m rychle p\u0159ipomn\u011bli,\u00a0\u017ee<\/a>\u00a0\u201ep\u0159esun jadern\u00fdch ponorek nen\u00ed n\u011bco, co se oznamuje na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch\u201c.<\/p>\n

Jak vskutku varoval titulek Wall Street Journal, \u201e\u00a0ukvapen\u00e1 slova mohou b\u00fdt v jadern\u00e9 \u00e9\u0159e riskantn\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Trumpova impulzivn\u00ed online provokace odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejen bezohlednost, ale i hlub\u0161\u00ed krizi ve strategick\u00e9 kultu\u0159e americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1rodn\u00edho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho st\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n

Moskva v reakci na to podnikla v\u00fdznamn\u00fd\u00a0protikrok<\/a>\u00a0: prezident Putin prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Rusko ji\u017e nen\u00ed v\u00e1z\u00e1no kl\u00ed\u010dovou smlouvou o raket\u00e1ch, co\u017e znovu p\u0159i\u017eivilo obavy z glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1vod\u016f ve zbrojen\u00ed. A\u0165 u\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o p\u0159\u00edmou reakci na Trump\u016fv man\u00e9vr s ponorkou, nebo ne, na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed je nezam\u011bniteln\u00e9 \u2013 a d\u016fsledky jsou neradostn\u00e9. Rusko a USA dohromady dr\u017e\u00ed\u00a087 %<\/a>\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu.<\/p>\n

Trumpova kampa\u0148 se zat\u00edm prudce odch\u00fdlila od sv\u00fdch p\u016fvodn\u00edch slib\u016f o deeskalaci a diplomacii. Nyn\u00ed otev\u0159en\u011b vyhro\u017euje Rusku sankcemi a ch\u0159est\u011bn\u00edm zbran\u00ed, pokud\u00a0do 8. srpna<\/a>\u00a0nebude na Ukrajin\u011b dosa\u017eeno p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed . Tolik k \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9mu kandid\u00e1tovi\u201c.<\/p>\n

Trumpova \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1\u201c zna\u010dka byla ve skute\u010dnosti v\u017edycky, m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, p\u0159ehnan\u00e1. Jak jsem\u00a0poznamenal<\/a>\u00a0ji\u017e v b\u0159eznu 2024, pr\u00e1v\u011b za jeho prezidentstv\u00ed (2017-2021) CIA\u00a0roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila<\/a>\u00a0svou tajnou p\u0159\u00edtomnost na Ukrajin\u011b a podpo\u0159ila dvan\u00e1ct tajn\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen pod\u00e9l rusk\u00fdch hranic. V prosinci 2017 Trump\u00a0schv\u00e1lil<\/a>\u00a0prodej \u201eobrann\u00fdch\u201c zbran\u00ed Kyjevu, kter\u00e9 profesor John Mearsheimer argumentoval jako dostate\u010dn\u011b ur\u00e1\u017eliv\u00e9 ze strany Moskvy. V \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se nejedn\u00e1 o jedn\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrotvorce.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b tak je t\u0159eba br\u00e1t Trump\u016fv takzvan\u00fd \u201eizolanismus\u201c s rezervou. \u010clov\u011bk si m\u016f\u017ee vzpomenout, \u017ee v roce 2020 nechvaln\u011b\u00a0na\u0159\u00eddil<\/a>\u00a0atent\u00e1t na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la K\u00e1sema Solejm\u00e1n\u00edho a ned\u00e1vno, v b\u0159eznu 2024,\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Izrael mus\u00ed \u201edokon\u010dit probl\u00e9m\u201c v Gaze. Propagoval tak\u00e9\u00a0Abrahamovy dohody<\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 sice sklidily chv\u00e1lu, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 zintenzivnily nap\u011bt\u00ed na cel\u00e9m Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a v severn\u00ed Africe. Trump sice (obvykle) up\u0159ednost\u0148uje ekonomickou v\u00e1lku a symbolick\u00e1 gesta p\u0159ed plnohodnotn\u00fdmi invazemi, ale nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm antiimperialistick\u00fdm hrdinou.<\/p>\n

Pokud Biden ze sv\u00e9 strany p\u0159ekro\u010dil n\u011bkolik \u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00ed podporou kontroverzn\u00edch operac\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a zintenzivn\u011bn\u00edm postoje NATO sm\u011brem na v\u00fdchod \u2013 jak mimo jin\u00e9 dokazuje\u00a0Charta strategick\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed mezi USA a Ukrajinou<\/a>\u00a0z roku 2021 \u2013 Trump nyn\u00ed za\u0161el mnohem d\u00e1l, a to bezprecedentn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem. T\u00edm, \u017ee do diskuse vnesl jadern\u00e9 hrozby, a to prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm soci\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed, p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eil sv\u011bt v\u00edce ne\u017e kdy jindy ke katastrofick\u00e9mu chybn\u00e9mu odhadu.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee 79let\u00fd Trump upadl do osobn\u00edch\u00a0spor\u016f<\/a>\u00a0s osobnostmi, jako je Medved\u011bv, a prom\u011bnil tak glob\u00e1ln\u00ed strategii v h\u0159i\u0161t\u011b pro sv\u00e9 ego. Vzhledem k tomu je t\u0159eba zpochybnit i jeho kognitivn\u00ed stabilitu \u2013 stejn\u011b jako kritici v t\u00e9 dob\u011b spr\u00e1vn\u011b zkoumali du\u0161evn\u00ed zdatnost samotn\u00e9ho b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta Bidena.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b Trumpov\u00fdch impulzivn\u00edch exces\u016f je \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed pravda tato: zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika USA z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry na autopilota. Jak\u00a0argumentoval<\/a>\u00a0Michael J. Glennon ve sv\u00e9 knize z roku 2014 \u201eN\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost a dvoj\u00ed vl\u00e1da\u201c, skute\u010dn\u00e1 moc nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v rukou volen\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f, ale v zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00e9, nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed byrokracii (kterou n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u201ehlubok\u00fd st\u00e1t\u201c). Tento samospr\u00e1vn\u00fd obrann\u00fd apar\u00e1t zaji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee bez ohledu na to, kdo sed\u00ed v Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovn\u011b, p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed logika agresivn\u00ed hegemonie USA. Trumpova bezohlednost proto nen\u00ed \u00faplnou anom\u00e1li\u00ed \u2013 ale je nebezpe\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ehnanou verz\u00ed tohoto institucion\u00e1ln\u00edho momentu.<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tlaky ze strany\u00a0obrann\u00e9ho sektoru<\/a>\u00a0a \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c (o kter\u00e9m Trump tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee je ve v\u00e1lce) byly pro americk\u00e9ho prezidenta p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 a nyn\u00ed nejen m\u011bn\u00ed kurz, ale dokonce p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, centrum glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu se ji\u017e za\u010dalo p\u0159esouvat. Ukrajina pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ji\u017e nen\u00ed \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem \u2013 nyn\u00ed je pouze jednou z ar\u00e9n ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed konfrontaci mezi USA a Ruskem (kter\u00e1 zahrnuje i\u00a0arktickou oblast<\/a>\u00a0). Realita je takov\u00e1, \u017ee jadern\u00e9 boje na pokraji konfliktu se vr\u00e1tily, tentokr\u00e1t \u201evys\u00edlan\u00e9\u201c \u017eiv\u011b na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011brem lze \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Trumpovo rozhodnut\u00ed ozn\u00e1mit p\u0159esun jadern\u00fdch ponorek \u2013 a t\u00edm eskalaci ji\u017e tak nestabiln\u00ed situace \u2013 neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed strategii, ale aroganci. To je daleko za hranicemi \u201e\u00a0teorie \u0161\u00edlence<\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Americk\u00fd v\u016fdce dosud neprojevil ani \u00fasudek, ani zdr\u017eenlivost pot\u0159ebnou k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed kriz\u00ed tohoto rozsahu. Fantazie o Trumpovi jako \u201eizola\u010dn\u00edm\u201c, principi\u00e1ln\u00edm \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9m prost\u0159edn\u00edkovi\u201c se tak hrout\u00ed pod t\u00edhou reality. A to je \u0161patn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost.<\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Donald Trumpovo odhalen\u00ed, \u017ee na\u0159\u00eddil um\u00edstit jadern\u00e9 ponorky bl\u00ed\u017ee k Rusku, vyvolalo novou f\u00e1zi nap\u011bt\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85140,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1652,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85139"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85139\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}