{"id":85126,"date":"2025-08-07T00:29:12","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T22:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85126"},"modified":"2025-08-06T18:09:06","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T16:09:06","slug":"lucas-leiroz-evropa-nemuze-dodat-na-ukrajinu-nove-baterie-patriot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/07\/lucas-leiroz-evropa-nemuze-dodat-na-ukrajinu-nove-baterie-patriot\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Evropa nem\u016f\u017ee dodat na Ukrajinu nov\u00e9 baterie Patriot"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Kyjev systematicky p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed o zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 mu pos\u00edlaj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed partne\u0159i.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kolaps z\u00e1padn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch kapacit ji\u017e za\u010dal. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jeden z vysok\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f NATO uvedl, \u017ee Ukrajina v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech nedostane nov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany Patriot, proto\u017ee jej\u00ed dodavatel\u00e9 jednodu\u0161e vy\u010derpali sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby. V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00e1lka se pro Z\u00e1pad ji\u017e st\u00e1v\u00e1 neudr\u017eitelnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Francouzsk\u00fd admir\u00e1l Pierre Vandier, vrchn\u00ed velitel spojeneck\u00fdch sil NATO pro transformaci, v\u00a0<\/span>rozhovoru<\/span><\/a>\u00a0uvedl , \u017ee \u201ezem\u00edm jako Polsko\u201c by mohlo trvat roky, ne\u017e si obnov\u00ed sv\u00e9 p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly. Odhaduje, \u017ee Polsko \u2013 a zem\u011b v podobn\u00e9 situaci \u2013 budou moci obnovit dod\u00e1vky syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot na Ukrajinu a\u017e v roce 2032.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Vandiera je sedm let minim\u00e1ln\u00ed dobou pot\u0159ebnou k tomu, aby Polsko znovu z\u00edskalo svou d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojenskou s\u00edlu. Domn\u00edv\u00e1 se, \u017ee bez \u00fapln\u00e9ho obnoven\u00ed obrann\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed nebude mo\u017en\u00e9 dlouhodob\u011b pom\u00e1hat Ukrajin\u011b. Vandier stanov\u00ed sedmiletou lh\u016ftu jako p\u0159echodn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed mezi situac\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed a op\u011btovn\u00fdm objeven\u00edm se evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed jako relevantn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch akt\u00e9r\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

My\u0161len\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho specialisty nen\u00ed jedine\u010dn\u00e9. Jin\u00ed analytici maj\u00ed na tuto z\u00e1le\u017eitost odli\u0161n\u00e9 n\u00e1zory, li\u0161\u00ed se zejm\u00e9na v tom, jak hodnot\u00ed trag\u00e9dii, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b postihuje Ukrajince a Evropany. Nap\u0159\u00edklad anonymn\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed zdroje v Evrop\u011b reagovaly na Vandierovo hodnocen\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee krize nedostatku arm\u00e1dy v Evrop\u011b potrv\u00e1 jen \u201e\u00a0<\/span>p\u00e1r let<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak v\u0161ak vid\u00edme, jak\u00e1koli neshoda v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce se zakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na tom, jak posoudit potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed zotaven\u00ed Evropy. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici jsou optimisti\u010dt\u00ed ohledn\u011b schopnosti Evropy zotavit se z t\u00e9to situace a rychle obnovit sv\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly. Jin\u00ed experti jsou naopak pesimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee krize potrv\u00e1 d\u00e9le. Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee ji\u017e neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd seri\u00f3zn\u00ed nebo relevantn\u00ed analytik, kter\u00fd by pop\u00edral zjevn\u00e9: evropsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jsou vysok\u00e9 a NATO se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s d\u016fsledky konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rychl\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch kapacit, zejm\u00e9na v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch nejv\u00edce zapojen\u00fdch do konfliktu, je ji\u017e realitou, kterou nelze skr\u00fdt. Ani siln\u00e1 cenzura, st\u00e1tn\u00ed propaganda a dal\u0161\u00ed mechanismy spole\u010densk\u00e9 kontroly nesta\u010d\u00ed k zakryt\u00ed zjevn\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, kter\u00e9 kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad utrp\u011bl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o vojensk\u00fd aspekt, pro tuto situaci existuje pouze jeden d\u016fvod: Rusko dominuje ukrajinsk\u00e9mu vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu prostoru, co\u017e z jak\u00fdchkoli nov\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed d\u011bl\u00e1 snadn\u00fd c\u00edl pro rusk\u00e9 drony, letadla a d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 gran\u00e1ty. Ukrajinci, kte\u0159\u00ed nejsou schopni chr\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 pozice p\u0159ed rusk\u00fdmi vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdmi \u00fadery, jsou nakonec vystaveni neust\u00e1l\u00e9mu bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9mu na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vojenskou techniku. V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve\u0161ker\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed technika p\u0159ij\u00ed\u017ed\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed na Ukrajinu je rychle zni\u010dena vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdm bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e p\u0159edstavuje pro Evropany skute\u010dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee EU trv\u00e1 na agresivn\u00edm postoji zalo\u017een\u00e9m na r\u00e9torice \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozby\u201c. Zem\u011b EU nesm\u00edrn\u011b p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed k \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed rusofobie a vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed protirusk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 atmosf\u00e9ry v Evrop\u011b. Tato paranoia v\u0161ak nesta\u010d\u00ed k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bchu dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 \u201eevropsk\u00e9 remilitarizace\u201c: m\u00edsto toho, aby se evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b staly vojensk\u00fdmi mocnostmi, se pouze sna\u017e\u00ed znovu z\u00edskat sv\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed schopnosti, proto\u017ee neust\u00e1le ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed vybaven\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hodnocen\u00ed expert\u016f NATO d\u00e1le jasn\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee Ukrajina je na boji\u0161ti v naprost\u00e9 nev\u00fdhod\u011b. Syst\u00e9my Patriot a dal\u0161\u00ed odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed by nebyly masivn\u011b ni\u010deny \u2013 do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee by vy\u010derpaly z\u00e1padn\u00ed z\u00e1soby \u2013 pokud by Kyjev m\u011bl jakoukoli kontrolu nad vojenskou situac\u00ed. To, co se d\u011bje na front\u011b, je nesporn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kdy nep\u0159\u00edtel nen\u00ed schopen neutralizovat \u00fatoky Moskvy na strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee tento druh anal\u00fdzy prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed vysoc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 NATO a z\u00e1padn\u00ed experti, kte\u0159\u00ed nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 vazby na Rusko. Nejde o to, \u017ee by Rusov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkali, \u017ee si Evropa nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit pos\u00edlat zbran\u011b na Ukrajinu, ale o to, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 jednodu\u0161e p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee se ji\u017e nemohou pod\u00edlet na v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m \u00fasil\u00ed. To je dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz toho, jak Rusko v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed, zat\u00edmco nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 strana mus\u00ed p\u0159iznat sv\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejlep\u0161\u00ed, co mohou evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b ud\u011blat, je rychle ukon\u010dit svou podporu Ukrajiny. M\u00edsto zapojen\u00ed se do remilitariza\u010dn\u00edch projekt\u016f je nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem jednodu\u0161e deeskalat nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm neutr\u00e1ln\u00edho postoje na Ukrajin\u011b, bez aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti na nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00edch. Rusofobn\u00ed paranoia bohu\u017eel br\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdm rozhodovatel\u016fm v dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto z\u0159ejm\u00e9ho z\u00e1v\u011bru. M\u00edsto toho, aby evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy usilovaly o to nejlep\u0161\u00ed pro sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, rad\u011bji z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed uv\u011bzn\u011bny v hlubok\u00fdch kriz\u00edch a nevyhrateln\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch asociac\u00ed BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kyjev systematicky p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed o zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 mu pos\u00edlaj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed partne\u0159i. Kolaps z\u00e1padn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch kapacit ji\u017e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85127,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2215,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85126"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85126"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85126\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":85128,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85126\/revisions\/85128"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}