{"id":85089,"date":"2025-08-07T00:21:40","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T22:21:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85089"},"modified":"2025-08-06T15:18:08","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T13:18:08","slug":"andrew-korybko-trumpov-most-by-mohl-vest-k-vyhosteni-ruska-z-jizniho-kavkazu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/07\/andrew-korybko-trumpov-most-by-mohl-vest-k-vyhosteni-ruska-z-jizniho-kavkazu\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: \u201eTrumpov most\u201c by mohl v\u00e9st k vyho\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Ruska z ji\u017en\u00edho Kavkazu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Arm\u00e9nie by mohla form\u00e1ln\u011b vystoupit z CSTO a pot\u00e9 nahradit rusk\u00e9 jednotky americk\u00fdmi soukrom\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd velvyslanec v Turecku Tom Barrack v polovin\u011b \u010dervence\u00a0<\/span>navrhl\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, aby si jeho zem\u011b pronajala Zangezursk\u00fd koridor na 100 let, co\u017e by m\u011blo v\u00e9st k p\u0159ekon\u00e1n\u00ed patov\u00e9 situace mezi Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a\u00a0<\/span>\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce. Mluv\u010d\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Maria Zacharovov\u00e1 na jeho n\u00e1vrh\u00a0<\/span>reagovala negativn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a obvinila USA ze snahy o p\u0159evzet\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9ho procesu a ohro\u017een\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed stability. Jej\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1sledovala po zpr\u00e1v\u011b, kter\u00e1 tvrdila, \u017ee ji\u017e bylo podeps\u00e1no tajn\u00e9 memorandum o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u201eTrumpova mostu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u0160pan\u011blsk\u00fd server\u00a0<\/span>Periodista Digital\u00a0<\/span><\/a>tvrdil, \u017ee \u010dlenov\u00e9 arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 diaspory tento dokument z\u00edskali od sv\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch kontakt\u016f, co\u017e bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek nasazen\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 000 americk\u00fdch soukrom\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed t\u00e9to trasy. \u0160\u00e9fka RT Margarita Simonjanov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 je etnicky Arm\u00e9nka a v\u00e1\u0161niv\u011b se zaj\u00edm\u00e1 o z\u00e1le\u017eitosti sv\u00e9 rodov\u00e9 vlasti, zpr\u00e1vu zpopularizovala\u00a0<\/span>sd\u00edlen\u00edm na X.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Tak\u00e9 velmi kritizovala arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Nikola Pa\u0161injana, kter\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span>d\u0159\u00edve obvinila\u00a0<\/span><\/a>z prodeje Arm\u00e9nie Turecku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bude dohoda uzav\u0159ena a zpr\u00e1va z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 prozat\u00edm nepotvrzen\u00e1, mohl by \u201eTrumpov most\u201c v\u00e9st k vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska z ji\u017en\u00edho Kavkazu. Posledn\u00ed klauzule p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem\u00a0<\/span>z listopadu 2020, kter\u00e9 zprost\u0159edkovala Moskva,\u00a0<\/span><\/a>po\u017eaduje, aby rusk\u00e9 pohrani\u010dn\u00ed str\u00e1\u017ee Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eby (FSB) zajistily zabezpe\u010den\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Baku od t\u00e9 doby naz\u00fdv\u00e1 Zangezursk\u00fdm koridorem p\u0159es ji\u017en\u00ed arm\u00e9nskou oblast Sjunik. Jejich nahrazen\u00ed americk\u00fdmi soukrom\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi by mohlo p\u0159edch\u00e1zet vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojsk z Arm\u00e9nie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pa\u0161injan v polovin\u011b \u010dervence\u00a0<\/span>potvrdil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee Arm\u00e9nie pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b opust\u00ed ODKB, m\u00edsto aby uvolnila sv\u00e9 \u010dlenstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>jednostrann\u011b pozastavil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. To by mohla b\u00fdt z\u00e1minka k \u017e\u00e1dosti o sta\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojsk sou\u010dasn\u011b s p\u0159ijet\u00edm americk\u00fdch soukrom\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed. Z jeho pohledu by jejich nasazen\u00ed mohlo fungovat jako neform\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruka v\u016f\u010di \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a Turecku, proto\u017ee by si dvakr\u00e1t rozmyslely, zda neohroz\u00ed americk\u00e9 ob\u010dany, zejm\u00e9na ty, kte\u0159\u00ed st\u0159e\u017e\u00ed projekt s n\u00e1zvem \u201eTrumpov most\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b snadn\u00fdch zisk\u016f cht\u011bj\u00ed USA t\u00edmto krokem nastartovat sled ud\u00e1lost\u00ed nezbytn\u00fdch pro odstran\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch sil z Arm\u00e9nie, jak je vysv\u011btleno v\u00fd\u0161e. USA mohou tak\u00e9 monitorovat tureck\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace na trase do St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie a z\u00e1rove\u0148 potenci\u00e1ln\u011b podn\u011bcovat \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd separatismus v severn\u00edch regionech sousedn\u00edho \u00cdr\u00e1nu s p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdm obyvatelstvem. Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhodou je, \u017ee Trump by mohl prezentovat tuto dohodu jako odvr\u00e1cen\u00ed v\u00e1lky, a t\u00edm zv\u00fd\u0161it vyhl\u00eddky na ud\u011blen\u00ed Nobelovy ceny m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 nepokoje\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v Arm\u00e9nii\u00a0<\/span>za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto l\u00e9ta byly \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zp\u016fsobeny obavami, \u017ee Pa\u0161injan je na pokraji uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody o otev\u0159en\u00ed Zangezursk\u00e9ho koridoru bez jak\u00e9koli rusk\u00e9 role. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 spolu s mo\u017en\u00fdm bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm odchodem Arm\u00e9nie z CSTO by mohl Sjunik vystavit riziku \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 (tureck\u00e9?) invaze. Mo\u017en\u00e1 si tedy myslel, \u017ee pozv\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch soukrom\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by nahradily ruskou FSB, by jeho lid uklidnilo, ale i tak by mohli protestovat, pokud by pronajal arm\u00e9nskou p\u016fdu USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee se tak stane a nebude sesazen lidovou revoluc\u00ed nebo vlasteneck\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm p\u0159evratem, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u201eTrumpov most\u201c povede k prudk\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu tureck\u00e9ho vlivu v cel\u00e9 St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, jak je vysv\u011btleno\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, co\u017e by n\u00e1sledn\u011b mohlo v\u00e9st k odchodu Kazachst\u00e1nu a Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu z CSTO. Nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, jak dos\u00e1hnout tohoto geopolitick\u00e9ho c\u00edle, je pro Arm\u00e9nii uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody o ekonomick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti s USA, kter\u00e1 vylu\u010duje pl\u00e1novanou roli Ruska v monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed tureck\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 dopravy do St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie. Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak by tomu Rusko mohlo zabr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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Arm\u00e9nie by mohla form\u00e1ln\u011b vystoupit z CSTO a pot\u00e9 nahradit rusk\u00e9 jednotky americk\u00fdmi soukrom\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15006,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1730,5920,22,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85089"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85089"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85089\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":85090,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85089\/revisions\/85090"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}