{"id":85011,"date":"2025-08-06T00:14:53","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T22:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=85011"},"modified":"2025-08-05T11:07:33","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T09:07:33","slug":"usa-neprijmou-porazku-ukrajiny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/06\/usa-neprijmou-porazku-ukrajiny\/","title":{"rendered":"USA NEp\u0159ijmou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3><strong>USA nep\u0159ijmou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny: Anal\u00fdza Johna Mearsheimera<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fd rozhovor mezi Johnem Mearsheimerem, renomovan\u00fdm politologem, a Danielem Davisem, b\u00fdval\u00fdm d\u016fstojn\u00edkem americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, vrh\u00e1 sv\u011btlo na nejistou pozici USA a Z\u00e1padu v ukrajinsk\u00e9m konfliktu. Oba vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed znepokojen\u00ed nad politikou USA a rostouc\u00edm rozporem mezi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi rusk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a z\u00e1padn\u00edm narativem. Mearsheimer tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA a NATO utrp\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku a zareaguj\u00ed politikou \u201edvojit\u00e9ho z\u00e1mku\u201c, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby por\u00e1\u017eku p\u0159ijaly.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"USA NEUZN\u00c1\u0160\u00cd por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny \/John Mearsheimer\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gPJylYyJ8wk?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sv\u011bt vzh\u016fru nohama: Pravda z Ruska?<\/h3>\n<p>Mearsheimer a Davis, oba b\u00fdval\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, se ocitaj\u00ed v nezvykl\u00e9 situaci: V\u011bt\u0161inou souhlas\u00ed s prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi rusk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, zejm\u00e9na s prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi prezidenta Vladimira Putina, zat\u00edmco argumenty sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed a nepravdiv\u00e9. Mearsheimer popisuje tuto obr\u00e1cenou perspektivu, kter\u00e1 oba vych\u00e1z\u00ed z jejich zku\u0161enost\u00ed b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, jako \u201ebizarn\u00ed\u201c a \u201enep\u0159\u00edjemnou\u201c. Zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee z jejich pohledu je rusk\u00fd pohled logick\u00fd a pochopiteln\u00fd, zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed politika se \u010dasto jev\u00ed jako protich\u016fdn\u00e1 a nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e1.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt: Nevyhnuteln\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka<\/h3>\n<p>Mearsheimer je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee Rusko v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b vyhraje, i kdy\u017e \u201eo\u0161kliv\u00fdm\u201c zp\u016fsobem. Ukrajina, NATO i Z\u00e1pad \u010del\u00ed poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017ece. M\u00edsto uzn\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to reality v\u0161ak p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee USA a jejich spojenci por\u00e1\u017eku nep\u0159ijmou. M\u00edsto toho se budou sna\u017eit Rusko d\u00e1le provokovat a naj\u00edt zp\u016fsoby, jak podkopat ruskou dominanci. Ukrajina se tak\u00e9 nebude ochotna vzd\u00e1t ztracen\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b Krymu, a USA ji v tom budou podporovat.<\/p>\n<p>Tento \u201ezmrazen\u00fd konflikt\u201c, jak jej naz\u00fdv\u00e1 Mearsheimer, p\u0159edstavuje zna\u010dn\u00e1 rizika. Identifikuje \u0161est potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch ohnisek konfliktu: Arktida, pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Kaliningrad, B\u011blorusko, Moldavsko a \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e. Kter\u00e9koli z t\u011bchto m\u00edst by mohlo v\u00e9st k nov\u00e9mu konfliktu, proto\u017ee ani Z\u00e1pad, ani Rusko nejsou ochotny ustoupit. Tato dynamika zvy\u0161uje pravd\u011bpodobnost pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 eskalace v Evrop\u011b.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trumpovo dilema: Nen\u00ed snadn\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodiska<\/h3>\n<p>Konverzace se tak\u00e9 zab\u00fdv\u00e1 rol\u00ed Donalda Trumpa, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 jako prezident mo\u017enost zm\u011bnit kurz. Mearsheimer v\u0161ak vid\u00ed jen malou nad\u011bji na diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. I kdyby Trump zm\u011bnil kurz a vyjednal s Putinem dohodu, bylo by t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Ukrajinu, jej\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 spojence a elitu americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, aby ji p\u0159ijali. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da a Evropa by pokra\u010dovaly v konfrontaci, zat\u00edmco elita americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, reprezentovan\u00e1 osobnostmi jako Keith Kellogg, up\u0159ednost\u0148uje pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Mearsheimer ost\u0159e kritizuje Trumpa za jeho p\u0159edchoz\u00ed nerozhodnost a neschopnost v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice. Kdyby Trump jednal na za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed rozhodn\u011b, mohl by b\u00fdt schopen p\u0159im\u011bt evropsk\u00e9 spojence a Ukrajinu k m\u00edrov\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak ocit\u00e1 izolovan\u00fd, bez siln\u00e9 podpory ve sv\u00e9 administrativ\u011b nebo Kongresu. Ani potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed spojenci, jako je J.D. Vance, nejsou v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce dostate\u010dn\u011b prominentn\u00ed, aby n\u011bco zm\u011bnili.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cesta k \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00e9mu konfliktu\u201c<\/h3>\n<p>Mearsheimer varuje, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 politika USA, v\u010detn\u011b nov\u00fdch sankc\u00ed proti Rusku, kter\u00e9 by mohly vstoupit v platnost 9. srpna 2025, konflikt d\u00e1le prohloub\u00ed. Tyto sankce, kter\u00e9 by mohly postihnout i zem\u011b jako \u010c\u00edna nebo Indie, nebudou m\u00edt podle Mearsheimera jen mal\u00fd znateln\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek, proto\u017ee USA z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vy\u010derpaly sv\u00e9 mo\u017enosti, jak Rusko ekonomicky nebo vojensky oslabit. M\u00edsto toho tato politika d\u00e1le otr\u00e1v\u00ed vztahy mezi Washingtonem a Moskvou a vytvo\u0159\u00ed \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00fd konflikt\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Mearsheimer d\u00e1le upozor\u0148uje na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky. USA nejsou uv\u011bzn\u011bny jen v ukrajinsk\u00e9m konfliktu, ale tak\u00e9 v \u201eneust\u00e1l\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u201c s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch konfliktech na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b (v\u010detn\u011b Gazy, ji\u017en\u00edho Libanonu a S\u00fdrie) a v potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm nap\u011bt\u00ed ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii. Tato \u010detn\u00e1 ohniska konfliktu zvy\u0161uj\u00ed riziko v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: Bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 bez snadn\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed<\/h3>\n<p>Mearsheimer uzav\u00edr\u00e1 pesimistick\u00fdm hodnocen\u00edm: V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b neexistuje snadn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu. I hypotetick\u00e1 dohoda mezi Trumpem a Putinem by narazila na zna\u010dn\u00fd odpor. Nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed by podle n\u011bj bylo, aby USA ukon\u010dily svou podporu Ukrajiny a donutily Evropany a Ukrajinu uznat realitu rusk\u00e9 nad\u0159azenosti. I to je v\u0161ak nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, proto\u017ee politick\u00e9 a spole\u010densk\u00e9 s\u00edly v USA a Evrop\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ke konfrontaci.<\/p>\n<p>Konverzace kon\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdzvou ve\u0159ejnosti, aby pochopila slo\u017eitost konfliktu a uznala pot\u0159ebu odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9ho a vizion\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed. Mearsheimer a Davis zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eitost platforem, jako jsou podcasty a Substack, pro \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed alternativn\u00edch perspektiv a stimulaci ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 debaty. V\u00fdhled v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd: Bez radik\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bny politiky hroz\u00ed vlekl\u00fd a nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd konflikt s nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky pro Evropu a sv\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-85002 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"653\" height=\"924\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-724x1024.jpg 724w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-768x1086.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1086x1536.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1-1024x1449.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Plakat1.jpg 1131w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 653px) 100vw, 653px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USA nep\u0159ijmou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny: Anal\u00fdza Johna Mearsheimera Ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fd rozhovor mezi Johnem Mearsheimerem, renomovan\u00fdm politologem,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85012,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,26,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85011"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85011"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85011\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":85013,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85011\/revisions\/85013"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}