{"id":84872,"date":"2025-08-03T05:51:45","date_gmt":"2025-08-03T03:51:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84872"},"modified":"2025-08-03T05:51:45","modified_gmt":"2025-08-03T03:51:45","slug":"michael-svatos-rusove-se-uz-chystaji-prekrocit-dnepr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/03\/michael-svatos-rusove-se-uz-chystaji-prekrocit-dnepr\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Rusov\u00e9 se u\u017e chystaj\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr!"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusov\u00e9 se u\u017e chystaj\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr! Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu u\u017e buntuj\u00ed proti sv\u00e9mu velen\u00ed! Anal\u00fdza chystan\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 vylo\u010fovac\u00ed operace<\/h3>\n

V listopadu 2022\u00a0se \u010desk\u00fd mainstream rozpl\u00fdval<\/a>, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da u\u017e nezabr\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016fm p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr u jeho \u00fast\u00ed do \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e u m\u011bsta Cherson. Ukrajinci sice za necel\u00fd rok, v \u0159\u00edjnu 2023, Dn\u011bpr skute\u010dn\u011b na gumov\u00fdch \u010dlunech hrdinsky p\u0159eplavali. A a\u017e do \u010dervna 2024 na jeho v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu vedli fanatickou\u00a0sebevra\u017eednou bitvu o mali\u010dkou bezv\u00fdznamnou ba\u017einu Krynky<\/a>. P\u0159i n\u00ed\u017e zb\u016fhdarma ob\u011btovali n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc sv\u00fdch nejlep\u0161\u00edch mlad\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Jen aby se Zelenskyj mohl v Lond\u00fdn\u011b a v Bruselu naparovat, \u017ee je udatn\u00fd vojev\u016fdce, \u017ee p\u0159ekro\u010dil Dn\u011bpr. Ale pak u\u017e se nic nezmohli. A v\u010dera u\u017e dokonce\u00a0za\u010dali p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci jejich elitn\u00ed 34. brig\u00e1dy n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty buntovat<\/a>\u00a0proti sv\u00e9mu nov\u00e9mu veliteli plukovn\u00edkovi Dmytro Pulintsovi, \u017ee jim vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 nesmysln\u00e9 rozkazy, \u017ee maj\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, a \u017ee k obran\u011b z\u00e1padn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru ve m\u011bst\u011b Cherson u\u017e brzo nikdo nezbude.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Kyjevsk\u00e1 generalita p\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9m vylod\u011bn\u00ed v ba\u017ein\u011b Krynky na p\u0159elomu let 2023\/24 demonstrovala sv\u00e9 pohrd\u00e1n\u00ed zaveden\u00fdmi \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edmi postupy, a vylodila sv\u00e9 kohorty v nevhodn\u00e9m ter\u00e9nu, v nevhodn\u00e9m po\u010das\u00ed, (od podzimu do jara, kdy i mlad\u00ed a fyzicky zdatn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci zdravotn\u011b str\u00e1daj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00fdm pobytem bez mo\u017enosti evakuace v mokr\u00e9 ba\u017ein\u011b), a hlavn\u011b nezabezpe\u010dila v prostoru operace naprosto nezbytnou p\u0159evahu t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9ho d\u011blost\u0159electva, dron\u016f a letectva, rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed nyn\u00ed p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b vylod\u011bn\u00ed na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru postupuje metodicky, a v souladu se v\u0161emi \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edmi zvyklostmi pro tento typ operace.<\/p>\n

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Mapa pl\u00e1nu rusk\u00e9 vylo\u010fovac\u00ed operace v \u00fast\u00ed Dn\u011bpru do \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e. Cel\u00fd popis pl\u00e1nu je v dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(1) Rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed z\u0159ejm\u011b pl\u00e1nuje vylodit svoji n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchotu na ostrov\u011b Korabel, kter\u00fd rameno Dn\u011bpru \u0159eka Kosheva (na map\u011b bled\u011bmodr\u00e1 linie) odd\u011bluje od m\u011bsta Cherson. \u0158eka Kosheva je \u0161irok\u00e1 70 a\u017e 120 metr\u016f, a Ukrajinci ji nebudou moci snadno p\u0159ekro\u010dit, aby ruskou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchotu po jej\u00edm vylod\u011bn\u00ed z ostrova Korabel vypudili. Rusov\u00e9 se hodlaj\u00ed vylodit v prostoru zastav\u011bn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti ostrova Korabel o rozloze 2x3km. Jde o p\u0159\u00edstav se sklady, lod\u011bnicemi, a n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo bloky pevn\u00fdch panelov\u00fdch obytn\u00fdch budov. Na ostrov Korabel se d\u00e1 p\u0159esunout pouze dv\u011bma mosty \u2013 na map\u011b \u017elut\u00e1 \u00fase\u010dka. Prvn\u00ed, automobilov\u00fd most, v\u010dera v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kodila rusk\u00e1 kluz\u00e1kov\u00e1 bomba o v\u00e1ze 3000kg, a p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee druh\u00e1 nebo t\u0159et\u00ed bomba most doraz\u00ed. (Tento most je na map\u011b \u010dern\u011b p\u0159e\u0161krtnut). Rusov\u00e9 tak ostrov u\u017e izoluj\u00ed od v\u0161ech spojen\u00ed s m\u011bstem Cherson. T\u00edm Ukrajinci nebudou moci z\u00e1sobovat jeho obr\u00e1nce. Rusk\u00e9 drony u\u017e celou oblast st\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, a napadaj\u00ed v\u0161e, co se hne. \u010cerven\u00e9 pentagony na map\u011b znamenaj\u00ed v\u00fdchoz\u00ed body budouc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 logistiky, kter\u00e1 bude ostrov n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edmi drony z\u00e1sobovat po jeho obsazen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchotou. \u010cerven\u00fd hexagon je prostor p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu, odkud budou z\u0159ejm\u011b vyr\u00e1\u017eet rusk\u00e9 gumov\u00e9 \u010dluny, aby na ostrov p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eely posily, a evakuovaly nemocn\u00e9 a zran\u011bn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

(2) Rusov\u00e9 se hodlaj\u00ed vylodit ve snadno izolovateln\u00e9 oblasti pln\u00e9 pevn\u00fdch, such\u00fdch budov, a ne v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ba\u017ein\u011b, jako to ud\u011blali Ukrajinci, aby se v n\u00ed snadno udr\u017eeli. Ukrajinci nemaj\u00ed dostatek d\u011blost\u0159electva, ani letectva, aby tyto budovy dok\u00e1zali zni\u010dit, jak to prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed Rusov\u00e9. Rusk\u00e9 drony u\u017e celou oblast izolovaly, a ukrajinsk\u00fdm jednotk\u00e1m v oblasti vylod\u011bn\u00ed u\u017e zp\u016fsobily t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Z rusk\u00e9 strany jde o klasickou p\u0159\u00edpravu pe\u010dliv\u011b p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 vylo\u010fovac\u00ed operace. Rusov\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed naprosto nutn\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr, aby osvobodili sv\u00e9 \u201cnov\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed\u201d \u2013 Cherson. Jakmile Rusov\u00e9 obsad\u00ed ostrov Korabel, a pokud ho udr\u017e\u00ed, z\u00edskaj\u00ed zna\u010dnou v\u00fdhodu v m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch o m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b. Proto\u017ee budou kontrolovat \u00fazem\u00ed na obou b\u0159ez\u00edch Dn\u011bpru le\u017e\u00edc\u00ed naproti sob\u011b, budou v tomto \u00faseku kontrolovat tak\u00e9 \u0159eku Dn\u011bpr, i kdyby tedy byl uzav\u0159en m\u00edr, nebo bylo uzav\u0159eno p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, bude to znamenat, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 budou kontrolovat, kdo m\u016f\u017ee po Dn\u011bpru plout. T\u00edm efektivn\u011b dostanou Ukrajince do pozici prosebn\u00edk\u016f o povolen\u00ed, po \u0159ece plout. A to je nutnost pro m\u00edrovou ekonomicky efektivn\u00ed p\u0159epravu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed do \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f pro n\u00e1sledn\u00fd export.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zde vid\u00edte n\u00e1sledek v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed mostu na ostrov Korabel v \u00fast\u00ed Dn\u011bpru, kde Rusov\u00e9 podle v\u0161eho chystaj\u00ed vylod\u011bn\u00ed. Zde\u00a0na tomto videu<\/a>\u00a0ze v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho \u00fatoku si m\u016f\u017eete ud\u011blat p\u0159edstavu o \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce a hloubce (z budov a lod\u00ed) ramene Dn\u011bpru \u0159eky Kosheva, kter\u00e1 ostrov Korabel odd\u011bluje od m\u011bsta Cherson.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zde vid\u00edte detailn\u00ed pohled na zastav\u011bn\u00fd prostor ostrova Korabel, kde se Rusov\u00e9 podle v\u0161eho chystaj\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr. Ostrov Korabel z jihu tvo\u0159\u00ed velk\u00e1 ba\u017eina, a na severu 2x3km zastav\u011bn\u00e1 plocha. Na ostrov vedou dva mosty. Prvn\u00ed v\u010dera Rusov\u00e9 \u201cnap\u016fl\u201d bombou 3000kg zni\u010dili, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee druh\u00fd z\u00e1sah most zni\u010d\u00ed. Druh\u00fd most je men\u0161\u00ed typick\u00e1 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed konstrukce z oceli. Izolovat prostor vylod\u011bn\u00ed od mo\u017enosti nep\u0159\u00edtele p\u0159esunout do n\u011bj posily, je typick\u00fdm projevem bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edprav k vylod\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(3) V anal\u00fdze\u00a0MAP 2229<\/a>\u00a0jsme informovali, \u017ee gener\u00e1l Gerasimov u\u017e posiluje gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho, velitele opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny DN\u011aPR pontonov\u00fdmi soulod\u00edmi. V anal\u00fdze\u00a0MAP 2354<\/a>\u00a0jsme informovali o velk\u00e9 porad\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch rusk\u00fdch vojev\u016fdc\u016f na velitelsk\u00e9m stanovi\u0161ti gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho, a o prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm intenzivn\u00edm v\u00fdcviku rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1loh na p\u0159echod \u0159eky. Proto\u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da mus\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr, chce-li Putin dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee m\u00edsto k p\u0159echodu bylo u\u017e vybr\u00e1no, a u\u017e prob\u00edh\u00e1, p\u0159esn\u011b podle \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edru\u010dek, jeho d\u016fsledn\u00e1 izolace od p\u0159\u00edsun\u016f nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch vojsk i z\u00e1sob. A\u010dkoli neb\u00fdvalo v minul\u00fdch dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch zvykem, pokou\u0161et se p\u0159ekra\u010dovat \u0159eku ve m\u011bst\u011b, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee drony v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed tot\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bnily, proto\u017ee umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed precizn\u011b vyhladit obr\u00e1nce i v m\u011bstsk\u00e9 z\u00e1stavb\u011b, a dokonale cel\u00fd prostor vylod\u011bn\u00ed izolovat.<\/p>\n

Na \u0160umav\u011b jsem v noci z p\u00e1tku na sobotu nato\u010dil dva po\u0159ady. Jakmile budou sest\u0159\u00edh\u00e1ny, d\u00e1m na n\u011b odkazy. Z\u00edtra vyjde dal\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdza.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusov\u00e9 se u\u017e chystaj\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr! Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu u\u017e buntuj\u00ed proti sv\u00e9mu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62300,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,4798,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84872"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84872"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84872\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}