{"id":84811,"date":"2025-08-02T00:16:44","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T22:16:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84811"},"modified":"2025-08-01T19:53:42","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T17:53:42","slug":"jiri-paroubek-lehne-si-putin-na-lopatky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/02\/jiri-paroubek-lehne-si-putin-na-lopatky\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Lehne si Putin na lopatky?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Na 8. srpen stanovili Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 term\u00edn, kdy by se m\u011bla nad Ukrajinou rozprost\u0159\u00edt duha m\u00edru. Ano, byl jsem od po\u010d\u00e1tku vojensk\u00e9 operace Ruska na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee tento konflikt je zbyte\u010dn\u00fd a mluvil a psal jsem o tom, \u017ee je pot\u0159eba jej rychle ukon\u010dit. Bylo by to v z\u00e1jmu obou stran. Nestalo se. Pro Rusko m\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e9 boji\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdznam z n\u011bkolika hledisek. Je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm polygonem, kde je mo\u017en\u00e9 vyzkou\u0161et nov\u00e9 zbran\u011b, nov\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 a v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 postupy.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho, je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm faktorem to, \u017ee Rusko ukazuje sv\u011btu sv\u016fj status velmoci. A\u0165 je to jak chce, v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b \u010del\u00ed Rusko a jeho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 ma\u0161in\u00e9rie cel\u00e9mu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu potenci\u00e1lu Z\u00e1padu, a to prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da i p\u0159es dezerce, n\u00e1siln\u00e9 rekrutov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 a nezku\u0161enost branc\u016f je za t\u0159i a p\u016fl roku silnou vojenskou entitou, kterou nelze podce\u0148ovat.<\/p>\n

Rusov\u00e9 museli velmi pru\u017en\u011b, vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee jim byly obstaveny obrovsk\u00e9 hodnoty zahrani\u010dn\u00edch m\u011bn v\u00a0evropsk\u00fdch bank\u00e1ch, pracovat s\u00a0vnit\u0159n\u00edmi zdroji a jejich mobilizac\u00ed a museli diverzifikovat zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod a v\u016fbec strategii v\u00fdvozu zj. energetick\u00fdch surovin, ale tak\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f. V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee se rusk\u00e1 ekonomika udr\u017eovala v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dvou letech na slu\u0161n\u00e9m hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m r\u016fstu kolem 4 %. A rusk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo nestr\u00e1dalo.<\/p>\n

Vojensk\u00e9 operace Ruska nabyly v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech, s\u00a0t\u00edm jak se p\u0159ibli\u017euje p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a m\u00edr (i kdy\u017e nikdo netu\u0161\u00ed, kdy p\u0159esn\u011b to bude) na intenzit\u011b. V\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch dnech doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0\u00fatok\u016fm mnoha set dron\u016f, bezpilotn\u00edch letadel a raket na \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny. To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed tak\u00e9 lidsk\u00e9 ob\u011bti, i kdy\u017e ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed nap\u0159. s\u00a0konfliktem v\u00a0Gaze jsou\u00a0 podstatn\u011b men\u0161\u00ed. Ale v\u0161echny lidsk\u00e9 ob\u011bti jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b z principu \u0161patn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Po n\u00e1stupu Donalda Trumpa se objevily\u00a0 siln\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky, \u017ee USA cht\u011bj\u00ed st\u016fj co st\u016fj ukon\u010dit konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b. S\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee hranice zastaven\u00ed boj\u016f by byla p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed m\u00edrovou hranic\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma st\u00e1ty, tedy mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem. P\u0159es v\u0161echno ml\u017een\u00ed \u010desk\u00fdch i z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00fdch mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed si nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee by Rusov\u00e9 st\u00e1li dlouhodob\u011b o jin\u00e1 ne\u017eli ruskojazy\u010dn\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b. Ukrajinci, respektive ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 musej\u00ed p\u0159estat sn\u00edt sv\u016fj sen o tom, \u017ee se Rusov\u00e9 na v\u00fdchod\u011b a jihu Ukrajiny a na Krymu nau\u010d\u00ed ukrajinsky. Prost\u011b, to se nestane.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 stanovili term\u00edn ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b na 8. srpna s t\u00edm, \u017ee po tomto datu vyraz\u00ed na zte\u010d. Mluv\u00ed se o vysok\u00fdch clech na dovoz rusk\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed do USA. Pokud mne pam\u011b\u0165 neklame, v\u00fdvoz Ruska do USA je minim\u00e1ln\u00ed. A mo\u017en\u00e1, \u017ee jej dnes p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed\u00a0 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy, kter\u00e9 americk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl nutn\u011b pot\u0159ebuje. Ale mo\u017en\u00e1, \u017ee se m\u00fdl\u00edm. V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jsem zv\u011bdav, jak rozvinou Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 platby druhotn\u00fdch cel v\u016f\u010di zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 budou odeb\u00edrat rusk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. Neum\u00edm si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by takov\u00e9to platby platily nap\u0159.\u00a0 chud\u00e9 africk\u00e9 zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 budou dov\u00e1\u017eet pro sv\u016fj hladem trp\u00edc\u00ed lid rusk\u00e9 obil\u00ed. Americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Rubio se obr\u00e1til na Indii, aby tato zem\u011b, zat\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e spojenec Ruska v dlouhodob\u00e9m kontextu, p\u0159eru\u0161ila odb\u011br ropy z\u00a0Ruska. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si Indii vyhodnotili jako slab\u0161\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek mezi zem\u011bmi BRICS a t\u0159et\u00edho sv\u011bta. A pokud se jim poda\u0159\u00ed donutit tuto zemi k\u00a0zastaven\u00ed odb\u011bru rusk\u00e9 ropy, jist\u011b by se k\u00a0tomu p\u0159ipojila \u0159ada dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed t\u0159et\u00edho sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n

Jinak si neum\u00edm p\u0159edstavit, jak se druhotn\u00e1 cla budou \u00fa\u010dtovat a zj. z\u00a0\u010deho, z jak\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny se budou vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1vat.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b zapad\u00e1 tento tlak na Rusko do velk\u00e9ho tlaku USA na nov\u00e9 sazby cel se v\u0161emi zem\u011bmi, s\u00a0nimi\u017e Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty obchoduj\u00ed. Celkov\u011b by v\u00fdnos z\u00a0t\u011bchto cel v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 podob\u011b m\u011bl znamenat meziro\u010dn\u011b n\u00e1r\u016fst nejm\u00e9n\u011b 300 mld. dolar\u016f p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f americk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu. A pak by mohl zabrat i dal\u0161\u00ed Trump\u016fv z\u00e1m\u011br na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Znamenalo by to, \u017ee obavy E. Muska, \u017ee vzniknou d\u00edry ve st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm dan\u00ed, by byly neopodstatn\u011bn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

To\u017e, uvid\u00edme. V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Rusov\u00e9 zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dnech a t\u00fddnech velk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011bchy. Po trval\u00e9m tlaku obsadili m\u011bsto Kryvyj Jar a chystaj\u00ed se na Pokrovsk.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00e1lka by m\u011bla co nejrychleji skon\u010dit u\u017e tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b chyb\u00ed voj\u00e1ci, kte\u0159\u00ed by byli ochotni je\u0161t\u011b um\u00edrat. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0A bez infanterie, p\u011b\u0161\u00edho vojska, nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u00e9st \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na 8. srpen stanovili Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 term\u00edn, kdy by se m\u011bla nad Ukrajinou rozprost\u0159\u00edt duha m\u00edru….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,102,452,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84811"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84811"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84811\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}